NVDA Watching key supportNVDA short-term trade (15-min chart): Watching key support—if it holds, looking to go long.
NVDA trade ideas
NVIDIA hit its 1W MA50 after 2 years! One last rally left?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) opened significantly lower on Monday following the DeepSeek news on more efficient and lower cost A.I. competition and by doing so, the price hit its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 years, resulting in Tuesday's very strong rebound.
We have to go back to the week of January 23 2023 to see NVDA trading again on the 1W MA50, which became the major Support of the Channel Up pattern that took it off the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom.
So the question is, does NVIDIA have fuel left in the tank for one more rally? Technically the answer is yes and it can be found on the stock's price action since July 2015. As you can see, the price has gone through 3 similar eras of Bull Cycles through Channel Up patterns and subsequent Bear Cycles of strong corrections that touched the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before initiating the new Bull.
From the Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle's top, NVIDIA took around 1100 days (1162 during the 2015 - 2018 Cycle and 1071 during the 2019 - 2021 Cycle). Assuming the current Cycle will be at least as long as the last one (1071 days), the stock's Top is expected to be around September 2015.
It was in fact around this time during the last Cycle (Feb 2021) when NVIDIA touched again its 1W MA50, resulting into a new rally phase, the last one of the Cycle. This historic price action shows that during its last year, the stock always makes a January - Oct/Nov rally. When the 1W MA50 gets hit again, it is when the new Bear Cycle is confirmed.
As a result, based on this data set, we've entered NVIDIA's final rally of the Cycle, assuming of course it doesn't close a candle below the 1W MA50 and also that the 1M RSI recovers its MA trend-line (yellow), which also happened again during its previous Cycle.
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NVDA at a Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?1️⃣ Trend Analysis:
Long-term Uptrend: NVDA has been on a strong bullish trajectory since late 2023.
Current Price Action: The stock is consolidating within a key range, battling between $130.62 (support) and $151.43 (resistance).
2️⃣ Key Levels to Watch:
🚀 Resistance: $151.43 (Major breakout zone)
🛡️ Support 1: $130.62 (Holding this level = bullish rebound)
⚠️ Critical Support: $118.22 (Break below = bearish signal)
🔥 Demand Zone: $96.59 - $100.00 (Potential dip-buying area)
3️⃣ Two Possible Scenarios:
✅ 🚀 Bullish Breakout:
If NVDA holds above $130.62, a rally toward $151.43 is likely.
A confirmed breakout above $151.43 could send it into price discovery mode.
❌ 📉 Bearish Breakdown:
Losing $127.57 - $118.22 could trigger a steep decline toward the $96.59 - $100.00 support zone.
A breakdown below $96.59 = Major trend reversal warning.
4️⃣ Final Takeaway:
Short-term Bias: Neutral with a slight bearish tilt.
Long-term Bias: Bullish unless $118.22 fails.
🚦 Key Action Point: Watch for confirmation before making a move!
📊 Trade Smart, Stay Sharp! 🔥
⚠️ Risk management is crucial – trading decisions are solely the trader’s responsibility.
Disruptive Innovation and EconomyDeepSeek is a disruptive innovation and could also become a disruptive economic force.
On Monday, NVIDIA dropped 17%, only to rise 9% yesterday. Yet, it remains in an upward trend channel. Why is that?
I tried downloading the DeepSeek app.
After reading a significant portion of the privacy policy, I wouldn’t call it privacy at all—it does not comply with EU regulations. I decided against registering an account and deleted the app.
I believe DeepSeek will face limitations in Europe and beyond, but it has demonstrated that AI innovation is no longer exclusive to large US corporations. It is now entirely feasible to develop AI models based in Europe and Scandinavia. This is crucial, as it allows us to work with AI models that are not inherently biased toward either China or the US.
With Trump back in power, geopolitical uncertainty has increased. The US approach to technology, trade, and AI regulation is now less predictable, making it even more important for Europe to develop independent AI models. A diversified and democratized AI landscape will drive demand for GPUs and contribute to a more balanced technological ecosystem.
Disclaimer: I have a position in NVIDIA.
NVDA Long After Nearly 20% DeclineNASDAQ:NVDA got hit hard by the huge sell-off today and because of the DeepSeek release. The Chinese GPT alternative claims to be better or at least as good as GPT using way less and way older NVDA GPUs. If true, this could create a lot of stress on the CapEx of big US tech companies because the managers will ask their employees why they needed to buy all of those expensive GPUs if they are not necessary at all. That would lead to shrinking sales at NVDA. So far, so bad.
