DOW - H&S is getting progressed. 📉 DOW JONES – Head & Shoulders Pattern Formation (Right Shoulder in Progress)
The chart illustrates a clear Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal, forming on the higher timeframe.
🧠 Pattern Breakdown:
Left Shoulder: Formed in early March.
Head: Sharp dip and recovery formed during early April.
Right Shoulder: Currently in the making, aligning with a weekly resistance near 42,880 levels.
Price is expected to reject this resistance and complete the right shoulder.
📌 Technical View:
Strong rejection expected near the weekly horizontal resistance.
If the right shoulder completes and breaks below the neckline (around 41,500–41,600), it may trigger a measured fall.
Fibonacci levels also align, with the 0.382 and 0.5 retracement acting as potential reaction zones.
🎯 Target:
Target: 40,900 levels (Right Shoulder support zone).
This is a confluence zone where buyers may reappear.
Also forms a neckline test, critical for breakout confirmation or reversal.
🔔 Trade Setup Insight:
Short bias activated near 42,880 resistance zone.
Watch for confirmation via bearish engulfing candles or lower time frame breakdowns.
Targeting 40,900 initially. Further downside possible if neckline breaks decisively.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please perform your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
US30 trade ideas
US30 Potential Bullish ContinuationHi there,
US30 appears bullish on the H2 timeframe, but I am anticipating a dip before the bullish continuation.
The price broke above the significant high of 40,860.28 and formed a low, creating a relative bullish wave toward the high of 42,473.33. This low is significant and remains open for a future revisit.
The potential resistance level is 42,949.85, with a market bias toward 43,528.16.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not a trading advice,
sell US30 / US30 Analysis – 60MPrice has retested the VAL (Value Area Low) after breaking down from the volume structure.
VAL: price retested and showed weakness
📌 A failure to reclaim the POC may lead to a drop toward the next demand zone at 42,160–42,000.
Volume profile shows a clear shift in control to sellers. Reclaim of POC = possible bullish shift. Hold below = continuation lower.
Crab vs Order BlocksThe Dow Jones Crab 🦀 finds itself caught in the web of order blocks, navigating a treacherous sea of buyers and sellers.
The golden level of the crab has crept dangerously close to the sellers' order block territory, and all eyes are on the impending tumble.
It seems the crab might just scuttle its way down to the buyers' order block nestled at the very bottom, right by its own clawed feet.
Hold tight, folks—this crustacean's market dance is about to get interesting!
Signs of Selling Pressure (Absorption of Buys at Highs)🧠 Quick Terminology Refresher:
Absorption = Large volume hitting the book with little price movement (strong limit orders halting progress).
Exhaustion = Declining volume near highs/lows, indicating a potential reversal or lack of continuation.
Delta = Net buying/selling pressure (positive = aggressive buyers, negative = aggressive sellers).
Imbalance zones = Strong activity favoring one side of the market — high-probability interest areas.
🔎 Breakdown of Key Zones (Right Side of the Chart – May 20–21):
🔴 Signs of Selling Pressure (Absorption of Buys at Highs)
May 20 Candle:
Delta: -1.37K on 80.27K volume = net sellers present.
Upper wick shows buy volume at the highs being absorbed by resting sell orders.
Price fails to close above 42,300, the same level it touched multiple times (look left), reinforcing it as resistance.
The cluster of buying at the highs followed by price dropping suggests buying exhaustion + absorption by sellers.
🔻 May 21 Candle (Early):
Delta: -387 on low volume (21.68K) — early in the session.
Low delta but presence of symmetric buy/sell volume suggests a balance day or low conviction.
However, failure to break back above the previous POC zone (around 42,200–42,300) + no aggressive buying continuation = bearish bias.
🔵 Prior Bullish Activity (May 15–19):
May 15: Strong positive delta (+3.84K) with 99.68K total volume — clear initiative buy pressure.
May 16–19: Successive candles show diminishing delta and heavy total volume with:
Imbalance blocks shifting down.
Lower highs and failed follow-through after May 15 = exhaustion of buyers.
Especially May 19: delta of -1.14K, and large wick + failed upside = absorbed buys, followed by rejection.
🧱 High-Volume Nodes (Support/Resistance):
Resistance Zone: 42,270–42,300
Multiple failed closes above, heavy sell volume absorbed buyers.
Support Zone: 42,000–42,100
Yellow highlight zone — recent volume nodes + last remaining absorption candle May 14–15.
But current candles are testing this zone, and not bouncing with strength.
📉 Conclusion: Sell Bias Based on Footprint Behavior
✅ Reasons to Lean Bearish / Sell:
Absorption at highs (May 19–20).
Exhaustion of buying delta after May 15–16.
Lower highs and lower volume follow-through.
Price failing at POC/resistance zones (42,300) repeatedly.
No new aggressive buying footprints in current bars.
⚠️ Not a Blind Sell – Wait For:
Break and hold below 42,100, ideally confirmed by:
Negative delta + rising total volume.
