NASDAQ: Short-lived pullback ahead of major breakout.Nasdaq has entered strong bullish territory on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.290, MACD = 331.080, ADX = 18.600). Despite that, it remains inside a slow moving Channel Up for the past month in contrast to the more aggressive bullish waves of the Channel Up in April and May. The 4H RSI peak may be similar to May 12th and April 24th. We believe that at least a +9.69% rally will emerge to approach the top of this 3 month Channel Up. Stay bullish, TP = 23,400.
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NDQ trade ideas
Nasdaq - Will market discount from ResistanceNasdaq had a heavy plunge and pull. As per my projection, the stocks like apple, amazon, google, meta, nvidia heavily affects its price. The chart pattern shows strong resistance at 22.5K Price. Will market discount 20% this Fall 2025.
Lets watch ahead to know.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025- Nasdaq-100 broke major resistance level 22100.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 23000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke above the major resistance level 22100.00 (which has been steadily reversing the index from the end of 2024 as can be seen from the weekly NDX chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 22100.00 continues the active primary impulse wave 3 from the middle of 2025.
With the accelerating weekly momentum, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 23000.00.
Market Structure Breakdown on NASDAQ: What Traders Should Watch📉 NASDAQ (NAS100, US100) Analysis 🧠💼
I’m currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ (NAS100) — price action is telling a story worth watching.
📆 Last week, the index came under clear pressure, and now on the 4H timeframe, we’re seeing a defined bearish structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows 📉🔻. This recent expansion to the downside has led to a break in market structure (BOS), and price is now pulling back into equilibrium 🔄.
⏳ For now, it’s a waiting game. I’m watching to see if this pullback finds resistance at a premium level and rotates back to the downside, which would present a potential short setup 🎯📊.
🕒 On the 30-minute chart, I’m monitoring for a clear structural shift — a change in momentum that confirms bearish intent. Should the NASDAQ resume its downward move, it could trigger risk-off sentiment, bringing strength into the JPY pairs 💴🚨 as capital flows out of risk assets.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout supported at 21950President Trump rejected a Pentagon intelligence report suggesting his airstrikes on Iran had limited effect, claiming they caused “total obliteration,” despite inconclusive satellite imagery. In a surprising move that weakens longstanding US sanctions, Trump also allowed China to resume purchases of Iranian oil.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that the current inflation outlook supports holding interest rates steady. He is expected to provide further detail in testimony before the Senate Banking Committee today.
Markets responded calmly: stock futures were steady as the Israel-Iran truce held, and oil prices rose slightly after their sharpest two-day drop since 2022.
Separately, the UK announced plans to purchase 12 US-made F-35A fighter jets capable of carrying nuclear weapons, in a bid to strengthen ties with Trump. NATO allies are working diplomatically to reassure the US of their unity, ahead of a summit in The Hague.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 22380
Resistance Level 2: 22500
Resistance Level 3: 22690
Support Level 1: 21950
Support Level 2: 21810
Support Level 3: 21680
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Trade alert triggered! Tiqgpt setupAnalyzing the US Tech 100 CFD across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent bullish momentum from the daily down to the 1-minute chart. The daily and 4-hour charts show a series of strong bullish candles, indicating a robust institutional buying presence. The 1-hour chart confirms this trend with a continuation of bullish candles, although there's a slight pullback visible, suggesting a temporary liquidity grab before further upward movement. The 15-minute charts show a more detailed view of this pullback, which appears to be a healthy correction within a broader bullish trend. The 1-minute chart shows increased volatility and some consolidation, typical of lower timeframes where retail traders are more active.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions are likely in a phase of accumulation and distribution, using pullbacks to gather more positions before pushing the price higher. The consistent higher highs and higher lows across timeframes suggest a strong bullish bias. The recent pullbacks on lower timeframes are likely temporary, serving to trap bearish retail traders before continuation of the uptrend.
LEARNING POINT: The pullback seen on the 1-hour and 15-minute charts can be interpreted as a liquidity grab, where institutions are likely stopping out weak bearish positions before continuing the bullish trend. This is a classic example of "stop hunt" before trend continuation.
SIGNAL: BUY SYMBOL: US Tech 100 CFD ENTRY PRICE: $22,500.0 STOP LOSS: $22,480.0 (Below the recent minor pullback on the 15-minute chart) TARGET PRICE: $22,600.0 (Just below the recent highs to ensure liquidity for exit) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $22,500.0 following a confirmed bullish reaction off the $22,500.0 level on the 15-minute chart RATIONALE:
Market Structure: Consistent higher highs and lows across all timeframes.
