Get started
US 100 IndexUS 100 IndexUS 100 Index

US 100 Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals Components

NDQ trade ideas

US100 – Extended Rally, Eyes on Pullback to Key SupportUS100 continues to show impressive strength, with no real signs of slowing down yet. The recent push above the previous all-time high came with strong bullish candles and high volume, confirming the breakout as legitimate rather than a false pump. This surge followed a clean retest of the fair value gap below, which acted as a springboard for the next leg higher. Imbalance Retest and ATH Break Before the breakout, price perfectly respected the FVG just above the 20,800 zone. That retest was crucial, showing institutional interest in defending higher prices. From there, the index cleared the old ATH with authority, and we are now trading comfortably above it, establishing new highs in the process. Support Zone Outlook While momentum remains bullish, the market doesn’t move in a straight line forever. A short-term cool-off is possible. I’m eyeing the marked-out support zone just above 21,400, which previously acted as resistance and now flips to demand. If we do pull back, this is the most logical area for buyers to step back in. Potential Price Path The dotted projection outlines two possible paths: one, a minor pullback followed by immediate continuation, and two, a deeper retest into the green support zone before resuming the uptrend. Both scenarios remain bullish as long as price stays above that support. A retest into this level would be healthy and provide a clean long entry for continuation. Key Levels to Watch The area around 21,400 to 21,700 is critical. If we revisit this zone, I’ll be watching for bullish price action to confirm continuation. On the upside, we’re now in price discovery mode, so upside targets are more open-ended, but 23,000+ becomes a magnet if momentum stays intact. Conclusion US100 is in strong bullish territory, with institutional signs backing the move. A pullback would be welcome and likely provide a high-probability long setup. Until the structure breaks, I remain bullish on this index, watching for a healthy dip into the support zone for potential continuation higher. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TehThomas
39
US100 - Liquidity sweep above the ATHIntroduction The US100 has been exhibiting a strong upward trend on the daily timeframe ever since the sharp correction in early April. This sustained bullish momentum culminated in a break above the previous all-time high (ATH) earlier today. However, this breakout may not be entirely convincing just yet, as there are signs of a potential short-term reversal. The move above the ATH could represent a liquidity sweep, where price action briefly pushes past a key level before retracing, possibly trapping late buyers. Liquidity Sweep On the daily chart, the US100 did succeed in breaching the previous ATH, but the breakout appears to have been short-lived. Price quickly reversed after the new high was printed, leaving behind only a wick above the ATH. This type of price action forms what is commonly referred to as a swing failure pattern, a scenario where the market tests liquidity above a key level before turning back down. Such a pattern often signals upcoming weakness, especially when the breakout lacks strong follow-through or volume support. 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) During the most recent leg up, the US100 left behind an unfilled fair value gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe. This imbalance zone, created when price moves too quickly in one direction without enough time for buyers and sellers to match orders evenly, often acts as a magnet for price to return to. In the context of the current market structure, this 4H FVG could provide a meaningful support level if the index does experience a pullback. Should the index find support here and show signs of renewed buying interest, the broader uptrend is likely to continue. However, if this zone fails to hold, we may see a deeper retracement toward lower support levels. Conclusion While the US100 remains in a strong and well-defined uptrend on the higher timeframes, the recent price action above the ATH introduces the possibility of a short-term pullback. The appearance of a swing failure pattern and the presence of an untested 4H FVG suggest that some corrective movement could unfold in the near term. That said, the FVG presents a key area to watch for bullish continuation. If buyers step in at this imbalance zone, the index could resume its upward trajectory, reaffirming the strength of the current trend. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by Youriverse
36
