US30 trade ideas
US30 – Monthly Market Structure Analysis (April 2025) – OLHC BUY
As we analyze the monthly structure of the US30 index for April 2025, several key technical developments and strategic insights are worth noting:
1. Monthly Low Established:
The price action for this month has thus far established a significant low, indicating a potential bottoming pattern that may signal the beginning of a bullish move.
2. Key Support Level and First Rejection:
A strong bullish rejection was observed at the 37,000 level, which has proven to be a substantial support zone. This level held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest and institutional accumulation.
3.Target Projection:
My primary take-profit target for this upward move is projected at **41,834.42** , which aligns with higher timeframe resistance and Fibonacci extension levels. This offers a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for long entries.
4. Waiting for Confirmation:
At present, I am closely monitoring price behavior near a **minor support zone**, where I anticipate another rejection that could provide the ideal entry signal for initiating buy positions. Patience remains key as we await further confirmation.
5. Strategic Considerations:
- Risk Management: Traders are advised to apply proper risk management protocols. Avoid over-leveraging, and ensure your trade size is appropriate to your account equity.
- Discipline: Do not rush into trades. Wait for solid confirmation signals, such as bullish candlestick patterns or momentum shifts, before committing capital.
- Market Conditions: Be aware of upcoming economic events or fundamental news that may impact US indices, and adjust your strategy accordingly.
6. Community Engagement:
If you found this analysis insightful and aligned with your trading view, feel free to like, share, and follow for more structured market updates and trading ideas.
Let’s trade smart, stay patient, and manage risk with precision. All the best this month!
Dowjones Potential ShortRisk-off sentiment dominates the market amid tightening monetary policies and rising inflation, fueled by Trump's policies. For now, I see a bearish outlook, and this is a bearish setup on Dow Jones that I'm watching closely.
US30 - medium to long term opportunity setting upHello,
The US30 futures are forming a bullish pattern, signaling potential upside. The MACD and moving averages align, presenting a compelling opportunity for buyers.
Investors should note President Trump's aggressive push for Federal Reserve Chair Powell to cut interest rates, including threats to dismiss him if he resists. While this rhetoric could unsettle markets, we believe Trump is unlikely to follow through, as markets have likely found a bottom and he would avoid actions that could trigger a downturn.
Technical analysis supports early entry for bold investors, with a stop-loss placed below the recent low. Proceed with caution and good luck.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30 Rejected at Resistance – 24/04/2025 🧨 US30 Rejected at Resistance – 24/04/2025 🧨
📉 False Break Above 40k – Sellers Step In!
Price failed to sustain above the 40,000 psychological level and got rejected near 40,360, confirming that sellers are still active around the key 40,701 zone. We’re seeing a lower high forming after that pop 🚨.
🔍 Key Observations:
❌ Rejection at 40,360
📉 Lower high structure forming
🔻 Weak bounce and now pulling back under 39,500
📍 Support around 38,955 - watch closely
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Bears in control short-term
⚠️ Watch 38,955 zone — if that breaks → 38,250 / 37,000 in play
💥 Short entries valid below 39,200 with tight risk
🚀 Bulls need a reclaim above 40,000 to regain control
🧠 Psych Tip: Don't FOMO into longs yet — wait for a reclaim or break structure short.
US30 Potential Strong Demand And Reinforced Supply Zones ID Thoughts of this potential trade? I think we have a potential Long from a demand zone followed by a short from a reinforced supply zone... Would love to hear thoughts on this potential play.
Dow Jones Update: Downside Pressure PersistsI currently estimate that the Dow Jones is in the early stage of wave B of wave (B), as indicated by the black label. This suggests that the index may continue its correction, potentially testing the 38,200–39,186 area before rebounding to challenge the resistance zone around 40,791 and possibly filling the gap between 41,173 and 41,629.
However, under the more bearish scenario (red label), the selling pressure on the Dow Jones remains significant, which may result in the formation of wave , leading to a deeper correction below the 36,611 level.
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart:
• The US30 is bouncing off a recent sharp correction with a bullish engulfing candle forming at support (around 37,675).
