A 50/50 Long on NAS100Price is retesting the Daily FVG and the high of today and fill at least 50% of the 4HR FVG before we see price going low.
USTEC trade ideas
USTEC Sell Limit Trade Idea⏳ Expires: 02/04/2025 - 12:00
Market Outlook
A 5-wave bearish count has completed at 18,818, indicating potential downside.
The 261.8% Fibonacci extension from 20,363 to 19,765 is located at 18,796, reinforcing bearish momentum.
Equities opened higher due to an overnight positive theme, but previous support at 19,423 has now turned into resistance.
Trade Details
Entry (Sell Limit): 19,415
Stop Loss: 19,555 (-140 points)
Take Profit: 19,125 (+290 points)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.07:1
Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: 19,415 (Bespoke Resistance)
R2: 19,423 (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
R3: 20,636
Support:
S1: 19,157
S2: 19,124
S3: 18,796 (Fibonacci Extension Target)
Technical & Fundamental Factors
✅ Bearish 5-Wave Count Completed – Suggests potential for further downside.
✅ Fibonacci Resistance at 18,796 – Aligns with key technical levels.
✅ Previous Support Turned Resistance – 19,423 may act as a rejection zone.
⚠️ ISM Manufacturing PMI Release (01/04/2025 at 15:00) – Potential market-moving event to watch.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BUY EVERY BIG TECH, BUY AND HOLD UNTIL OCTOBERBuy the pivot level. hold for the last 7-month bull run until October 2025.
Price and time cycles suggest that price will peak in October 2025 and a second swing high in March 2026 for the midcycle correction. We would look for the top at 26k
Buy every big tech, buy the major stocks, buy, buy......
The 7-month cycle from March to October 2025 will be the second largest swing within the 5-year bull run from 2020 crash low
Trade safe, good luck.
Nasdaq and The Elliott Wave(An update)The market drops to the 61.8% Fib and a confirmation would trigger the last wave of Wave B. All other analysis remains the same as earlier posted. This is just an update.
FED slowing down balance sheet reduct，good new for marketMarket sentiment has been pessimistic over the past few days, with some expecting further declines while others anticipate a rebound. However, after scanning through online discussions, I was surprised that almost no one is talking about the most critical piece of information for April！
— Starting in April, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will reduce the monthly redemption cap on U.S. Treasury securities from $25 billion to $5 billion to slow down the decline in its securities holdings.!
If we look back at May 2024, the Fed made the same move, which led to a significant rally from May to July.
For those who remain bearish, it's crucial to have proper stop-loss strategies in place. After April 2, as long as technical indicators align, we should expect a strong rebound.
NAS Falling Knife is OverNAS Falling Knife is Over.
It has been taking support from its trend support.
An uptrend may start from here.
DOWN TREND CONTINUATION We created a daily fvg gap that might push price lower. a possible 9:30 manipulation higher will set the stage for lower price targeting Monday lows the fvg lower boundary is created by the Monday high this is also supported by the London section
NASDAQ Huge Bullish Divergence points to 21350 inside April.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 11 2024 High. The latest rally that started on March 11 2025 after a brutal 3-week downtrend/ Bearish Leg, got rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as the market digested the disappointing PCE.
Despite this aggressive rejection, the price hit and rebounded yesterday exactly at the bottom of the Channel Up with the previous such contact going back to the August 05 2024 Low. Not to mention that both the March 11 2025 and August 08 2024 Lows were formed exactly on the secondary Higher Lows trend-line.
What's perhaps more critical than any of these though, is that the 1D RSI didn't make a new Low last week and remains above the oversold barrier on a Higher Low trend-line that is a huge technical Bullish Divergence against the price's Lower Lows.
As with the August 22 2024 High, our first short-term Target is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 21350.
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01-04-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ NAS100 M151- Divergence followed by Convergence.
2- No Divergence against.
3- One can expect pullback followed by continuation to the upside.
Nasdaq market analysis: 01-APRIL-2025Good morning! Happy New Day! Here's your daily Nasdaq market analysis. Learn, grow, and trade wisely.
THE SKY IS THE LIMITI am a nine to fiver so at times I don't have time for the charts, but like I said on a video yesterday, this week I am looking for Buys Buys and BUYS. Stay Tuned. Happy trading
BUY NASDAQhello everyone im back‼....here is a Long term idea. don't get lost... its just an idea not a signal, i'm only looking for buy signals..see yall next month✌😊😊😊😊😊
NAS 100 DAILY FORCASTI think we just seen the end of a 5 Wave down of Wave A,Wave B will follow and at the completion of Wave B will have a final dip of Wave C which will be a 5 Wave move.
Nas 3/31/2025I am working on looking at the bigger picture, and this is what I am seeing with NAS.
I do not have the percentages and what not correct on my GANN box just FYI, but that would be the zone I am watching. I think she may go a little higher, but then after that, there is a strong support line from August 2024 not far below, that I think she will continue to drop down too, and then decide which trend she want's to go for from there. lol
Yes, NAS is a girl to me.
She is too indecisive, not to be, lol
Nasdaq short: Wave 5I think that the retracement up as a wave 4 may have completed and thus I am calling for a short for a wave 5. Place your stop above wave 4 high.
NASDAQ: Forming the bottom. Don't miss the 2025 rally to 28,000.Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.342, MACD = -382.320, ADX = 38.919), headed towards oversold territory. 1W is also headed towards an oversold state (RSI = 36.953) as the price has crossed under the 1W MA50 and is approaching the 1W MA100. This is currently waiting at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up. This 6 month correction is so far technically nothing but the bearish wave of this Channel Up and has been almost as strong (-15.89%) as the previous in July-Aug 2024.
