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IXIC trade ideas

Nasdaq: Momentum Backed by AI, But Caution WarrantedThe Nasdaq Composite closed at 19,714.99 on June 10, extending its rally to three straight days. This rise is underpinned by three key factors: strong AI-led earnings, a supportive macro backdrop, and bullish technical patterns. 1. Fundamentals: AI Fuels Earnings Top tech firms like NVIDIA (Q1 revenue: $44B+) and Broadcom are benefiting from the ongoing AI boom, driving the index higher. Even smaller firms like Duolingo (+53% YTD) are seeing outsized gains thanks to AI integration. 2. Macroeconomics: Stable Policy, Trade Hopes The Fed’s steady rate policy (4.25–4.5%) is helping high-growth tech stocks maintain strong valuations. Meanwhile, improved U.S.–China trade sentiment has lifted investor confidence. 3. Technicals: Bullish Structure Holds The Nasdaq 100 remains in a rising channel, trading above its 20-day moving average. Key levels to watch: Resistance: 21,950–22,200 Support: 21,400 and 20,340 A breakout above 22,200 could open room for further upside. Caution: Market Breadth is Narrow Much of the rally is driven by a few mega-cap names—the “Magnificent Seven”: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Meta, and Tesla. Their outsized influence means the index may rise even while broader market participation is weak. Key Takeaways for Traders AI-related earnings continue to fuel growth. Rate stability supports tech valuations. Market breadth is thin—watch for volatility if leadership stumbles. Use technicals to time entries, but manage risk carefully. Conclusion While the Nasdaq’s rally is fundamentally and technically sound, narrow breadth adds fragility. Stay with the trend, but monitor signs of rotation or pullback closely.
NASDAQ:IXICLong
by Jacques1000
2
Nasdaq Composite – Deja Vu All Over Again🐂 Bulls are like parents – they can watch the same movie over and over and never remember the ending. Look at the Nasdaq Composite: Pandemic bubble? Popped. Q2 peak? Drop. AI bubble? Feels like we’re on repeat. 📉 The last times we had these setups, we saw: A 20% drop, then a 37% cascade. Now? A potential 25% drop just to revisit recent levels… or even -50% if the movie repeats the whole script. 🎥 Are we at intermission or is it the climax? The market’s about to decide. Don’t let popcorn dreams blind you. Look at the chart and ask: 👉 Do I want to watch the same movie again, or leave early?
NASDAQ:IXIC
by SmartSignalss
2
NASDAQ is likely building a massive H&SWe’re very likely seeing the development of a H&S reversal pattern on the NASDAQ. Completion of the right shoulder is likely to take place over the next 2-4 weeks, especially when the impact of tariffs starts to become more pronounced through macroeconomic data and continued port volume shrinkage. The latter will create strong visuals for retail traders, further eroding consumer confidence. The impacts of tariff negotiations on fundamentals are negligible. Even if agreements with all nations are inked today, 100% restoration of damaged supply chains would still be months away, particularly with China. A shift of the supply curve to the left is naturally inflationary. The resulting impact on Q2 earnings will likely be severe for many sectors as overhead/inventory costs will swell considerably. The Fed has also signaled that relief via rate cuts will not happen, despite negative GDP growth, as long as inflation continues to climb. Given the inflationary nature of tariffs, it is highly unlikely we’ll see inflation reverse course in the near-to-intermediate term. Coupling this trend with continued negative GDP growth is the definition of stagflation. If the above plays out, we should see additional growth to around 18,600 with decreasing volume, followed by a reversal that takes us to approximately 12,000. Continued macroeconomic deterioration could drag this even lower.
NASDAQ:IXICShort
by Mr-Econ
3
Nasdaq preparing for another down move?Interesting chart of the Nasdaq (IXIC). You can see at the high we had the negative sell divergence with price triple topping, while the OP kept going to new highs (as shown by red arrows), with an overbought Technometer as shown by red dot. This showed selling behind the scenes. We then get to an oversold reading on the way down as shown by the green dot. But we continued lower which showed weakness, as we couldn't really even being oversold. The next rally was stopped in the same vicinity as the previous oversold reading (green dot), as shown by the second overbought (second red dot). This is showing that what should have been support, now turning into resistance. All this leads to another bout of selling.... We now have had another rally that takes us to our third overbought reading as shown by third red dot. We have had an a-b-c- rally off the lows, so if we turn down here once again it should lead to more selling.