Order Flow: Institutional buying evident from large bullish candles.
Liquidity Behavior: Recent pullbacks likely represent liquidity grabs.
Pressure Analysis: Strong bullish candles indicate institutional pressure.
Strategies Used: Liquidity grab and continuation, intraday accumulation. URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (Based on the clear bullish structure and institutional buying signs) **RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$20.00, Reward=$100.00, Ratio=1:5.0
Risk = $22,500.0 - $22,480.0 = $20.0
Reward = $22,600.0 - $22,500.0 = $100.0
Ratio = $100.0 / $20.0 = 5.0
NAS100 SHORTElite Live Analysis
Market Structure: Bullish across the Weekly, Daily, and 4H timeframes.
Key Level: Price has reached a significant zone where a potential reversal is expected.
Confirmation: Transitional switch confirmed on the 1-Min, 3-Min, and 5-Min timeframes.
Execution: Entry based on the 5-Min confirmation.
Targets:
Structured liquidity levels
Lower liquidity pools resting beneath current price
US100 - The NasDAQ_26_06_2025📈 US100 Trade Breakdown – Liquidity Grab + Bullish Continuation Potential 🚀
Caption for TradingView:
"Liquidity above equal highs has been taken ("EQL TAKEN") — classic stop hunt setup. Price then respected a bullish order block, forming a clean ascending structure off the green demand zone. If price holds above the black trendline, I’m expecting a bullish continuation. Next move? Either a retest of demand at 22,240–22,250 or continuation toward 22,400. Watch for reaction around the demand zone — that’s the key to the next leg."
🔍 Key Zones:
EQL Taken: Liquidity sweep above highs — signs of smart money movement.
Demand Zone (Green Block): Price launchpad; strong reaction confirms buyer interest.
HUGE LEVEL: Marked as structural support; price may revisit on pullback.
📌 Analysis:
Market structure is bullish (higher highs, higher lows).
Liquidity above recent highs has been collected — possible fuel for a deeper move.
If price fails to hold above the trendline, look for a break and retest setup toward the lower green zone.
Nas100/US100 Short Setup based on Fundamentals
Hello everyone. We have seen the Nasdaq form a new local top at the 22k area and is now heading back down.
There are many reasons why price is falling but remember this only a temporary sell off as the master trend on the highest time frame is up not down.
Today (Friday 20th June) is OPEX. $6.6 Trillion of options are set to expire today and the Max Pain level is 21,500. Price could drive there to render most options worthless.
Institutions and hedge funds have increasingly added short positions or are sitting on the side lines. Indicating lack of buying from the larger players for the time being.
Buying volume is lower than the selling volume at the top of this rally.
We have 2 weeks roughly until trump tarrifs are implemented and not many trade deals have been made.
Iran-Israel conflict with a possible US involvement.
FED is leaning towards a more hawkish approach due to tarrifs but says the US economy is still growing.
How I am looking at this for the near future. In the chart I have marked my entry, My SL, My Max TP and where I would take partials on the way down. I may also even scale in more if I see the opportunity.
Thanks for reading.
NAS100 | 15min | Breakout or Breakdown SetupPrice is currently testing the descending trendline and a key demand zone after a short-term selloff. Entry taken at a possible liquidity grab with bullish intent, targeting a breakout above the trendline. If rejection continues, a drop towards the lower liquidity area near 22,060 is likely. Watching for confirmation on the next 1–2 candles.
NAS100I am looking for selling opportunities for NAS100. The market is very volatile, so trade with caution. Currently, it is trading in a seller-friendly zone, which suggests that we may see an influx of sellers. This should represent a 5/6 Fibonacci retracement, with the potential for a further decline over a longer time frame. However, please note that my sell analysis for NAS has not been very accurate in the past. While I’ve been able to collect a few pips, the broader movements have aligned better.
Can Geopolitics Power Tech's Ascent?The Nasdaq index recently experienced a significant surge, driven largely by an unexpected de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Following a weekend where U.S. forces reportedly attacked Iranian nuclear sites, investors braced for a volatile Monday. However, Iran's measured response - a missile strike on a U.S. base in Qatar, notably without casualties or significant damage - signaled a clear intent to avoid wider conflict. This pivotal moment culminated in President Trump's announcement of a "Complete and Total CEASEFIRE" on Truth Social, which immediately sent U.S. stock futures, including the Nasdaq, soaring. This rapid shift from geopolitical brinkmanship to a declared truce fundamentally altered risk perceptions, alleviating immediate concerns that had weighed on global markets.
This geopolitical calm proved particularly beneficial for the Nasdaq, an index heavily weighted towards technology and growth stocks. These companies, often characterized by global supply chains and reliance on stable international markets, thrive in environments of reduced uncertainty. Unlike sectors tied to commodity prices, tech firms derive their value from innovation, data, and software assets, which are less susceptible to direct geopolitical disruptions when tensions ease. The perceived de-escalation of conflict not only boosted investor confidence in these growth-oriented companies but also potentially reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy, a factor that profoundly impacts the borrowing costs and valuations of high-growth technology firms.
Beyond the immediate geopolitical relief, other crucial factors are shaping the market's trajectory. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, where he will discuss monetary policy, remains a key focus. Investors are closely scrutinizing his remarks for any indications regarding future interest rate adjustments, particularly given current expectations for potential rate cuts in 2025. Additionally, significant corporate earnings reports from major companies like Carnival Corporation (CCL), FedEx (FDX), and BlackBerry (BB) are due. These reports will offer vital insights into various sectors' health, providing a more granular understanding of consumer spending, global logistics, and software security, thereby influencing overall market sentiment and the Nasdaq's continued performance.
US Tech 100 CFD broke the Resistance level 22,365.0 range👀Possible scenario:
U.S. stock futures climbed on June 27, with the S\&P 500 and Nasdaq nearing record highs as investors awaited May’s PCE inflation report — the Fed’s preferred gauge — due at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Rate cut expectations grew following reports that President Trump may replace Fed Chair Powell by fall. The odds of a July rate cut rose to 20.7%, up from 14.5% last week. Soft GDP growth, rising jobless claims, and a rare earth trade agreement with China added to the dovish outlook. Also due June 27 final June consumer sentiment data and remarks from several Fed officials.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Support level is now located at 21,360.0
Now, the resistance level is located at 22,570.0
USTECH H4 AnalysisUSTECH Showing a bullish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 22,106.35 and higher TO 23,200. If no, Can rally between 20,800, 20,400 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
Nas100 ShortWe've seen Nasdaq consolidating to the upside for today we do have jobless claims and GDP coming up.
From a fundamental view there is some speculation that the GDP will come out significantly lower and therefore could possibly draw price down.
From a price action point of view we should see price drop to test our recent swing low.
Trade with caution and please do subscribe for more Setups
NQ Shorts Into Sellside Liquidity (26/06/2025)
Tracked this trade live as price swept buyside liquidity at 22,300.59, forming a potential short-formed M pattern. Watched for confirmation and waited patiently through a small bullish pullback, identifying potential trap behavior rather than true continuation.
Once a bearish market structure shift (MSS) occurred—confirmed by a body close below the prior wick low—I executed a short position, targeting the sellside liquidity shelf at 22,166.92, aligned with Asian session lows. Dimmed HeatMap clusters beneath suggested institutional interest, supporting a high-probability setup.
Trade thesis:
- Liquidity sweep at 22,300.59
- Rejection with fading momentum and wick absorption
- MSS confirmation with strong-bodied candle
- Dimmed clusters and multiple marked sellside levels below
Execution: Sniper short after MSS confirmation. Trade is live and managed with defined targets and narrative context. Let’s see how deep this bleed runs.
Nasdaq 100: A New All-Time HighNasdaq 100: A New All-Time High
As shown on the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the value of the technology stock index has risen above its February peak, setting a new historical high.
Bullish sentiment may be supported by:
→ Easing concerns over potential US involvement in a Middle East war, as the ceasefire between Israel and Iran remains in effect.
→ Media reports suggesting that Donald Trump is considering replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by September or October, in an effort to influence a rate cut that could accelerate economic growth (though this also raises the risk of a new inflationary wave).
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Price fluctuations in May and June have formed an ascending channel (highlighted in blue), with the following observations:
→ The decline (marked by red lines) appears to be an interim correction forming a bullish flag pattern;
→ The 22K level, which acted as resistance mid-month, was breached by a strong bullish impulse (indicated by the arrow) from the week's low.
This leaves the market vulnerable to a potential correction, which seems possible given:
→ Proximity to the upper boundary of the ascending channel;
→ Overbought conditions indicated by the RSI.
If the market corrects, a retest of the 22K level may happen.
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