this is what june will look likeEveryone thinks the downtrend is over. it's not. the bulls are doomed, we are going to sell off for a year. sorry to be the bearer of bad news.
USTEC trade ideas
NASDAQ: Needs to reclaim the 4H MA50.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.436, MACD = 467.180, ADX = 28.529) as it maintains its long term bullish trend through the Channel Up pattern, which recently is transitioning into a Rising Wedge. We are willing to turn bullish again upon a 4H candle closing over the 4H MA50 and aim for a +11.17% rise (TP = 23,000) on the HH trendline, like the April 21st rebound did.
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NASDAQ got the 4H MA50 confirmation it neededNasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 21 bottom and last week it unfolded its latest technical Bearish Leg.
As the 4H RSI bottomed on the 30.00 oversold barrier and the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross, that Leg bottomed and today the index gave the confirmation of the new Bullish Leg by breaking above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This is similar to the April 21 bottom, so we expect at least a minimum of +9.18% rise on the current Bullish Leg, which gives a 22500 short-term Target.
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US1001. I analyzed the U.S. 100 (Nasdaq) and identified a breakout setup.
2. A buy call was placed after confirmation of the breakout above a key resistance level.
3. Both Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels have been clearly mentioned.
4. The entry was based on a clean breakout with momentum, aligned with the overall trend.
Genius or Just Guessing? NAS100 Setup Has It AllNAS100 has broken its uptrend but still feels bullish overall. The plan? A tactical short on the pullback and a long if it reclaims strength. If both play out, it’s a multi-legged win. If not, it’s a lesson in humility. Here’s how we’re threading the needle with a high-risk/high-reward setup.
Position for a Short-Term Bounce
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ has entered a historically oversold state, presenting
a high-probability opportunity for a short-term rebound. While bearish
signals persist due to recent momentum shifts, long-term institutional
activity indicates underlying support. Traders should look for defensive
buying near support zones to capitalize on upward moves. Critical levels
must be monitored closely for confirmation.
- Price Targets:
- Next Week Targets:
- T1: 21,000
- T2: 21,479
- Stop Levels:
- S1: 20,426
- S2: 20,250
- Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has faced four consecutive days of declines,
breaking below key technical levels that signal bearish pressures. However,
institutional support and broader bullish indicators remain intact, keeping
the index positioned as the strongest major U.S. equity index in the longer
term. Historically oversold conditions provide optimism for a potential
bounce next week.
- Expert Analysis: Despite short-term bearish momentum, expert outlook continues
to align with NASDAQ’s long-term resilience above major moving averages.
Institutional liquidity flow and ongoing interest in technology continue to
support the index, though caution is warranted around immediate support
barriers to avoid deeper pullbacks. Monitoring liquidity gaps is crucial.
- News Impact: NVIDIA earnings are anticipated to be a pivotal event next week
and could drive volatility in NASDAQ tech sectors depending on the outcome.
Elevated volatility levels, as evidenced by the VIX, further warrant caution
while underscoring potential opportunities for rebound plays. Additionally,
NASDAQ’s move to expand zero-day options trading has drawn mixed responses
but could influence short-term speculative activity in its top tech stocks
like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet.
$NDX And The Expanding WedgeNASDAQ:NDX has a lot going for it and plenty of lifechanging money to be made.
As you can see whether you draw a bear flag that is still valid or a large Triangle (also valid) there is an amazing opportunity for profit.
Firth thing to notice other than this triangle is the weakness creeping in at the retest of weekly resistance above. MA angles are starting to cross down and a clear indication of a false breakout is signaling on the CCI.
Keeping in mind that not only on the Futures charts but also on the indexes we have quite a few long distance gaps left open, most notable at 18,300.
Whichever way this triangle breaks, the move will be massive.
Hang on to your butts..
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )Nas100 Chart / Opportunity
🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21300 Zone ( Break Out Done )
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )
are we going ath? let us now~~indices looks green, so we rally?
no trump tariffs?
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NOT financial advice
Nasdaq 100 Heading Downwards on the 1-Hour TimeframeConsidering the positive trend on the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes, and the need for energy to continue the upward movement, along with the fact that the M15 trend was negative, given the pullback in this area, we expect a decline towards the 1-hour low.
