US30: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 40,968.4 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 41,302.5 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DJI trade ideas
US30 (Dow Jones) Outlook – Thursday SetupWe're seeing a strong bullish push following the London Open. My expectation is for price to dip back into the London ORB zone and test one of the marked short-term demand blocks.
🔁 Play-by-Play Expectation:
Pullback to the lower OB zones and ORB.
Strong reaction from demand with bullish continuation.
Final target: top of the H1-H4 Supply Channel above 41,200–41,300 zone.
🧠 Contextual Notes:
Clean structure break post-London open.
Price filled imbalances efficiently.
Still respecting bullish internal order flow.
Clear confluence with trendline + FVG zones below.
📍 Key Zones:
Demand/Entry: ~40,840–40,760
Target Supply: ~41,250+
Invalid below: 40,643
Let the market come to your zone — no chasing. Be patient and precise. 🧘♂️
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This is my own analysis and I’m still learning. Please do your own research and be careful with your risk management. This is not financial advice.
US30 Bulls Testing Resistance – Will 40,770 Hold or Break?Price is currently testing the 40,770 🔼 resistance zone after a strong bullish push. This level has previously acted as a key ceiling and could determine the next directional move. Price has been climbing steadily with higher lows, indicating bullish momentum.
Support at: 40,194 🔽, 39,070 🔽, 36,800 🔽
Resistance at: 40,770 🔼, 41,552 🔼, 42,540 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A clean breakout and hold above 40,770 could open the path to 41,552 and 42,540.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection at 40,770 or a drop below 40,194 could signal weakness and send price back to 39,070.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis Summary
Daily Chart (Macro View)
• Price has bounced off a key support near 37,700 and reclaimed the psychological level 40,000.
• MACD is starting to reverse higher from oversold conditions, showing early bullish divergence.
• RSI is recovering from below 30, now near 49, indicating a potential trend reversal.
• Trend: Medium-term recovery from a correction; possible continuation to recent highs around 44,000.
15-Minute Chart (Tactical Entry Zone)
• Price has broken a downtrend and is now consolidating above previous resistance at 40,000.
• MACD is bullish (histogram rising), and signal lines are above zero.
• RSI at 62.6, suggesting bullish momentum but not yet overbought.
• White MA shows clear upward curvature.
3-Minute Chart (Precision Entry)
• Recent pullback retested the MA and bounced.
• RSI at 66, nearing overbought, but price is in clear short-term uptrend.
• MACD just crossed bullish again after a small consolidation.
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Fundamental Context
• Recent Fed signals suggest potential rate pause or cuts, which is bullish for indices.
• Earnings season has generally surprised to the upside, especially among large caps.
• Macro backdrop: Slowing inflation + strong labor market = supportive of equities.
• Risk appetite is increasing, as seen in tech and industrials rebounding.
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Trade Setup
• Position: Long US30
Entry
• Buy: 40,200 (current price action confirms upward momentum)
Stop Loss (SL)
• SL: 39,700 (below recent 15-min swing low & psychological level)
Take Profit (TP)
• TP1: 41,200 (recent intraday high and near resistance)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
DJIA Tests Major Resistance – Reversal or Breakout Next?The Dow Jones Industrial Average is pressing against a key resistance zone near 40,860, the neckline of a double-bottom pattern after rebounding sharply from its mid-April low:
📈 Strong 2-week rally from sub-37K lows
🔵 Price attempting to break the neckline after reclaiming the 50-day SMA
📊 RSI near neutral at 51 – plenty of room to run
📉 MACD accelerating upward, hinting at bullish momentum
If price clears and holds above 40,860, bulls could target a move back toward 42,500–43,000. Failure to break this zone may trigger a pullback toward the 50-day SMA near 41,500.
The setup is constructive — but the bulls need confirmation.
-MW
US30 Trade Update – Target HitFollowing my earlier post, I waited patiently for a solid confirmation. After price closed above the New York ORB, I entered long — and after a long wait, the trade finally hit the target right at the higher zone I had marked in advance.
This was a good reminder of the value of patience, planning, and trusting the process. The setup played out just as anticipated, and the breakout above structure delivered beautifully.
✅ Trade plan respected
📈 Entry after NY ORB breakout
🎯 Target reached with solid momentum
📌 Reminder: This is my personal analysis and part of my ongoing learning journey. Please do your own research and always manage risk responsibly.
BUY US30 nowWe’re seeing a potential breakout and retest setup forming on the US30, with clear market structure and volume confirmation.
