Nasdaq scenario 30/05/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a bearish scenario.
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna antsanaw hboot
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals
NAS100 trade ideas
USTECUSTEC price is near the resistance zone 21776-22139. If the price cannot break through the 22139 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
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NAS100 TO THE DOWNSIDEAfter tapping into our orderblock the market broke our bullish trend and retested confirming our sells
US100 - Bullish Momentum Favors Upside ContinuationThe US Tech 100 is displaying strong bullish momentum after successfully breaking above the critical resistance level at 20,659.8, which had previously acted as a significant barrier. Currently trading at 21,316 the index has demonstrated impressive upward trajectory following what appears to be a healthy consolidation phase around the key resistance-turned-support zone. The technical setup strongly favors continuation to the upside as the higher probability scenario, with the breakout above 20,659.8 potentially opening the door for further gains toward higher resistance levels. However, prudent risk management suggests taking this rally piece by piece, monitoring how price action develops at each significant level while watching for any signs of exhaustion or pullback that might offer better entry opportunities. The bullish bias remains intact as long as the index maintains its position above the former resistance level, which should now serve as dynamic support for any potential retracements.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nasdaq 100 Heading Downwards on the 1-Hour TimeframeConsidering the positive trend on the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes, and the need for energy to continue the upward movement, along with the fact that the M15 trend was negative, given the pullback in this area, we expect a decline towards the 1-hour low.
Please make sure to maintain a 2% risk of your account balance and do not risk more than that. Always take responsibility for your trades.
Nasdaq breaks uptrendline and consolidating in narrow zoneNasdaq breaks uptrendline and consolidating in narrow zone
NASDAQ Markup- Not in the Trade, But the Lesson's ClearDidn’t take this one—not trading NASDAQ right now—but I still mapped it out from the 30M perspective just to stay sharp.
4H gave bullish intent after breaking the major macro LH, so I followed the flow.
Saw a clean 30M inducement sweep, price then mitigated internal structure OB, and I marked exactly where I would’ve entered with LTF confirmation.
Didn’t trade it, but the logic’s there—and if you’ve been watching… you already know what it’s doing now. 🧠📈
Every setup teaches something.
– Inducement King
Bless Trading!
4hr break and retestgoing long here, price action is nice and simple
i am aiming for a 50 percent retracement to or close to the gerneral price action where it has previously broke out
NAS100 ANALYSIS Nas100 has the same sentiment as SPX500 .....Im expecting price to take out the lows first but better to be patient than to predict and gamble !!!
Since there is no bullish commitmentThen this a short, has been since days ago. yet we gotta get some discounts, why not, cheap prices. I guess.
Nasdaq trading insights: 26-May-2025Nasdaq trading insights: Not signals, but informative zones to aid your decision-making. Please note: These zones are not trading advice. Use them as a starting point for your own analysis.
Position for a Short-Term Bounce
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ has entered a historically oversold state, presenting
a high-probability opportunity for a short-term rebound. While bearish
signals persist due to recent momentum shifts, long-term institutional
activity indicates underlying support. Traders should look for defensive
buying near support zones to capitalize on upward moves. Critical levels
must be monitored closely for confirmation.
- Price Targets:
- Next Week Targets:
- T1: 21,000
- T2: 21,479
- Stop Levels:
- S1: 20,426
- S2: 20,250
- Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has faced four consecutive days of declines,
breaking below key technical levels that signal bearish pressures. However,
institutional support and broader bullish indicators remain intact, keeping
the index positioned as the strongest major U.S. equity index in the longer
term. Historically oversold conditions provide optimism for a potential
bounce next week.
- Expert Analysis: Despite short-term bearish momentum, expert outlook continues
to align with NASDAQ’s long-term resilience above major moving averages.
Institutional liquidity flow and ongoing interest in technology continue to
support the index, though caution is warranted around immediate support
barriers to avoid deeper pullbacks. Monitoring liquidity gaps is crucial.
- News Impact: NVIDIA earnings are anticipated to be a pivotal event next week
and could drive volatility in NASDAQ tech sectors depending on the outcome.