But, we should not forget that misinformation is always a thing when talking about Chinese companies and claims. I also don't think that the result of such a claim would be that tech companies lower their CapEx and start doing less. Instead they will use this to understand how DeepSeek works and how they can be better than their Chinese counterpart using way more powerful GPUs. So, this huge sell-off could trigger a bounce from this confluence support. We perfectly hit the upward trend and a support level at $118. So, be brave and test the water.
Target Zones
$131
$140
Support Zones
$118
Nvidia shares ended 8.82% higher at $128.86 on Nasdaq. Nvidia share price recovered on Tuesday after a sharp slump in the previous session caused by concerns over China’s DeepSeek. Nvidia shares ended 8.82% higher at $128.86 on Nasdaq.
Nvidia could still be seriously overvaluedIf the release of DeepSeek's AI models really is as disruptive as some suspect, Nvidia bulls could be seriously questioning if they want to hold onto the stock for the long haul. And that means some bulls could be looking to offload into a bounce while bears seek to fade into them. I highlight some key levels for bears to keep an eye on.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst City Index and Forex.com
NVDA Technical Analysis and GEX InsightsCurrent Overview
* Price: NVDA is trading at 127.63, recovering from recent lows with significant bullish momentum.
* Trend: The stock is rebounding sharply after a strong sell-off, with potential resistance levels ahead.
* Market Note: Market conditions can shift at the open; adaptability is crucial. Reassess these levels and trends post-market open for alignment with updated momentum.
Technical Analysis
1. Key Levels:
* Support:
* 125.00: Immediate support, also aligned with the HVL.
* 123.00: Critical level near Fibonacci retracement and previous consolidation.
* Resistance:
* 130.00: A significant barrier with visible selling pressure in past price action.
* 133.00–135.00: Upper resistance near a gamma wall and potential rejection zone.
2. Momentum Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover, signaling growing upward momentum but showing a slowing curve.
* Stochastic RSI: Recovering from oversold, with potential to push higher if momentum continues.
3. Volume:
* High trading volumes during the recent rally suggest strong buying interest, supporting further upside if sustained.
4. Trendlines:
* Downtrend resistance near 129–130: A break above this would confirm a short-term reversal.
* Support trendline near 123–124, reinforcing a solid base.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights
1. Gamma Walls:
* Call Walls:
* 130.00: 88.36% of the 2nd Call Wall, acting as key resistance.
* 140.00: 76.73% of the 3rd Call Wall, marking a significant upside target if 130 breaks.
* Put Walls:
* 120.00: Major put support, reflecting downside protection.
* 115.00: Another key level, with strong negative GEX support.
2. IVR and Options Flow:
* IVR: 45, reflecting moderate implied volatility.
* Calls vs. Puts: Calls dominate at 34.7%, indicating a bullish sentiment in options activity.
* GEX Direction: Positive, suggesting a stable to bullish market bias.
Market Direction Scenarios
1. Bullish:
* A breakout above 130 could lead NVDA toward 133–135, supported by gamma exposure and momentum continuation.
2. Bearish:
* Failure to hold 125 may result in a pullback to 120, with 115 as a significant lower support.
Key Notes:
* The market will likely adjust at the open; use these levels as a guide but adapt to real-time price action and volume shifts.
If you’d like an updated analysis after the market opens, feel free to send me a message for a real-time update.
$NVDA 2 bar bullish reversalAfter the dump yesterday, what a nice reversal pattern today. daily chart. 2 bar bullish reversal. Expect price to quickly fill in the gap caused by the Chinese AI news.
Easy money on $NVDA breakout todayIn the meanwhile why not take easy money on perfect morning triangle shape paired with charting setup of previous day and confirmed by lower low and double bottom stabilization. Too many points confirming the same thing to miss out on.
Alerted it live in TradingView chatroom, hope you profited on it 👍
$121.50+ break was the trigger for a buy, it continued uptrending into market close $129. Total $7.50 per share or +6%
We'll see what kind of setup develops tomorrow.
NVIDIA Retesting The Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NVIDIA gapped down massively
On the DeepSeek news and
Went further down after the
Opening, but then a gap closing
Move started and the price is now
Retesting the horizontal resistance
Around 130/132$ which also
Happens to be the gap's opening
Level so based on technical analysis
We might be expecting a local
Bearish pullback from the resistance
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
NVDA: Bouncing, but Will It Hold?🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $126, targeting $118 and $110. A failure to hold support may extend the downtrend.
