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U.S. Dollar Index

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Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 103.83 1st Support: 103.38 1st Resistance: 104.42 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
A deep analysis on the U.S. DollarThe dollar has been strong in recent weeks, considering that the two indicators I find very impactful for the dollar, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and the Non-Farm Employment Change, came in much higher than expected, leading the dollar to recover about 80% of the previous drop. Note: These two indicators will be published next week, with the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change on Wednesday and the Non-Farm Employment Change on Friday, and the forecast for both is negative. POV: According to the weekly DXY chart, the dollar is recovering from the previous drop, and as you can see, it has found a very strong resistance zone at 104.108, which could be a lower high compared to the previous one. If employment data comes in below expectations, the dollar will experience a sharp drop, considering there is a large gap at 102.100. If the data comes in higher than expected, the market may continue to decline to fill the gap at 102.100 and then resume its upward movement. Finally, I still believe in the long-term decline of the dollar.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by LordZanda
1
Trump 2.0: What to Expect If Donald Trump Returns to the W.HouseWith Donald Trump once again campaigning for president, his economic policies and views on international trade are resurfacing. Known for his aggressive protectionism, deregulation, and tax cuts, his economic approach has been dubbed the “Trump 2.0” by the media. But what does the Trump Trade really mean for investors? During his first term, Trump’s policies produced mixed results. While sectors like finance and energy thrived, the federal budget deficit widened, healthcare coverage decreased, and income inequality grew. Now, with the prospect of Trump returning to the White House, we could witness "Trump 2.0." What impacts might this have on the economy, and how should investors prepare? Key Points -The Trump Trade emphasizes lower taxes, deregulation, increased tariffs, and reduced immigration to stimulate U.S. growth. -Trump’s policies benefited sectors like finance and energy but also increased the federal deficit and triggered trade wars. If re-elected, Trump’s economic agenda could boost the stock market and select industries but also bring risks like higher inflation and global retaliatory tariffs. Understanding the Trump 2.0 The "Trump 2.0" represents Donald Trump’s economic strategy, which centers on stimulating growth through deregulation, tax cuts, higher tariffs, and reduced immigration. While this approach benefited specific sectors, it also led to rising federal deficits and global trade conflicts. Highlights of Donald Trump (2016-2020) 1. A Strong Economy Under Trump, the U.S. economy remained robust, with low inflation and consistent job growth until the COVID-19 pandemic struck. However, the economic momentum seen during Trump’s presidency was largely a continuation of the post-Great Recession recovery initiated by the Obama administration. 2. Job Creation and Wage Growth Prior to the pandemic, job creation and wage growth continued their upward trend, with unemployment hitting a 50-year low of 3.5% in 2019. Wages increased steadily in 2018 and 2019. 3. Tax Cuts The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, Trump’s most significant policy, represented the largest tax overhaul in 30 years, reducing the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. The tax cuts spurred consumer spending and increased private sector investment, but also added significantly to the federal deficit. 4. Booming Stock Market The stock market thrived under Trump’s administration, with the S&P 500 setting new records until 2022. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 57% during his tenure, fueled by high employment, wage growth, and tax incentives. S&P500 During Trumph Election 5. Widening Federal Deficit Trump’s tax cuts and increased defense spending expanded the federal deficit. In 2018, the annual deficit hit $779 billion, escalating to over $1 trillion by 2020. 6. Trade Tariffs Trump imposed tariffs on steel, aluminum, solar panels, and Chinese imports, triggering a “trade war” with China and other trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and the European Union. While intended to protect U.S. industries, these tariffs led to global retaliations, impacting American consumers and workers negatively. What to Expect If Trump Returns to Power If Trump returns to the White House, his economic policies could have significant implications for various sectors: 1. Impact on the Stock Market Historically, the stock market performs positively during election periods, regardless of the candidate. If Trump wins, expect market gains due to extended tax cuts, increased oil and gas production, and deregulation. While Trump’s policies could boost corporate investment, stock market performance will ultimately depend on broader economic fundamentals. 