Trendline breakThe price broke a larger trendline followed by a pullback and smaller trendline to mark the end of the pullback and now the price is making a bullish impulse
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
DEU40 trade ideas
GER30 is very bullishGER30 has just formed a bullish flag and we expect prices to continue to push to the upside
GER30 H4 | Bullish bounceGER30 has bounced off the buy entry at 23,987.27, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 23,741.98, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 24,642.79, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is in a range-bound environment, currently trading at 24,061, exactly at its VWAP of 24,061. RSI at 50 reflects balanced momentum. Support lies at 23,540 and resistance is seen at 24,657.
UK 100 continues its bullish trend, undergoing a small pullback. Price is at 9,131, just above its VWAP of 9,120. RSI at 61 indicates steady bullish interest. Support is at 9,026 and resistance is at 9,188.
Wall Street remains bullish but is now in a corrective phase. Price has dropped to 44,264, right below its VWAP of 44,300. The RSI of 51 suggests a neutral outlook with mild bullish undertones. Support is at 43,563 and resistance is at 45,160.
Brent Crude continues in a choppy range but has broken down to a 2-month low, trading at 6,659, below its VWAP of 6,840. The RSI at 42 highlights new downside pressure. Support sits at
6,453 and resistance at 7,226.
Gold remains in a neutral range, with price at 3,361, matching its VWAP and right in the middle of the range. The RSI at 50 shows a balanced market outlook. Support is at 3,283 and resistance is at 3,435.
EUR/USD holds a bullish trend but is correcting within a short term trading range. The pair trades at 1.1624, exactly at its VWAP. RSI at 50 reflects a balanced market. Support is at 1.14291 and resistance at 1.18296.
GBP/USD has rebounded within a downtrend to test the downtrend line. It trades at 1.3422, slightly above the VWAP of 1.3389. The RSI of 51 signals a balanced tone with possible upside. Support is at 1.3187 and resistance at 1.3592.
USD/JPY remains neutral in a range phase. A sharp reversal from above 150 has seen the price drop to 147.85, equal to its VWAP. RSI at 53 suggests a balanced outlook. Support is at 145.78 and resistance stands at 149.66.
GER40 – Rebounds Into 23,950 ResistanceFollowing a sharp selloff, GER40 found support near 23,400.00, triggering a strong recovery. Price is now reacting to the 23,950.00 resistance zone, a prior structure level.
Support at: 23,794.52 🔽 | 23,400.00 | 23,025.25
Resistance at: 23,950.00 🔼 | 24,200.00 | 24,300.00 | 24,652.29 (ATH)
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Break and close above 23,950.00 opens room for 24,200.00 and higher.
🔽 Bearish: Failure to hold 23,794.52 may expose 23,400.00 and 23,025.25.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GER40 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 24,006.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 24,405.92
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 23,498.13
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support.
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DE40 Breakout Robbery – Bullish Setup Revealed!💣 DE40 / GER40 INDEX BREAKOUT RAID 🚨
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Dear Market Robbers, Money Makers, and Chart Bandits 🕶️💰💣,
We’re rollin' out our latest Thief Trader Heist Plan based on laser-sharp technical + fundamental recon 🧠💼 on the Germany DE40 / GER40 Index. It’s time to gear up and break the resistance vault 🏦💥
🎯 THE MASTER HEIST SETUP: LONG ONLY 🎯
📈 Entry Setup:
"The heist is on! Wait for breakout & retest near 24600 🔓.
Once confirmed, GO BULLISH and snatch that market loot!"
✅ Use Buy Stop above resistance
✅ (OR) Buy Limit from pullback zones using 15m–30m swing lows/highs
🎯 DCA / Layered limit entries for optimal robbery!
🔔 Set Alerts: Don't sleep on this! Mark your alarms to catch the breakout.
🛑 STOP LOSS: PLAY IT SMART, NOT EMOTIONAL
🗣️ "Don’t drop your SL before the breakout—wait for the confirmation candle. Place it smart based on your entry lot size & risk."
