NVIDIANVIDIA Corp engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the following segments: Graphics Processing Unit (GPU), Tegra Processor, and All Other. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The All Other segment refers to the stock-based compensation expense, corporate infrastructure and support costs, acquisition-related costs, legal settlement costs, and other non-recurring charges. The company was founded by Jen Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
NVDA trade ideas
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Trend is observed from an impulse run’s lowest/highest point and projected outwards in symmetrical fibonacci retracement via price/time from the first reversal candle to the end of the rally, creating crosshairs. These ‘crosshairs’ visually represent the trending ‘price distribution projection’ in price/time symmetry.
Using this concept, I draw a ‘projection trend line’ from the bottom or top of the impulse run thru the projected 78.6% price/time retracement value, to identify the price distribution structure in a linear form.
Now to introduce my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE.
This is a concept of decaying price and time as an underlying move towards our theoretical projection, where if the underlying enters our built faded cross-section, the SL is triggered to avoid sideways consolidation and decaying contract premiums.
This ‘right’ triangle that is ‘sclene’ by nature is created by taking the furthest projection in price/time symmetry (78.6%) and drawing a vertically placed straight line to the highest/lowest point in the rally previously identified. Here, I create a ‘right triangle’ by turning 90 degrees towards my final point, which is made by the nearest projection in price/time symmetry (38.2%). In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle.
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CHEERS!
simple chart of what I seeAnyone who knows me know I like to make simple charts that get to the point. Nothing fancy. Just lots of lines. Anyway, I did a ghost feed so you can get an idea of where I think we go from here. I seriously doubt we see any big changes until earnings. Unless China gets their heads out of the you know what, we will trade like this for a little while. I do feel there is hoppe. If NVIDIA has strong earnings , it could be enough push it to new highs. I would use caution. You will see by my chart we started off with an ascending wedge, moved right into a descending wedge and now I feel we will rinse and repeat. All the while ultimately creating new highs and new lows. Anywhere you see horizontal lines is where I see resistance. And yes, I do still think we could drop below 100 again, so get your buy fingers ready :) Not financial advice! Just an old trader's ideas. If we break above 130 before now and earnings, consider it could be a nice ride up!!
Ride Nvidia’s AI Wave: Long-Term Promise Amid Short-Term Risks
- Key Insights: Nvidia faces near-term bearish pressures due to U.S.–China trade
tensions, AI chip export restrictions, and tariff challenges. However, it
remains the undisputed leader in AI infrastructure and GPU innovation,
positioning it for long-term growth. Entry points near critical support
levels may offer opportunities for patient investors to capitalize on its
leadership in AI-driven industries. A bullish reversal requires a breakout
above $104.75.
- Price Targets:
*Next Week Targets (Long Position)*
- T1: $103.25
- T2: $108.10
*Stop Levels*
- S1: $98.50
- S2: $94.75
- Recent Performance: Nvidia's stock has struggled within a bearish channel,
underperforming tech-heavy indices such as the Nasdaq, which have been
weighed down by sector-wide semiconductor weakness. The stock’s lower highs
and lower lows reinforce its short-term downside trajectory, amplified by
regulatory uncertainties and weakened demand from China. These factors have
contributed to gamma exposure-driven speculative price movements around the
$100 zone.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight Nvidia's dominant position despite export
restrictions that may cost up to $5.5 billion. Nvidia continues to drive AI
innovation through its Kyber compute architecture and Dynamo software,
targeting industries like automotive and pharmaceuticals. While bearish
sentiment persists short term, long-term growth prospects remain robust due
to strong U.S. semiconductor policy support and widespread demand for AI
applications. Nvidia’s strategic positioning makes it a desirable asset for
long-term investors despite current macroeconomic risks.
- News Impact: Geopolitical tensions, specifically the Biden administration's
restrictions on advanced AI chip exports to China, remain pivotal for
Nvidia’s stock trajectory. These restrictions are expected to impact
Nvidia’s earnings through 2024. Additionally, escalating tariffs are adding
inflationary pressures, though efforts to negotiate market access highlight
Nvidia’s proactive approach to mitigating restrictions. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s
breakthroughs in AI technology continue to drive optimism for future growth
in multiple industries. Investors should remain vigilant as any easing of
trade restrictions could act as a significant upside catalyst.