NASDAQ:IXICShort
by WyckoffStockMarketInstitute
Trump's Second Term Brings Sharpest Market Decline Since 2001It's gone nearly three months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. less than 3 months, really? 🙀) since Donald Trump entered The White House (again). Those times everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on super hyped bullsh#t. What's happened next? We all know.. mostly all US stocks and crypto markets turned to 'a Bearish Mode', or to at least to 'a Correction' (that is still actual at this time). Here's a short educational breakdown for Nasdaq Composite index NASDAQ:IXIC what we think about all of that, at our beloved 💖 @PandorraResearch Team. Trump's Second Term Brings Sharpest Market Decline Since 2001: Analyzing the recent 15% Stock Market Plunge President Donald Trump's second term has coincided with a dramatic stock market downturn, with the S&P 500 losing approximately 15% of its value since his January 2025 inauguration. This represents the worst start to a presidential term since George W. Bush in 2001 during the dot-com crash. The decline has erased more than $3 trillion in market value, driven primarily by concerns over trade policies, particularly the implementation of new tariffs. Market analysts point to growing fears of potential stagflation—a toxic combination of slow economic growth and high inflation—as investor confidence continues to deteriorate despite pre-election expectations of business-friendly policies. Unprecedented Market Decline Under the New Administration Historical Context of Presidential Market Performance The current market downturn stands out in stark relief when compared to previous presidential transitions. The S&P 500 has fallen nearly 10% in the first 10 weeks since Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, marking the worst start under a new president since George W. Bush in 2001. This decline is significantly worse than the start of the prior five administrations, with Bush's roughly 18% drop during the dot-com crash being the only steeper decline in recent presidential history. Looking further back, only Richard Nixon experienced a comparable early-term market decline with a 7.2% drop, highlighting the severity of the current situation. When examining presidential market performance metrics, Trump's second term has already distinguished itself negatively. During the first 50 days, the S&P 500 declined by 6.4%, positioning it among the poorest market starts since 1950. By contrast, the best 50-day starts were achieved by John F. Kennedy (up 9.4%), Barack Obama (up 5.7%), and Bill Clinton (up 4.2%), demonstrating how unusual the current market trajectory is in historical context. Magnitude of the Current Decline The scale of market value destruction has been substantial. More than $3 trillion has been erased from the S&P 500's value over approximately 52 trading sessions since Trump's inauguration. By early April 2025, the decline had accelerated to approximately 15% from Inauguration Day, pushing the market dangerously close to bear territory. Market analysts note that if the S&P 500 reaches a 20% decline from its recent peak, it would mark the earliest instance of a bear market during a new administration based on S&P 500 history since 1957. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has suffered even more severely, with declines exceeding 11% by mid-March. This demonstrates the particular vulnerability of growth stocks that had previously led market gains, now facing the most significant corrections. Key Factors Driving the Market Downturn Trade Policy Uncertainty and Tariff Concerns Trade policy, particularly the implementation and threat of tariffs, has emerged as the primary catalyst for market turmoil. The unpredictable nature of these policies has created significant uncertainty for businesses, investors, and consumers alike. Trump's "on-again, off-again approach to tariffs" has effectively extinguished the optimism that initially buoyed markets following his election victory in November 2024. The market decline accelerated dramatically after what was termed the "Liberation Day" event, during which Trump announced plans for unprecedented tariff escalation. Two-thirds of the S&P 500's 15% decline occurred after this announcement, prompting Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research to observe that "Liberation Day has been succeeded by Annihilation Days in the stock market". Fear of Stagflation and Economic Instability Many economists have warned that the new tariffs could reaccelerate inflation at a time when economic growth may be slowing, creating conditions for stagflation. This combination is particularly concerning for investors, as it creates a challenging environment for corporate profitability and economic prosperity. The risk that tariffs could trigger this economic condition has effectively neutralized investor optimism regarding other aspects of Trump's agenda, including potential regulatory reforms and tax reductions. Shift in Market Sentiment The market has undergone a fundamental transformation in sentiment from the period immediately following Trump's election victory to the current environment. Initially, investors had bid stocks up to record highs, anticipating benefits from tax cuts, deregulation, and business-friendly policies. However, this optimism has been replaced by growing concern about economic direction. As one market strategist noted, "We have witnessed a significant shift in sentiment. A lot of strategies that previously worked are now failing". The S&P 500 has relinquished all gains made since Trump's November 2024 election victory, representing a striking reversal in market confidence. Potential Long-Term Implications Historical Patterns and Future Outlook Historical analysis suggests that poor market starts