Bearish Three DivesBearish pattern hit on the 15 minute. Expecting a drop to 21k. Still bullish on the larger timeframes
USTEC trade ideas
Down, Down Down, Down Down Down This idea tags onto my my other live idea on the Nasdaq (see my linked posts)
As we are still near the TOP as bullish euphoria is still present, I think now would be a good time to put my main POI's for the next 2 months out there:
21000
19300
11800
What are your POIs?
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break : 21740
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21675
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
USTECUSTEC price is near the resistance zone 21776-22139. If the price cannot break through the 22139 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Nas100 1. Determine the Higher Timeframe Bias
Look at Daily & 4H charts.
Identify: Is market forming higher highs/lows (bullish) or lower highs/lows (bearish)?
2. Mark Liquidity Pools
Find equal highs/lows – where smart money will draw price to.
These often act as targets.
3. Find Displacement & Fair Value Gaps
If price made a strong move away from a level (displacement), look for a FVG on 1H/4H/Daily to see if price might retrace before continuing.
4. Use Premium/Discount Tool
From the recent swing high to low (or vice versa), divide the range.
Price in discount = buy zone; in premium = sell zone.
5. Mark Key Session Times
Focus on New York Open (8:30–11:00 am EST) – high-probability moves.
Recession post #9778Trial and error describes my past calls considering there was resistance and pullbacks on the daily tf but this time I'm certain
abso-tut-ely
Posi-tively
Demise
Trumps attempts have played out like a witty protagonist of a finance suspense thriller but that has nothing to do with the historical alignments of boom and bust systems. I think he intended to crash markets so it could recover but I'm not convinced this tank is greater than this
NAS100 - Massive Rejection at Supply Zone! Bearish Setup BrewingPrice has tapped into a clear Supply Zone and is showing signs of distribution.
Bearish divergence forming across momentum indicators (not shown here).
Price has failed to break new highs = Possible double top structure forming.
Arrows indicate potential downside targets if rejection holds.
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💡 Trade Idea:
🎯 Sell Setup: Look for confirmation (e.g., break of short-term support or bearish engulfing) to target 19,185 → 16,948
❌ Invalidate if price breaks and closes above 21,785 with volume
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📢 What do you think? Is NAS100 ready to drop? 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments. 👍 Like & 🔁 Share if you find this helpful! 📈 Follow for more high-probability setups weekly.
#NAS100 #US100 #NASDAQ #TradingView #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #ForexSignals #BearishSetup #MarketAnalysis #SwingTrading #DayTrading #SmartMoney
US 100 SELL
Position opened on US 100 SELL with good risk management and an optimal risk/reward ratio. Targeting a potential breakout, but with a tight stop loss to limit losses.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, every trade carries risks.
NAS100 - Bearish Trend to start SOON !!!!Bearish Indications:
1- Bearish Divergence
2- Formation of Bearish BAT pattern
3- Rising Wedge Pattern
Trade Plan
1- Sell Stop order on LL
2- TPs as defined
A Nasdaq Black Hole - Unprecendented yes, Impossible no Before anyone says anything...yes Elliot Waves are completely subjective BUT IMHO i have drawn these correctly....
The NAS made a violent move from 22100 down 16300 in a very short space of time. So what? It will just make another ATH right?
Well, of course. It almost certainly will, the real question is when. If this pattern plays out, it won't be in 2025.
After every impulse on any timeframe, long or short, you'd naturally expect a pullback.
However, not all pullbacks are the same. Usually, the first significant pullback for a corrective wave is no more than 50%.
However, if you have a pullback that is 61.8% or more, it is usually considered an impulsive wave.
What the difference? Corrective waves have3 waves, ultimately trending in one direction, and impulsive waves have 5 waves trending in one direction.
If the Nasdaq falls beneath 20900, with increasing volume, this will signify confirmation to me at least, that we could be starting one of the most violent impulsive bearish waves in the history of financial markets.
US100 - Triple Top Formation (Bearish Setup Active)he US100 on the 4H chart has formed a classic Triple Top pattern, indicating potential trend exhaustion and a bearish reversal setup. The price has tested the resistance zone three times near 21,600 without breaking higher, and a neckline breakdown may trigger further downside.
🔹 Pattern: Triple Top
🔹 Trend Context: Uptrend showing signs of weakening
🔹 Bearish Target: Near 19,600 - 19,800 zone
🔹 Confirmation: Watch for a breakdown below 20,750 (neckline support)
Trade Idea Active – Bearish bias with caution on invalidation if new highs are made. 📉⚠️
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This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Nasdaq 100 - Bearish Elliott Wave CountThe Nasdaq 100 (NDQ) has a completed extended Elliott five wave Impulse pattern from the 04/07/25 bottom.