🔹 Range Formation
Price recently consolidated in a defined range between ~40,230 and ~40,400. This range was respected multiple times, showing strong participation from both buyers and sellers.
🔹 Volume Profile Insight
The Point of Control (POC) — marked by the red horizontal line — sits just below the current price level. This is the price area where the highest volume was traded, indicating strong interest and potential future support.
🔹 Trade Idea
A bullish breakout was initiated above the range, targeting the 40,683.64 zone:
Entry: Just above the range high
POC (Support zone): Around 40,231
Stop Loss: Below the POC (~40,141)
Take Profit: Next major resistance (~40,683)
🔹 Current Behavior
Price is now retesting the POC — a critical moment. If it holds, we could see another push higher. A clean breakdown below the POC would invalidate the bullish scenario and suggest sellers are gaining control.
🧠 Key Watch Levels:
Hold of POC = potential long continuation
Break below 40,141 = reevaluate bias
🎯 Reminder: Trade the reaction, not the prediction. Let price confirm your thesis before acting.
US30 Trade Update- Still MonitoringFollowing up on my earlier analysis, I have not entered a long position yet. While the price action respected the breakout structure, momentum has weakened, and we're currently trading below the New York Opening Range (NY ORB).
I’m holding off on any entries until we get a clean candle close above the NY ORB, which would signal renewed bullish intent. The original setup remains valid, but I’m staying patient and disciplined, waiting for confirmation before committing.
👉 If price continues to break down and fails to reclaim the NY ORB, I won’t be trading US30 for the rest of the day — I’ll let the market do its thing and wait for a better setup.
📌 Reminder: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. I'm still learning and sharing my process — always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
US30 Stuck at Resistance – 28/04/2025🛑 US30 Stuck at Resistance – 28/04/2025 🛑
📈 Big Bounce — But Stuck Below Key Resistance!
US30 has made a strong recovery from 38,000s, but now it’s consolidating right under the 40,260 - 40,360 resistance zone. The bulls are trying to hold above 40,000, but momentum is stalling ⚡.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Price hovering around 40,000
🔹 Major resistance = 40,260 → 40,360
🔹 40,701 is the "final boss" resistance zone
🔹 EMAs (blue/white lines) starting to compress → ⚠️ squeeze coming soon!
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟰 Range between 39,800 - 40,360
🔻 If we reject and lose 39,800 → look for short plays targeting 39,200/38,955
🚀 If we break and close above 40,360 → clean upside toward 40,700+
🧠 Mindset Reminder:
⚡ Tight ranges = avoid overtrading
⚡ Wait for breakout confirmation → momentum will come
DOW JONES MONTHLY | Pullback in Motion
After tagging the $45,071 previous high, the Dow is now reacting sharply — down over 4.5% and sitting right on the 0.236 Fib level at $41,080.
⚠️ Momentum shift confirmed by this monthly candle.
Next key levels:
0.382 at $38,692
0.5 at $36,762
0.618 at $34,832 — the golden zone
This move could be a healthy correction within an uptrend — or the start of something deeper.
🔍 Watch price reaction around these fib zones closely.
Navigating Trump Tariffs on the Dow JonesNavigating the movements of the **US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)** can be challenging, especially amid shifting economic policies. The Dow, which tracks 30 major U.S. companies, is highly sensitive to trade policies, corporate earnings, and geopolitical risks. Trump’s plan to impose **10% across-the-board tariffs** and **60%+ tariffs on Chinese goods** has sparked concerns about inflation, supply chain disruptions, and retaliatory trade measures. Investors are closely watching how these policies could impact multinational companies within the index, particularly those reliant on global trade, such as **Boeing, Apple, and Caterpillar**.
For everyday Americans, higher tariffs could mean **rising prices on imported goods**, from electronics to household items, worsening inflation. While tariffs aim to protect domestic industries, they often lead to **higher production costs** for businesses that rely on foreign materials, potentially triggering job cuts or reduced consumer spending. The stock market’s reaction—volatility in the US30—reflects these uncertainties, as investors weigh the risks of slower growth against potential benefits for U.S. manufacturers.
Traders navigating the US30 must monitor **Fed policy, corporate earnings, and trade war developments**. If tariffs escalate, defensive stocks (utilities, healthcare) may outperform, while industrials and tech could face pressure. Long-term investors might see dips as buying opportunities, but short-term traders should prepare for turbulence. Ultimately, Trump’s tariff policies could reshape market dynamics, making adaptability key for those trading the Dow.