DJI trade ideas
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 29 July 2025
- Dow Jones reversed from the long-term resistance level 45000.00
- Likely fall to support level 44000.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the long-term resistance level 45000.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2024) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern, Bearish Engulfing.
Given the strength of the resistance level 45000.00 and the bearish divergence on the daily Stochastic, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 44000.00 (which reversed the price earlier in July).
DowJones bullish breakout support at 44390Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45197
Resistance Level 2: 45507
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44390
Support Level 2: 43900
Support Level 3: 43590
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US30 TRADE IDEA 4 AUGUST 2025The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is showing signs of a near-term bearish bias after breaking down from its rising daily channel and rejecting at the 44,700–45,100 supply zone, which coincides with a key former support level now acting as resistance. From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, this zone represents a recent order block where institutional selling pressure originated, making it a high-probability area to look for short entries if price retests with bearish confirmation, such as a daily bearish engulfing candle, a long rejection wick, or a clear lower-high formation. The first major downside target lies around 43,062, aligning with an intermediate demand zone, with an extended target toward 42,500, where deeper demand and prior consolidation converge. Stops should be placed above 45,150 to invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, if price drops into the 42,800–43,000 demand zone and shows strong bullish reversal patterns, there is scope for a tactical countertrend long back toward 44,700–45,100, provided that geopolitical and macro conditions turn supportive. Fundamentally, the market remains caught between optimism over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year and uncertainty stemming from the Fed’s cautious, data-dependent stance. Geopolitical risks—particularly heightened tensions in the Middle East and ongoing U.S.–China trade friction—are adding to volatility and could weigh on global risk sentiment, especially if oil prices spike and inflation concerns reemerge. These risks, combined with political uncertainty in the U.S., favor selling into rallies until there is a clear shift in macro direction. Key events to monitor include upcoming Fed communications, developments in Middle East conflicts, and any major U.S.–China trade headlines, all of which could either reinforce the short bias or trigger a sentiment-driven reversal. For now, the preferred approach is to sell into strength near the supply zone with defined risk, manage positions closely around the 43,000 demand area, and remain flexible to flip bias if price action and fundamentals align for a reversal.
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💣 The Setup: Bullish Raid in Progress!
The Thief has eyes on Wall Street's armored vault — US30 Index — gearing up for a multi-layered bullish assault.
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🔓 Entry Protocol – Any Price Level Is Breachable
🪜 Layered Limit Orders: Entry at any market level, multiple orders spread like a thief’s toolkit.
No sniper candle required — we work the shadows and stack with precision.
(Use the 15m-1H TF to tighten your strike zone.)
🛑 Stop Loss – The Getaway Hatch
📍 SL parked at 43300.0 – if the mission fails, we vanish clean.
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📈 Take Profit – The Loot Vault
🎯 Target: 45600
That’s the gold room, the top floor, the getaway car location.
Use trailing SLs to secure the bag mid-run if resistance agents start showing up.
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Global risk-on tone? ✅
Dow futures resilience? ✅
Thief’s sentiment meter flashing GREEN? ✅
Index rebalancing & sector flow favoring bulls? ✅
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Avoid entering during red folder data drops or FOMC speeches.
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US30 07/29 Sell Trade I don't like sells because I consider myself an optimistic person but the red candle that I mark in red gave me all I needed to know to enter sell and get my target profit filled. So. I know there is variation in this trade but we were on a downtrend and going against the trend is only acceptable when the trend is over( meaning a reversal) . So when I see a big candle break the support of my variation I entered
Anticipating DJIOn the daily timeframe, the current position of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is projected to follow one of three possible scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Black Label):
DJI is currently in the process of forming Wave iv of Wave , implying that any short-term rebound is likely to be limited. The index may test the resistance area between 43,953–44,142, but remains vulnerable to further downside correction thereafter.
Scenario 2 (Red Label):
In this scenario, Wave 4 is considered complete, allowing DJI to resume its upward momentum. A breakout would signal the start of Wave 5, targeting the 45,324–46,465 range for a potential new higher high.
Scenario 3 (Blue Label):
Here, DJI is assumed to be in the midst of Wave 4 of Wave (5). A corrective move is expected first, potentially revisiting the support zone around 42,262–43,028, before continuing its bullish trend to form a new higher high.