Three - hour Stochastic is in the overbought zone and on the verge of a bearish cross.
RSI and MACD have bearish divergences.
A break below the rising trendline could be an important sell signal.
H&S Watch! Pullback Toward 18.4K Likely, POC at 15K is Critical!This chart presents a comprehensive technical and macro assessment of the NASDAQ 100 (US100) using the daily timeframe. The focal point is a developing Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, currently unconfirmed, but well-formed with strong structural and momentum confluence.
🧠 Thought Process & Structure
The chart reveals a potential H&S pattern with the right shoulder forming just below 22,200. While the neckline at 18,400 has not broken yet, several signals support the idea of a short-term pullback:
Bearish RSI divergence from the recent high
Stochastic crossovers on both daily and weekly timeframes from overbought levels
A large unfilled gap near 18,400 that is likely to act as a magnet
Rather than predicting an immediate collapse, this analysis takes a probability-weighted approach and lays out both bullish and bearish outcomes clearly.
📉 Current Expectation: Pullback Toward 18,400
A move toward 18,400 is the base case. This level represents:
The neckline of the H&S structure
The location of Gap Fill Target 2
A prior demand zone from April 2025
A bounce here would not invalidate the pattern but could delay its confirmation. It’s also a valid level for a short-term long trade setup if buyers defend it strongly.
⚠️ Break Below 18,400: POC Zone Becomes Critical
Should 18,400 break decisively, the market could test the Point of Control (POC) around 15,000. This zone:
Has the highest historical volume concentration
Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
Marks the new measured move target of the Head & Shoulders pattern
In short, 15,000 becomes the most critical structural and psychological support. If it fails, deeper risk reopens.
🔻 Deeper Move Scenarios (Now Less Likely)
Previous versions of this chart targeted 10,500. That level is now considered outside the measured move and only becomes viable if:
15,000 fails to hold
Macro conditions deteriorate sharply (e.g., inflation remains sticky, Fed turns hawkish, or recession triggers a risk-off rotation)
At this time, such an extended move is low probability.
📈 Bullish Invalidation
A breakout above 22,200 with strong volume would invalidate the entire bearish pattern. This would suggest bullish continuation and open the door to 24,000 and beyond. This scenario is also plotted on the chart and clearly labeled.
🧭 Trading Plan
Monitor for rejection or bounce at 18,400
If it holds, long opportunity may develop
If it fails, prepare for POC test at 15,000
Only consider deeper targets if breakdown volume is strong
Invalidate bearish outlook if price closes decisively above 22,200
📅 Macro Events to Watch (June–July 2025)
June 6 – Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
June 11 – CPI Report (May)
June 17–18 – FOMC Meeting
June 26 – Final Q1 GDP
June 27 – PCE Inflation
July 3 – June Employment Report
July 15 – June CPI
July 30 – FOMC Meeting #5 & Q2 GDP Advance Estimate
These events could act as triggers for either confirming or invalidating the current technical setup.
✅ Summary
This is a developing setup — not a confirmed breakdown. The current expectation is a pullback toward 18,400, with a potential bounce. If that support fails, the 15,000 POC becomes the key level to watch. The measured move of the H&S pattern now targets 15,000 — not 10,500. Deeper downside should only be considered if strong macro or volume-based catalysts emerge.
This approach allows for flexibility, clarity, and trade planning without bias. Let the chart prove itself — and be ready either way.
Nas100 Monthly textbook Bullish reversalWe've printed a classic bullish reversal. The higher the timeframe the more weight I give to formations.
I believe we are in for a massive exponential move. Works together with my past diamond bottom analysis which safely got us to here.
Risk and reward is yours. This chart tells me to be buying and I am, win or lose 😤 play safe.
nasdaq. a good time to sellIn my view, it’s time to sell the Nasdaq. We’ve reached new highs, and last month was the best May in over 30 years — statistically, this alone calls for caution.
Even though the economy appears strong on the surface, and market fears around DAS and Trump have faded, investors are ignoring the real issue: U.S. public debt. This is the elephant in the room.
With recent labor data pointing toward potential weakness, the risk of a major recession is increasing. If employment starts to deteriorate, the U.S. won’t be able to refinance its ever-growing debt. Trillions in interest payments are coming due soon — around $3 trillion, which is equivalent to the entire Italian public debt. The U.S. needs to roll over roughly a third of its debt, and fast.