🩸 Long: Above $135, targeting $145 and $150. A breakout over the 200 EMA ($137) confirms bullish momentum.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $135 — Key area to reclaim for further upside.
🩸 Support: $126 — Holding above this level strengthens bullish confidence.
NVDA experienced a heavy pullback but is attempting a recovery, with MACD starting to reverse upward. Volume suggests strong buying interest, but the 200 EMA remains a major obstacle.
👑 "Patience is power. Reacting with precision makes the difference between winning and losing." — LucanInvestor
My trading visionHow I see a trading opportunity that happened today:
-Price wicked into liquidity at around 116.70.
-A strong bullish candle at the green box.
-Price crosses up and above the blue line breaking the downtrend.
If we continue in an uptrend here the next price target could be 135.89.
Long at 118.53 (quick flip) - the king is not dead...yet.This one may not be the 1 day reversal win I always hope for, but I think this is a very overdone selloff. It may continue for a day or two, but it could also rebound 5 or 6% tomorrow, so count me in. I am prepared to weather the storm however, as surely analysts will look to vocally cover their ass3s now that Wall Street's darling has become the Flavor of the Weak (shout-out to American Hi-Fi).
There are few stocks that people get so wildly over-optimistic and wildly pessimistic about as this one, and that is an opportunity, in my mind. It held 117ish support and has more below that, but this move today definitely did technical damage that will take time to repair.
And if the DeepSeek news is legit (consider me still a skeptic) it could do damage here fundamentally long term. The fact is, though, DeepSeek is still running on NVDA chips, not someone else's. Just maybe not as many or as powerful. That's a real concern - or should be if DeepSeek is legit. Even if it is, though, this trade is all about stocks not moving in straight lines up or down. I'm confident I'll make money whatever direction it moves - but up tomorrow would certainly make that job a lot easier.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NVDA making its way to retest a previous CHOCHHi Traders!
I'm waiting patiently on NVDA. It broke through a 4HR Bullish OB, and now It's making its way down to retest that breaker OB area. However, If it keeps breaking down past 136.00, then the 4HR CHOCH would become invalid. I have 2 alerts set- 1 at 140.50, and 136.50. These are potential areas where there could be a reversal. Price likes to test previous CHOCH patterns, so watching closely for the best possible entry if the chart presents itself that way.
If the reversal happens and continues to move up, I'm looking for price to break 150 since tapping that area a few times already. Lets see what we can get🤞
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Nvidia’s Gap Down: Is the AI Boom Cracking?Nvidia shares nosedived yesterday, shedding more than 16% in a single session. The sell-off has sparked questions about whether this is a temporary reset or the beginning of a deeper correction for the AI chipmaker.
Why Did Nvidia Fall So Hard?
The catalyst for yesterday’s plunge was the unveiling of Chinese AI start-up DeepSeek’s latest breakthrough model, R1. The model, which competes directly with those from US giants like OpenAI and Meta, demonstrated comparable capabilities but at a fraction of the cost. Adding insult to injury, DeepSeek achieved this without relying heavily on Nvidia’s chips or its proprietary Cuda platform, raising concerns over whether the company’s dominant grip on AI development might loosen.
The timing couldn’t have been worse. US-China tensions in AI have already heightened investor uncertainty, and with Nvidia’s valuation already sky-high, the news triggered panic. Short sellers capitalised on the chaos, profiting as $6.75bn was wiped from Nvidia’s market cap in a single day, while the broader semiconductor sector faced its worst drop since March 2020.
However, not everyone agrees this is bad news for Nvidia. Some argue DeepSeek’s cost-cutting approach could expand AI adoption, ultimately boosting demand for inference chips—an area where Nvidia is equally dominant. But with confidence shaken, the market reaction suggests investors aren’t buying that argument just yet.
Technical Analysis: Breaking the Structure
Yesterday’s sell-off wasn’t just dramatic; it was technically significant. Nvidia’s shares had been trading in a volatile range since October, oscillating around its June 2024 highs. That sideways price action now looks like a textbook distribution phase—a period where institutional investors offload shares before a price decline.
The range was decisively broken yesterday, with the shares gapping lower at the open and closing below their 200-day moving average for the first time since January 2023. Volume spiked significantly above the 20-day average, reinforcing the bearish move as investors rushed to exit.
Large negative gaps of this nature often act as a structural shift in momentum, turning the gap itself into a zone of long-term resistance. The bearish momentum triggered by this break could persist for several months, with key support levels now in focus.
Nvidia (NVDA) Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Where Could Nvidia Go Next?