Sell imbalances near lower levels.
Signs of no strong passive buyer absorption at 42,000.
🛠 Suggested Strategy:
📉 Short Bias: Target zone: 41,850–41,900
📈 If price reclaims 42,300 with positive delta spike, exit shorts or flip long (failed breakdown = trap).
🎯 Watch Volume Profile: Large nodes mean congestion — avoid taking new trades in the middle of these zones.
Correction and a push up US30 has been gradually climbing but this growth may have to correct a bit before continuing up. After reaching the 41,800 gap, the indice rose a bit, but may have ran out of steam to further go up. The nearest support will be the likely area where the indice may find buying pressure, if price action remains above the support barriers.
US30 – Supply Zone Hit & Rejection | Is the Rally Over?US30 has just tapped a strong supply zone around 42,752, followed by immediate rejection. With price sitting at a critical turning point, here’s how I’m preparing to trade the Dow this week.
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Chart Breakdown:
1. Supply Zone (42,600 - 42,800):
Price aggressively entered this area and got rejected fast. Historically, this zone has caused sharp moves down, and the reaction today aligns with that pattern.
2. Key Support (42,288.87):
Watch this level closely. A clean break and retest below here would confirm bearish momentum, potentially triggering a selloff.
3. Demand Zone (41,767 - 41,900):
This orange zone has previously fueled strong bullish rallies. If price dips back here, look for a bounce or bullish confirmation setup.
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Bearish Plan (Short Bias):
Entry: Break + retest of 42,288
TP1: 42,012
TP2: 41,767
SL: Above 42,800 (supply high)
Bullish Alternative:
If price holds above 42,288 and forms a higher low, a retest of the 42,750s could be in play. But for now, the supply reaction suggests caution.
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What to Watch:
US economic data (jobless claims, inflation)
FOMC or Fed speakers
Risk sentiment shifts (S&P/Nasdaq correlation)
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Your Take?
Do you think this was a false breakout or the start of a deeper pullback? Comment your setup or target below!
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#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #IndicesTrading #TradingView #US30Forecast
US30 Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 42,620.8.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 45,530.9 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Understanding Market StructureIn this video, I break down market structure in a simple and easy-to-digest way, helping you understand how to identify whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.
Recognizing market direction is a key skill for any trader, it allows you to trade in alignment with price action and make more confident, higher-probability decisions.
✅ If you're new to trading or want to sharpen your edge, this video will give you the insights needed to read market trends more clearly.
📈 Hope you find value in this breakdown!
👉 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe to support the channel and stay tuned for more educational content.
US30: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 42,126.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Let the Market show its hand Looking for longs in the blue box area
If no bounce a long of the lower orange point of control.
Beware the market could be in a short down trend if lower untested POC is met so i will reduce my risk and when possible protect my profits .
I will short the position if the market turns on my longs from the blue box area
[Scalping] US30 Long (May 27, 2025)Entry was 42388
TP is 42409.4
SL is 42373.72
RR is 1:1.5-2
This is just record purpose with new method to trade.
Please allow this test period.
**I use only session indicator.
Other than that I do not use any indicators
New method can be used only for manual trading.
US30 in Bullish consolidation US30 is currently in bullish consolidation zone. We can see the price is continuing to make highs in the medium but has found resistance at 42830 with support at 41800... This is a narrow range from which to trade and entries can be blurry at times due to the fast paced nature of the market once these levels are hit... I am looking to take further long opportunities at the support zone or at the break-and-retest of the current resistance level.
[Scalping] US30 Long (May 25, 2025)Entry was 41884.5/41873.50
TP is 41992.5
SL is 41811.81
RR is 1:1.5-2
This is just record purpose with new method to trade.
Please allow this test period.
**I use only session indicator.
Other than that I do not use any indicators
New method can be used only for manual trading.
US30 Trading Plan – Bearish Outlook Following Support BreakThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently exhibiting a bearish trend, having recently broken below a key support level. This breakdown signals potential further downside momentum, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Technical Analysis Summary:
Trend: Bearish
Breakdown Confirmation: Price has closed below the previous support level, confirming a breakdown and potential trend continuation.
Entry Signal: Entry positions can be considered on a retest of the broken support level, now acting as resistance, or upon confirmation of continued selling pressure.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: The first profit target is set at the next significant support zone, which has historically acted as a demand area.
Target 2: The second profit target is located at a lower, more established support level, providing a deeper downside opportunity if bearish momentum persists.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: A stop-loss should be placed above the newly formed resistance level (formerly support) to protect against false breakouts and trend reversals.
Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1–2% of account equity per trade to maintain proper risk management.
Trade Rationale:
The breakdown of the support level on US30 suggests increased selling pressure and the potential for a continuation of the downward trend. By identifying two profit targets, this plan allows for partial profit-taking at the first support level and full exit or trailing stop at the second, depending on price action and market conditions.