Overfitting Will Break Your Strategy — Here’s Why█ Why Your Backtest Lies: A Quant’s Warning to Retail Traders As a quant coder, I’ve seen it time and again: strategies that look flawless in backtests but fall apart in live markets. Why? One word: overfitting. Compare the signals in the images below. They’re from the same system, but one is overfitted, showing how misleading results can look when tuned too perfectly to the past. ⚪ Overfitting is what happens when you push a strategy to perform too well on historical data. You tweak it, optimize it, and tune every rule until it fits the past perfectly, including every random wiggle and fluke. To retail traders, the result looks like genius. But to a quant, it’s a red flag . █  Trading strategy developers have long known that “curve-fitting” a strategy to historical data (overfitting) creates an illusion of success that rarely holds up in live markets. Over-optimizing parameters to perfectly fit past price patterns may produce stellar backtest results, but it typically does not translate into real profits going forward. In fact, extensive research and industry experience show that strategies tuned to past noise almost inevitably disappoint out-of-sample. The bottom line: No one succeeds in markets by relying on a strategy that merely memorized the past — such “perfect” backtests are fool’s gold, not a future edge. █  The Illusion of a Perfect Backtest Overfitted strategies produce high Sharpe ratios, beautiful equity curves, and stellar win rates — in backtests. But they almost never hold up in the real world. Because what you’ve really done is this: You built a system that memorized the past, instead of learning anything meaningful about how markets work. Live market data is messy, evolving, and unpredictable. An overfit system, tuned to every quirk of history, simply can’t adapt. █  A Warning About Optimization Tools There are many tools out there today — no-code platforms, signal builders, optimization dashboards — designed to help retail traders fine-tune and "optimize" their strategies. ⚪ But here’s the truth: I can't stress this enough — do not rely on these tools to build or validate your strategy. They make it easy to overfit. They encourage curve-fitting. They give false hope and lead to false expectations about how markets actually work. ⚪ The evidence is overwhelming: Decades of academic research and real-world results confirm that over-optimized strategies fail in live trading. What looks good in backtests is often just noise, not edge. This isn’t something I’ve made up or a personal theory. It’s a well-documented, widely accepted fact in quantitative finance, supported by decades of peer-reviewed research and real-world results. The evidence is overwhelming. It’s not a controversial claim — it’s one of the most agreed-upon truths in the field. █  Why Overfitting Fails Let me explain it like I do to newer coders: Random patterns don’t repeat: The patterns your strategy "learned" were noise. They won't show up again. Overfitting kills the signal: Markets have a low signal-to-noise ratio. Fitting the noise means you've buried the signal. Markets change: That strategy optimized for low-volatility or bull markets? It breaks in new regimes. You tested too many ideas: Try enough combinations, and something will look good by accident. That doesn’t make it predictive. █  The Research Backs It Up Quantopian’s 888-strategy study: Sharpe ratios from backtests had almost zero predictive power for live returns. The more a quant optimized a strategy, the worse it performed live. Bailey & López de Prado’s work: After testing enough variations, you’re guaranteed to find something that performs well by chance, even if it has no edge. █  My Advice to Retail Traders If your strategy only looks great after a dozen tweaks… It’s probably overfit. If you don’t validate on out-of-sample data… you’re fooling yourself. If your equity curve is “too good” to be true… it probably is. Real strategies don’t look perfect — they look robust. They perform decently across timeframes, markets, and conditions. They don’t rely on lucky parameter combos or obscure filters. █  What to Do Instead Use out-of-sample and walk-forward testing Stick to simpler logic with fewer parameters Ground your system in market rationale, not just stats Risk management over performance maximization Expect drawdowns and variability Treat backtest performance as a rough guide, not a promise Overfitting is one of the biggest traps in strategy development. If you want your trading strategy to survive live markets, stop optimizing for the past. Start building for uncertainty. Because the market doesn’t care how well your model memorized history. It cares how well it adapts to reality. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Zeiierman
9
NASDAQ Possible short-term pull-back.Last time we analyzed Nasdaq (NDX) was a week ago (June 23, see chart below), giving a comfortable buy signal as the price was rebounding at the bottom of the 6-week Channel Up: The price hit our 22300 Target and has now touched the top of the Channel Up. Based on the 4H RSI, it resembles the May 15 price action, which soon after pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. It is possible to see such relief profit taking on the short-term and a test of 22200 (Fib 0.382). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by TradingShot
3
USNAS100 Eyes New ATH as Fed Rate Cut Bets &Ceasefire Fuel Rally USNAS100 OVERVIEW Wall Street Gains as Rate Cut Hopes and Ceasefire Boost Sentiment U.S. indices surged on Monday as growing expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in July helped offset market concerns over Middle East tensions. The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran further eased geopolitical risk, supporting bullish momentum on Wall Street. Forward Outlook: A combination of dovish monetary policy expectations and geopolitical de-escalation continues to support upside potential in U.S. equities. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – (USNAS100) The price has stabilized above 22,090, signaling strength and opening the path toward a new All-Time High (ATH) and beyond. As long as the price holds above 22,090, the bullish trend remains in control. A break and stabilization below 22,090 would suggest a bearish correction may be underway. Resistance Levels: 22,210 → 22,280 → 22,460 Support Levels: 21,930 → 21,850