Please make sure to maintain a 2% risk of your account balance and do not risk more than that. Always take responsibility for your trades.
Nasdaq Holds Above 21,000 Ahead of NVIDIA EarningsDespite Risk-Off Headlines, Nasdaq Remains Resilient
AI remains embedded in long-term national strategies across 2030 and beyond, which is keeping tech resilient even amid trade uncertainty and weaker economic data. Markets are now eyeing NVIDIA’s earnings on Wednesday. Expectations are high, but the announcement could raise volatility risks, particularly heading into Wednesday evening and Thursday's U.S. market open.
The Nasdaq remains in a bullish zone above the neckline of a double top pattern that formed between December 2024 and February 2025. Price action is currently consolidating between the 21,500 resistance and the 20,800 support.
A clear breakout above 21,500 could push the index toward 22,200 and potentially the next major high near 23,700.
Conversely, a decisive close below 20,800–20,600 would signal increased selling pressure, targeting 19,600 and 19,100.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
US100 INDEX TRADE IDEA 27 MAY 2025The US100 index is currently demonstrating strong bullish momentum, underpinned by both Smart Money Concepts and supportive market fundamentals. From an SMC perspective, the index recently completed a clear shift in market structure following a major sell-side liquidity sweep below the 16,000 region in April. This move tapped into a long-term demand zone and a bullish order block before sharply reversing upward. The subsequent rally broke the previous bearish structure from February to April, indicating a clear change in sentiment and suggesting that institutional players have re-accumulated positions. Price action reinforces this outlook through a breakout from a falling wedge pattern followed by a bullish continuation channel. The current structure shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, with price consolidating just above a key short-term demand zone near the 21,000 mark. This consolidation phase could represent a reaccumulation before a continuation toward the next liquidity targets.
The technical setup suggests a long opportunity with an entry zone between 21,000 and 21,100, targeting the next major resistance levels at 22,134 and 22,524. A protective stop loss can be placed just below the recent swing low or order block around 20,113, ensuring invalidation only if the bullish structure breaks. From a fundamental standpoint, mid-2025 has been favorable to tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, as investors anticipate potential Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year. Inflation has shown signs of easing, and corporate earnings in the tech sector have continued to outperform expectations, boosting investor sentiment. The broader macroeconomic landscape remains supportive, with resilient labor markets and improving risk appetite driving capital back into equities. With these tailwinds and a technically sound chart setup, the US100 presents a compelling swing long opportunity.
NAS100 at Critical Supply Zone – Is a Major Reversal Brewing?The NAS100 (US100) just tapped a key supply zone around 21,250, showing strong signs of overhead resistance. This is the same area that previously triggered sharp rejections – and we’re back there again.
What I'm watching:
Price Action is currently reacting to a visible supply zone (highlighted in blue).
If the market fails to break above 21,250, I expect a potential rejection leading to:
First support zone: 17,064
Second deeper target: 12,588 (strong demand zone highlighted in orange).
Bearish Outlook Triggers:
Daily close below 20,900
Increased sell volume at resistance
Failure to form higher highs
Bullish Invalidator:
Clean breakout and retest above 21,250 with momentum
My Plan:
Watching for short signals near resistance with tight SL above 21,400. TP zones set around 17k and 12.5k if weakness confirms.
Technical Confluence:
Previous highs acting as resistance
Supply & demand zones (LuxAlgo VR)
Bearish divergence forming on RSI (not shown here but visible on lower TFs)
What do you think? Will NAS100 break out or is a deep correction coming?
#US100 #NASDAQ #Indices #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TradingStrategy #ReversalSetup #SmartMoney #BearishBias
NASDAQ SELL OPPORTUNITYSo this is not a signal but a lesson. So my main focus is the gap created by the market on the last 2 Mondays. In most cases the market likes closing the gaps that it creates. So here is a little experiment that I am looking at of whether or not the market proves our hypothesis. Not a signal purely a learning experience.