during presidential transitions often foreshadow continued challenges. According to SunDial Capital Research strategist Jason Goepfert, rough starts represent a "bad omen" for stocks based on past performance patterns. His analysis indicates that markets typically show a median return of -1.9% six months after such a start, and after a year, they generally remain flat. Among similar historical instances, only four out of ten cases resulted in more gains than losses over the following year. Administration's Response to Market Decline Unlike during his first term, when Trump regularly referenced strong stock market performance as evidence of his administration's success, his second-term approach appears markedly different. Some market analysts have noted that "The Trump administration appears to be more accepting of the market's decline, potentially even welcoming a recession to achieve their broader objectives". This shift in attitude has further unsettled investors who previously expected the administration to prioritize market stability. Technical challenge The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index has recently soared 12% for its best day since January 2001. But did you know what happened next in 2001? The major upside trend as well as 5-years SMA were shortly broken and market printed extra 40 percent Bearish decline. Similar with what's happening in 2025..!? Exactly! Conclusion Trump's second presidential term has coincided with one of the worst stock market starts in modern American history, comparable only to George W. Bush's entry during the dot-com crash of 2001. The approximately 15% market decline since inauguration represents a loss of trillions in market value and a complete reversal of the optimism that followed his election. Trade policy uncertainty, particularly regarding tariffs, has emerged as the primary driver of market instability, creating fears of potential stagflation and undermining business confidence. As historical patterns suggest that poor starts often lead to continued underperformance, investors remain concerned about the market's trajectory through the remainder of 2025 and beyond. -- Best 'a bad omen' wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:IXIC
by PandorraResearch
2
IXIC Resistance Levels (Potential Selling Zones): 18,480 – 18,590: Immediate resistance at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (18,480) and the session high of 18,589.49. 19,140: Stronger resistance (horizontal level and 0.236 Fib), though likely out of range for next week unless a sharp rally occurs. Support Levels (Potential Buying Zones): 17,930 – 17,945: Critical support combining the 0.5 Fibonacci level (17,945) and the horizontal line at 17,931.91. 17,410: Next support at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (17,411). 17,000: Psychological support level (round number). Key Notes: The index closed at 18,285.16 (down 0.35%), suggesting bearish pressure in the short term. A break above 18,590 could signal bullish momentum, while a drop below 17,930 may trigger further downside toward 17,410.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by famousFinance54964
Can the Nasdaq sustain its rally?NASDAQ:IXIC SP:SPX FX_IDC:JPYKRW Over the past two years, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have experienced an unprecedented rally. However, now, with the S&P 500 hovering around 6,000 points and the Nasdaq near 20,000, the market appears to have lost its momentum. I believe that for stock prices to rise further, there must first be a significant market pullback. A major decline implies that someone has already realized substantial gains, and understanding this dynamic is crucial. Looking further back in time, investors who bought stocks at lower prices will eventually sell them at higher prices. This cycle continues to repeat itself. There is no such thing as perpetual growth, just as there is no endless decline. Keeping this principle deeply in mind can lead to better investment decisions.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by CleanDIAMOND
2
Big tech stocks fell sharply due to Trump tariff concerns Despite some resolution of tariff risks, USTEC failed to recover from the loss. In particular, big tech stocks with high overseas exposure fell sharply. Tesla (TSLA) fell 5.19% over concerns that Trump's tariff policy could harm the company, given that 15% of Model Y parts are sourced from Mexico and Canada. Apple (AAPL) also dropped 3.39% due to concerns that new tariffs on China might ultimately raise iPhone prices. USTEC briefly tested the ascending trendline and the support at 19140. The index has since rebounded slightly, awaiting additional price triggers for an apparent trend reversal. If USTEC breaks below 19140, the index may fall further to the next support at 18670. Conversely, if USTEC breaches above both EMAs, the index could gain upward momentum toward the 20200 highs.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by inkicho_exness
1
The PNP Index – A New Way to Evaluate Risk and ReturnsIntroducing the PNP Index – A New Financial Metric! 📊 I recently completed research on a new financial metric called the PNP Index (Positive-Negative Probability Index). Unlike traditional measures like the Sharpe ratio, this metric offers a more balanced way to evaluate returns and volatility, making it ideal for quantitative trading strategies. 🔹 Why is the PNP Index better? ✅ It uses logarithmic returns for accurate backtesting. ✅ It balances positive vs. negative fluctuations instead of just standard deviation. ✅ It enhances algorithmic trading and AI-based forecasting models. 📄 Read the full research paper on SSRN: 🔗 The PNP Index – A New Metric for Evaluating Financial Performance papers.ssrn.com 💬 What do you think? Could this metric help improve trading strategies?