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
12
Tomorrow marks start of downtrend?NASDAQ just swept all-time highs into a key diagonal trendline drawn from previous major swing highs. We’re now in the premium zone of a macro fib retracement, and Asian session is showing signs of accumulation around 22,460. Expecting London session to run Asian highs, tapping 22,500, which lines up perfectly with: ✅ Major rising trendline resistance ✅ 0.0 fib (ATH) ✅ Asian liquidity sweep ✅ High probability "Manipulation" phase of AMD (Accumulation–Manipulation–Distribution) Looking to short at 22,500 with a tight SL at 22,520–22,530, targeting a full swing retrace into 20,500. Confluences: Bearish AMD setup across sessions Major trendline rejection zone Premium fib zone (swing retracement logic) Liquidity sitting below multiple structural lows Risk-to-reward of 1:100 potential if held to target Waiting for confirmation via lower timeframe BOS after the sweep. If 22,500 holds as resistance post-sweep, this could be the beginning of a broader correction. Let’s see how it plays out. 🔥
IG:NASDAQShort
by maxjswain
6
NAS100 Rejection at Trendline Resistance: Pullback ExpectedThe NAS100 (4H chart) shows a rejection near the upward sloping trendline resistance and the marked stop-loss zone around 22,335.4. After a strong bullish rally, price failed to break above the resistance and is now showing signs of a pullback. A correction toward the previous breakout zone and target level of 22,012.1 is anticipated. This move aligns with typical price behavior following a resistance rejection, offering a potential short opportunity with tight risk control.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by SILICIDE
3
USNAS100 Technical Setup: Watching 21635 and 21835 LevelsUSNAS100 – Technical Outlook The price has stabilized above the key pivot level at 21635, indicating potential short-term upside toward the resistance at 21835. However, as long as the price trades below 21835, the broader bias remains bearish. A confirmed 1H close below 21635 would reintroduce downside pressure, targeting 21470 and potentially extending toward 21375 and 21250. Pivot Level: 21635 Support: 21470, 21375, 21250 Resistance: 21835, 21930, 22090 previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
8
Smart Friday Trades: NASDAQ Setup and Key Levels to Watch NAS100📊 NASDAQ US100 Analysis – Friday Setup I'm currently watching the NASDAQ closely 👀. The NAS100 looks significantly overextended 📈, and with it being the end of the week, we often see price action push into the weekly high before pulling back into the weekly close 🔁. This is a pattern I’ve seen play out many times during the New York session on Fridays 🗽📉. 💡 Here’s my suggestion: Wait for today’s data release 📅 to finish. If price ranges and then breaks market structure to the downside, keep an eye out for a short entry on the retrace and retest of the range low. 🎯 Your targets and stop loss are outlined clearly in the video, so make sure to watch it through. ⚠️ Trade sensibly, manage your risk, and don't rush into anything. I'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments 💬 Have an awesome day and I’ll see you in the next one! 🚀
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
2
Nasdaq Hits New ATH at $22,570 – Eyes Now on $23,200 and $24,000By analyzing the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index followed our previous analysis perfectly, hitting the $22,400 target and printing a new all-time high at $22,570! Momentum remains strong and bullish, and we expect price to continue climbing toward the next targets. Based on the original projection, upcoming targets are $23,200 and $24,000. Stay tuned for the next update! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
3
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025- Nasdaq-100 broke major resistance level 22100.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 23000.00 Nasdaq-100 index recently broke above the major resistance level 22100.00 (which has been steadily reversing the index from the end of 2024 as can be seen from the weekly NDX chart below). The breakout of the resistance level 22100.00 continues the active primary impulse wave 3 from the middle of 2025. With the accelerating weekly momentum, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 23000.00.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by FxProGlobal
1
NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 21,651.9. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 22,171.9. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by SignalProvider
2
USNAS100 Hits New ATH | Watch 22,520 for Possible Correction USNAS100 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW Nasdaq 100 Prints New ATH | Eyeing 22,640, But Correction Risk Builds USNAS100 recorded a new all-time high, supported by broad bullish sentiment across U.S. indices after upbeat S&P and inflation data boosted risk appetite. Technically, the index remains bullish, but signs of short-term exhaustion are appearing. If the price closes below 22,520 on the 1H timeframe, a correction toward the 22,280 zone is likely. However, a clean break above 22,640 would confirm continuation toward the next upside target at 22,790. Key Levels Pivot Line: 22,520 Resistance: 22,640 → 22,790 Support: 22,410 → 22,280 → 22,200 Take a look at the previous idea to see more reality...
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi