NasdaqMy technical analyse tell me we have a big chance to turn going back up, As we hope for the same from on our weekly fundamentals
NDQ trade ideas
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s OpenNasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s Opening Price
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows:
→ January’s opening price was around 21,085.
→ February’s closing price was around 20,867.
This marks a 1% decline since the start of the year.
A report from Goldman Sachs, published on Friday, reinforces bearish sentiment, stating that global hedge funds sold more stocks than they bought at the end of February—the largest net selling in a year, according to Reuters.
Possible reasons for market pessimism:
→ AI-related stocks may be highly overbought. For instance, the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have underperformed the broader market in 2025.
→ Trump’s tariff policies on global trade could have negative economic consequences.
Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
Bullish perspective: Breaking January’s low did not trigger a strong downward trend.
Bearish perspective: The price has fallen below the support line (lower blue line), which had held since autumn last year.
The market’s next move could depend on how Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) behaves around the 21,030 level. Previous rebounds from this support line were weak, and bears managed to break through with effort. This suggests they may still control this zone.
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Potential pullback and bearish continuationNasdaq is ranging between 22000 and 20500, and price action is currently bouncing off the 20500 support. As long as price action is above the 20500 barrier, price action may try to reignite a bullish rise towards the established highs.
Failure to continue up and settling under 20500, the indice may now be in a bigger bearish phase. However, if the price action manages to stabilise above the 21300, the indice will probably aim the 22000 barrier.
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off.
The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors.
Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth.
This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before.
Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year.
In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs.
Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot.
Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach.
This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
2022 repeating itself With all the activities taking place with Donald Trump in the USA, the war between Russia and Ukraine are we having a repeat of 2022 market downtrend.
Dollar Strength = Market Weakness ( MARKET REVIEW ) Dollar strength seems to be coming more into play this current week with a bullish close above 107 for last weeks candle .
This dollar strength has given us insight to look for positions in other markets for potential short trades. Take a look for more deeper insight or direct message me for more information.
NAS100 BUY ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nas100 price has form a a demand around area of 20676.30 which is likely to continue moving up as more traders will likely to come and push the price up so trader should go for long with expect profit target of 21349.74 and 21946.22 . Use money management
Looks Potentially like some relief ralliesLooking at the market holistically, it would appear like opportunity will present in DXY weakening, and metals again this week, looks like the week might play out as a relief rally for S&P and NASDAQ as both sentiment and fear are at extremes.
NASQ 100 - see the pattern changes and open right position Hello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
Upcoming Monthly/Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- World economy and US economy are slowing down and the fear of recession is here. This time the recession will be caused by both demand and supply. The last one was supply-based.
2- US politics is the definition of self-destruction: tariffs; throwing under the bus Europe, Canada, Mexico and all historic allies.
3- Inflation is up.
All these factors are bad news for equities and NQ.
4- Tax cuts is what investors and corporations are looking to boost up stocks and equities.
5- Next FED might provide free money (the printing machine) to address/delay the recession.
6- This week, we have key data and events.
Good news is good news for equities and vice-versa.
TA Analysis:
Monthly TF:
The monthly candle was a red candle but not really a bearish candle as no break happened.
From strictly TA analysis, nothing to do until price breaks either direction. But based on FA, I see price moving down to at least 18000 (38.2 fib).
Weekly TF:
NQ provided a bearish weekly close. However, price did not confirm a change of structure. Hence, bearers need to break and close quickly below 20529 to continue the down movement. Otherwise, price must go back to retest and grab liquidity at 21702.
My bias is with a direct continuation down.
Daily TF:
At daily TF, we've two scenarios:
1- A meaningful retrace to 21702 as price was unable to close below 20529 to grab liquidity from the previous swing high (orange circles).
2- A shy retrace to reflect the battle between buyers and sellers and a continuation down.
That's all for this upcoming Month/Week.
Wish you green pips! GL!
NASDAQ WILL GO HIGHER, BUY AFTER PULLBACKFundamentals
Recent economic data indicates mixed sentiments in the tech sector, with rising interest rates and concerns about valuations weighing on growth stocks. However, optimism surrounds potential technological advancements, such as AI and renewable energy sectors, driving long-term bullish expectations.
Technicals
After the bullish spike following the CPI inflation reading, the price is expected to retrace to the 20,865–20,968 range, which corresponds to two key Fibonacci levels. The 20,968 level also aligns with a demand zone. Entry levels are: 20,865 (conservative) or more aggressive at 20,968. Before entering long, it is important to see confirmation of bullish pressure...
In terms of target, I think we will see new highs, but take profit partially and sistematically along the way..
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Smart Money Concept Analysis - USA100 (Nasdaq) 15 minThis analysis focuses on the USA100 index using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Key areas highlighted include liquidity zones, order blocks (OBs), Break of Structure (BOS), and Change of Character (ChoCH). The goal is to map institutional footprints to identify high-probability trade setups for the upcoming trading week (March 4 to March 8, 2025).
This analysis is intended for day traders and intraday scalpers who prioritize precision entries and strong risk management.
NAS100!Nasdaq is clearly in either the start or the end of a consolidation
The trend is still up.
Trade with care use a stop loss
What will nasdaq do? What will nasdaq do?
Truthfully I have no clue however based on technicals we have hit daily support. -
On the 1h we have a gap that needs to be filled at level 20,712.2 which is where I’m planning on entering if I see smt .let’s keep it simple !!
