NDX has taken support at previous lowNDX has taken support at previous low. It may retrace from this support.
NDQ trade ideas
Are we sleeping on a massive double top?As you can see, The Nasdaq has made two near equal peaks around the 22100 area.
Although the Weekly candles of the first and second week of February were bullish, it coincided with two weeks of declining volume, usually meaning momentum exhaustion.
On the 18th February the Nasdaq printed a strong ‘no body’ red doji on the daily TF. This is an indecision candle but can signal the beginning of a trend change.
The Green Areas show the Daily Fair Value Gaps and I’ve but a target beside the Fair Value Gaps that are currently unfilled.
If the Nasdaq breaks beneath 20500, the targets underneath this price is where I’d expect price to be drawn towards.
Also, I have highlighted some notable lows where I’d expected volatility around. I am not suggesting at that this move could in a straight line by the way. If it happens, it will happen in waves.
This is based 100% on technical analysis.
NASDAQ - Support retest before new long waveMy idea is for a retest of support area
After this I looking for a reversal pattern for a new long wave.
US100 Short Fear rises of FED possible ,,No-Rates Cut,,!wE CAN SIMPLY TELL THE SAME REASON trading stocks,indices! Simple: Economy under big inflation pressure.
2 approaches:Conservative and agressive entry. Where breakout traders enter,where others put their takeprofits,where others put stops: Thats my entry.Simple.
Near details ,please take a look at the chart above
My NQ Long Idea 26/03/2025There is a big technical area that has taken the spotlight in NQ and it is around the 50% fib level with a gap opening.
US economy has seen some strengthening recently with the FED looking neutral-dovish. A price correction may not even occur here it can keep going up continuously the moment we have a conclusive risk-on environment.
Inflation has cooled down from 3.0 to 2.8 and interest rate was held at 4.50 from 4.50.
We are expecting a rate cut of 0.25 bps by Q2 so the market is looking forward to price that in.
I see a potential "buy the rumor" then "sell the news" scenario here. So during the next fomc meeting we may get a small sell off for a price correction then NQ will continue its up momentum.
Technical setup looks good I expect a turbulent price action which will fill the opening gap at the 50% a consolidation here can be healthy for price action before we get a Wyckoff spring.
We have recently exited a bearish channel and entered a new bullish channel which is still in progress but must pay attention to it as we could start trending in that direction.
I may take a short position (for the short term) since I anticipate a correction to the gap at the 50%.
I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession NASDAQ 100Hey everyone, here’s my quick take on the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) and why I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession:
1. Bearish Divergence on the Chart
We’ve got the price pushing higher while the RSI is sloping lower—classic bearish divergence. It’s a big red flag that momentum isn’t matching price action. Sure, it doesn’t guarantee a drop, but it definitely makes me cautious about chasing new highs.
2. Rising Wedge / Channel
The trendlines I’ve drawn suggest a rising wedge or narrowing channel. Those often break to the downside if buyers can’t keep the momentum going. I’m watching that lower boundary like a hawk—if we close below it, that’s usually a bearish signal.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Levels
We’re still hanging around the top of the Cloud, which means the longer-term trend isn’t totally broken yet. But if price falls into the Cloud or below it—and the Tenkan-sen crosses under the Kijun-sen—that’s another sign that sellers might be taking control.
4. RSI Confirmation
The RSI is showing that classic lower high pattern, which means the market’s losing steam. A drop below typical support ranges on the RSI (like 40-50) would back up the idea of a deeper pullback or correction.
5. Macro Picture & Recession Risks
The NASDAQ 100 is a pretty good indicator of market sentiment, especially for big tech. If we see a bigger breakdown here, it might hint at broader economic weakness. Combine that with ongoing concerns about inflation, interest rates, and global supply issues, and we have a recipe for recession chatter to get louder. I’m not saying it’s a done deal, but the chart is telling me to stay on my toes.
Bottom Line
Yes, the chart is flashing bearish signals, and the macro environment is still uncertain. If we break below key support levels, it could be the start of a bigger downtrend—potentially lining up with a global economic slowdown.
US Equities Fall Amid Inflationary Pressures and Trade TensionsUS equities closed the week with significant losses, reversing the gains recorded during the previous week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped more than 1%, reflecting a clear deterioration in market sentiment amid multiple adverse factors.
The bearish session unfolded in an environment dominated by worrying signs of inflationary pressures, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key gauge followed by the Federal Reserve (FED). The core PCE posted a monthly increase of 0.4%, the largest gain since January 2024, exceeding market expectations. On an annual basis, this measure accelerated to a concerning 2.8%, signaling persistent inflationary pressure that could complicate future monetary policy decisions by the FED.
At the same time, soft data has continued to deteriorate significantly, adding uncertainty regarding the resilience of hard data. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 57, its lowest level since November 2022, due to negative expectations regarding personal finances, unemployment, and inflation. In fact, two-thirds of consumers anticipate a rise in the unemployment rate, reflecting a level of concern not seen since the 2009 financial crisis.
Much of this uncertainty has been fueled by recent policies implemented by the Trump administration, particularly government spending cuts and aggressive trade policies. The latest move came with the announcement of 25% tariffs on imported cars and auto parts, effective April 3. This measure triggered an immediate negative reaction in both local and international markets, anticipating higher costs for US consumers and potential trade retaliation from key partners such as the European Union, Canada, China, Japan, and South Korea.
At the sector level, discretionary consumer goods were the most affected on Friday, while utilities showed relative resilience. This uneven performance supports the case for a defensive market, reflecting a growing risk aversion among investors.
The combination of inflationary pressures, economic slowdown, and rising trade tensions creates a challenging environment for equities. Overall, current conditions point toward a concerning scenario with signs of stagflation: low economic growth coupled with persistent inflation and a rapidly deteriorating economic sentiment.
In conclusion, it will be key to closely monitor the evolution of hard economic data as well as the international response to US trade policies. The big question in the coming months is whether the current fragility in economic sentiment will ultimately translate into hard economic indicators, decisively impacting equities.
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US100 NASDAQ100 Long Market turns!U.S. stocks ended higher on Tuesday on optimism that President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, which go into effect from April 2, will be less aggressive than previously expected
Therefor as traders we are very flexible and have to react fast,because a lot of people say a lot of things, and that makes the markest move faster and turning back more quickly.
Also its essential to take profits immediately as the markets move fast and turning, before giving that money gained back to the market.
Below the red line Bearish setups.
Rockets:Conservative(near of support) AND AGGRESSIVE ENTRIES.
Risk and money management is essential.Think about your stops!
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Potential bullish bounceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,090.40 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 19,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 21,044.20 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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US100US100 is in bearish trend,
printing LH and LL.
Alligator indicator also indicates price will go down.
We sell at CMP.
Price is at a Buy Zone - Bulls to push prices higher...Price is currently at support levels of a consolidation channel
Waiting for price to breakout and retest my trendline
before riding along with the bulls...
Potential SELLI will be looking for a sell reason being because we are at a supply zone and I will be looking for the market to fill Mondays gap. Risk will be around 1:2
$NDX Bear Flag FlaggingAs we can see on the NASDAQ:NDX there is a Bearflag pattern that has yet to be broken. As it develops on the lower time frames we will watch for price to trade in this channel and develop on the higher time frames.
After struggling at the top, we expect a short term rejection of the channel back down to the 19,516 Level.
POWER OF MAJOR INDICES...TAKE EMOTIONS OUTHello hello TradingView community! JosePips here just wanted to create a video for you guys on the power of the major indices and how we can use them as a compass and gauge for our trading overall and use it as a compass to tell us the direction of the market and be able to help us digest which opportunities are in the markets for us!
They are a very powerful tool to use as confluence whether you are trading stocks, currencies, futures etc. so be able to use to gauge where the market is at and help us decide which market opportunities are best for us to take and where the probability is highest for us to trade. Which as traders...probability is the name of the game!
Hope you guys get some nuggets from this and as always have a blessed rest of your week!
Cheers!
NAS100 Analysis: Potential higher timeframe pullback in playOn the higher timeframe, NAS100 remains bullish. However, recent price action suggests that a higher timeframe pullback may be underway, providing a discounted price opportunity.
On the daily chart, a market structure shift occurred when NAS100 broke below the 20,477 level. The most recent price action indicates a short-term pullback to the upside on lower timeframes, potentially to mitigate the internal supply zone and reach premium price levels.
I am closely watching the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level around 21,028 for potential selling opportunities, with downside targets at 19,113 and 18,297.