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This ain't your average analysis — it’s a Thief Trader-style 🔥tactical mission🔥 aimed at the mighty "US30/DJI" (Dow Jones Industrial Average). We're talkin' about a precision heist with a full blueprint: entry zones, trap setups, and escape exits. Read carefully — this ain’t for the faint-hearted traders! 🧠🦾
🧠 Entry Zones (The Break-In) 📈
🛠 ENTRY 1: Crack the wall near 44700.00 – that’s the resistance gate. Wait for confirmation.
🎯 ENTRY 2: Sneak in at the Market Makers’ Trap around 43500.00 – a dirty zone where retailers get baited. Perfect time to strike long!
🧱 DCA/Layering strategy recommended. Stack those buy orders like a thief layering explosives on a safe. 💣💸
🛑 Risk Levels (Escape Routes/Stop Loss)
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🔐 Stop Zones (Based on Strategy):
📌 Swing Buy SL (2H TF): Place at 44100.00 for the stealth buy.
🏦 Institutional SL (Swing Zone): Drop it around 43000.00
🔐 Max Risk SL (3H TF): If you're deep, your last stand is at 39200.00
☝️ SL depends on your position sizing, number of entries, and risk appetite. Trade like a thief, not a gambler.
🎯 Heist Target (Profit Exit)
🏁 Escape Point: 46200.00 — or exit before heat rises! Don’t be greedy. Rob and vanish. 💨💰
🔥 Market Mood: Why the Heist Is On
"US30/DJI" is bullish AF — thanks to:
📊 Macro-Economic Wind at Our Back
📈 Institutional momentum
📰 Strong sentiment and intermarket flows
Check your chart radar: Fundamentals + technicals aligning = green light for robbery! 🟢
⚠️ Tactical Reminder: News Can Jam the Plan
📵 Avoid new entries during major economic releases
🛡 Use trailing SLs to protect running trades
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Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 1 August 2025
- Dow Jones broke the support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 43000.00
The Dow Jones index broke the support zone between the support level 44000.00 and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term correction iv.
Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level at 43000.00 (target for the completion of the active correction iv and the former resistance from May and June).
Shakeout On The WayUnlike the SPX, the DJI didn't make a higher-high. Why is this? I think partially because it's price weighted as opposed to market cap weighted like the Nasdaq or SPX. The other part would be CPI numbers.
So what's next for the DJI? I see hidden bullish divs long term and hidden bearish divs short term, this a common shake out tactic I see to liquidate longs and shorts. I'll be looking to load up on the trade at the bottom of the channel and play the range as it develops.
As always: stay calm, don't panic, and don't forget you can always use a stop loss
The fear and green index is at 74, when people are greedy be fearful.
OVERVIEW The price is currently undergoing a bearish correctionUS30 OVERVIEW
The price is currently undergoing a bearish correction, targeting 44910. To confirm a bearish trend continuation, the price must break below 44770, which would likely lead to a move toward 44610.
However, if the price stabilizes above 44910 on the 4H timeframe, a bullish reversal may begin. A confirmed break above 45100 would strengthen bullish momentum and open the path toward 45290.
Key Levels:
• Pivot Line: 45045
• Support: 44910 – 44770 – 44610
• Resistance: 45100 – 45290
US30 Weekly Forecast – Bullish Bounce or Breakdown?Hope everyone had a great weekend!
This chart outlines a critical US30 intraday structure with price currently pulling back into a key confluence zone composed of:
A rising trendline from July 23rd
Two stacked demand zones, the upper around 44,850 and lower near 44,700
Bullish Scenario (Preferred Bias):
If price respects the trendline and upper key zone, we may see a bullish continuation targeting the 45,150–45,250 range.
The clean bounce zone, marked by the green arrow, suggests smart money might defend this level.
Watch for bullish engulfing or low-volume traps near 44,850–44,880 to confirm entry.
Bearish Scenario (Alternate Play):
If price fails to hold the trendline, and breaks below the 44,850 key zone with momentum, expect a drop into the lower zone (44,650–44,700).
A breakdown below this lower demand could shift the bias entirely, opening the door for a deeper correction back into the mid-44,000s.
Weekly Playbook:
Early week: Monitor the reaction at the upper key zone for sniper long opportunities with tight stops.
Mid to late week: If structure fails, flip bias and look for supply rejections on retests for shorts.
Risk: Account for FOMC/major U.S. news events that may introduce volatility traps around these zones.
Verdict: Stay patient. Let price dictate bias at the trendline. If it holds, this could be a textbook bounce continuation setup.