DJI trade ideas
short idea on Dow Jones Industrial index us30Hi traders, this idea is based on technical analysis. As you can see, the Dow Jones has broken below the support level of 44533.5, which leads me to expect further sell-off towards 43909.8, 43593.7, and 42598. My stop-loss is at 44533.5.
US30 sellOverall Trend:
The overall trend has been bullish, but there has been a breakout below the ascending trendline.
The price is currently retracing towards support zones.
Key Levels:
Main Resistance: Range between 45,208 - 45,300 (upper red zone)
Main Support: Range between 44,300 - 44,500 (lower red zone)
Important Mid-Level: Around 44,866
Trading Scenario:
After hitting resistance, the price has started a correction.
The highlighted green area marks a potential entry zone.
📉 Trading Signal:
🔹 Enter Short Position:
If the price pulls back to the 44,600 - 44,700 area and shows signs of bullish weakness, a short position could be considered.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Above the resistance zone at 45,208 (e.g., around 45,300)
🔹 Take Profit:
First level at 44,300
Second level at 43,663 (shown on the chart)
Third level at 43,140 if the downtrend continues
🔹 Risk Management:
The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade seems reasonable. Reassess the trade if the price breaks above 44,866.
✅ Conclusion:
Currently expecting a bearish correction, but if reversal candles or weakness in sellers are observed at support levels, there might be a chance for a trend change.
US30 (SHORT)
Zone has been holding price for a few Weeks and it is a sell Area as it cant break the resistance.
buy dow for a new ATHits my idea about dow jones index...plz trade wid money management and use SL and TP for u r trades...be care full about u r asset and money!!!!
downward terndIt is expected that the upward trend will form until the specified resistance level. Then there is a possibility of a trend change and the beginning of a downward trend.
"US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (44,000.0) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 44,600.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 43,000.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
⚪Fundamental Analysis
The US30 index is influenced by the overall performance of the US economy, including GDP growth rate, inflation, and interest rates. Currently, the US economy is experiencing a moderate growth rate, with a slight increase in inflation.
🔴Macroeconomic Analysis
The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish stance, with interest rates expected to remain high in the short term. This has led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which may impact the US30 index.
🟢COT Data Analysis
The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders are net short, while non-commercial traders are net long. This indicates a potential trend reversal.
🟡Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment is slightly bearish, with 55% of traders holding short positions.
🟤Positioning Data Analysis
Institutional traders are holding short positions, while corporate traders are holding long positions. Banks are maintaining a bearish stance.
🔵Market Sentiment
- Institutional Traders: 60% bearish, 40% bullish
- Hedge Funds: 70% bearish, 30% bullish
- Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
🟣Overall Outlook
The US30 index is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with a slight bearish bias due to the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve. However, the index's movement will largely depend on the overall performance of the US economy and global economic trends.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Dow Jones about to crash to "41k" in the coming weeks
Dow Jones (US30) Faces Heavy Selling Pressure! Are we likely to see a drop to 41k zone or will it still hold its bullish momentum ?
US30Price gave us a Double Top structure and I am now anticipating price to be bearish. Price has moved impulsively to the downside and I am now looking for a bigger correction to form because price is at the amber zone(Orange), so it is likely riskier if a smaller correction is formed because it will tend to be a trap and create a big correction.
Long Scalp - Look goodUse proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
Moustafa! 18.02.25 Us 30 has a chance to surge up to the upside!As you see the potential of reaching to the upper line of that symmetrical triangle and a chance to break it to the upside...
it settled and bounced up from a uptrend line already
The idea is only valid as long no day candle closes under the low line of the symmetrical triangle in purple!
Note:
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
DOW JONES 1D MA50 supporting huge Inverse H&S push!Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 15 months. The pattern that could be the strongest driving force however in the coming weeks is an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), which is about to complete its Right Shoulder.
As you can see this is being strongly supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in the past 30 days and every such IH&S pattern in the last 2 years broke to the upside and hit at least its 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
The 1D RSI sequences between those IH&S fractals are identical and the current RSI Bearish Divergence matches perfectly all previous Right Shoulder formations that preceded the 1.382 Fib push.
As a result, a 46400 Target would be an ideal technical Higher High for the Channel Up.
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US30: Sell ideaOn US30 as you can see on the chart we have a sell idea because we have the breakout with force the support line by sellers.