2. Impact on Bond Yields Trump's pro-business agenda, combined with increased spending, could drive inflation upwards. If inflation rises, the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates, which could increase bond yields but reduce bond prices. This would likely result in a more muted bond market under a Trump administration. 3. Impact on Dollar Strength A strong economy under Trump could bolster the U.S. Dollar. External factors, such as economic weakness in Europe and Asia, may further support dollar strength. However, a stronger dollar could hurt U.S. exporters, making their goods more expensive abroad and reducing their competitiveness. 4. Impact on Specific Sectors -Financial Services: The sector could benefit from deregulation, enabling banks to expand operations and increase profitability. -Technology: Tech companies may gain from extended corporate tax cuts, leading to higher investments, stock buybacks, and dividends. -Energy: Trump’s “drill, baby, drill” policy aims to expand domestic oil and gas production, supporting the energy sector and boosting U.S. exports. -Manufacturing: While a strong dollar could reduce export competitiveness, Trump’s emphasis on domestic production (e.g., the CHIPS and Science Act) could support U.S. manufacturers. -Infrastructure: Trump's support for infrastructure projects could benefit construction and civil engineering companies, building on the existing Infrastructure Act passed by Biden. Global Implications of Trump 2.0 -Universal Tariffs: Trump’s proposed universal tariffs could trigger significant global retaliation, leading to reduced trade, disrupted supply chains, and higher global inflation. -Renewed Trade War with China: Trump has hinted at increasing tariffs on Chinese imports to as high as 60%, which could hinder China’s economic recovery and create broader global economic uncertainty. Preparing for Trump 2.0 Investors should keep a close eye on sectors likely to benefit from Trump’s policies, such as finance, technology, energy, and infrastructure. At the same time, be prepared for volatility in the bond market and potential retaliatory tariffs impacting global trade dynamics. Diversifying portfolios, hedging against potential inflation, and maintaining a long-term investment outlook can help manage the uncertainties associated with a potential Trump return to the White House. Conclusion Trump 2.0 could have a significant impact on the U.S. economy and global markets. While certain sectors may experience growth under Trump’s policies, the risks of higher inflation, trade conflicts, and federal deficits remain. Investors should approach a potential Trump presidency with cautious optimism, focusing on sectors that align with his agenda while being prepared for increased volatility. By staying informed and adaptable, investors can capitalize on the opportunities and navigate the risks posed by a possible Trump comeback. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:DXYEducation
by FOREXN1
5
"US Dollar Breakout! Is DXY Ready to Surge to New Highs?"Based on the chart provided, here is a technical analysis for a potential buy on DXY (US Dollar Index): 1. Trendline Breakout: The chart shows that DXY is approaching a critical resistance area marked by a downward trendline. The price has tested this trendline and is starting to break through it. A successful breakout would suggest a bullish momentum, supporting a potential buy setup. 2. Volume Profile Support: There is a visible volume cluster around the 104.0 area, which might serve as strong support for any upward movement. The price has bounced off this region, indicating buying interest around this level. 3. Potential Upside Target: The white dashed arrow illustrates a possible price target after the breakout. If the upward momentum continues, the next resistance could be near 105.500 - 106.000 levels. This would be a reasonable target for a bullish trade. Conclusion: If DXY successfully breaks and closes above the trendline, this would confirm a buy signal. Traders should monitor for any consolidation above the breakout level to confirm further upward movement towards the next resistance zone around 105.5 to 106.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Robinhold
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS OF US DOLLAR - Watch n´Learn Hi everyone! So If you were to look back at my previous education video on the DXY you would have seen that we have continued to go higher. And right we are in the third zone without a pullback. What does it mean? Well for me, it means its definitely time for a serious pullback, where I would make back all my sell losses. This a little bit too manipulatory for me, and it does not make much sense, but gotta keep going and make that living. Thanks for watching!