Bearish Continuation in PlayAfter an extended distribution phase near the premium zone and a clear break of the ascending channel, NVDA has shifted into a bearish market structure.
Price is currently pulling back into a key supply zone and retesting the bearish trendline. If this area holds, we could see further downside movement with the following targets:
🔻 $88.47 – potential support and short-term consolidation area.
🔻 $41.79 – medium-term target if bearish momentum continues and support breaks.
This bearish outlook remains valid as long as price stays below $153.99, which marks the invalidation level and the potential start of a bullish reversal.
🔍 Market structure is showing consistent lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish pressure.
HOW-TO: Use the Camarilla Pivots & BBT Strategies indicatorThis how-to shows the Camarilla Pivot & BBT Strategies indicator in action, the 5-minute timeframe is ideal for this. It shows the price action reacting to the HA play (S3 to R3 traversal). The "H" means that the ticker is in a Higher range on this day, the "A" refers to the label on the strategy in the image. In fact, the price does past R3 (which is the exit point) and reaches R4, at which point it trigger the "E" play, which is an R4 extreme reversal. A great trade, if you took it!
Bad News from NVDA and ASML Put Pressure on AI StocksTwo pieces of bad news hit the chip sector in a single day.
First, the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia, blocking the sale of its H20 chip to China. H20 was the only AI chip Nvidia could legally sell to China under existing regulations. The company stated the new restrictions could cost up to $5.5 billion.
The second blow came from ASML’s earnings report. ASML is the sole producer of EUV machines, which are critical for manufacturing advanced chips, including those used in AI. ASML's revenue miss, combined with the Nvidia news, weighed heavily on technology stocks. However, there is a silver lining: the revenue miss was due to weaker DUV machine sales, which are used for more basic chips. EUV sales actually beat market expectations by 33.54%, indicating that investment in AI infrastructure remains strong.
Nvidia shares are down more than 6% in premarket trading. This downward pressure may continue after the market opens. If the price drops below 100, it could present a buying opportunity for medium- to long-term investors. AI investment continues globally, and countries outside the U.S. are likely to accelerate their efforts to catch up. Despite the recent negative sentiment, there is no major change in the long-term outlook for the sector.
We're seeing a nice box breakout NVDA | Bullish?We're seeing a nice box breakout here, which could indicate a good opportunity for a deeper correction. Therefore, we're setting the target at $91.5 and would continue moving lower until we see another box breakout in the opposite direction. Additionally, there is a major resistance level around the $91.5 zone, which will give us insight into how far NVDA's downtrend might go—or whether this could mark the turning point.
Where is the Nvidia ball bouncing?Good afternoon, at 15:48 p.m Nvidia is looking towards the up side. A sell off took place over the weekend (great deals).A swing up at least $3 in an accumulation or quick move up is likely. Decent entries to look for adding a steady 5% to 10% in a few days in this high volatile climate.
NVDA’s Wild Crash Alert: I’m Braced for a Heart-Stopping Drop!NVDA’s like a rocket losing altitude, and I’m on edge! It’s at $95.99, but I’m seeing it tumble to $90, maybe $88.95, then $83.59 if the bears go wild. If that breaks, whoa—$77.48 could hit hard! I’m glued to $90 for the first clue—big selling there, and it’s game on for a slide.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
NVIDIA (NVDA) investors should knowHello NVIDIA (NVDA) investors,
Looking at the daily chart below, we see that NVDA briefly broke out of its long‑standing yellow descending channel only to be pulled back in; price is now testing horizontal support in the $100–150 range. In the lower pane, RSI remains negative and has yet to break its downtrend line around the 41 level.
Technical Analysis
Descending Channel:
The stock has been trading inside a long‑term descending channel. Selling pushed it back inside after a false breakout near $137–142. The upper channel line sits around $115—until we see a daily close above that, a true trend reversal is unlikely.
Horizontal Support/Resistance:
Support: $95-100 (confluence of past lows and the channel’s lower boundary)
Resistance: $147-150 (channel upper line), then $145–150 (early‑April highs)
RSI:
Currently ~41. A break above the RSI downtrend near 45–50 would signal improving momentum; if it fails, we could retest oversold territory.
Fundamental & Macro Factors
Quarterly Results:
NVDA reported strong revenue and margin growth last quarter, driven primarily by AI/data‑center demand.