NASDAQ:IXIC
by MottyShai
NASDAQ Composite Has Highest Volume Distribution Day In 4+ YearsI scrolled back as far as IXIC would supply me the data and I was unable to find a day that had this much volume at all. I realize that this is just one single data point in a sea of data points, but this is a very strong one. This is not trading advice, but it is a word of caution for myself for the near term. The correction we are currently experiencing has good odds of taking out the previous low soon. I will not be taking on any more risk in the near term, and if we get a a bounce tomorrow morning I may use it to go into all cash until conditions improve.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by CardinalRuleTrader
Market Watch Can the NASDAQ Overcome Resistance or Will It Fall?The NASDAQ has been struggling to break above the $20,059.24 resistance level, facing multiple rejections in recent sessions. This repeated failure to push higher suggests a potential shift to bearish momentum, especially with broader market weakness observed this week. If the NASDAQ fails to clear this resistance, we could see it break down from its current channel, which has been intact since September 6, 2024. If the price moves lower, the next key support levels are at $18,669.99 and $17,975.67. A breakdown below these levels could trigger further declines, and the market might follow suit with a broader selloff. These support levels are critical for any potential reversal. Keep a close eye on the resistance and support levels, as the direction here could influence the broader market sentiment in the coming weeks.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Nasdaq and S&P500 before the electionHello, traders! I mostly post cryptos here but I also trade indices so I wanted to share my ideas. Markets are showing steady and calm movements as the election approaches and I think now might be a good time to watch over the indices. I often check the indices because I trade them regularly - my idea behind the trades is simple. "It will rise if it gets too low." Of course I wouldn't do the same for cryptos but I feel much more confident with the indices. Looking at my charts, I noticed the indices are now pretty close to my entry points which are bottom (support) lines of the regression channel and the pitchfork. With the election and possible rate cut ahead this week, there's a great possibility the markets will move upwards - even regardless of the result. This is due to the excitement for the new government. I'll keep watching.
NASDAQ:IXICLong
by QJEEE
Where is Nasdaq heading? support line where, resistance where?Take noted the below is not an investment advise, bet at your own risk. I am solely not responsible for any of your loses in money or assets. The Current Nasdaq Composite price is 13211.81 as of 25 September 2023. The Nasdaq have potential to drop to 12022.08 to 12000 range in the coming 1.5 months before the Fed's FOMC in November 2023. The price will hover between 14189.43 to about 12022.08 within this period. Potential strong tailwind is the pause of US Fed's rate hike this coming November 2023. This will drive and test the resistance level at 14189.43. If there is a breakout then the next level of weaker resistance based on the dynamic resistance will be at 15466.76. Potential strong headwind will drive the market to around 12022.08 because of higher rate for longer by Fed's US. If next 1.5 months down the road if there is other or fews strong headwinds appears then the price might breakout from 12022.08 and head lower to a stronger support at 10604.35. This is highly unlikely to happen withing next few months as the Fed's is data dependent and also depend of the next 6 months' data to say that they will maintain the Fed's funds rate for longer. Still I think is not clear at the moment that the Fed's need higher for longer for 2 years. 10604.35 is a very strong support level based on the 1-week chart of Nasdaq composite. I would only start buying a little at 12022.08 and reassess for 2 to 3 weeks before buying more. If by the time Nasdaq reach 12022.08 and the S&P have no reach 3900. The Nasdaq composite might go lower following the S&P 500. Based on current market condition it is highly unlikely to get a low that surpasses last year October 2022 bottom. However, the future for a US recession is unclear currently as there is both camp of soft landing and a recession.
NASDAQ:IXICLong
by TioJunYong8623
2