How Are You Trading NAS100 This Week?
Share your thoughts in the comments!
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Weekly Analyses 03/24-03/28Welcome Traders to another week of trading!
Due to ongoing economic events the US stock market underwent a correction for the past 4 weeks. From peak to trough, the NASDAQ made a 14.4% correction and has now found a level of support at 19,125.3. Since then, price has made a series of HHs and HLs ultimately signalling a LH on the Daily chart. Using my fibs the Daily LH is currently within the 38.2% fib level. Price has also finally managed to fill the gap created at market open on March-9.
So what happens next?
Price may have room to continue bullish in an attempt to capture the buy side liquidity and FVG created during the downtrend. If this is the case, I anticipate price to continue bullish to 20,320.0 - 20,552.1. If price respects this level, it will serve as a retest of the 200 day MA that price broke below, as well as a restest of the neckline of the "M" pattern created on the Daily.
Price also has room to retrace as the 1H, 6H and 7H TFs have signalled a HIGH not HH. A retracement is required to signal their respective HLs to continue the uptrend. Furthermore, a gap created at market open on March-21 needs to be filled. So regardless of how high price may continue bullish we can expect a retracement back to 19,785.9 with a daily candle close below the gap. Depending on the moment this may signal a new Daily HL or LL.
NAS100 Price ActionHey traders!
Looking at the current market structure, we can see that the price failed to make a new higher high , which is often the first sign of a potential trend reversal. This was followed by a break of two key structure levels, confirming a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Interestingly, a supply zone was formed during this shift, but price didn’t even retest it — instead, it dropped right after its creation, showing strong bearish pressure. There's also an internal candle (IFC) marking the transition point.
With this kind of price action, it’s likely that the market is heading toward the next demand zone below. This could present a solid short opportunity, but always remember to manage your risk wisely and wait for clean confirmations.
Possible SELLI will be looking to sell at this supply level and take it down to the previous low. I do also want the market to close the gap that it created on Monday
nas100 buy re-entrywe got kicked out 2 times
we use proper risk managment
so lets ride the bullish trend
US100We are at a weekly support that was broken and could become a potential resistance. H1 and h4 are in a rising wedge or bearish flag. Waiting on H1 to break recent support and turn bearish.
NASDAQ 1D IdeaPotential for a bearish pullback on the NASDAQ 1D which could lead to a price movement towards the support level at 18300. SELL levels from 19400
$NAS100 in correction mode. Is a bounce coming?Market experts will say 10% is a correction 20% is a bear market. In the last 5 years NASDAQ100 has been in the bear market 2 times. Once during COVID19 and another time during the FED Rate hike cycle. And it has been in correction mode in Aug 2024 when the Yen carry trade unwound.
Since Aug 2024 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has shown great strength with higher highs and higher lows and perfectly within the upward slopping Fib Retracement channel as shown in the chart below respecting the major fib levels and bouncing off from the 0.618 Fib retracement level every time it had a drawdown. The current correction in PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is very close to the 0.618 Fib retracement level which is currently at 18700. This will indicate another potential downside of 2-3 % and if the Fib levels are supposed to holds then we will see a bottom @ 18700 and a bounce back from those levels. This will also bring down the RSI to low 30s which will indicate an oversold position.
Verdict: Start DCA into $ NAS100 and go long 18700.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (The Return)After my 1 month ban from tradingview I am resuming my commentary on my eternal bullish stance for the NAS100.
Despite my absence, my strategy has not changed and will remain so until the Monthly starts creating LH's to LL's.
With that being said here is my current outlook on the NAS100:
1. Weekly currently at HL
2. H7 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session
3. H1 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session.
What does this mean for me?
Well, since I am taking my HL's and exiting on my HH's (trend move), I am aware that today's move only produced a daily LH and as such signals continued consolidation on the lower to mid hour timeframes...This allowed me to TP at the end of today's session and now I have to wait for the retracement to be over and the new lows completed so that I can enter on the next round of HL's on my larger timeframes.
As I have always mentioned, to understand this requires constant practice, consistency and patience...so give yourself time and do not rush.
Any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to produce the HL on the larger timeframes...Case in point... 4 weeks worth of selling on the H1 only managed to create a HL on the weekly timeframe...leaving the market still in trend for the HLs to another ATH in the future.
Have a great week.
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