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U.S. Dollar Index

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1. "What do you think — is DXY ready to fly or fall?"DXY 4H Analysis – Decision Time for the Dollar? After completing a falling wedge with a clean 5-wave Elliott structure, the U.S. Dollar Index is approaching a key demand zone. Will buyers step in to push price toward the bullish target near 106 📈? Or will we see another rejection from the supply zone and a deeper drop to 94? 📉 Wave A or Wave B? Market structure shows signs of reversal, but confirmation is still pending a break of resistance or further rejection. 👉 What do you think — bounce or breakdown? Comment your view below ⬇️ Let’s see who’s riding the next big wave 🌊 #DXY #USD #ElliottWave #SupplyAndDemand #GreenFireForex #ForexAnalysis #WaveTheory
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
DXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental AnalysisDXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental Analysis DXY has reclaimed momentum, trading at 99.300, after strong U.S. economic data and a hawkish tone from Fed officials signaled policy stability — boosting short-term confidence in the U.S. dollar. On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing a bullish structure reinforced by clean liquidity manipulation and institutional flow. Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking above minor key resistance at 99.250, triggering a wave of buy-side momentum. A brief liquidity hunt below 99.250 followed — a textbook manipulation phase — before buyers stepped back in. DXY then formed Higher Highs and Higher Lows, indicating a well-supported uptrend. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, where smart money often positions for the next leg up. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 99.140 (Buy Limit) 🛡 Stop-Loss: 98.990 (Below liquidity grab and minor support) 🎯 Take Profit: 99.610 (Next minor resistance / 1:3 RR) This setup aligns with institutional behavior, offering a high-probability entry for short-term trend continuation. 📰 Fundamental Outlook 🇺🇸 USD Strength Backed by Short-Term Fundamentals Resilient U.S. Data: Retail sales and durable goods orders beat forecasts, signaling economic strength and limiting downside for the dollar. Fed Stays Hawkish: Policymakers have reiterated their "higher for longer" stance, reducing expectations for rate cuts and supporting the dollar. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical concerns and weak economic data abroad have driven flows back into the USD as investors seek stability. Yield Support: Elevated U.S. bond yields continue to attract foreign capital, giving additional strength to DXY. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by RebornFXTrader
Dollar Index Dips – All Eyes on 97.600?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading just below the 100.000 🔼 resistance area, following a series of lower highs and lower lows that reflect a clear bearish trend. Price is now approaching the 97.600 🔽 level, which has previously acted as a key turning point and could influence the next directional move. Support at: 97.600 🔽 Resistance at: 100.000 🔼, 101.500 🔼, 102.812 🔼, 104.223 🔼 🔎 Bias: 🔽 Bearish: The trend remains bearish while price stays below 100.000. A break below 97.600 may lead to further downside continuation. 🔼 Bullish: A bounce from 97.600 followed by a move back above 100.000 could open the door for a recovery toward 101.500. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by SPOT_FX
Bond Market Breakdown: Why Yields Are Surging and What It Means 🚨 Market Recap – May 2025 Edition This week, markets sent a clear message: rising yields are shaking the foundation. In this video, I break down the key events driving the spike in U.S. Treasury yields — the highest in nearly two decades — and what that means for major assets like: 💵 DXY (U.S. Dollar) 📉 XAU/USD (Gold) 🟠 BTC/USD (Bitcoin) We unpack: Why the dollar is showing strength despite long-term fiscal concerns How bond market stress is impacting investor sentiment across all asset classes What rising yields mean for your portfolio — in plain language Why this might be the most important macro signal traders are missing right now If you’re a trader, investor, or just trying to understand what’s really moving the markets, this recap connects the dots. 📊 Watch now to stay ahead. 🔁 Feel free to share or comment with your thoughts! #MarketRecap #BondYields #DXY #Gold #Bitcoin #MacroAnalysis #TradingView #InvestorInsights #FX #Crypto #TradingStrategy
TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller
USD Reversal From 2025 Downtrend- DXY Short-term LevelsThe US Dollar Index rallied more than 4% off confluent support with the recovery failing at the yearly downtrend this month. The decline is responding to initial support late in the week with the near-term recovery may be vulnerable as we head into the close of the month. A look at DXY price actions shows the index rebounding off support today at 99.40/47- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement of the April rally and the May low-day close (LDC). Initial resistance is eyed at the 38.2% retracement of the recent decline / 2024 low-close at 100.35 with key resistance around the 50% retracement at 100.65- note that the April trendline converges on this threshold over the next few days. Ultimately, a breach above the Friday close / 61.8% retracement at 100.97 is needed to suggest a more significant low was registered last month / validate a breakout of the yearly downtrend. A break below the weekly lows would threaten resumption of the broader downtrend towards subsequent objectives seen at the 78.6% retracement at 98.79 and key support at 97.71-98.39- a region defined by the 2018 swing high, the 2025 swing low, and the 61.8% retracement of the 2018 advance. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Bottom line: The U.S. Dollar has broken below a multi-week uptrend with the bulls now attempting to mark resumption of the yearly downtrend. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to 100.65 IF the index is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 99.40 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline. Keep in mind we get the release of key U.S. inflation data next week with core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) on tap into the close of the month. Stay nimble into the release and watch the weekly closes here for guidance. -MB
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
