Short position on nas100Market opened with a gap of +310points
it's safe to say we've reached this week's high as we'll be entering a trade war
NDQ trade ideas
US100 Don't be too greedy!!NO FINANCIAL ADVICE!
Looks like smart money wants to grab the stops of the retails... In these times... stay patient and wait for the moment! Trade safe! :)
NAS100 ICT Smart Money Concept Analysis | April 14, 2025🔍 Overview:
This chart breaks down the NAS100 (US100 Cash CFD) price action using ICT and SMC principles. We've identified a clear market structure shift and multiple order blocks (OB), fair value gaps (FVG), and imbalance zones.
📌 Key Highlights:
4H
15MIN Order Block (OB): Price retraced to the 15-minute OB before showing bullish momentum.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): MSS confirmed after price broke above the internal structure.
Liquidity Sweep: Previous equal highs taken out, indicating a liquidity grab before potential reversal.
Premium vs. Discount Zones: Price currently trading in a premium zone, close to a 15MIN supply OB.
Confluence Zone: Multiple SMC elements align (OB + FVG + MSS), suggesting high probability setup.
📈 Expectations: Price may react to the current 15MIN supply zone and give a short opportunity targeting lower imbalance or internal structure lows. If broken cleanly, we could see continuation toward higher HTF targets.
💬 Feel free to comment your thoughts or questions below. Let's grow together, traders!
#ICT #SMC #NAS100 #OrderBlocks #FVG #Liquidity #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TradingView #LasinsRaj #MarketStructure
Nasdaq 100 Opens with Bullish GapTrump Exempts Electronics from Tariffs; Nasdaq 100 Opens with Bullish Gap
Despite the weekend, the news flow remained intense amid the escalating trade war. According to media reports:
→ Certain tech products, including those made by Apple, have been exempted from Trump’s tariffs.
→ Trump announced he would make a significant statement regarding semiconductor tariffs on Monday, 14 April.
Stock Indices React to Trump’s Tariff Moves
These announcements were taken positively by the markets. As shown on the chart of the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the new week opened with a bullish gap exceeding 1.5% – a stronger performance than the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), which also saw a bullish gap.
This may suggest that market participants are cautiously optimistic that the sweeping tariff measures might be eased through exemptions, delays, or negotiation concessions. Nevertheless, the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index remains in "extreme fear" territory, despite inching higher compared to last week.
As of this morning, the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has recovered approximately 15% from its 2025 low.
Technical Analysis: Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
Seven days ago, we plotted an ascending blue channel and suggested that its lower boundary could act as support – which has indeed played out.
With the latest data in hand, there is reason to believe that bulls may now be aiming to push the price up toward the channel’s median line. However, as indicated by the arrows on the chart, this median appears to have shifted from acting as support to acting as resistance.
Bulls may also face headwinds from the wide bearish candle to the left, which was formed in reaction to Trump's tariff announcements. According to Smart Money Concept methodology, this area – marked by a bearish Fair Value Gap (highlighted with a rectangle) – may now serve as resistance.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nasdaq market analysis: 14-APRIL-2025Good morning! Happy New Week! Here's your daily Nasdaq market analysis. Learn, grow, and trade wisely.
Nasdaq Buy Now This trade is Based on ICt concept
Used only 1% Risk
Book 50% Trade after 20 pips Profit
Nas tariff trade idea Looking for nas sells with escalations in tariff war. I will make sure global equities push lower alon with oil pushing lower and recession fears coming back in the market
looking for buys on nas if de escalations happen and we can see oil above 60 and global markets pushing up
NAS100 Stuck in Limbo – Breakout Brewing or Breakdown Coming?The NAS100 is caught in a see-saw of indecision, dancing between trendline resistance above and support below. No need to guess the outcome—momentum will tip its hand soon. We're planning to straddle the move with a one-cancels-the-other (OCO) setup and let the market choose the direction. Stay patient, stay ready.
Likely Bullish Gap at Open Followed by a Sharp Drop📈 US100 – Likely Bullish Gap at Open Followed by a Sharp Drop 📉
On the 15-minute chart of the US100, we can see a corrective structure forming within an ascending channel, likely representing wave (B) of a larger correction. The price is currently near the top boundary of the channel, around 18,872.1.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Clear prior bearish impulse.
Ongoing corrective move within a rising channel.
ABC correction forming inside the channel.
Potential rising wedge, suggesting bullish exhaustion.
📌 Main Hypothesis: I expect the market to open with a bullish gap, potentially reaching or briefly exceeding the 18,872.1 level, before starting a stronger downward move toward 17,411.8, which aligns with a key support zone and broader trendline confluence.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: 18,872.1 (ideal reversal area)
Target Support: 17,411.8
⚠️ Alternative Scenario: A strong breakout and consolidation above the channel could invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a continuation to the upside.