SIMPLE SMART MONEY CONCEPTa 15min schematic, whereby we are in an uptrend and we have a major break of market structure(MBOS) to the upside, within the MBOS there's a shift of market structure to the upside, where we mark our Demand OB, which has an inefficiency, that has to be filled we patiently waited for the market to make a return to the OB(RTO) making internal liquidity. We used the Quasimodo level and inducement as confluence, and waited for the sellside pool of liquidity resting at the wick to be swept and executed our trade.
So BRIEFLY, the schematic comprises of
-BOS
-DEMAND OB
-INEFFICIENCY(NEAR OB)
CONFLUENCE
-INDUCEMENT
-QML
SWEEP
US30 - NEW HIGHS COMING (Weekly Outlook) Price is CONSOLIDATING
Our previous move before Market Closure was a Manipulation leg following suit to collect previous sell side Liquidity and Imbalance.
As the Previous Historical Move presented the exact same setup before impulsing towards a new high and I expect price in this move to do the exact same thing.
I do expect price to make some smaller movements on Monday and possible Tuesday before pushing out of this smaller consolidation zone before we get that large volume of price
Good luck to any traders that follow
DJIDJI - Dow Jones Index
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " AB " Corrective Waves
Order Block
Resistance Level
Symmetrical Triangle as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
Change of Characteristics
Dj trading I dea Hi traders what is your view?according to my view and analysis am expecting a small rejection towards lower trendline support before a breakout to the upside however I don't control the market ,market can goo all the way up from the current prices and that doesn't mean it won't come down, still soo position yourselfs accordingly and don't be in hurry (FOM0)I won't give you exactly point but expect anything thank you.
US30 stalls amid Fed uncertainty and trade policy risks
Macro:
- The Dow remained in a prolonged sideways trend within a tightening range, navigating Fed policy uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and evolving trade policies.
- Markets expect it to stay range-bound until the Trump administration finalizes tariff measures early next month.
Technical:
- US30 is trading in a tight range at the previous top level and awaits an apparent breakout to determine the potential trend.
- If US30 breaks above the resistance at 45000, the index may continue rising to 47146, the 100% Fibonacci Extension level, which is confluence with the Ascending Channel's upper bound.
- On the contrary, a closing below 44000-44200 may prompt a further correction to restest the following support at 43300.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
US30What is US30?
The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a stock market index that represents the performance of 30 large publicly traded companies in the United States. It is a price-weighted index, meaning that stocks with higher share prices have more influence on its movement. The US30 serves as a key indicator of the overall health and performance of the U.S. stock market and economy.
SIR ,Jerome H. Powell serves as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, which is often referred to as "the Fed." He plays a crucial role in setting monetary policy decisions for the United States
How Do Fed Monetary Policies Affect US30?
The Federal Reserve's monetary policies significantly impact financial markets, including indices like US30. The primary tool used by the Fed to implement these policies is adjusting interest rates.
(1)Interest Rates and Their Impact
Raising Interest Rates: When inflation rises or economic growth becomes too rapid, increasing interest rates can help slow down economic activity by making borrowing more expensive. This typically leads to decreased spending and investment in stocks, potentially causing indices like US30 to decline.
(2)Lowering Interest Rates: Conversely, when economic growth slows down or during periods of low inflation, reducing interest rates makes borrowing cheaper. This encourages spending and investment in stocks, potentially boosting indices like US30.
(3)Market Sentiment: Changes in interest rates affect investor sentiment towards equities. Lower rates generally boost investor confidence by making it cheaper for companies to borrow money for expansion or investment.
Economic Indicators: Since US30 reflects major U.S.-based corporations' performance across various sectors (e.g., technology and finance), changes in monetary policy can influence these sectors differently based on their reliance on borrowing costs.
(3)Volatility: Adjustments in monetary policy can lead to increased volatility in financial markets as investors react quickly to potential shifts in economic conditions signaled by rate changes.
In summary, Fed monetary policies directly influence how investors perceive risk and allocate capital between different asset classes such as bonds versus equities (like those tracked by US30). These perceptions drive market movements based on expectations about future economic conditions influenced by central bank actions
DJI should reduce its weight in the short term and may declineThe scenario is for reference only and does not constitute an investment recommendation
5-0 pattern counts complete after the flushTwo patterns … Shark pattern followed by the into the 5.0 has counted complete. I’ll be watching for a push back toward the high…
DOW JONES: Triangle about to break out.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.474, MACD = 190.020, ADX = 26.060) as it is trading inside a Triangle pattern, sideways around the 4H MA50. A crossing over the R1 level will be a long aiming at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP1 = 48,000), while a crossing under the S1 level will be a short aiming at Fib 0.0 (TP = 42,000).
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