NAS100 - Priming to SHORTDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Rising Wedge - Bullish Exhaustion Pattern
"SHORT" Targets:
1] 20740.00
2] 20200.00
Fundamentally:
If I was an institutional Invester and/or hedge fund manager with
100's of millions in US stocks. Considering the geopolitical tensions at the moment.
I will move the largest percentage of my portfolio to safe
haven $-bonds and/or commodities like GOLD.
But that's just me...
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
USTEC trade ideas
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 19 June 2025- Nasdaq-100 reversed from long-term resistance level 22000.00
- Likely to fall to support level 21000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed down from the major long-term resistance level 22000.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of last year).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 22000.00 will form the weekly Shooting Star candlesticks reversal pattern if the price closes this week near the current levels.
Given the strength of the resistance level 22000.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level at 21000.00.
USNAS100 -Risk-Off Sentiment Keeps USNAS100 in Bearish TerritoryUSNAS100 – Bearish Momentum Holds as Traders Watch Geopolitical Risks and Fed Signals
The NASDAQ (USNAS100) remains under pressure as market sentiment stays cautious amid ongoing Middle East tensions and uncertainty ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve outlook. While the geopolitical escalation has not triggered panic, it continues to weigh on risk appetite—particularly in tech-heavy indices.
Technical Outlook:
The price currently appears to be heading toward 21635. A 1H close below this level is expected to confirm further downside toward 21470.
A break below the key support zone could open the door to the next bearish leg targeting 21065.
To shift the structure to bullish, the price would need a confirmed 4H candle close above the 21790–21850 resistance zone.
Key Levels:
• Support: 21635, 21470, 21375
• Resistance: 21930, 22090, 22200
Nasdaq must hold its line, otherwise more downsideMarkets are on edge. The Nasdaq is hovering just above its 200-day moving average and with so much angst in the market, this line must hold. If it breaks, risk sentiment could unravel quickly, and we could see a retest of recent 2025 lows.
The trigger isn’t hard to find. Rising tensions in the Middle East are putting upward pressure on oil and energy. A sustained rally in crude would reignite inflation fears just as central banks begin easing. Powell was supposed to start cutting, but wars are always complicated.
Higher energy costs hit consumers, slow growth and force policymakers to rethink their next moves. That’s a headwind for tech and growth names.
Equities have enjoyed a solid run this year, pricing in a soft landing. But that assumption now feels shaky. Particularly for risky assets like the Nasdaq. The Dow might do better relative. The market isn’t just worried about geopolitics. It’s digesting the reality that inflation remains sticky. Bond yields are rising. Rate cuts are being pushed back. And oil isn’t helping.
If the Nasdaq holds its 200-day line, the bulls stay in control. But a break below will shift the momentum. That’s why this week matters.
We’re watching a simple but powerful signal. Stay above 20,500 and markets can stabilise. Break below, and volatility returns.
This trade is only for the brave. The story is shifting. Stay alert.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to the money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history. Despite the significant amount of money pumped in during the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy has not kept pace with all the zeros added to Gov debt.
If we can't lower deficits now at max employment, when will we?
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
Click like Follow Subscribe, let's get to 5,000 followers.
NASDAQ Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 21,700 zone, NASDAQ was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 21,700 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21810
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21640
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Triple Top Trouble? NAS100 May Be Losing SteamThe NAS100 has formed a potential triple top, and key trendlines are starting to break to the downside. This could signal a short-term correction before bulls attempt another push for new highs. A temporary drop might offer a better long setup if momentum resets.
NAS100 Potential ReversalHi there,
The NAS100 is slightly bullish and fairly stagnant. It is consolidating between two key levels (orange lines). A break below the price might fall into deeper demand zones.
Short Notes
- **Elliott Wave**: 5-wave structure appears complete at resistance (22,137.8), signalling a possible reversal.
- **Liquidity Zones**: Price is at/near a major liquidity zone, increasing reversal risk.
- **Break High**: There's a potential for a false breakout above wave 5 before dropping.
- **Support Levels**: The 21,800.6 (previous day high) and 21,146.2 (previous day low) for first support.
- **Demand Zones**: Strong demand below 21,146.2, with deeper support near 20,000 and 18,800.
- **Overview: A possible bearish move ahead from current highs, targeting lower demand zones.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
USNAS100 - Mideast Conflict & Fed Uncertainty Pressure FuturesWall Street Futures Edge Lower Amid Prolonged Mideast Conflict
U.S. stock index futures slipped slightly on Tuesday as the ongoing Middle East conflict entered its fifth day, weighing on global sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting.
Technical Outlook:
Price action remains in a sensitive zone, but the bias stays bearish below 21930.
🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 21790 would likely trigger a deeper move toward 21635, and potentially 21470.
🔺 On the upside, a break above 21930 would indicate renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 22065 and 22200.
📌 If price holds above 21790, a test of 21930 is likely.
Any positive geopolitical developments or ceasefire negotiations could spark a stronger upside move.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 21790
• Resistance: 21930 / 22065 / 22200
• Support: 21635 / 21470 / 21375
NASDAQ Analysis Stalking shorts on the Daily - nearby.
My weekly sentiment is bearish cause of technical factors.
Among the catalysts is bullish performance on the US Dollar index and price action compared to the US30 & US500.
Look to sell near 4H swing high, entry using the 15M bearish ChoCh only after three legs of bullish correction on the 1H frame into the highlighted levels of the swing high.