AI & Data‑Center Demand:
Demand from AI‑focused servers and cloud providers remains very high, and this secular trend is expected to persist.
Trump’s Latest Tariffs:
In early March 2025, an additional %145 tariff on China‑origin semiconductors was announced. This measure may raise NVDA’s export costs to China and exert short‑term margin pressure. It also risks demand swings as Chinese buyers adjust their inventory strategies.
Strategic Recommendations
Stop‑Loss:
Consider a stop‑loss on daily closes below $90 to protect long positions.
Position Sizing:
Scale into longs near support, and take profits incrementally near resistance.
Tariff Watch:
Monitor any further U.S. export restrictions or tariff changes on China—each announcement can drive volatility
-Celil Adıgüzel
NVIDIA Daily Chart Update (04/19/2025)What's up, traders? Let's dive into NVIDIA's chart with the SmartTrend Indicator @tradingbauhaus giving us some solid insights.
Price Action: NVIDIA's been on a downward spiral since late March, sliding from ~$148 to $104.28. It's broken below the Ichimoku Cloud, which is a big bearish flag.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is under the cloud, and it's turned red - bears are running the show. The lagging span (Chikou) is also below the price, doubling down on the downtrend.
Key Levels: We're testing support at ~$100 right now. If it breaks, $92 might be next. Resistance is up at the cloud base around $110.
SmartTrend Indicator @tradingbauhaus: This indicator's showing a strong bearish trend with a
Trend Strength of -16.4. Volatility's high at 387.76K, and the 24 High/Low is at -5.6, confirming the downtrend. Volume sentiment is neutral, though.
Signals: The SmartTrend Indicator @tradingbauhaus has been dropping red X's (sell signals) that align perfectly with the downtrend. A blue X (buy signal) popped up on April 17, hinting at a possible short-term bounce, but the overall trend still looks bearish.
Volume: We've seen big volume spikes on down days, showing strong selling pressure, though it's eased off a bit recently.
My Take: The SmartTrend Indicator @tradingbauhaus is leaning heavily bearish unless we break above the cloud at ~$110. Keep an eye on that $100 support – a bounce could happen, but if it cracks, $92 is in sight. What's your take, fam? Drop your thoughts below!
NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🚀💻 NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🔥🧠
Hey everyone! Back in 2021, I called NVIDIA the best buy of the decade, and in 2023, we followed up as NVDA rocketed to my target of $143. Now in 2025, it’s time for Part 3 — and the case for NVDA being a generational play just got even stronger. 💪
✅ On April 4th, I re-entered around $96.85, right at my alert level. The setup? A rounded bottom reversal pattern forming with 4 strong bullish divergences on key indicators (Stoch, CCI, MOM, MFI). Target levels ahead:
📍 $143
📍 $182
📍 $227
📉 Yes, Nvidia took a 6% hit after announcing a $5.5B impact from U.S. export restrictions on its H20 chip to China — a reminder that macro & geopolitical factors still matter. But…
💡 The company just launched DGX Spark and DGX Station, bringing AI supercomputing to the desktop — powered by Grace Blackwell architecture. That’s next-level innovation, not just for enterprises, but for developers, students, and researchers alike. A true desktop AI revolution.
🇺🇸 And most importantly: NVIDIA will now manufacture AI supercomputers on U.S. soil — in Arizona and Texas — aiming to produce $500 billion worth over the next four years. This initiative is a bold move toward supply chain resilience, economic growth, and cementing NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI arms race.
⚠️ If we lose the $96 level, I’ll re-evaluate. But for now? The technical and fundamentals still say: Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now we will revisit this chart).
💬 What’s your outlook? Are you buying the dip or waiting on clarity?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NVDA: Buy the Dip or Miss the Run?NVDA 💥🔥
Let’s be real, the market’s been shaky. Between the spike in volatility and the new tariff chatter coming out of the Trump camp, tech stocks are getting tossed around. But here’s the thing—volatility is where the setups live. And NVDA, sitting at the center of the AI revolution, isn’t going to stay down forever.
This might be the window. We’re talking a solid entry zone between 90 and 70, right where volatility meets opportunity.
Our profit targets?
