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HK33 remains mixed and volatile.HK33HKD - 24h expiration Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. Trend line support is located at 16530. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Trading within a Corrective Channel formation. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. 50 4hour EMA is at 16720. We look to Buy at 16700 (stop at 16540) Our profit targets will be 17100 and 17180 Resistance: 17000 / 17054 / 17150 Support: 16800 / 16700 / 16600 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:HK33HKDLong
by OANDA
Hang Seng's rally seems stable for nowThe Hang Seng is nearly unchanged from where it started the year. Some of the strongest gainers of the index in recent days have been JD and Meituan. However, Tencent Holdings, by far the largest constituent, is down around 20% since January. The latest earnings season in China wasn’t stellar although negativity has arguably been overstated in some media this quarter. The long-term trend is definitely down, but on this daily chart there are some positive signs. The 20-day SMA golden crossed the 50 from Bands late last month and the 50 also seems to be about to move above the 100. It’s probably going to be very difficult to break through 17,200 because that’s the confluence of the 200 SMA and the latest closing high from 12 March. In the context of the bounce since 23 January and the slow stochastic close to the zone of selling saturation, the current period’s engulfing candlestick seems cautiously positive. However, it’s normally less risky to wait for such a pattern to complete before acting on it. No significant earnings are coming up next week, so technical action is likely to dominate apart from around Caixin PMI on Monday. This is my personal opinion which does not represent the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
by Michael_Stark_Exness
Hang Seng index long term time cycle analysisThis is my time cycle analysis on the Hang Seng index. The index is basically dragging along its 30+ year channel bottom, approaching the trough of the green cycle between June-August of this year. This time region is highly likely to produce a tradable bottom, if not 'the' bottom. Unfortunately cycle trough timing zones only give us entry points for swings, whether it ends up being 'the bottom' is to be determined once we get there along with other charting indications. Note: ALL charts, SPX/NDX, HSI, and other major indexes have a double trough region in 2028 and 2029. It will be interesting to see what happens there.
TVC:HSILong
by thestructured
Weekly Analysis - HK50Last week, HK50 close back into the range as bearish. This week, pay attention to the two crucial level, 16369 and 16127. Overall structure from weekly is still bullish as long as it doesn't break the two level I mentioned. For sell, the safest sell will be if 1 hour and 4 hour starts to close below 16127. There is plenty of room to go back down to 15450. For buy, since we are now in the range between 16805 and 16369, it will be best to consider buy once the candle close above 16805. The overall TP can be 17614.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
by howard11594
2
HKIND Frenzy Will the Hang Seng rise from the ashes?The impact of several Chinese economic indicators has pushed the Hang Seng index higher, albeit with mixed results: while retail sales, industrial production and foreign investment data beat expectations causing the index to correct higher, the unemployment rate showed a slight increase of 0.1% from the previous one. The anticipation of this week's meetings of the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan are crucial to define the trend in China and the region as a whole. However, corporate conflicts such as those related to TikTok and Fisker's bankruptcy on the NYSE have weighed down the index, leading it to a significant drop losing 3.84% from its price of 17194.50 to 16534.06 points. Despite this, the electric vehicles and batteries sector which weights very heavily on the Hong Kong index has shown some resilience, contributing to a slight rebound of the index by 0.4% in the current session. In terms of technical analysis, the chart reveals a bearish construction trend since last year due to multiple economic scandals in China, highlighting the real estate and banking scandals. However, since January, the price has shown signs of recovery recovering quotes from December 2023. This could mark an index that is more undervalued than it really should be and a perceived depreciation in excess of the real value of the companies that make up the index. The RSI currently stands at 49.38%, indicating a possible reversal to the upside. The price bell signals a checkpoint at 19437.89 points, suggesting a possible return to that zone in the long term. A Chinese economy that has shown 5% growth versus the US economy that only grew by 2.4% in an environment of slowing consumption, for a country heavily dependent on exports, is growing at these rates due to its high domestic demand. If we stick to the short term analysis, a wedge analysis suggests a top at 17187.53 points, with a short term target that could take the index to the price zone of the previous range around 18393.53 points. However, if this pattern is not confirmed and the index continues its downtrend after reaching 17187 points, the support level would be looking for its support zone at 14693 points. Ion Jauregui - AT Analyst ********************************************************************************************************** The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:HKINDLong
by ActivTrades
Weekly Analysis - HK 50Last week, HK50 finally tapped 17100 level but it retracts back to 16700 level to close the week. This week, based on the 1 hour and 4 hour time frame structure, it looks like we are starting to form a bearish structure with a lower high and lower low. I will need more confirmation that we are heading back down, thus my sell level remains at 16369. Once that level breaks, we will go straight to 15900 level. For buy, it might be tough to enter buy as there is no sight of higher high and higher low just yet. I will wait for the 1 hour candle to start closing above 16880 level before considering a buy position
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
by howard11594
Buy or Sell - HK50As discussed yesterday, the previous daily close right at resistance level of 17101, after a top wick, it ended up close back into the range below 16800. For today analysis, I am skeptical about the continuation of bearish candle. The reason being is because, if looking back at the last time, January 2, when it closed at 17101 and rip back down, the previous couple days leading up to it were not as bullish compare to this bull run. Second of all, although the daily did close below 16800 level, it was not as strong bearish candle closure compare to Jan 2 this year. Thus, I will only consider a sell at 16369 which is also the weekly candle flip. As for buy, once it the 1 hour candle close back above 16972, I will consider entering a buy, eyeing TP of at least 17101.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by howard11594
HK50 - Trade with cautious Yesterday, Unfortunately, it did not drive up as much as I expected to be. The daily actually close right at resistance level of 17106. Overall, I am still bullish for the week, eyeing at least 17400 level. Trade idea for today, the reason I mentioned to trade with cautious is because it closes right at resistance level. There is a possibility of a gap open to the down side before it drives back up. Thus, I will wait for at least the first hour candle to close above that level before entering the buy
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by howard11594
1