Elevated volatility levels, as evidenced by the VIX, further warrant caution
while underscoring potential opportunities for rebound plays. Additionally,
NASDAQ’s move to expand zero-day options trading has drawn mixed responses
but could influence short-term speculative activity in its top tech stocks
like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet.
$NDX And The Expanding WedgeNASDAQ:NDX has a lot going for it and plenty of lifechanging money to be made.
As you can see whether you draw a bear flag that is still valid or a large Triangle (also valid) there is an amazing opportunity for profit.
Firth thing to notice other than this triangle is the weakness creeping in at the retest of weekly resistance above. MA angles are starting to cross down and a clear indication of a false breakout is signaling on the CCI.
Keeping in mind that not only on the Futures charts but also on the indexes we have quite a few long distance gaps left open, most notable at 18,300.
Whichever way this triangle breaks, the move will be massive.
Hang on to your butts..
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument 37Last week the market created great opportunities for buyers and sellers as there was a high level of volatility and consolidation, so much so that many traders ignored a key element in the movement for NAS100 and that is that with all the selling that took place, the NAS100 index still closed above the previous weeks low and above the lowest point so far of the year...a clear indication that the HL's are still intact.
As I have always said and will continue to say...any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements to form the HL on a larger timeframe. With that being said, any retracement sell that I take is simply to capitalized on the current retracement and to build my account to be able to scale up to a larger lot size.
While many continue to anticipate a sustained drop in the NAS100...A master class in trend movements is currently being prepared and will be executed when the time is right.
For now, I continue to capitalize on this perfect opportunity to take buys and sells in a consolidatory market that clearly is making space for the next move once it completes it's required retracement.
Until such times:
1. I enter on my largest HL
2. Exit on my largest LH (if the market continues to consolidate and wait for the next HL to be
formed for another entry
3. The HH's are guaranteed to come again once the upper level consolidation is broken.
Until then, the retracements provide some very profitable bonus moves once you have an understanding that they will not continue forever.
So for this week...no rush to enter any buys without proper confirmation.
My original level is 20,667.9, however my if I get a confirmation before that level is touched then the buys will resume for me.
Have a great week and happy trading.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
#oneauberstrategy
US1OO SHORT TRADE IDEA Chart Breakdown:
1. Trendline Break:
A clear uptrend was in place, supported by the ascending blue trendline.
The price broke below this trendline, suggesting a potential reversal or correction.
After the break, price attempted to retest the trendline (a common behavior before continuation in the new direction).
2. Bearish Rejection:
Price got rejected around the trendline retest zone, which aligns with a resistance area marked in red.
This confluence zone suggests supply dominance, pushing the price lower.
3. Imbalance Zone (Fair Value Gap):
A pink rectangular zone marks an imbalance, often called a fair value gap (FVG)—where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficient trading volume.
These zones are typically revisited to "fill the imbalance."
4. Heikin Ashi Candles:
Recent candles show strong bearish momentum with little to no upper wicks, confirming a downward trend.
Multiple consecutive red candles support trend continuation.
📉 Bearish Setup Analysis:
Entry Zone: Around the trendline retest, near 21,000–21,100.
Target Zone: Imbalance/fair value gap around 20,100–20,200.
Stop-Loss Zone: Above the resistance area, around 21,150–21,200.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (visualized with the green zone risk and extended red arrow for reward).
✅ Bearish Case Justification:
Trendline break and retest failure.
Rejection at key resistance/supply.
Imbalance acting as a price magnet.
Momentum strongly favors bears (based on Heikin Ashi structure).
⚠️ Risk Factors / Invalidations:
If price reclaims and holds above the trendline or breaks above 21,200, the bearish setup could be invalidated.
Major macro news or earnings could reverse the move rapidly.
Watch for divergences or weakening bearish momentum on smaller timeframes as price approaches the target zone.
🧭 Strategy Tip:
This could suit a swing short setup, especially for traders looking to capitalize on trendline break retests and imbalance fills. A tighter entry around the top of the rejection zone provides a better risk/reward.
A Nasdaq Black Hole - Unprecendented yes, Impossible no Before anyone says anything...yes Elliot Waves are completely subjective BUT IMHO i have drawn these correctly....