✅ 110 for a clean bounce
✅ 125 as momentum builds
✅ 145+ if the bulls take the wheel again
It’s not about chasing—this is about timing the wave before it rips. So if you’re into smart risk, layered entries, and riding volatility like a pro… NVDA just rang the bell.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All trading involves risk, especially in volatile conditions. Always do your own research or speak to a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
IM BEARISH ON NVIDIA WITH A TARGET OF $55.00. HERE IS WHY:NVIDIA (NVDA) Known for their GPUs, recently has experienced a decline in asset price. Trump tariff's may have been a bearish news catalyst, but do the technicals show a bigger bearish picture?
1 Day chart: While the RSI recently signaled oversold conditions, the RSI line looks to be crossing down the RSI based moving average. Furthermore the 200 Day EMA and 65 Day EMAs appear to be forming a death cross. DMI is still indicating bearish, and the ADX is still above 20.
With recent political news, the tech company has been working on bolstering their U.S based production. But with inflation cooling (6 month low) , I believe many high performing blue chip stocks may see a dip as traders and institutions price in deflation, new news and political events.
My opinion on a target is $55.00 , and there is significant open interest on long puts for this price that are expiring in the coming months.
Will NVIDIA pull out of this downtrend? Or will it become a great value buy for investors?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
Chipmaker Stocks DeclinesChipmaker Stocks Declines
According to the charts, semiconductor stocks underperformed the broader equity market yesterday. While the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by around 2.2%, the drop was far steeper across the chip sector:
→ The bullish semiconductor ETF (SOXL) declined by 15%;
→ Nvidia (NVDA) shares fell by 6.9%;
→ Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) dropped by 7.3%.
In other words, chipmaker stocks dragged down the broader market, raising concerns ahead of the upcoming earnings season.
Why Are Chip Stocks Falling?
The decline stems from corporate assessments of how the escalating global trade war and new tariffs could impact future performance.
According to media reports:
→ AMD expects to face tariffs of up to $800 million on exports to China;
→ For Nvidia, similar levies could exceed $5 billion.
Technical Analysis – Nvidia (NVDA)
The price continues to fluctuate within a downward channel, previously identified in our analysis:
The lower boundary of the channel is acting as support, helping the price close near its opening level yesterday (forming a Doji candle on the daily chart).
Technical Analysis – AMD
A similar picture is emerging on the AMD chart:
The $96 level now appears to be a key resistance zone.
In Summary
All eyes are on today’s earnings report from chipmaker TSMC (TSM), which could significantly influence the currently bearish sentiment in the sector.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVIDIA Rounding Top: Bearish Swings Q1 2025TA
Nvidia demonstrated strong growth throughout 2024. However, this year, it has shown rather a poor performance. When an uptrend started to weaken, it gave off subtle signals before a full reversal happened on the horizon. One of the first clues is that the highs collectively begin to appear curved compared with initial rough growth. This reflects the loss of aggressive bullish intent, showing hesitation and vulnerability to a reversal.
The price still makes higher highs, but the incremental gain between each peak shrinks. This declining magnitude in price advancement suggests that buyers are gradually losing strength with each move. These shallow bullish waves often get sold into quickly, showing early distribution behavior.
Simultaneously, it takes longer time for price to reach each successive high . When higher highs occur at reduced frequency, the rally phases become stretched out. This indicates buyers are struggling, and sellers are gaining time-based control.
Extended Rounding Top Pattern
Price crosses above the rounding top
Indicates a failed reversal and potential bullish breakout. Suggests renewed buying strength and possible trend continuation. I'd recommend using confirmation tools like volume spikes and momentum indicators which are essential to validate the breakout.
Price reaches the rounding top and stalls or reverses
Confirms the bearish reversal signal of the pattern. Acts as a strong resistance zone, often leading to a downtrend. Alongside with fibs, it can be used as a cue to take profits, exit long trades, or enter short positions.
FUNDAMENTALS
Catalysts of Bearish Swings
A transition phase characterized by a series of sharp bearish swings, marked by a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, shaping a well-defined downward channel.
Drop #1: ATH → Higher Low
(Early January 2025)
After Nvidia’s euphoric 2024 AI hype rally, it was a matter of time as some institutional Investors locked in profits, causing initial drop.
Valuation metrics (P/E; P/S) reached extremes creating grounds for a correction.
The Fed’s January meeting hinted at fewer rate cuts than the market expected. Rising Treasury yields pressured tech stocks.
The U.S. government has imposed strict export controls on advanced semiconductors, AI chips and related technology to China.
