US 3mo as short term Leading Indicator?As I continue to watch bond markets and the 3 month specifically I have noticed a pattern for short term bullish confluence with SPY.
I have highlighted (with the light purple dots) the pops in the daily 3mo chart that occur after at least a five day downward yield slide. Above the 3mo candles is a
Bond Market Corrections Become Faster and Faster Every Cyclegrok please find the next number in the sequence 903 511 315 = 215
215 days from the time the US03Y crosses below the 52wk moving average from when the 30 year bond bottoms. If this correction is to the same magnitude of previous correction the US30Y could fall by another 47% from current levels to
Market topping or not stopping?? Little bit of Macro1. Stocks are fundamentally overvalued.
2. The macro (yield curve and unemployment rate) I'm monitoring is at its peak/low and could be at potential turning point.
3. We need technical analysis to enter this trade and time the short if there is any at all.
These are some extremes I'm looking for th
2024 US Recession | Key Factors2000 DOT-COM CRISIS
The dot-com crisis, also known as the "dot-com bubble" or "dot-com crash," was a period of economic turbulence that affected the technology and telecommunications sectors in the late 1990s and early 2000s. Here are some key points:
Euphoria Phase: In the 1990s, there was a boom
Rate Inversion DisappearingInteresting how the market basically topped out in July around the same time bond traders started correcting the inversion on longer term bonds.
I said a few months ago that bond traders don't know what they're doing, lol. They were assuming rates were just gonna drop back down, now they've adjust
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A graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities.
Related bonds
Frequently Asked Questions
The current yield rate is 4.328% — it's decreased by −1.68% over the past week.
The current yield of United States 3 Month Government Bonds is 4.328%, whereas at the moment of issuance it was 1.330%, which means 225.41% change. Over the week the yield has decrased by −1.68%, the month performance has showed a 0.12% increase, and it has fallen by −19.69% over the year.
Maturity date is when a debt comes due and all principal and/or interest must be repaid to creditors. For example, the United States 3 Month Government Bonds maturity date is Jul 17, 2025.
You can buy United States 3 Month Government Bonds through brokers — choose the one that suits your needs and go ahead. You can also purchase bonds directly from the issuing organization. Closely track the price dynamics and market news before making any decision.
A bond is a debt security issued by a corporation or a government. By buying bonds, investors loan the issuer money in return for an interest rate. By issuing bonds, the state receives funds that can then be injected into the economy, and corporations raise funds for new research or other operational activities. The alphanumeric code of government bonds represents the abbreviated name of the issuing state, as well as its time to maturity. For example, United States 3 Month Government Bonds is the US government bonds with the maturity of 3 months.
Bonds can be of various maturities, e.g. short-term (less than three years), medium-term (four to 10 years), or long-term ones (more than 10 years). So United States 3 Month Government Bonds are short-term bonds — they have the maturity of 3 months.