NASDAQ - Long now!⚡️ NAS100 15-Min Reversal Signal – Caught the Bottom?
The ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION indicator just printed a clean BUY signal on NAS100 after a strong sell-off into new session lows.
📉 Price had already extended far from structure
📈 RSI momentum began shifting and reversed sharply
✅ Volume spike and RSI reversal confluence added weight to the signal
📍 These types of signals are designed to catch mean reversion moves — especially powerful when price accelerates into extremes and the candle closes with absorption.
🎯 Remember: the signal is plotted on the close of the bar, meaning it doesn’t repaint and allows for real-time decision-making with a clear stop-loss just below the low.
💡 Watch for a potential retrace toward structure or session VWAP.
USTEC trade ideas
NASDAQStable bullish bias—large speculators are neither aggressively piling in nor stepping back.
Lack of a sharp position shift suggests the market is in consolidation or mild uptrend rather than a strong breakout.
Watch for fresh breakout above recent highs or shakeouts below support to confirm a shift in direction.
Bias: Slight bullish.
Turn Your Chart – Turn Your ViewCurious about tricking your trading mind?
A lot of traders are constantly searching for new indicators or secret setups. But what if your biggest breakthrough is just a perspective shift away—literally?
This article is about a unique but effective experiment: Rotate your candlestick chart by 90 degrees (horizontal instead of vertical) and see how your perception and analysis change.
Example: ibb.co
No, this isn’t a volume profile – this is the real NAS100 chart, just rotated by 90°!
What do you see now? New patterns? Different price action? Sometimes a fresh angle reveals details you normally overlook and helps break your trading habits.
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What changes?
1. Patterns suddenly look different
Trends, consolidations, and breakouts appear in a new light:
– Uptrends and downtrends lose their emotional “up feels hard, down feels easy” effect.
– Sideways markets become vertical clusters—your eye spots new structures.
2. Support & resistance become less dominant
Your classic support and resistance zones disappear.
You’re forced to rethink important levels—maybe you’ll notice supply/demand zones you always missed.
3. Emotional neutrality
With a rotated chart, the usually existing “Long is better” bias fades.
You view price action more objectively—and may discover signals you’d otherwise miss.
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Try it out!
What did you discover by rotating your chart? Comment below or share your thoughts!
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21930
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21770
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Nasdaq EMA and FVG AnalysisThe EMA 50 on the hourly chart at 21,810 has been an area of support. Breaking down blow this level will send the price searching for EMA 200 at 21,740. Above 21,900 there is an FVG from earlier today and breaking through the upper bound at 21,940 will likely send the price upwards beyond yesterday's swing high.
NASDAQ 100 Bullish Breakout Potential: What to Watch NextI'm currently monitoring the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) very closely. Building on yesterday’s outlook, we've now seen a clear bullish structural shift — price is holding firm above a recent higher high and higher low, suggesting the early stages of a potential trend continuation 📈
Zooming into the 30-minute chart, we can track price action more precisely. I’m watching for a decisive break above the current range high on this timeframe. If we get the break → retest → rejection pattern, this would confirm bullish momentum and provide a long opportunity 🚀
Should this scenario play out, we could also see JPY pairs strengthen to the upside, as a risk-on sentiment flows through the markets 🧭
🔍 This setup is developing — as always, patience and precision are key.
NAS - ACTIVE TRADE COMMUNITY - PLEASE BRING TO THE MOONTeam, we have successfully trade both LIVE trading on UK100 short yesterday and LONG both NAS AND DOWN yesterday.
Today we are entry small portion LONG for NAS.
WILL DOUBLE LONG if market drop low at 21650-21600
Target 1 - at 21850-21875
TAKE 50-70% volume on profit and bring stop loss to BE once target 1 hit
Target 2 remaining at 21900-21950
GOOD LUCK AND LET KILL THE BEAST TOGETHER
An update on my NAS100 trade idea I shared over the weekend.I analyzed over the weekend and ended up breaking down a weak high, my mistake was not considering some of the information the chart was communicating at that time.
I ended up not getting any entry opportunity on the POI I was targeting. As I was waiting, I noticed I was looking for entry on the push of a weak high which was now acting as an inducement then reevaluated my analysis and noticed price was going to look for liquidity above that weak high.
NAS100 live trade execution 10k profit and breakdown Seven fundamentals for the week: Iran-Israel war, Fed to fire up tariff-troubled markets
Premium
When will the Fed cut interest rates? That question competes with the Israel-Iran war and the fate of the tariffs America slaps on its peers. US retail sales and interest rate decisions in Japan and the UK keep things lively as well.
NASDAQ Analysis: Navigating Uncertainty in a Shifting LandscapeThe NASDAQ has been on a rollercoaster ride lately 🎢, reflecting both global macro shifts and sector-specific dynamics. After dipping into bear market territory earlier in the year, the index has rebounded strongly, powered by mega-cap tech and the ongoing AI boom 🤖. However, the mood remains cautious as investors weigh political and economic cross-currents. Note how price action is stalling at the current level.