DOLLARDXY (US Dollar Index) and Bond Yield Relationship – May 2025 Current Market Situation US Treasury Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.54% (May 21, 2025), and the 30-year yield is testing the 5% level amid a global bond sell-off. DXY (US Dollar Index): The DXY and the 10-year yield are moving in sync again after a period of divergence earlier in 2025. Relationship Dynamics Positive Correlation: Historically, the DXY and US bond yields (especially the 10-year yield) tend to move together. When yields rise, the dollar often strengthens, as higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns. In recent weeks, this positive correlation has resumed after a brief disconnect in April, when yields surged but the dollar weakened due to shifting investor sentiment and US tariff policy. Periods of Divergence: In early April 2025, there was a notable divergence: yields climbed while the dollar fell, reflecting a rare episode where investors were wary of US assets despite higher returns, possibly due to concerns about US fiscal health and global trade tensions. During that period, both US bonds and the dollar declined together, signaling a potential shift away from US assets and raising questions about the dollar’s structural appeal as a reserve currency. Recent Realignment: After the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting and a major tariff agreement with China, the DXY and yields began rising together again, indicating renewed confidence in US assets and a return to more typical market behavior. Key Factors Influencing the Relationship Fed Policy: Expectations for future rate cuts or hikes directly influence both yields and the dollar. Higher expected rates generally support both. Global Risk Sentiment: In risk-off scenarios, the dollar can strengthen even if yields fall, due to safe-haven demand. Trade and Fiscal Policy: Tariffs and concerns about US debt sustainability can disrupt the usual correlation, as seen in early 2025. Summary Table Factor Impact on DXY Impact on Yields Typical Correlation Rising US Yields Strengthens DXY Yields rise Positive Fed Rate Hike Expectations Strengthens DXY Yields rise Positive US Fiscal Concerns Can weaken DXY Yields may rise Can diverge Global Risk Aversion Strengthens DXY Yields may fall Can diverge Trade Tensions/Tariffs Mixed Mixed May disrupt correlation Conclusion As of May 2025, the DXY and US bond yields have resumed a positive correlation, both rising in response to Fed policy signals and improved risk sentiment following a major tariff agreement. However, earlier in the year, this relationship broke down due to concerns about US fiscal stability and shifting global investment flows. The interplay between DXY and yields remains sensitive to Fed policy, fiscal outlook, and geopolitical developments. #DOLLAR #DXY
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
DXY demonstrates the USD is in troubleThis week's selloff has a chance of validating last week's Shooting Star candle. It's only Tuesday, so there's still much time left, but if the DXY does fall here, the next stop is 97.50, and then 94.75. I don't consider 97.50 a strong level, so somewhere near 95 is more likely. Thursday's PMI numbers could push the USD in either direction. The last print was 50.6, and anything below 50 is considered a contraction, so little room for downside is available. This report will be more carefully watched I believe than usual.
TVC:DXY
by positionforex
1
DOLLARThe relationship between the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury bond yields in May 2025 reflects a complex and evolving dynamic influenced by fiscal concerns, trade policies, and investor sentiment: Recent Trends: U.S. Treasury yields have risen, with the 30-year yield briefly touching 5%, and the 10-year yield climbing above 4.5%, driven by concerns over rising U.S. debt and fiscal deficits following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating. Despite this rise in yields, the U.S. Dollar Index has weakened, dropping about 4% year-over-year, reflecting reduced confidence in the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Typical Relationship: Normally, higher Treasury yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns, which supports a stronger dollar. The dollar and bond yields often move in tandem, showing a positive correlation (around 0.5 over recent months). This was evident recently as the dollar strengthened alongside rising yields following a preliminary U.S.-China trade truce. Current Anomalies: However, in early 2025, this relationship weakened significantly. The dollar declined even as Treasury yields rose, signaling a loss of confidence in U.S. assets amid escalating trade tensions and concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. This decoupling suggests investors are reconsidering the dollar’s role and are diversifying away from U.S. assets. Market Sentiment and Risks: The downgrade and rising deficits have increased fears about U.S. fiscal health, prompting some investors to sell U.S. assets, which pressures the dollar despite higher yields. Meanwhile, tariff policies and geopolitical risks contribute to volatility in both yields and the dollar. Outlook: The dollar and Treasury yields have recently realigned, moving more in sync again as trade optimism returned and the Fed maintained a steady policy stance. However, ongoing fiscal challenges and geopolitical uncertainties mean this relationship remains fragile. Summary Aspect Current Observation (May 2025) Treasury Yields Rising (10-year ~4.5%, 30-year ~5%) U.S. Dollar Index Weakened (~4% decline YTD) Typical Correlation Positive (~0.5 correlation between dollar and yields) Recent Anomaly Dollar fell while yields rose (early 2025) Drivers of Anomaly Fiscal concerns, Moody’s downgrade, trade tensions Market Sentiment Reduced confidence in U.S. assets and dollar Outlook Re-alignment underway but fragile due to fiscal risks In essence: While U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar usually move together—higher yields supporting a stronger dollar—recent fiscal concerns and geopolitical tensions have caused periods of divergence. Rising yields amid a weakening dollar reflect investor worries about U.S. debt sustainability and a potential shift away from the dollar’s reserve currency status. However, improving trade relations and Fed communication have recently brought the two back into closer alignment, though the relationship remains sensitive to evolving economic and political developments.
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
US Dollar Index Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 051925Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 100/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
TVC:DXY
by fibonacci6180