📍Thief SL Plan: Below the recent 4H wick swing low – around 21700
🔒 Protect the loot once you're in the trade!
🏁 TARGET: TIME TO ESCAPE THE SCENE
🎯 Primary Profit Vault: 25500
🛫 Escape earlier if signs of resistance emerge. A clean get-away is the goal!
🔪 SCALPERS MODE: ONLY LONG SIDE
💰 Got the funds? Feel free to enter early.
💼 Otherwise, team up with swing traders. Use Trailing SL to guard your treasure.
🔎 FUNDAMENTALS BACKING THIS HEIST
📊 GER40 shows bullish momentum backed by:
Global macro optimism
Strong Eurozone data
Risk-on flows into European indices
Technical chart breakout formations
📰 Get full market breakdowns (COT, Macro, Intermarket, Sentiment, etc.) – Check your trusted sources and confirm your targets.
🚨 TRADING ALERT: STAY ALERT DURING NEWS
⚠️ Big news = high volatility! Follow the robbery code:
Avoid new trades during major news drops
Trail SLs on running positions
Stay glued to live updates!
❤️ SUPPORT THE THIEF CREW
If this plan helped you, hit that BOOST 🚀
Let’s keep raiding the charts, stacking profits like pros 🏆
Join the Thief Crew, where we rob the market... not dreams.
🎭 Until the next plan… stay sneaky, stay profitable. 🐱👤💸💥
#DAXDate: 01-08-2025
#DAX Current Price: 23680
Pivot Point: 24193.295 Support: 23822.409 Resistance:24566.692
Upside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 24882.344
🎯 Target 2: 25197.995
🎯 Target 3: 25574.758
🎯 Target 4: 25951.520
Downside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 23505.502
🎯 Target 2: 23188.595
🎯 Target 3: 22811.833
🎯 Target 4: 22435.070
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DAX WILL GROW|LONG|
✅DAX is trading in an
Uptrend and the index made
A bullish rebound from the
Horizontal support of 23,400
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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DAX Futures Rebound Amid Shifting US Economic SentimentThe DAX futures are showing a more optimistic tone today, shifting from concerns over weak US labor market data—which initially signaled economic trouble—to a more hopeful outlook that this might prompt the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates, a move that investors see as positive. This shift in sentiment has provided some reassurance as the new week begins.
Following a brief decline on Friday, the market experienced a rebound today, supported by a weekly demand zone. We’re now watching for a retest of key levels within this zone, which could serve as a potential entry point for long positions, aiming for a continuation of the upward momentum driven by the weekly support area.
✅ Please share your thoughts about GER30 in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
DAX - LETS BRING EUROPEAN STRONG AGAINTeam, I am LONG DAX at 23950
will add small at 23815
STOP LOSS at 23830
Once the market hit above 24015 - BRING STOP LOSS TO BE
1st target is 24075-24106
2nd target at 2415624196
LETS GO
DAX40 Pivotal trading zone at 23900The DAX remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23375 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23375 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23900 – initial resistance
24215 – psychological and structural level
24430 and 24620 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23375 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23195 – minor support
23035 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Neutral bias remains intact while the Dax trades around pivotal 23900 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER/DAX - TIME FOR RECOVERTeam, this morning, the DAX target hit our target 1, we took some profit, we set a stop loss at BE, and it got stopped out
Time for us to re-enter the DAX again at 23880-23855
STOP loss 23780
Once the price move at 23950 - bring STOP LOSS TO BE
Target 1 at 23985-24015
Target 2 at 24065-24096
lets go
Potential bullish bounce?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a swing low support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 23,032.38
1st Support: 22,503.52
1st Resistance: 23,939.75
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX Breaks Monthly Range - Double-Sided Opportunity AheadDAX has broken out to the downside from its monthly range, forming an expanding wedge. This creates two high-probability setups: a short back to the bottom of the range, and a long from the bottom toward the top - supported by the prevailing uptrend and strong confluence at range lows. Either way, the range is likely to hold for now, offering clear directional plays.