💡 Conclusion: This move would fit well within a broader corrective pattern, offering a technical pullback before any potential continuation. I’ll be watching the open closely for confirmation.
💼 Trade Idea:
🔹 Strategy: Short from resistance
🔹 Suggested Entry: 18,850 – 18,880 (potential gap zone and upper channel resistance)
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 18,920 (outside channel and above recent highs)
🔹 Take Profit: 17,500 – 17,450 (key support zone / technical target)
🔹 Risk/Reward Approximation: 1:4
🧠 Wait for price action confirmation (rejection, bearish engulfing candle, or intraday structure break before entering).
Symmetrical Triangle: Bullish or Bearish Breakout?Description:
The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) has formed a symmetrical triangle on the 15-minute timeframe, indicating a consolidation phase after a 5.4% drop. The price is near the triangle's apex, suggesting that a significant directional move is imminent. Here are the key levels and possible scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Breakout above 18,500 on volume.
Target: 19,710.8 (138% Fibonacci).
Stop Loss: 17,800.
R/R: 1:2.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Breakout below 17,800 on volume.
Target: 17,341.3 (138% Fibonacci).
Stop Loss: 18,300.
R/R: 1:1.5.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 19,710.8.
Support: 17,341.3.
Intermediate Zones: 18,500 (resistance) and 17,500 (support).
Considerations:
Monitor volume during the breakout to confirm the breakout.
Review macroeconomic events (interest rates, inflation data) and tech company earnings, as the NASDAQ is sensitive to these factors.
Technology market sentiment will be key in determining the direction.
Warning: Trade at your own risk and ensure you have an appropriate risk management plan. Share your opinion in the comments!
Tags: #NASDAQ #NAS100 #SymmetricTriangle #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis
Nasdaq High Impact Analysis (Stock Market Crash)we are looking at a stock market crash.
high valuations of tech companys (nvidia, apple, microsoft, tesla etc)
a synthetic covid scenario, same news, same playouts, same situations playing out.
1995 - 2001 dot.com bubble playing out
we projecting a bottoming of 10 000
we projecting a high of 30 000
the whole scenario is re balancing the tech sector
alot more downward pressure before we see a bottom / buy the dip kind of playout.
To new ATHs?After a sharp drop, the price has been rejected at 16300. In my opinion, the fall has nothing to do with the presidency of the United State, rather a perfect opportunity for the investors to buy the dip. The last two HLs on monthly time frame were printed in March 2020 ( Worldwide Pandemic) and Oct 2022. Since then, Nasdaq has been going up steadily and making HHs and HLs on daily and weekly. Now, in April 2025 another HL has been printed on monthly and I think that market might be on it's way to make new ATHs in coming weeks and months and even years.
NASDAQ100Perfect — now we’re on the 4H timeframe, which is great for refining entries. Let’s break this down again with the three frameworks:
⸻
1. Smart Money Concept (SMC)
Key Elements:
• CHoCH (Change of Character) — clearly marked after price broke above a short-term structure, shifting market sentiment bullish on 4H.
• EQH (Equal Highs) — potential liquidity resting above; smart money may target these.
• BOS (Break of Structure) — further confirms internal bullish structure.
• Order Block (OB) or Demand Zone in the green box (~17,700–18,200)** — price respected this zone strongly after BOS, indicating smart money accumulation.
SMC Bias (4H):
• Currently bullish, moving from demand to premium pricing.
• Price is forming higher highs and higher lows post-CHoCH.
• Liquidity pool above EQH near 19,000 is likely next target.
• Potential long re-entry if price returns to demand zone (18,000–18,200).
⸻
2. Elliott Wave View (Micro Count on 4H)
• If this is part of Wave 4 retracement on the Daily, this current 4H rally could be subwave A or B of the corrective structure (flat, zigzag, triangle).
• Alt. view: This may be Wave 1 of a new impulsive move upward if macro bearish bias gets invalidated.
• Current price action looks impulsive — strong vertical move (potential Wave 1 or 3).
If impulsive structure:
• Wave 1: 17,000 → 18,900
• Wave 2: pullback to ~18,100 (near OB)
• Wave 3 underway — targetting >19,000
⸻
3. Dow Theory (on 4H)
• Short-term trend is now up: Higher high confirmed post-BOS, and higher low formed.
• To maintain bullish structure, price must not break below 17,900 (demand zone).
• Confirmation of strength if we break above 19,000 — forming a higher high again.