Notice an key technical tendency here, no correction/bearish wave has ever crossed under the S1 level of two highs before. The current S1 is at 18,400. So taking those conditions into consideration as well as the fact that the 1W RSI is at the bottom of its Channel Down, we see this week as the bottom formation candle that will start a new bullish wave. The prior two such waves both made an incredibly symmetric rise of +52.60%, so expecting the same puts our target at TP = 28,000, most likely by December 2025-January 2026.
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Nasdaq 100 Opens the Door to a New Bearish TrendThe Nasdaq has been one of the indices showing the strongest selling bias in recent sessions. Over the past four trading days, it has fallen by more than 7% , as the market remains gripped by uncertainty surrounding White House trade policies and the threat of a new trade war. The proposed 25% tariffs on several countries are expected to take effect on April 2, and so far, there has been no official indication of a change in schedule. This has increased fears of a potential global economic slowdown, and if these conditions persist, it could further pressure equity indices, especially those already showing strong short-term bearish momentum.
New Potential Downtrend
Since February 20, the Nasdaq has been experiencing consistent selling pressure, driving the index below the 19,000-point level. Recent bullish attempts have so far failed to break through this new downward trendline, which now stands as the dominant technical structure for the index. If selling pressure remains intact, the current bearish trend could extend over the coming sessions.
ADX Indicator
Although the ADX line remains above the 20 level—generally considered the threshold for trend strength—it has been sloping downward, suggesting that the recent buying momentum may be losing strength, potentially leading to a short-term pause in market activity.
RSI Indicator
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a similar picture. The RSI is hovering near the oversold zone at 30, and a bullish divergence has formed, as the Nasdaq has made lower lows, while the RSI has posted higher lows. This could indicate that selling momentum may be weakening, potentially paving the way for a short-term bullish correction.
Key Levels:
20,500 points – Distant resistance: This level aligns with the 200-period moving average. Price action approaching this area could revive bullish sentiment and potentially invalidate the current downtrend visible on the chart.
19,700 points – Near resistance: This level marks the upper boundary of the short-term descending trendline. It may serve as a tentative area for corrective upward movements in the upcoming sessions.
18,800 points – Key support: This level corresponds to 2024’s neutral price zone. If the price breaks below it, it could reinforce the current bearish trend and lead to further downside.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
BUY Stop on Nas100/US100this is a tricky trade where I'm looking for the break of tht high represented by the light bulb 💡the break above it is a confirmation for the buy entry any moves down or failure of breakage means it's an invalidated trade
NQ: Q/M/W Analysis!FA Analysis
ST/MT/LT Outlook: SELL
1- US Economy: Recession/slowing down economy
2- Inflation is UP!
3- Trump's policies: Tariffs; Treasury hole;
4- Consumer sentiment and corporation sentiment are down
5- FED has hands tied; under Trump's pressure; confirmed uncertainty
6- Europe is waking up: Major investments in Infrastructures and Defense; Europe is and will attract investments (US equities DOWN Versus EUR Equities UP)
7- GOLD made new ATH seeking the sky as a response to UNCERTAINTY.
All the above are very bad for US equities.
7- This week, we have key employment data (i.e., Jolts and NFP). Market expectations are very low. But I won't be surprised if NFP data comes NEGATIVE.
8- April 2nd: US tariffs comes into effect!
9- Market made already their decision: sell-off! Even with good news (i.e., today's Europe bending knee); So any good news will be short live, unless all these non-sense tariffs go away which is unlikely.
TA Analysis:
Quarterly TF
Strong bearish Q candle! A confirmed break of TL, it means continuation down.
Monthly TF
Same here: strong bearish Monthly candle!
The chart shows next key targets.
Weekly TF
Same thing: Very strong bearish weekly close. This weekly candle is the strongest bearish candle you may have!
Price closed below 19620 (mentioned previously). During the last week, price bounced to test the previous swing of 19620 and grabbed liquidity and went down in an impulsive way. This wave still have room to continue down.
Daily TF
Last Friday daily candle is now the new strong resistance that buyers have to go through to make a change of structure. Many large sellers are sitting there.
Nasdaq Daily time frame - Rising wedgeNASDAQ 100 (US100) Analysis - March 31, 2025
Trend & Structure
The chart shows a strong bearish breakdown from a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal formation.
After a sharp decline from all-time highs, price is breaking below key support at 19,921.
The next major support zone is highlighted in purple, around 18,000 - 17,600, which served as a base for the last rally in mid-2024.
Volume Analysis
The volume is increasing on the decline, which confirms strong selling pressure.
If price enters the purple zone, we could see a reaction (either consolidation or bounce).
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels:
19,921 (previous support, now resistance)
20,532 (higher resistance level if a pullback occurs)
Support Levels:
18,800 (current level) - slight reaction zone
18,000 - 17,600 (strong demand zone)
Potential Scenarios
Bearish Continuation: If sellers remain in control, price could fall further into the 18,000 - 17,600 zone, where a potential rebound may occur.
Short-term Pullback: A retracement back to 19,921 (previous support turned resistance) before continuing lower.
Conclusion
Trend is bearish, and further downside is likely unless buyers step in at the highlighted demand zone.
Traders should watch for price action at 18,000 - 17,600 to see if buyers defend this area.
Short-term rallies could be selling opportunities unless price reclaims 19,921.