TVC:DXYEducation
by ChameleonInvestments
DYX Monthly vs Crypto & Stocks: The Most Bullish Ever!The DXY is at its most bullish since June 2021. Here we can see it bouncing strongly from EMA55 as support. We looked at the DXY and how it is related to Bitcoin ( see here ). Now we want to consider the DXY on its own. ➖ How far up can the DXY go and for how long? To start, we can see that the last time the DXY went bullish it closed green for four consecutive months. This would be the first green month, so we have another three of potential bullish action. The bounce in July 2023 also produced four months of growth. Now, the action in the last bounce and back in 2023 were part of a consolidation pattern, what we are seeing now is the start of a bullish wave. ➢ First, within several months, or weeks, the DXY is set to hit 109. Long-term, it can go higher and hit a new All-Time High. ➢ The first long-term resistance will be around 114, which is the September 2022 peak. 111.1 would be an intermediate target. ➢ The new ATH can settle around 124/5. The last ATH was hit around 121. This is all based on the long-term. This is the monthly timeframe. The DXY going bullish can have a very strong negative effect on the stock market and even Cryptocurrency but this is only initially, after several months of the DXY being strongly bullish, the Cryptocurrency market can recover and do great. I don't know about the stock market, it can be different but Crypto will be fine. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
TVC:DXYLong
by AlanSantana
5
Analysis Dollar / DXYAs I mentioned in yesterday's analysis, the Dollar has a strong potential to continue its bullish movement on the weekly (W) chart to capture liquidity (LQY) in the upper zones. Also, let me remind you again that the Dollar is in consolidation on the weekly (W) chart. Tomorrow, we have very strong news at the opening of the New York Stock Exchange, so I will most likely take the day off and wait to see what happens. On the hourly (H) charts, we see strong bullish momentum, but we also see a lot of liquidity below. Therefore, I believe that tomorrow's news impact will push the price down and create a pullback for the price to collect buy orders.
TVC:DXY
by andricstrahinja95
BoC Rates Decision Pending22nd October DXY: Currently at 104.30, expecting further upside, needs to break 104.45 to trade up to 104.80. NZDUSD: Sell 0.6015 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6635 SL 20 TP 65 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2950 SL 40 TP 130 (Hesitation at 1.2880) EURUSD: Sell 1.0760 SL 30 TP 80 USDJPY: Buy 152.70 SL 30 TP 130 (hesitation at 61.8% 153.30) USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 15 TP 40 USDCAD: Buy 1.3860 SL 20 TP 60 or (counter trend) Sell 1.3920 or 1.3820 (need to hear hawkish BoC) Gold: Buy on retracement, or scalp up to 2760 and 2768
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
DXY Weekly In Relation To Bitcoin: MA200 & Price DynamicsHello my cherished reader, it is my pleasure to write and be of service to you again today. We are going to be looking at the DXY long-term, weekly timeframe. We will consider how the action is happening in relation to MA200 and then reach some conclusions in relation to Bitcoin, are you ready? Good! In June 2018 the DXY moves above MA200, the black line on the chart. It grows above MA200 but challenges this level continually as support. Eventually, after trying many times, MA200 fails as support in July 2020 and this produces the lowest levels in years. The DXY turned bearish for a long-term when it lost this major support line. (#1) In November 2021 the DXY moves above MA200 (the same date when Bitcoin peaked). This break above MA200 opened the doors for massive bullish growth. There was a retest of this level in January 2022 and then the DXY entered full bullish mode. (#2) Above MA200, the DXY reached a new All-Time High. This All-Time High was hit in September 2022, close to when Bitcoin hit its bear-market bottom. After hitting a new ATH the DXY went bearish; the start of a corrective phase. And we would wonder, how low will it go? (#3) The DXY finds support exactly at the MA200 line and turns bullish. It produced one full green candle and then closed green again. ➖ The DXY in relation to Bitcoin: Comparing Price Action After the DXY hit a new All-Time High, it was trading high up, MA200 was the main level that needed to be tested for the correction to find support. This same scenario can be considered for Bitcoin. Bitcoin moved above MA200 weekly in October 2023 and turned hyper-bullish. After reaching a new All-Time High a new corrective phase developed and is now underway. Coming from this new high, Bitcoin is set to test MA200 as support, just as the DXY did. (Bitcoin's weekly MA200 line now reads $39,960, but prices can go lower.) When the DXY goes bullish, Bitcoin turns bearish. When Bitcoin turns bearish, the DXY goes bullish. The short-term charts, hourly and daily, can be misleading, they can easily confuse. Focus on the long-term and you can easily find the truth. The DXY is bullish after years of going down, it is preparing to go up. Bitcoin is about to end a major correction, coming from a new All-Time High, it is set to test MA200 as support. This can be seen on the weekly chart. There you have it, the DXY in relation to Bitcoin. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
TVC:DXYLong
by AlanSantana