⸻
Trade Idea (4H Setup) — Bullish SMC Entry
Entry (Buy Limit): 18,150 (mid-demand zone)
SL: 17,750 (below OB)
TP1: 19,000 (liquidity above EQH)
TP2: 19,800 – 20,200 (Daily supply zone)
RR Ratio: ~1:3+
⸻
Would you like a tighter setup on 1H for sniper entry, or are you trading swing/position from here
How I Traded A FULL Multi-Timeframe Wave - AND got PAIDThis week, I tracked NASDAQ from a technical + psychological level most traders avoided… but I saw the opportunity 🔎
While others sat on the sidelines calling it “too choppy,” I:
✅ Identified Wave 5 structure on the 4H + 1H timeframes
✅ Mapped out entries using price action + liquidity zones
✅ Held through 6+ rejections at resistance
✅ Executed with discipline, not emotion
✅ Took partial profits, protected capital
✅ Watched price explode — and I got my 💸
✅ Then wrapped the week with a real withdrawal
📚 KEY LESSONS I’M DROPPING FOR YOU:
📊 Technical Analysis = The "What"
→ Chart patterns, structure, liquidity zones, entries/exits.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis = The "Why"
→ News, interest rates, sentiment.
I stayed focused on the “what” — not the fear headlines.
💡 Liquidity Isn’t Noise. It’s a Signal.
Every rejection I held through was just price loading up.
I didn’t flinch. I let smart money do the work.
💥 Wave 5s test your strategy AND your patience.
I saw smaller TF Wave 5 complete before 4H — so I waited.
I didn’t FOMO back in — I planned for the pullback and possible short flip.
🧠 MINDSET WINS > CHART WINS
🧘🏽♀️ My biggest move this week?
I walked away with clarity — not just profit.
That’s trader growth.
💬 Final thoughts:
You don’t need 100 trades. You need 1 well-managed setup and a calm mind.
📲 Follow me to keep learning how to trade structure, not stress.
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why Reducing Position Size is Key █ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 1: Why Reducing Position Size is Key
Trading is always challenging, but how do you navigate today's markets? That's a whole different level. Today, we'll move away from the usual "Trump's tariffs are horrendous" discussions. We'll instead focus on how experienced traders profit in the current volatile market.
Right now, we're seeing extreme volatility across many assets. It's not uncommon for markets to move 3% to 10% in a single day , and for indices like NAS100 (Nasdaq), intraday swings of 300 to 500 points can happen in just 5 to 30 minutes.
This can seem like bad news, but as Warren Buffet said in 2008, "In short, bad news is an investor's best friend."
Volatile markets can shake even experienced traders — but they don’t have to. With 16 years of trading experience , we’ll show you exactly how to approach conditions like these with confidence and clarity.
█ Reducing position size is the key to surviving volatility:
The most critical adjustment in a volatile market is reducing position size.
Why? Because when the market moves faster and with bigger swings, your potential risk per trade automatically increases. The key is to keep your d ollar risk the same — even when volatility is exploding.
⚪ Let's take a look at how position size changes when markets change:
2 Weeks Ago — Stable Market:
NAS100 average move per trade = 50 to 100 points
Risk per trade = 100 points = $500 risk (for example)
Position Size = 5 contracts
Today — Volatile Market:
NAS100 average move per trade = 300 to 500 points
To maintain the same $500 risk per trade → Position Size = 1 contract
⚪ The Benefit:
With a smaller position, you can still earn the same profit because the price is moving much more. At the same time, your risk stays controlled , even in these wild markets.
This is exactly how professional traders survive and thrive in volatile conditions — by adjusting to what the market is giving them.
⚪ What Happens If You Don't Reduce Size?
Let's say you keep the same position size as in stable markets, but now the market moves 300-500 points against you instead of 50-100. Here's how it plays out (example):
In Stable Markets (NAS100 average move: 50-100 points):
Position Size: 5 contracts
Risk per contract: $10 per point
Risk per trade: 100 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $5,000 risk per trade
In Volatile Markets (NAS100 average move: 300-500 points):
Position Size: 5 contracts (unchanged)
Risk per contract: $10 per point
Risk per trade: 500 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $25,000 risk per trade
Without reducing position size, your risk increases dramatically as the market moves wildly. As a result, your losses will skyrocket when the market moves against you.
█ Summary:
Huge volatility = Smaller position size
Same risk = Same profit potential
Trade smarter, not bigger
This is rule number one when navigating wild markets like the ones we have today.
█ What's Coming Next in the Series:
Part 2: Liquidity Is the Silent Killer
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend
Stay tuned for the next part — and remember, adapting to volatility isn't just about managing risk, it's about mastering the market!
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
NASDAQ 19200 POTENTIAL BREAKOUTKey important level holding 18k after important catalyst 90 days tariffs pause.
Looking this levels, for a major move in next weeks
NAS100 Triangle Apex – Breakout or Breakdown ImminentBullish View:
• Price is forming higher lows and holding above the lower ascending trendline.