The first major test will be the long-term VWAP anchored to the January 2024 lows. This level has been a reliable marker of support in previous corrections, and a break below it could accelerate the sell-off. Beyond that, the August 2024 spike lows represent a critical horizontal support area, one that fuelled a significant rally last year.
Resistance is now clearly defined by the gap’s boundaries. If the shares do recover in the short term, those levels will be the key battleground for sentiment. The spike in volume suggests that yesterday’s move wasn’t just a one-day event, but the start of a broader shift that traders will need to navigate carefully.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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NVIDIA Local UptrendNVIDIA in Local Uptrend on the 1-Hour Chart
NVIDIA made a higher high on the 1-hour chart, so we are in a local uptrend. It’s possible that we’ll see a higher low next, and then move up to a new higher high, or we could continue going higher right now.
If tomorrow the 4-hour candle close stays above $126.63 (yellow line) and holds that level, then we’ll have gained that support. In that case, we are back in the big range with the potential to reach $148.
1/27/25 - $nvda - First time homie? bot ur bag.1/27/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA
First time homie? bot ur bag.
- don't mean to be be flippant on a day like today. we r all down.
- deepseek changes nothing IMO, except pulls fwd demand
- capex budgets will likely remain flat but not down
- nvda will be sold out this year and next
- and you sold your bag because...
- because you freaked out. you started believing everyone that said "the ai bubble has burst" and "the dot com moment" tweets hit your nerves (been there in dot com) and "chinese temu for ai" was something you could understand.
- for those of us who have owned the best assets in a bull mkt, you have to understand that emotions cut both ways. and while YES THIS EVENT DOES MATTER and was something that changed the equation (as should be obvious by now), not just "rates" or "china" affecting some 1-2% sell off in mkt. yes this is different, yes it's harder to trade
- does it change the fundamental demand for NVDA chips? that's the debate. and right now the market is shooting first, as it always does, and can't be blamed. fear and greed dominate. it went from greed... now fear.
- you buy fear. you sell greed.
- so we took profits and trimmed last week. now we are packing the second home with nvda shares and 2027 calls ($80C's are my flavor strike on the leap today).
- does it go lower?
- V always says. only god knows. (and tbh, "G"od doesn't care.) so first and foremost, realize this is all fake and gey. it's just a game we play. and don't get too emotionally involved. not all days will be green days. we risk manage to take less losses here and live to see another day.
- today sux. yes. maybe tmr sucks too. maybe the day after too.
- but this is not the end of Nvda or AI, actually... it's the inflection moment.
V
NVDA's Next Big Moves: Targeting 190, 175, 170! NVDA's on a wild ride, and here's where we might be heading. We're eying some exciting highs with targets at 190, 175, and 170 if we can break through 147. But, keep your seatbelts on because if the market doesn't hold up, we could be looking at a drop all the way down to 110, or even 98. Let's keep our fingers crossed for the highs but prepare for any dips.
Trade Smarter/ Live Better
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Strategies are not enough. Stop trying to Predict. Observation.Most traders rely upon an indicator signal or a strategy and when these fail they are often baffled by their loss. Losses erode capital but more importantly your self confidence.
Learn to READ stock charts. Be observant in seeing patterns developing before a stock has a huge gap up or down.
NVDA had several patterns that warned early that the stock was at risk of a big gap down. It was going to go down but the gap was far larger than most traders expected and few traders were in this stock before the huge highly profitable sell short gap down.
The reversal candle today is also surprising many traders when it was obvious that the stock had fallen below fundamental values visible in the trend and candles.
Learn how to be more observant so that you are ahead of big gaps and fast running stocks rather than chasing a stock that has already gapped and is at high risk of profit taking.
Don't be an idiotEveryone online is saying "wow what a great buying opportunity!" "im loading up here!" "never thought id see this price again!"
This stock has gone 10x in 2 years... you missed it. Move on.
Buying on the first red candle would be the same as selling on the first green candle like ive circled. $80 here we come.
NVIDIA Forms Inside Bar Pattern After Significant Drop...NVIDIA is currently exhibiting an inside bar pattern following a significant 17% decline, which was triggered by the DeepSeek Panic incident. This pattern indicates a period of consolidation where the price is stabilizing within the range established by the preceding candle. To make informed decisions moving forward, it is prudent to monitor price action closely and wait for a definitive breakout from this inside bar formation. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal a potential reversal or upward momentum, while a breakdown below the lower boundary may suggest further bearish pressure. Hence, exercising patience and assessing volume and market context will be crucial before committing to any trades.