Fundamentals & Earnings 💼
Earnings Resilience: Q1 2025 earnings for NASDAQ heavyweights were robust, with tech giants posting double-digit growth. Yet, forward guidance is more muted, as companies brace for the impact of higher tariffs and global supply chain adjustments.
Valuations: The recent rally has pushed forward P/E ratios well above long-term averages, making the market more sensitive to any negative surprises 📈.
AI & Innovation: Capital expenditure on AI is set to exceed$300 billion this year, keeping the sector in the spotlight and fueling optimism for long-term growth.
Political & Geopolitical Factors 🌍
Trade Policy: The U.S. and China have agreed to a temporary pause on new tariffs, easing some immediate concerns. However, the average effective tariff rate remains much higher than last year, and uncertainty lingers as legal challenges and further negotiations loom.
Fiscal Policy: U.S. deficit worries are back in focus, with new legislation projected to add trillions to the national debt over the next decade. This has contributed to higher Treasury yields and a weaker dollar 💵.
Global Competition: International equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the past six months, but history suggests this may be stretched, and a reversal could be on the horizon.
Market Sentiment & Technicals 📊
Volatility: While volatility has eased from its spring highs, sentiment remains fragile. Consumer and business confidence indices are at multi-year lows, even as hard economic data (like jobless claims) remains resilient.
Sector Rotation: Growth and cyclical sectors—especially tech, consumer discretionary, and industrials—have led the rebound, but investors are increasingly selective, favoring companies with strong fundamentals and global reach.
Outlook: The NASDAQ is cautiously optimistic for the second half of 2025. The market is pricing in a couple of Fed rate cuts by year-end, but the path forward depends on inflation trends, trade clarity, and corporate earnings.
Key Takeaways 🚦
The NASDAQ is in recovery mode, but faces headwinds from trade policy, fiscal uncertainty, and stretched valuations.
Political developments—especially around tariffs and fiscal policy—will be key drivers of volatility.
Long-term, the AI and tech innovation wave remains a powerful tailwind, but near-term caution is warranted.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets are volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NAS100 - Stock market awaits an important week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. If it does not rise again above the broken trend line, I expect a correction.
If the index returns above the broken trend line, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded on the Nasdaq. It is better to wait for confirmation on the breakout in order to control further risk.
Last week, U.S. stock markets—particularly the Nasdaq index—experienced significant volatility, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical factors:
• A reduction in trade tensions due to ongoing U.S.-China negotiations
• The release of inflation indicators
• Heightened geopolitical tensions
According to Politico, as G7 leaders meet in Canada, the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran will top the agenda. Politico reported that leaders of the free world have gathered in the Rocky Mountains to discuss the very real threat of a full-scale war in the Middle East. The initial sessions of the G7 summit will take place in Kananaskis, where the worsening Israel-Iran conflict will be the primary focus. Donald Trump, who in recent days has fueled tensions through social media, is now expected to join discussions aimed at de-escalation.
On the economic front, lower-than-expected inflation in May could encourage the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner than markets had previously anticipated. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that inflation rose 2.4% in May compared to a year earlier. Housing costs were identified as the primary driver of this inflation, while price increases in categories most affected by high tariffs were not as pronounced as economists had expected. So far this year, the Fed has refrained from cutting its benchmark interest rate, citing concerns that tariffs might push consumer prices higher. While the likelihood of a rate cut at this week’s meeting remains low, the latest report could ease some of these worries and accelerate the timeline for potential cuts.
Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that a growing group of President Trump’s advisers is urging him to consider Besant for the Fed chair position. Jerome Powell’s current term extends until May 2026, and he was originally nominated by Trump in November 2017. Other names reportedly under consideration include Kevin Warsh (considered a favored candidate), Kevin Hassett (head of the White House National Economic Council), Christopher Waller (a current Fed board member), and David Malpass (former World Bank president).
After a week dominated by U.S. inflation data, investor attention in the coming days will shift toward central bank decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates. The trading week kicks off Monday with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an initial snapshot of the industrial sector in New York. Later that day, the Bank of Japan will announce its first interest rate decision, an event that could shape Asian market trends and the yen’s valuation.
On Tuesday, May’s U.S. retail sales data will be released—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness in this report could bolster expectations for rate cuts. Wednesday will be the focal point of the week, as the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. While markets have already priced in a pause in tightening, investors will scrutinize Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the likelihood of rate cuts in the months ahead. Additionally, data on May housing starts and weekly jobless claims will also be released that day.
On Thursday, with U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth, attention will turn to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Changes in tone or interest rates from these key European central banks could influence currency market volatility. Finally, the week will conclude Friday with the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index—a leading indicator closely watched by traders for insights into the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. East.
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR