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US30 trade ideas

US30 Analysis – Potential Bearish Movement Towards 44,182The US30 index (Dow Jones Industrial Average) has recently shown high volatility with a sharp spike followed by a strong rejection, indicating a possible shift in momentum. Based on technical indicators and price action, a short move towards 44,182 could be likely. Let’s break it down: 📌 Technical Analysis 1️⃣ Price Action & Key Levels • The price initially saw a strong bullish rally, reaching a peak near 44,452. • A sharp rejection at the top suggests liquidity grab and potential distribution. • A strong bearish candle followed, confirming aggressive selling pressure. • Price is now consolidating around 44,425, indicating a possible retest before further downside. • The key support target to watch is 44,182, a previous demand zone. 2️⃣ MACD Analysis (Momentum) • The MACD histogram recently flipped into negative territory, confirming bearish momentum. • The MACD line is crossing below the signal line, a classic bearish sign. • Momentum is shifting to the downside, supporting a short-term correction. 3️⃣ Market Structure • The formation of a lower high suggests the uptrend might be losing strength. • A lower low confirmation (below 44,200) will increase the probability of reaching 44,182. • Breaking below 44,182 could extend the decline towards 44,120 or lower. 📉 Bearish Outlook: Why a Drop to 44,182? • Rejection from Key Resistance: The sharp rejection above 44,450 suggests institutions may have offloaded positions. • Momentum Shift: MACD turning bearish confirms weakening buying pressure. • Liquidity Grab: The spike up may have been a liquidity hunt, trapping late buyers before a drop. ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch • A break back above 44,450 invalidates the bearish scenario. • Economic news releases (CPI, NFP, or FOMC) could impact the market and change sentiment. • A sudden shift in momentum could cause a fake breakdown before another rally. Conclusion US30 appears poised for a short-term bearish move towards 44,182, driven by price rejection, momentum shifts, and market structure. Traders should monitor 44,200 as a key level—if it breaks, further downside is likely. However, risk management is crucial, as volatility remains high.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SasanHATAM
1
US30/DJ30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" Indices Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the US30 / DJ30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" Buy entry above 44,660.0 Sell Entry below 43,800.0 Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 44,100.0 (swing Trade) for Bullish Trade Thief SL placed at 44,100.0 (swing Trade) for Bearish Trade Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 46,200.0 (or) Escape Before the Target -Bearish Robbers TP 42,600.0 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: US30 / DJ30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" Indices market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullish)., driven by several key factors. 🟣 Fundamental Analysis - Earnings Growth: The Dow Jones 30 (DJ30) companies have reported strong earnings growth, with an average increase of 10% in the last quarter. - Dividend Yield: The DJ30 has a dividend yield of 2.1%, which is relatively attractive compared to other asset classes. - Valuation: The DJ30 is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.5, which is slightly above its historical average. ⚪ Macro Analysis - Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady, which is positive for equities. - Inflation: Inflation remains under control, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increasing by 2.3% in the last year. - GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 2.1% in 2023, which is still positive for equities. 🔴 Sentimental Analysis - Trader Sentiment: 55% of traders are bullish on DJ30, while 30% are bearish and 15% are neutral. - Investor Sentiment: The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey shows that 44.5% of investors are bullish, while 24.5% are bearish. - Hedge Fund Sentiment: Hedge funds have increased their long positions in DJ30, with a net long exposure of 25%. 🟠 COT Analysis - Non-Commercial Traders: Net long 35,019 contracts (Increase of 5,011 contracts from last week) - Commercial Traders: Net short 25,011 contracts (Decrease of 2,011 contracts from last week) - Leverage: Average leverage used by traders is 8:1 🟡 Institutional Traders - Goldman Sachs: Net long 20,109 contracts (Increase of 3,011 contracts from last week) - Morgan Stanley: Net long 15,011 contracts (Decrease of 1,011 contracts from last week) - JPMorgan Chase: Net long 18,011 contracts (Increase of 2,011 contracts from last week) 🟢 Hedge Funds - Bridgewater Associates: Net long 30,109 contracts (Increase of 5,011 contracts from last week) - BlackRock: Net long 25,011 contracts (Decrease of 2,011 contracts from last week) - Vanguard: Net long 20,011 contracts (Increase of 3,011 contracts from last week) 🟤 Overall Outlook Based on the analysis, the DJ30 (US30) is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 60% chance of an uptrend and a 30% chance of a downtrend. The remaining 10% chance is for a neutral trend. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤗
EIGHTCAP:US30
by Thief_Trader
DOW JONES SELLOn the last day of January, the price on the monthly chart picked up liquidity above the November and December peaks. On the daily chart, the price does not break through the last peak, because of the range in which it is visible that buyers are losing strength and sellers are taking over. This week, buyers are making their last attempt and after that the price is making a second bearish candle in the range in which the price is, I expect the price to fall in the coming days/weeks. The first take profit zone will be the last daily demand zone. For a more precise entry, we can use the H4 chart and wait the pullback of move that started on Friday.
FX:US30Short
by MarioM113
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 45,056.62 1st Support: 43,298.77 1st Resistance: 46,066.08 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by ICmarkets
Potential bearish drop?DJ30 is rising towards the resistance level that is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 44,603.74 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 45,112.98 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 43,871.19 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:DJ30Short
by VantageMarkets
3
US30 4H - ATHDow Jones Index Analysis Introduction: As always, further analysis is required. Two possible bullish movement scenarios have been discussed, with a target of breaking the highest price (ATH). Plan C: Scenario: A potential drop to 44350, followed by a reversal in the main direction towards the ATH target at 47180. Condition: This scenario is more likely if there is high volume and strong buyer power. Plan A: Scenario: A drop to 44350, followed by a temporary upward movement to the marked range around 45200. Correction: Afterward, a temporary market correction to 43570. Main Target: A reversal back to the upward trend with the goal of breaking the ATH. Likelihood: This plan seems more probable in my opinion. Conclusion: Both plans suggest the potential for breaking the ATH, but Plan A is the more likely scenario. High-accuracy analysis, amazing results!
OANDA:US30USDLong
by GreyFX-NDS
5