Given all this, I don’t see any solid reason to be buying Nasdaq at current levels. It’s rallied extremely fast, and I see a retracement toward 20,000 as a realistic scenario — potentially even lower if upcoming economic data disappoints.
NAS100 Bearish SetupHi there,
NAS100 looks bearish on the M15 timeframe but is currently hovering over a support zone.
The price has a potential bias toward 21,037.9 with two estimated price targets.
Happy Trading,
K.
USTECPrevious analysis on May 30 found that the price came down to test the support level at 20,693 but could not break through. Now the price has returned to test the resistance level at 21,737-22,139 again. If the price cannot break through the level of 22,139, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
NASDAQ100 Analysis – Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! NASDAQ100 Analysis – Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! 🚨
🔍 Chart Breakdown:
This is a technical chart analysis of NASDAQ100 (NAS100) with defined Support and Resistance zones. The price is currently at 21,314.50, sitting below a critical decision area.
🧱 Key Zones:
🔵 Resistance Zone:
‣ 21,640 – 21,800
‣ Strong supply area where price sharply reversed previously.
‣ If price breaks above the mid resistance zone, a bullish move towards this level is likely.
🟩 Support + Resistance Flip Zone:
‣ 21,280 – 21,420
‣ Former support, now acting as resistance.
‣ Price is struggling to reclaim this zone.
‣ Acts as a key decision level.
🟢 Support Zone:
‣ 20,630 – 20,750
‣ Strong demand zone from which previous rallies initiated.
‣ Target if bearish rejection continues.
🔄 Price Action Insight:
Price is currently rejecting the Support-turned-Resistance zone.
There’s a clear bearish rejection at the mid-zone (S/R flip), forming a lower high structure.
📉 A breakdown from current levels could lead to a retest of the support zone at 20,700 area.
🟢 However, a successful reclaim and bullish confirmation above 21,420 could see price target the upper resistance at 21,800.
📌 Outlook:
🔽 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above 21,420 – possible drop to 20,700.
🔼 Bullish Reversal above 21,420 could drive price to 21,800.
📅 Date: June 1, 2025
🕒 Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H chart
💬 “Respect the levels, not the noise.”
Trade safe! ✅
Are we expecting lower prices on NAS100?!Change in order flow from offering higher prices to sellers to low prices to buyers ;)
Stocks on the rise...The NASDAQ is on its way to print a new ATH. Shoutout to the lads still waiting on a 2008-style meltdown.
The NASDAQ Fails to Break Out, Paving the Way for Lower PricesIt looked as though the Nasdaq 100 might break out last week, following a double boost from Nvidia’s surge after its results and news that a federal court had blocked US President Donald Trump’s tariffs. However, those hopes quickly faded, and the Nasdaq promptly reversed course. Now the index finds itself in a precarious position, as it appears to be preparing for a move lower.
The first thing that stands out on the Nasdaq 100 chart is the rejection of the breakout attempt on 29 May. As a result, the Nasdaq may be forming a double top pattern. The pattern still requires confirmation, which would come from a decline below the neckline at 20,900. A break of the neckline could set the stage for a return to the 19,900–20,100 region.
Additionally, the index has broken the uptrend that formed from the intraday lows on 7 April, with the rally on 29 May serving as a re-test of that trendline break. At the same time, momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index, has also reversed direction and is now trending lower, after having risen above 70, indicating the index had become overbought. This further strengthens the case that the Nasdaq is at some form of inflexion point.
One might have thought that two positive news events on the same day would have been enough to generate the momentum needed to push the Nasdaq higher and trigger a breakout. However, the failure to do so raises serious questions about whether the index has the strength required to move higher from here. It now seems more likely that a change in trend is beginning to emerge, and if a double top is forming, a move lower appears increasingly probable.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Clairfication of NDQ Elliott Wave PatternA request was made for clairification of my recent NDQ Elliott wave count.
This is a detailed count of NDQ - Minuette wave (iii).
Bears still are hereWhen we were talking about the negative financial consequences of tariffs and protectionism, the markets were declining — you can check our previous forecasts, we were right.
After that, the markets started to recover from the bear market — it's unclear why, since volatility and Trump’s reckless policies persist.
The coming years, we’re all going to be spending time with the bears. "Buy the dip" and "buy and hold" strategies are, to put it mildly, not the best options this year or next.
Get ready for the next recession.