GER4O1. Head of the European Central Bank (ECB)
As of August 2025, Christine Lagarde is the President (head) of the European Central Bank (ECB). She is responsible for leading eurozone monetary policy, representing the ECB at global forums, and setting the tone for financial and economic policy across Europe.
2. Fundamental Drivers of the GER40 (DAX 40)
The GER40, also known as the DAX 40, is Germany's blue-chip stock market index. Its performance is driven by the following key fundamentals in 2025:
Corporate Earnings & Sector Leaders: Major companies like SAP, Siemens, Allianz, and Linde have been driving index gains, contributing a significant portion of the upward momentum due to their market capitalization.
ECB Monetary Policy: Multiple rate cuts by the ECB in 2025 supported German and eurozone equities, lowering yields and easing financing for businesses. Expectations of further rate cuts or stability are closely monitored by the market.
Inflation Dynamics: Falling inflation across the eurozone in 2025 enabled the ECB to move from a restrictive to a more accommodative stance. Latest ECB projections see inflation averaging 2% in 2025 and slightly below target in 2026, allowing monetary loosening to persist.
Energy Prices: Declining natural gas and oil prices provided relief to Germany’s energy-intensive industries, aiding profitability and supporting DAX-listed industrials.
Government Policy & Fiscal Stimulus: Increased defense and infrastructure spending by the new German government under Chancellor Friedrich Merz has boosted selective sectors, including defense (e.g., Rheinmetall).
Global and Domestic Economic Conditions: While the eurozone and German economies have shown resilience with modest GDP growth (ECB forecast: 0.9% growth for 2025), there are headwinds from trade tensions, consumer demand, and sectoral shifts (notably auto and chemicals).
Trade Policy/Geopolitics: Ongoing global trade tensions, new tariffs, and geopolitical uncertainty remain sources of risk and volatility for the index. ECB President Lagarde has repeatedly warned that “trade tariffs are a negative demand shock” and could weigh on German growth prospects.
3. Current Outlook for GER40 (August 2025)
The index gained nearly 22% so far in 2025, surpassing 24,000 and even pushing toward record highs around 24,650. AI-based and institutional forecasters project continued bullish momentum, with most calling for stability or gradual increases but noting the potential for a market correction after strong gains.
Rate cuts, lower energy prices, and corporate strength are the main drivers for the recent rally, while persistent trade risks and sectoral weaknesses remain key downside risks.
Despite economic fragility, especially in manufacturing and energy costs, the DAX/GER40 remains resilient thanks to monetary policy support and selective corporate strength.
4. Recent ECB Actions & Commentary
At the July 2025 meeting, Lagarde and the ECB Governing Council kept rates steady after several cuts earlier in the year, citing moderate growth and disinflation as justification for their stance. The ECB remains “cautiously upbeat,” expecting a 2% average inflation rate and slow but positive economic growth.
The ECB noted that further escalation of trade tensions or unexpected inflation swings could prompt new policy responses.
Summary:
The GER40 is currently driven by accommodative ECB policy under Christine Lagarde, robust earnings from key blue-chip companies, lower energy prices, and government fiscal stimulus. Risks include trade uncertainty, sector-specific downturns, and any reversal in global economic momentum. The ECB’s current president, Christine Lagarde, continues to play a central role in shaping the environment for German and eurozone equities.
WATCH MY DEMAND FLOOR
GER30The German 30 is in a clear downtrend, and we’re now seeing a possible setup for that trend to continue. Price has pulled back slightly, forming a rising wedge—a pattern that often leads to a further drop.
It's currently testing a resistance area near 23,682, where a short trade has been placed, with a stop just above and a target lower down near the next support zone. If the pattern plays out, we could see the downtrend continue in the coming sessions.
Trade Cautiously And Remember To Like And Subscribe For More A+ Setups.
Down continuationDown continuation, 24000 level is strong but we will see. Would like to see a brake and retest on Fib level.
DAX sideways consolidation support at 24070The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24070 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24070 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24605 – initial resistance
24740 – psychological and structural level
24910 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24070 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23935 – minor support
23820 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23925. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