• RSI is recovering from oversold territory, now at 46.14 – momentum is shifting.
• MACD still bearish but histogram is shrinking, indicating weakening downward momentum.
15-Minute Chart:
• Strong recovery after a double-bottom near 38,200.
• RSI at 74.55 shows near overbought but still trending up – strong momentum.
• MACD showing a strong bullish crossover and rising histogram – confirmation of intraday trend.
3-Minute Chart:
• Strong breakout to the upside with consolidation at highs.
• RSI around 58 – room to move higher.
• MACD bullish, histogram expanding – short-term continuation likely.
⸻
Fundamental Context (as of April 2025):
• Recent correction in US indices is likely a pullback within a broader bull market (based on Q1 earnings optimism and easing inflation expectations).
• No major Fed tightening signals – bullish for equities.
• Dow Jones (US30) often rebounds strongly after panic drops, especially when technicals align with macro calm.
⸻
Trade Setup (Buy):
• Entry: 39,700 (current consolidation after breakout)
• Stop Loss (SL): 39,150 (below last minor pullback structure and below 3M EMA support)
• Take Profit (TP): 40,800 (near previous structure on the Daily and round number psychological level) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
DETAIL ANALYSIS OF US30 US30 has reversed from bullish to bearish on daily timeframe However on monthly timeframe the long term Bullish trend is intact on Monthly timeframe applying SMC i have marked the chart and possible scenario is of downward likely market will take on the previous low and apparently on daily time frame its probably 4th wave low is yet to be identified therefore will look for selling with stop above 41000
Note: Only for educational purpose not a financial advice
POSSIBLE SETUP US30Details explain on chart only for educational purpose not a financial advice details can be asked in DM
US340 H9 IdeaPotential for a bullish pullback on the US30 1D which could lead to a price movement towards the resistance level at 42200. BUY levels from 39600
Dow Jones INTRADAY capped at 40954Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40954
Resistance Level 2: 41510
Resistance Level 3: 42216
Support Level 1: 39600
Support Level 2: 38534
Support Level 3: 37832
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Sellers for us30 Strong breakout of my initial support zone. Now with the bears in full force I believe the market will retrace back up to the 50-66% fib zones before having another bear run to wedge channel support.
US30 Weekly: Support Under Threat - Prepare for More Downside?US30 Weekly Analysis - Potential Trading Setup
Technical Outlook — 21 April 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 on the weekly timeframe is trading within a long-term ascending channel. Price recently experienced a sharp correction, breaking below the middle of the channel and is now testing a key support zone.
Potential Trading Setup:
Potential Reversal/Long Setup (Primary Scenario):
Entry: Look for strong bullish reversal signals within the current support zone (around 37,500 - 38,500). This could include bullish candlestick patterns on the weekly or daily timeframe, coupled with the Stochastic indicator showing a bullish divergence or crossing up from oversold territory.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the low of the reversal signal or below the lower boundary of the support zone (below 37,500).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: The middle of the ascending channel (around 40,500 - 41,000).
TP2: The upper trendline of the ascending channel (currently around 44,000 - 45,000, and rising over time).
Bearish Continuation Setup (Secondary Scenario):
Entry: If bullish reversal signals fail to materialize and the price breaks decisively below the current support zone (below 37,500), look for short entry opportunities. The Stochastic indicator confirming downward momentum would add confluence to this setup.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the high of the breakdown candle or above the broken support zone.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: The next significant support level around 34,000 - 35,000.
TP2: The lower boundary of the ascending channel (currently around 32,000 - 33,000, and rising over time).
Important Considerations:
Weekly Timeframe Significance: Trading setups on the weekly chart require patience and can take time to play out.
Confirmation is Crucial: Wait for clear confirmation signals, including price action and signals from the Stochastic indicator, before entering any trades.
Channel Dynamics: The ascending channel trendlines are dynamic and will change over time.
