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CBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELDCBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELDCBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELD

CBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELD

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TNX trade ideas

A WARNING SIGNALWe may experience a significant return to volatility in the market if we get to the bedlam zone. Inflationary pressures are back. Oil is rallying organically on no recent incremental news. Gasoline prices are making new highs for 2023. Markets are forward-looking and the disinflation narrative might have reached an apex on the most recent US CPI release. US 10-year yields remain calm in a range, but if they take out 4.09%, there’s going to be absolute bedlam. US Initial Claims and GDP were strong this week and imagine what things are going to look like when manufacturing snaps back.
TShort
by RayonMarkets
Bonds rolling over but what's up with $TNX?#Bond #yield has been moving well lately, but today. SO FAR, they're rolling over, and some hurting more than others. We've mentioned that steam has been running out for some time. Look @ the RSI negative divergence on almost all of the #yields 6M weakening. 1Yr RSI CRATERING. 2YR hurting & RSI DECIMATED It is at major support. TVC:TNX is the lone wolf. Must keep👀on this one to see how it plays out. See data posted. Did the 10Yr peak already?
TVC:TNX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
2
$TNX broke downtrend, rates likely keep goingLong ago we mentioned that #FederalReserve had decision to make. They either chose the Economy or the Markets. They CANNOT do both. It's obvious, plus they keep repeating, with rate hikes where their mindset is. Media states that Wall St thinks that #interestrate will be cut. BUT Looking @ short term rates, they look primed to go higher. #bonds ------------- The 1Yr is moving very nicely. BUT The 2YR picked up a lot lately. It's closing in on the 1Yr. 🚨🚨🚨 The 10Yr #yield is cranking & broke downtrend. #TNX How much higher can things go before they break? We've also mentioned that extreme #currency devaluation has bullish consequences (many countries are an example of this) Dilemma EDIT: We're still forming higher highs so market correction likely not there. This tends to happen once the inverted yield curve fixes itself. 2Yr Peak during great financial crisis was 5.28 10Yr Peak was 4.32 #GOLD #silver CRYPTOCAP:BTC
TVC:TNX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$TNX looks interesting on the Weekly ChartThe consensus is LOWER #interestrates (I mean, they have been around 3.2ish) Every time the 10Yr #yield was in this same situation it FOLDED. Easier to see on daily. However, something looks lil different this time around. Can't make it out on the daily. Let's see the weekly chart. Hmmm... Not yet, but gaining momentum... If the 10 Yr yield starts pumping this could be good for $DXY. Likely mean the inverse for precious metals like #Silver & #Gold. #stocks #crypto
TVC:TNX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$TNX in range and a comparison of Yields around 2008#Yield is moving well today. 1Yr is bouncing back better than 2 and 10Yr. $TNX is not bouncing as much but has not sold off as much as the others. The 10Yr is trading between 3.80 - 4.08. Did we see the top in short term #yields a few days ago? 10Yr on the other hand did not break the most recent high. Interesting to say the least. The last picture shows the highs of the 2 yr and 10 yr right before the crash of 2008. Interesting that almost everything happened in the month of June. Even when it was 3 different years! Hmmm. *** Now let's compare what yields did around the 2008 crash. *** The 2yr yield peaked @ 5.28% and it did it much earlier. It was almost 2 years before the 10Yr yield did. The 2yr also formed a lower higher in 2007 (5.13%) & peaked in June 2008, much lower @ 3%, before the real crash happened. The 10yr didn't peak until June 2008. way after short term rates peaked. We also see that the peak was around 4.3%. Stocks peaked in Oct 07 and the lower high was May 2008. *** We are seeing something similar today. However, IMO everything happens faster today. We're keeping a close eye on lower highs in short term yields and we could be seeing this now. Time will tell. This data is just like other data. Just past info to help weather the current & future storms.
TVC:TNX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
8
Yields are mixed but all point higher, history repeating?🚨🚨🚨 Going to make a stink about #yield again. Short term #interestrates have been creeping higher. Let's👀@ #bond Yields. 6M = holding steady, trading slightly higher. BUT, 1Yr = BROKE RECENT HIGHS. It's at resistance but shows momentum. 2Yr = Closing in on TSX:SVB closure high. This is where #banks began to break down. 10Yr TVC:TNX @ current downtrend is being tested. Break through is good. HUH? Higher = good short term for #stocks. Markets have a history of breaking AFTER rates begin to trade lower and yield curve normalizes. This can take a year or so. Not saying markets will be pumping for a year. Just saying this is historical. We could be setting up for much more upside but with RISK. We posted on the 2008 yield crisis some time ago.
TVC:TNX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Death Cross on the 10-YearInterest rates have been a major driver of stock prices since early 2022, and today something noteworthy happened with the key 10-year Treasury note. The first pattern on this yield chart is the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) marked in red. On Wednesday, it slid below the 200-day SMA (in green) for the first time since November 2021. Commonly known as a “death cross,” this relationship is often viewed as an indicator of long-term direction. Next, you have two falling trendlines. TNX climbed after breaking the first trendline in February. This month, however, it’s stayed below a similar trendline. Third, a 50 percent retracement of the drop in March is roughly at 3.61. Notice how the yield has remained below that level, which potentially confirms the downward movement. Traders could next eye roughly 3.25. It was the low in April and an old high from October 2018. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
TVC:TNX
by TradeStation
1
Yields ready to skyrocket. 10% is three months away.Triangles in wave 4 often yield powerful waves 5 that almost always take less that 50% of the time spent in wave 4. We spent 6.5 months in Wave 4, which means that wave 5 should be completed by end of August at the latest. Conservatively, I forecast 10Y reaching 10% by end Sept. In fact, it can happen as early as mid. July. Not only 10Y Treasuries gets to 10%, but at the same time: - SPX will land below 1500, - EURUSD will crash to 0.75 - USDJPY will fall to ~100
TVC:TNXLong
by AndyM
8