The NAS made a violent move from 22100 down 16300 in a very short space of time. So what? It will just make another ATH right?
Well, of course. It almost certainly will, the real question is when. If this pattern plays out, it won't be in 2025.
After every impulse on any timeframe, long or short, you'd naturally expect a pullback.
However, not all pullbacks are the same. Usually, the first significant pullback for a corrective wave is no more than 50%.
However, if you have a pullback that is 61.8% or more, it is usually considered an impulsive wave.
What the difference? Corrective waves have3 waves, ultimately trending in one direction, and impulsive waves have 5 waves trending in one direction.
If the Nasdaq falls beneath 20900, with increasing volume, this will signify confirmation to me at least, that we could be starting one of the most violent impulsive bearish waves in the history of financial markets.
USTEC100 Chart 4H, Trends To Watch for Short The provided USTEC 100 (US Tech 100) 4-hour chart highlights a strategic short (sell) trade setup based on technical price action and defined risk levels. The analysis suggests a bearish market bias, provided that specific price conditions are met and maintained. Let's explore the details and rationale behind this trade idea to understand how traders might approach this setup with calculated entries, targets, and stops.
As per the current market data presented, USTEC 100 is trading around 21,115.00 on Monday, 19 May 2025. The chart emphasizes a critical resistance zone highlighted in red, located at approximately 21,445.10. This level acts as a potential invalidation point for the short trade. If the price crosses above this red zone and a full candle closes above it, the entire bearish setup becomes invalid. This is a key condition – any move above this threshold signifies a shift in market sentiment and cancels the downward outlook.
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Signals Reversal from Discount PricingGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, we are closely monitoring NAS100USD for a potential reversal of bearish institutional order flow. While the broader trend has been bearish, current price action presents strong confluence for a bullish shift, suggesting an opportunity to align with a possible upside move.
Market Context:
NAS100USD is currently trading in deep discount territory, which historically presents favorable conditions for institutional accumulation. We’ve observed a liquidity sweep—price took out previous sell stops—suggesting institutions may have order-paired against willing sellers at these discounted levels.
Key Observations:
SMT Divergence with S&P500: While the S&P500 took out its previous low, NAS100USD remained above its corresponding low. This divergence signals underlying strength and institutional buying on NAS100USD, offering a strong indication of a reversal.
Bullish Structure Hints: Minor breaks in market structure to the upside are emerging, further validating the bullish narrative.
Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently trading inside a bullish order block that is also aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG)—a strong confluence zone that may act as support for continued upside movement.
Trading Strategy:
Await confirmation of support holding within the order block and FVG zone.
Target 1: Relatively equal highs just above current price action—an engineered liquidity pool where buy stops are likely resting.
Target 2: The premium FVG, a key area of institutional interest where longs accumulated at a discount will be offloaded for profit. The area of fair value is an region where the institutions start to book their profits.
By reading the divergence, price action, and institutional behavior, we can strategically position ourselves to capitalize on a high-probability reversal.
Happy Trading,
The Architect 🏛📊
Nasdaq Short: Try again with Fibonacci Level HelpThis idea is complementary to the S&P500 short.
This is also an idea to try shorting again on the same trading session after the first hit stop loss.
Going short on the Nasdaq 100CAPITALCOM:US100
The Nasdaq 100 has moved up impulsively on a 5-wave move over the past 6 weeks, which is very bullish long term. However, in the short term, it is overextended, with the RSI indicator over the 70 level.
I expect it to decline over the next couple of weeks to the area marked in the green rectangle, between the 50% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you
Tariff timeline: how Trump’s shifts hit the Nasdaq 100This chart tracks key US tariff decisions and rhetoric from February to May 2025 and their direct impact on the Nasdaq 100. It highlights the sharp escalation in tariffs against China and other trade partners, followed by market volatility and brief rebounds tied to policy softening. Notable events include the April 2 national emergency, China’s retaliation, and the May 12 tariff pause deal. The Nasdaq’s movements mirror investor reactions to uncertainty, diplomatic signals, and easing measures, showing how trade policy remains a major force behind short-term equity market swings.
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