NAS100 TO THE DOWNSIDEAfter tapping into our orderblock the market broke our bullish trend and retested confirming our sells
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument 37Last week the market created great opportunities for buyers and sellers as there was a high level of volatility and consolidation, so much so that many traders ignored a key element in the movement for NAS100 and that is that with all the selling that took place, the NAS100 index still closed above the previous weeks low and above the lowest point so far of the year...a clear indication that the HL's are still intact.
As I have always said and will continue to say...any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements to form the HL on a larger timeframe. With that being said, any retracement sell that I take is simply to capitalized on the current retracement and to build my account to be able to scale up to a larger lot size.
While many continue to anticipate a sustained drop in the NAS100...A master class in trend movements is currently being prepared and will be executed when the time is right.
For now, I continue to capitalize on this perfect opportunity to take buys and sells in a consolidatory market that clearly is making space for the next move once it completes it's required retracement.
Until such times:
1. I enter on my largest HL
2. Exit on my largest LH (if the market continues to consolidate and wait for the next HL to be
formed for another entry
3. The HH's are guaranteed to come again once the upper level consolidation is broken.
Until then, the retracements provide some very profitable bonus moves once you have an understanding that they will not continue forever.
So for this week...no rush to enter any buys without proper confirmation.
My original level is 20,667.9, however my if I get a confirmation before that level is touched then the buys will resume for me.
Have a great week and happy trading.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
#oneauberstrategy
US100 4HAs expected from last week’s analysis , the market reacted and dropped.
Right now, multiple scenarios can play out, but based geometric analysis, the most likely one is a continuation of the bearish structure unless 21200 is broken.
Confirmation for further downside is a clean break below 20770.
Failure to break this level would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Downside targets:
20500
20330
20000
If there’s strong selling pressure, even a deeper correction toward 19000 is possible — but only valid if price returns with strong bullish rejection.
Otherwise, holding below 19000 would confirm a deeper bearish move (which I personally don’t expect for now).
NASDAQ US 100 - SHORT IDEAAfter a strong rejection from the top at 21480... the price dropped below our upward trend line, now I expect the price below 21,000
ENTRY ZONE: 21.100 A 21200
TAKE PROFIT 1: 20.650
TAKE PROFIT 2: 20.280
STOP LOSS: 21.350
NASS100NASS100 BEARISH REVRSAL IN H4
break the double top
retest the 0.61% fib golden level
on double top there is also bearish divergence
it is the sign for reversal
3 sign for reversal
1 double top
2 break the last HL and formed new LL
3 retest the golden 0.61% fib level
NASDAQ 100 Setup After Bearish Pullback. My Bullish Game Plan!🚀 NASDAQ US100 Update – Key Levels I'm Watching 💡📈
Looking at the NAS100 right now, we’ve seen a strong rally kick off after the weekend 📊🔥 — this comes on the back of an aggressive bearish pullback last week 📉.
📌 My bias is bullish, but with a condition: I want to see price retrace into the 10-minute fair value gap and hold above the previous low 🧠🔍.
If we get a clean pullback, followed by a continuation with higher highs and higher lows, I’ll be watching closely for the first bullish break after that next pullback — that’s where I’d look to position long 🐂📈.
🛑 Not financial advice.
👇 Drop a comment if you're watching these levels too!
NASDAQ100 (US100) – Supply Zone Rejection in Play?Fundamental
Despite strong earnings from big tech and resilient economic data, concerns around Fed’s hawkish tone and sticky inflation are resurfacing. Rate cut expectations are being pushed further out, weighing on high-growth sectors like tech.
Technical
The index is testing a key supply zone between 21,380–21,420, aligned with previous highs and fib levels (0.618–0.786). Volume is thinning above, and momentum (Stoch RSI) shows early signs of bearish divergence.
Trade Setup (Short-biased)
- Entry: If price rejects the 21,380–21,420 zone. Before entering, make sure you see bearish pressure first. Like strong red candle on 1h, 2h time frame.
- First Take Profit 1: 20,600
- Second Take Profit 2: 20,000
Follow me for updates on entry confirmation, scaling strategies, and live adjustments.
Thank you
Nasdaq trading insights: 26-May-2025Nasdaq trading insights: Not signals, but informative zones to aid your decision-making. Please note: These zones are not trading advice. Use them as a starting point for your own analysis.
