Smart money NASDAQ analysis
🚦 SMART MONEY SIGNAL – NASDAQ H4
You're on the 4-hour (H4) timeframe.
Price tapped the 200 EMA (white line) — commonly seen as a Smart Money Demand Zone.
Strong bullish candle formed = possible rejection from an institutional level.
RSI at 47 = neutral zone, still room to go higher.
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📊 Smart Money Interpretation:
🟢 Market Structure:
Liquidity sweep below (stop-loss hunt under 200 EMA).
Bullish rejection candle = clear sign of Smart Money involvement.
🔻 Liquidity Grab:
Price broke the recent low then quickly reversed = manipulation phase complete.
Likely H4 Bullish Order Block formed (area of institutional buying).
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✅ Entry Signal (Buy Setup)
🔹 Direction: Buy / Long
🔹 Entry Zone (Buy Limit):
🔸 Between 21,650 and 21,680
🔹 Stop Loss:
🔸 Just below the wick = 21,570
🔹 Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 21,900
TP2: 22,000
> Targeting imbalance fill + possible structure break
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 to 1:3 (solid for Smart Money setups)
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🔁 Entry Confirmation (Lower Timeframe):
Wait for price to pull back into the H4 Order Block.
Look for M15 or M5 bullish reaction (pin bar or bullish engulfing).
RSI > 50 on M30 or H1 = momentum confirmation
🧠 Pro Tip (Smart Money Style):
Draw the H4 Order Block (last bearish candle before the move up). If price returns to this area and shows a strong bullish reaction — you’ve got a high-probability institutional entry. Talion-promosale
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USTEC trade ideas
NASDAQ - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25On the NQ around 21,638, I’d estimate roughly:
Rally up through 22,248 first ~60%
Slide down through 21,024 first ~40%
Why?
Up-trend bias: Since the April low (≈16,000), the market has been in a strong rally, clearing multiple interim highs.
Resistance vs. support: 22,248 has capped rallies twice (Jan & Feb), so a break would be bullish but not guaranteed. Meanwhile 21,024 flipped to support in late May.
Momentum: The recent pullback from 22,000 was shallow, and daily MACD/RSI remain in bullish territory, suggesting a higher chance to retest the upper line before failing.
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR
NAS100\ Bullish Play DevelopingNasdaq holds a strong bullish structure on the 4H, so I moved down to the 15-minute for a cleaner bird’s-eye view of price action. Liquidity was swept directly into a refined order block — a precise tap that validated the zone.
Price is now hovering around a 5-minute OB. Just observing and letting the market unfold.
Discipline and patience — that’s where the edge is.
— Inducement King 👑
Bless Trading!
Venta en Nasdaq impulsada por volatilidad macroeconómicaThe Nasdaq presents a technical short opportunity following a strong reaction to volatility triggered by recent macroeconomic events. This pressure has activated a risk-off environment, with capital flowing out of tech assets into safe havens like the dollar or bonds.
The price is respecting a bearish structure on higher timeframes and, after a technical pullback into supply zones, rejection is confirmed with volume and reversal candlesticks. I expect bearish continuation as long as key levels remain intact and macro uncertainty persists.
📍 Trade based on price action and fundamental context.
⚠️ Risk is managed according to the trading plan, adjustable based on macro developments.
NSDQ100 uptrend consolidation supported at 21300Markets Rattled After Israel Strikes Iran
Israel launched major airstrikes on Iran, targeting nuclear and missile sites, as well as top military leaders. The move sharply escalates tensions in the Middle East and came despite warnings from former President Donald Trump, who was told of the attack only shortly beforehand. He later warned Iran that future strikes would be “even more brutal” if no deal is made.
Market Reaction:
Oil jumped up to 13% on fears of supply disruptions.
Gold climbed as investors rushed to safe-haven assets.
Stock futures and crypto fell on rising geopolitical risk.
The U.S. dollar dipped, then rebounded, as its role as a safe-haven asset came into focus.
Other Key Updates:
Trump wins court backing to keep troops in Los Angeles amid ongoing protests. A hearing is set for Tuesday.
Meta invests billions in Scale AI, bringing on its CEO to boost efforts in building artificial general intelligence. Meta is aggressively hiring top AI talent from firms like Google.
For Traders:
Watch oil and gold closely for continued volatility.
Safe-haven flows could drive further USD and gold moves.
Meta’s AI push may influence tech sector sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 22070
Resistance Level 2: 22370
Resistance Level 3: 22680
Support Level 1: 21300
Support Level 2: 21060
Support Level 3: 20820
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Nasdaq-100 H1 | Swing-low support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,479.25 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,320.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 21,721.90 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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NAS - LOOKING FOR RECOVERTeam This morning we got out of beautiful SHORT on UK100
Market dumping hard due to ISRAEL'S and Iran
However we expect market to be recover during UK market opening
Please follow the price accordingly to the chart
Once it reach 1st target, take 50-70% profit reduce the volume and bring stop loss to BE
LET'S GO.
USTECPrevious analysis on May 30 found that the price came down to test the support level at 20,693 but could not break through. Now the price has returned to test the resistance level at 21,737-22,139 again. If the price cannot break through the level of 22,139, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
ICT cheat code 15 minutes strategy using frankfort timeThis is the guideline on how to use the strategy
1.Identify accunilation ,minipulation
2.Use 06:00 to 07:00 for entry point
3.Identify either a ifvg or fvg
4.Enter at the specific time stated.
5.Target 2 takeprofits 200 pips and 300 pips
Use as stated ill be active and post at those times to show prove of strategy
SNIPER Smart money NASDAQ
🟢 Smart Money Sniper Analysis – NASDAQ (US100) H4
✒️ By Talion-Promosale
📅 June 12, 2025
🔹 Current Price: 21,867
🔹 RSI(14): 52.49 (neutral to slightly bullish momentum)
🔹 Market Structure: Bullish – price forming higher lows above key EMAs
🔹 Price is above the 200 EMA (white), and testing the 50 EMA (red)
🔹 Smart Money Zone: Last bullish order block between 21,700 – 21,740
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🎯 Trading Signal – BUY (Smart Money Sniper Setup)
Sniper Entry Zone: 21,700 – 21,740 (Bullish Order Block + dynamic EMA support)
Confirmation Entry: Above 21,870
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 22,000
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 22,150
Stop Loss (SL): 21,620
💡 Context:
Price action remains bullish, supported by the 200 EMA and a clean rejection near the 50 EMA. RSI is above 50, indicating potential for upward continuation. The Smart Money zone between 21,700 and 21,740 serves as an ideal sniper re-entry area.
If price re-tests this order block with bullish rejection candles, it presents a high-probability buy opportunity. A break and close above 21,870 confirms momentum toward 22,000 and higher.
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⛔ Invalidation:
A strong bearish close below 21,620 on the H4 chart would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USTEC is rising toward the pivot, which serves as a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could indicate a double top pattern, potentially leading to a price drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 22,270.83
1st Support: 21,142.23
1st Resistance: 23,070.85
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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