• A breakout above the upper descending trendline near 18,500 would confirm bullish
momentum.
• If the breakout is sustained, potential upside targets include 18,650 and 18,800.
Bearish View:
• Price has tested the lower support trendline and shown weakness near the apex of the
triangle.
• A breakdown below 18,100 would indicate bearish momentum and invalidate the ascending
structure.
• If the breakdown is sustained, potential downside targets include 17,950 and 17,700.
Short Day TradeTook a Short position at the daily EMA9
Entry: 18440
SL: 18690
TP 17950
Went short because today China reacted with a tariff increase on Trump action and Tesla does not take orders in China anymore. Was thinking about shorting Tesla but I decided to stick to the index.
Entry Level was choosen because I expected the price to touch the daily ema9 again (when I woke up it was way below it). The TP is just the intraday low which I expect to be hit again. The SL is a little high, thought about taking the premarket high but considered that this might be the SL for many shorts and it might hit at market open to erase some shorts from the market.
So the Risk Reward Ratio is bad for this trade. If I weren't so bearish for the market I probably would not have taken the trade
In my opinion the upstick of the market was just market manupulation by Trump (who should be impeached over this) and the uncertainty will bring the market much lower
I trade on the 4h chart, the 1h is just to see the progress.
I will close the trade before the market closes, no matter where it is.
"NAS100/US100" Index Market Money Heist Plan (Day / Scalping)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (16400) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (17300) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 15300 (or) Escape Before the Target
"NAS100/US100" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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Detailed Explanation 📝
Fundamentals: Growth stalls 📉, valuations adjust—bearish shift 🐻.
Macro: Cooling economy 🌍, sticky inflation 🔥—downward pressure.
COT: Speculators flee 📉, hedgers dig in—bearish signal 🐻.
Index: Correction deepens 📉, support tests near—technical bear 🐻.
Intermarket: Yields/USD crush risk assets 💪—bearish tide.
Geopolitical: Trade wars ⚔️, regulation 🔍—negative catalysts pile up.
Sentiment: Fear takes hold 😟—bearish consensus builds.
Trends: Near/medium-term declines 📉, long-term hinges on recovery ⚖️.
Outlook: Moderately bearish 🌩️—tough sledding ahead.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Early Morning Prediction for Nas100This is my pre-open prediction for the day. I expect a very bullish market slow and steady to the 19k or at least to April 9-10's high. and possibly set up for a breakout of good place to make money on the retracement afterwards.
NAS100 SELL 30 MINUTE TIME FRAMESupply Zone
Price could potentially break previous support zones
5:1 Risk Reward, Let's see!
NSDQ100 China to Hike Tariffs on All US Goods – Market MixedChina to Hike Tariffs on All US Goods – Market Reaction Mixed
China announced it will raise tariffs on all US imports from 84% to 125%, effective April 12. The move follows Washington’s decision to increase levies on Chinese goods to 145% earlier this year.
However, Beijing signaled it will no longer respond to future US tariff increases, calling the back-and-forth “a joke,” suggesting a shift in tone from retaliation to dismissal.
Market Reaction:
USD: The dollar weakened further following the announcement, reflecting rising trade tensions and risk-off sentiment.
Equities: US futures turned lower as traders priced in the potential economic drag from escalating tariffs.
Gold: Continued to rise, reinforcing its role as a preferred safe-haven amid geopolitical uncertainty.
US Treasuries: Traditionally seen as a safe-haven, Treasuries underperformed, suggesting investor confidence in them may be weakening under mounting fiscal and trade concerns.
Analysis:
Markets are increasingly pricing in the fallout from an intensifying US-China trade standoff. The rise in gold and the dip in Treasuries suggest a shift in investor preference toward alternative safe-haven assets. If trade tensions continue to escalate, further downside in risk assets and USD strength reversal are possible.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19000
Resistance Level 2: 19552
Resistance Level 3: 19873
Support Level 1: 17254
Support Level 2: 16773
Support Level 3: 16400
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq 100 to 17000On the above 3-day chart price action has corrected 33% since late December. A number of reasons now exist to be bullish, including:
1) The ‘incredible buy’ signal has printed. Look left.
2) The buy signal is coming in at 81% probability. The previous were 75%, 72@, & 72% percent, respectively. Look at the strength of if a 75% recovery, what do you think a 81% will be like? This can only be the result of a massive short squeeze, in my opinion.
3) Price action has just printed a ‘double bottom’ (orange line) on past support / resistance - look left!
4) Most recently price action has broken out of a bullish falling wedge formation with back test confirmation, see below.
Is it possible price action falls further? For sure.
Is it probable? No.
Good luck!
Ww
A little closer