Anticipation is for the third leg to react bearish and the fourth leg to deliver impulse to the sell side.
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) daily analysis Distribution & Accumulation Zone🧭 CAPITALCOM:US100
Market Interpretation & Scenarios
🟢 Accumulation Zone (Demand / Buy-Side Liquidity)
21,640–21,720 region
• Strong buying reaction post-CHoCH + bullish BOS.
• Green FVG + “Long” entry = Smart Money likely accumulating.
• Price made a new HH and is now retracing into the gray FVG & BB zone.
• 🔍 If 21,800–21,775 holds, price may push higher and retest or break 21,960.
• 🎯 Upside Targets: 22,000–22,050 (next liquidity grab).
🔴 Distribution Zone (Supply / Sell-Side Liquidity)
21,920–21,960 region
• Premium zone where HH formed, followed by retracement.
• Red FVG + rejection = Smart Money potentially distributing.
• Failure to close above suggests a temporary distribution range.
• ❗️ If gray FVG breaks down, expect a drop toward green FVG (~21,680) or lower.
• A CHoCH near 21,775 would confirm a bearish shift in structure
FOMC short: waiting for this short entry to get activated.1. Entry ~21,884.4
Why here? Price has rallied into that red “supply” zone (fair-value gap + bearish order block), then chopped down and back up to retest its lower edge. That level also coincides with the broken swing pivot (Change-of-Character from bull→bear). We short the retest, expecting supply to push price lower.
2. Stop-loss 21,912.0
Why there? Just above the top of the supply zone/weak high. If price climbs above 21,912, it’s cleared the zone and negated the bearish bias—so we get out.
3. Take-Profits
TP1 at 21,800.9 (the old swing-high turned support, labeled “PMH”)
First support zone—locks in quick gains and covers your risk.
TP2 at 21,675.0 (the previous day’s low, labeled “PDL”)
A deeper support area where sellers will likely pause or flip to buyers.
(Optional TP3 at 21,575.8 if you want a final scalp into the gray “equilibrium”/demand zone.)
NSDQ100 Geopolitics, Fed & Rates Outlook Geopolitics & Market Sentiment
Iran-Israel conflict enters its sixth day, raising fears of broader escalation.
Speculation is building that Donald Trump may authorize the use of the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (bunker-buster bomb) to target Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Trump is also meeting with Pakistan’s army chief today for talks on Iran, adding to geopolitical uncertainty.
So far, Iran’s oil infrastructure remains intact, and Hezbollah has stayed out of the conflict, limiting immediate economic fallout.
Fed & Rates Outlook
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady today as it waits for clearer economic signals amid ongoing Trump policy shifts.
Trump is pressuring the Fed, now arguing for lower rates to cut US debt costs.
Traders are building record positions betting on a dovish Fed shift after Powell's term ends in May 2026.
Market Implications for NSDQ100
Nasdaq futures are mildly positive, supported by:
Stability in tech earnings outlook
Expectations of Fed staying on hold, with a possible dovish bias emerging
However, Middle East tensions remain a risk. Any strike on oil infrastructure or major military escalation could:
Trigger a risk-off move
Push oil prices higher, raising inflation concerns
Weigh on tech stocks sensitive to rate outlooks and sentiment
Key Focus for Nasdaq Traders Today:
Fed decision and Powell’s tone (especially on inflation and growth risks)
Headlines from the Middle East
Oil price action near the five-month high (WTI around $73.50–$74)
Resistance Level 1: 22070
Resistance Level 2: 22370
Resistance Level 3: 22780
Support Level 1: 21300
Support Level 2: 21060
Support Level 3: 20820
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
2 Scenarios1) You close above that weekly to make a 1,2 for the weekly elliot.
2) You close below that March 31st weekly, making the corrective wave not just 3), but a),b),c).
But no matter what, at the end of the day I am still eyeing for a close above the historic high during 2021 November/December zone.
Great set up from crazy low DXY, very overvalued Eurozone equities, and also a corrective wave for the global index including the US equities.
NADSDAQ BULLISH SETUP FOR THE WEEKTrade Idea: NASDAQ100 Long Bias (Weekly Setup)
Market Narrative:
The NASDAQ remains bullish across the quarterly, monthly, and weekly timeframes, supported by a strong market structure and ongoing macro sentiment. On Monday, we observed significant bullish displacement, confirming institutional interest and directional intent.
Tuesday Outlook:
A retracement is expected on Tuesday, potentially forming the weekly low. Ideal entries will form around liquidity runs on Asia session lows, offering a high-probability long setup if price reacts bullishly from that zone.
Entry Zone:
Optimal Buy Zone: From 21,700 and below, ideally after a liquidity sweep below Asia session lows or into a previous demand block.
Watch for bullish order flow or market structure shift confirmation around this zone before entering.
Stop Loss:
21,525 (below the liquidity run and protected low)
Take Profit:
Open Target: The market is poised to break all-time highs, so targets should trail based on structure. Consider:
TP1: 22,150 (Previous swing high)
TP2: 22,400+ (Discovery zone / ATH breakout)
Use trailing stop or structure-based exits beyond TP1.
Confluences:
Bullish displacement on higher timeframes
Weekly low likely to form Tuesday
Asia session liquidity below current price
Strong institutional flow into tech
Risk Management:
Risk only 1% of account equity per trade
Position sizing based on entry and SL distance