Also on the Vix we have reached resistance levels rejecting from 22.55 and possibly going to slap support if we get passed 17.50 to around 13.00 with that we should see very big pushes to the upside on Nasdaq . Last Friday was a pain however I got a good entry so I am looking to add to my position. Good luck
NASDAQ 100: Bullish Trend Reversal and Monthly High Target on 4-The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) on the 4-hour chart is currently experiencing a correction, but the overall trend is showing signs of a bullish reversal. The 15-minute timeframe reveals a change in trend, as the market has shifted from a bearish to a bullish bias. This transition is becoming more evident with higher lows and the formation of bullish candlestick patterns.
As the price continues to gain momentum, it appears to be targeting the previous monthly high, which could act as a key resistance level. Traders should closely monitor this level for potential breakout opportunities or a rejection that may indicate a continuation of the correction.
A successful push above the previous monthly high could signal a strong bullish trend continuation. However, a failure to break through could lead to consolidation or a deeper pullback. Keep an eye on short-term support levels and the broader trend on the 4-hour chart to gauge the next likely move in the market.
Overall, NAS100 seems to be aligning with a bullish outlook in the near term, but careful attention to price action at these critical levels is essential for determining the next steps.
$NAS100 approaching correction territoryWe are again back from a short winter flu. I think the index NASDAQ100 is also coughing showing signs of a flu. Pun indented. The tech heavy NASADQ100 does not look particularly healthy on a daily and weekly basis. In this weekly chart we can see that even if we find ourselves in the structural bull market the index has lost more than 5% from its peak. The internally also do not look good with MIL:MAG7 also bleeding and off their peaks. The PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is almost approaching its 200-Day SMA. If the index loses another 3 % then it will land @ the 200 Day SMA which it @ 20200. In the upcoming weeks there are multiple events which might put pressure on the indexes. We have tariffs upcoming on Tuesday and we must watch out for the inflation and unemployment numbers.
But we must also look at the other side of the coin. A 10% pull back is normal in a secular bull market. In all the bull markets this kind of skittishness is normal. In my assessment PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 will be a good buy @ 200 Day SMA. My lowest level in this small correction phase is 19000 which is 0.618 Fib Retracement level on the upward sloping Fib channel I have plotted and an indicative of a secular bull market. I will keep visiting this chart in the future.
Accumulate PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 between 20200 and 19000.
IS EVERONE SHORTING?Take out the highs, aligning with the current momentum and liquidity dynamics.
Breaking more downside, we might slip 200 and begin bearish territory.
More downside potential If the rebound remains below 21,617(Disclaimer: The following is only a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please make your own judgment before making any decisions.)
Last week, the price successfully broke below 21,436 on Monday, forming an overall bearish pattern. It subsequently reached the lower targets of 20,870, 20,648, and 20,549 in sequence, with the lowest close at 20,409. Although there was a rebound towards the end of Friday's session, it has not been sufficient to reverse the overall bearish trend.
Next week, I believe there is a high probability of further decline after a rebound. If this assumption holds, the price may experience intraday consolidation around 21,000 before breaking further upwards. If bearish forces dominate, the rebound should stay below 21,524–21,617, followed by another downtrend. The short-term downside targets are between 20,200 and 19,900.
If the price remains below 21,617, selling on rallies could be considered. However, if the price quickly breaks upwards, it is crucial to set a stop-loss in time.
For those looking to trade the rebound, short-term targets should be 21,016 and 21,115, with take-profit levels between 21,400 and 21,617. If the rebound scenario is valid, the price should not break below 20,221!
If the price breaks below 20,221 quickly on Monday or Tuesday, there may be no short-term rebound opportunity.
If bullish forces dominate next week, the price should break above 21,617 quickly and establish solid support above 21,000. In this scenario, the price should not drop below 20,221. The main upside targets are 21,617, 21,723, and 22,061 in sequence.
NAS100 - Potential TargetsHow I see it:
Key resistance @ 21000.00
LONG, Requires a clear brake above key resistance -
TP 1 = 21322.00
TP 2 = 21870.00
and / or
SHORT, Requires a breach of key support @ 20407.00 area -
TP 1 = 19910.00
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
NSDQ100 oversold bounceback, The Week Ahead 03rd March '25The Nasdaq 100 (USTec) index maintains a bullish outlook, supported by its long-term uptrend. However, recent price action suggests a corrective pullback following the all-time high, bringing the index to a key technical support zone.
Bullish Scenario:
The 20280 level (200-day moving average) serves as a critical support zone, aligning with the long-term rising trendline.
A pullback towards this level, followed by a bullish bounce, could reaffirm the prevailing uptrend.
Upside targets include:
21200 (key resistance)
21450 (50-day moving average)
21620 (20-day moving average)
A strong rebound from 20280 could reinforce bullish momentum and set the stage for further gains.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below 20280 with a daily close beneath this level would weaken the bullish structure.
This could trigger a deeper retracement, leading to downside targets at:
19990 (next key support)
19560, if bearish pressure intensifies
A sustained loss of 20280 may indicate a broader correction, potentially shifting sentiment in favor of sellers.
Market Outlook:
The 20280 level is pivotal—holding above this support will sustain the bullish trend, while a decisive break below it could signal extended downside risks. Traders should monitor price action and volume at this critical level to gauge the market’s next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DownTrending Nasdaq is showing retracement from major support.DownTrending Nasdaq is showing retracement from major support.