Drop #2: Lower High → Lower Low
(Late January to February 2025)
While Nvidia beat Q4 earnings expectations, its forward guidance disappointed. Management cited softening data center orders and consumer GPU inventory corrections.
Concerns about potential erosion in gross margins due to increasing costs and competitive pricing pressure from AMD and Intel.
AI infrastructure spending was plateauing faster than expected, leading to re-ratings across the sector.
Drop #3: Second Lower High → Second Lower Low
(Mid to Late February through Early March 2025)
Several investment banks downgraded semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, amid fears of a cyclical slowdown and oversupply risks in H2 2025.
In early March, broader indices dropped due to hot inflation prints in February. Fed’s stance during testimony to Congress indicated a higher interest rate outlook.
Reports emerged about delays in next-gen chip production due to yield issues at TSMC and logistics constraints, fueling investor anxiety.
Renewed export control tightening and U.S.-China friction were again cited as major concerns earlier this year. These concerns were part of the bearish narrative during Nvidia’s downward structure, especially during Drop #1 and Drop #2 where investors began pricing in geopolitical and regulatory headwinds.
Events & Economic catalysts to monitor (before buying heavy):
Nvidia Earnings Q1 2025 Mid to Late May 2025
Why it matters: Forward guidance, Data Center/AI segment growth, margin updates, and China sales commentary will heavily impact sentiment and trend direction.
U.S. CPI (Inflation) Reports April 10, 2025 (March CPI)
Remember: Hot inflation = higher rate expectations → tech sector sell-off. Watch for YoY core CPI trends.
U.S. Jobs Report (NFP) April 4, 2025
Keep in mind: Strong labor = sticky inflation = Fed hawkishness → higher discount rates on growth stocks.
Semiconductor Industry Conferences
・NVIDIA GTC (GPU Technology Conference) – usually held Spring or Fall
・Semicon West 2025 – typically July
Track the progress: Product launches, AI roadmaps, new partnerships, and forward tech strategy updates often revealed.
Nvidia Drops 9%+ Amid Export Curbs and Fed WarningNvidia Corporation (NVDA) saw its stock fall by 9.18%, trading at $101.68 as renewed fears over U.S.-China trade tensions and monetary policy signals shook investor confidence. The decline came after the company confirmed costly new restrictions on chip exports to China, intensifying market concerns about long-term demand and global supply chain disruptions.
The broader market reacted sharply to these developments. The Nasdaq Composite dropped nearly 4.3%, while the S&P 500 shed around 3.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also lost more than 900 points, a drop of about 2.2%. Contributing further to the sell-off, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered remarks in Chicago, stating that the central bank would “wait for greater clarity” before making interest rate changes.
Powell highlighted the conflicting effects of tariffs, warning that they could bring “higher inflation and slower growth,” placing the Fed’s dual mandate of stable prices and full employment under pressure. These comments, coupled with geopolitical uncertainty, pushed stocks to session lows.
Technical Analysis
Nvidia's price action shows a notable rebound from a major support zone near $92, which has historically attracted strong buying interest. Despite Wednesday’s sharp drop, the price trades above this level, suggesting traders are still defending it.
The next key resistance lies at $153.13, a level that capped previous rallies. If Nvidia breaks above this zone, it could signal a bullish continuation, potentially leading to a move toward new all-time highs. However, rejection at this point could trigger a pullback, with a possible retest of the $92 support.
The Relative Strength Index stands at 41, indicating a close to average momentum. This positions Nvidia at a crossroads, where upcoming price action around the resistance will determine the near-term trend.
Trend Support and 18M AVWAP: Our Final Stronghold📜 Field Orders – Operation: Defensive Line
Troops, listen up.
We’re falling back to our key defenses—Trend Support and the 18M AVWAP.
Hold your ground.
Do not charge.
We wait.
🎯 Your Orders:
Stand down unless support is broken cleanly with force.
If the red army pushes through and confirms—join the short side.
Enter only with structure, never emotion.
Protect your treasures—capital is your ammunition. Don’t waste it fighting in the chop.
If this is a trap, and you’re caught in it—retreat immediately.
Take the loss. Regroup. Redeploy with strength and clarity.
If we bounce here—watch for signs of a counteroffensive near the AVWAP wall.
But again—only enter with confirmation. Not hope.