Risk Management: Employ appropriate position sizing and always use stop-loss orders.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Dow JonesDow Jones
MTF Analysis
Dow JonesYearly Demand 36,970.0
Dow Jones 6 Month Demand DMIP 35,008.0
Dow Jones Qtrly Demand 37,786.0
Dow JonesMonthly Demand BUFL 38,581.0
Dow JonesWeekly Demand Resistance now support 36,970.0
Dow Jones Daily DMIP 37,390.0
ENTRY -1 Long 37,390.0
SL 37,128.0
RISK 262.0
Target as per Entry 45,307.0
RR 30.2
JM-CAPITAL US30 Analysis April 24After reaching an all-time high of 45,000, US30 experienced a pullback, retracing to the 61.8% Fibonacci level—aligning perfectly with a key support zone on the weekly timeframe and forming the third touchpoint on the ascending trendline.
With market sentiment beginning to ease around the tariff discussions, I’m taking a long position on US30. My stop loss is set just below the weekly candle and beneath the 61.8% Fibonacci level for added protection.
I plan to scale into the trade by adding positions on each corrective pullback in line with the bullish structure.
Wishing you all a profitable trading session. Stay sharp!
Short-Term Opportunity in Dow Jones: Limited UpsideCurrently, I estimate that under the best-case scenario (black label), the Dow Jones is forming wave of wave B. This implies that the upside movement is likely to remain limited, with a potential retest of the 39,310–39,649 area.
Caution is advised for a possible reversal, especially if the Dow Jones fails to break above the 40,791 resistance level.
Areas to watch DJI Trend lines to watch in the coming weeks for the DJI
if the initial one breaks down a test of the Covid trend line might come
Lets see how it goes
Daily timeframe
Market Digesting Trade War Fears — But Risks RemainSimilar to the early stage of Trump's previous administration, escalating trade tensions and tariff threats have once again rattled market sentiment, triggering a broad-based correction in equity indices down to key support levels.
Over the past two weeks, extreme trade war rhetoric shocked the market, causing the index to break below the 40,000-point support, reaching a low of 36,439 — near the 200-day moving average on the weekly chart. As this level coincides with a significant technical support zone, buying interest emerged, prompting a rebound back above the 40,000 mark.
This suggests that the market has begun to digest the trade war narrative, with investors gradually positioning in tranches around the 40,000 level. However, ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade policies may continue to weigh on sentiment. Should the index revisit 36,439 and fail to hold, further downside toward the next major support at 34,969 could be expected.
DOW/US30 - what the expectation from the marketTeam, last week we kill the market
I have prepare for the next week strategy
We currently have some small volume position long at this stage
and will add more if the market down to next level,
However, we expect some recovery at this stage.
Strategy:
TARGET 1 - 39266-39335
TARGET 2 - 39375-39467
TARGET 3 at 39600-39929
TARGET 4 at 40.400-41400 - run with mini volume and hold.
US30 Outlook on 4H TF - LONG US30 - Bullish Wave 5 Push to 42,000 📈
We're still in a Wave 4 correction on the daily, but price just retested Wave 4 lows at 38,900 area and held (for now). Now forming a double bottom on the 4H, and Wave 1 is starting on the 1H.
Looking for a Wave 5 push up toward 42,000 before a major selloff.
Key Levels:
🔹 Support: 38,970
🔹 TP Zones: 40,000 → 41,000 → 42,000
🔻 Short Bias kicks in after Wave 5 completes (Target: 38,100-38,200)
Plan: Buy dips while above 38,900, scale out near 42K, watch for reversal confirmation.
Avoid Trading Indices on Long Weekends and Bank HolidaysTrading indices during long weekends or bank holidays can be risky due to lower liquidity and higher volatility. Many major financial institutions and market participants are away, leading to thinner trading volumes. This can cause exaggerated price swings, making it harder to execute trades at desired levels. Additionally, unexpected news or geopolitical events over the extended break can trigger sharp gaps when markets reopen, increasing the chances of significant losses.
Another key concern is the lack of immediate reaction time. Since markets are closed for an extended period, traders have no opportunity to adjust positions in response to breaking news. This can leave portfolios exposed to unforeseen risks. Spreads on indices also tend to widen during these times, increasing trading costs. For these reasons, it’s often safer to wait for normal trading conditions rather than risking unpredictable moves during illiquid holiday sessions.
