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TRUMP is the 47th President! Is this bullish for the markets?Donald Trump is the new (47th) President of the United States, coming into office for his 2nd time. The practical question on the investor's mind is of course how will the stock markets react? Even though there is no definitive way to approach this, the fact that Trump will resume power for a 2nd term, gives us a historic data set to have grounds for comparison. Fundamentally anything can be discussed on policies and strategies etc but technically the picture is more objective. As you can see on this Dow Jones (DJI) chart displayed on the 1W time-frame, Trump's 1st Presidential win was on November 08 2016. At that time, the market was trading within a Channel Up that started after a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) double test on January 19 and February 08 2016. Right before the Elections, the index experienced a natural 'Pre-election volatility' phase. The picture during the current election period isn't very different from 2016. As you can see, Dow started a Channel Up pattern after a 1W MA200 test and half-way through the year started to experience the usual 'Pre-election volatility' phase. During that time both in 2024 and 2016, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting and stayed intact. Notice how even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are similar from the time the Channel Up started until the elections. So naturally you are asking what does that mean for us moving forward? Well after the November 08 2016 elections and Trump's 1st win, Dow started to rise aggressively immediately and by March 2017 it almost reached the patterns top (Higher Highs trend-line) before the new medium-term relief pull-back. The post-election Bull Phase was concluded in January 2018, upon completing a +71% rise from the Channel's bottom and 7.0 Fibonacci extension from the volatility phase. So if symmetry acts its part, we may see 47000 by March 2025 and 55000 (+71% from the October 2023 bottom) by the end of 2025. Is this projection definitive? Of course not, nothing is 'absolute' in investing/ trading. But history has shown that the stock market has reacted more than positively after the U.S. elections, particularly in the case of a Trump win. What do you think? Will Trump's 2nd term be bullish? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
1
US30 Hits ATH: Bullish Continuation Amid Post-Election Momentum US30 Technical Analysis US30 futures soar to record high after Trump claims victory The price will continue the bullish trend to get 43890 as long as trades above 43350, also there is a retest possibility to43450 Bearish Scenario: A daily candle close below 43220 would signal a bearish move, targeting 42910 and 42770. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 43450, the bullish momentum is likely to continue toward 43890. Trading above 43350 confirms entry into a new bullish zone. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43350 Resistance Levels: 43700, 43890, 44000 Support Levels: 43220, 42910, 42770 Trend Outlook: - Bullish by stability above 43350
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
US30 Trendline Breakout AnalysisRecently, US30 (the Dow Jones Industrial Average) broke through a key resistance trendline, signaling a potential shift in market momentum. Here’s why we think this breakout is significant and why the index may continue to rise: Positive Economic Indicators: Recent economic data has shown resilience, with strong corporate earnings reports and steady employment numbers, reducing fears of an imminent recession. These factors boost investor confidence, attracting buying pressure and supporting upward price movement. Lower Interest Rate Concerns: With inflation showing signs of cooling, the Federal Reserve may ease on aggressive rate hikes, which typically weigh on equities. The market often rallies when the outlook on interest rates is more favorable, as it lowers borrowing costs and encourages investment in riskier assets like equities. Technical Breakout Confirmation: The recent breach of the resistance trendline was supported by high trading volume, which often validates the strength of a breakout. Additionally, other technical indicators, such as moving averages and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), show bullish momentum, suggesting that the breakout is not a false signal. Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite: Investors appear to be shifting toward a "risk-on" mode, with increased demand for growth-oriented and blue-chip stocks in the US market. This shift in sentiment often leads to further gains in major indices like the US30, especially as it represents stable, high-performing companies. Seasonal Trends and Year-End Rally Potential: Historically, the end of the year often brings about a “Santa Claus rally” in equity markets, where stock prices trend upward due to favorable market sentiment and portfolio adjustments. This seasonal pattern may further support the US30’s upward trajectory as we approach the year-end.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by US30EMPIRE
US30, Consolidation with Bearish Potential Below Key SupportTechnical Analysis The price dropped from its ATH and reached a support level. Today, US30 is expected to consolidate between 43900 and 43770 until a breakout occurs. A 4H or 1H candle close below 43770 would confirm a bearish move toward 43350. Alternatively, stabilization above 43900 could lead to a move toward 44270. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43900 Resistance Levels: 44070, 44270, 44440 Support Levels: 43760, 43580, 43350 Trend Outlook: Bearish under 43770 Bullish above 43910 Previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi