Close to falling to 0The US bond yield is expected to drop to close to 0% again soon. I don't know what will happen next, but it must be something bad in the United States. Maybe it's Biden's shocking scandal, maybe it's Biden's sudden death.
US10Y trade ideas
Double Top on 10yr Treasury YieldsDouble top on the hourly. Obviously bonds are negatively correlated to gold, so expect gold to be bullish intraday. Looking for a correction down to 3.250%
US10Y overbought compared to silverWill silver run from here?
It looks like US 10 year treasuries are overbought compared to silver and the reversal could come now.
The yield curve is turning around - implications?The yield curve seems to be turning around, in the 2006 - 2009 it meant that the Fed funds rate soon topped, that equities, inflation and treasury yields went down and unemployment went up.
Will it be the same this time?
US10Y Hello friends, I hope you are well
I think it's time for the chart to move down a bit
I expect the numbers to be 2.60
Topping process in US 10yr Treasury Bond Yield. We might a mid-term top in US 10yr Bond Yield, which means stocks will have a rally soon.
10 year testing 3.30%The 10 years is breaking out. Putting pressure on tech and growth again . A move up to 3.50 is possible.
US10Y SHORT IDEACurrently monitoring a range of instruments with regards to the economic disaster that is currently unfolding before our eyes. Have taken measures to cut off from the world, and focus purely on technicals. Somethings going to give soon... Will it be the US10Y?
Looking at the lower timeframes, we can see a revisit back up to the 78.6% level for the second time, right at this specific point in time, was the release of Non Farm Payrolls, prev: 526k, Con: 300k, Act: 316k. Currently monitoring the move up through the timeframes, witnessed the move occur on 15m ripple chart, which was the break down past
scalper and boundary cloud. Retesting the underside of the scalper and moving lower. On the WAVE chart we see its currently held up by the WAVE Dynamic resistance. if that breaks we see a shift in trend on the 15m & 1hr.
Will place this here for now and possibly update this as time goes by.
US10YMy updated comment on the client group on Thursday afternoon:
US 10-Year Bond Yield (US10Y)
Possibly (in my view) one of the most important charts for any trader/investor.
Strong upside follow-through from (1) rising trend line and (2) bull flag technical formation. Big bounce off 2.50% to hit a high of 3.29% today.
The rise in yield has coincided with the drop in equities.
Technically: Now, extended slightly extended as it trades at the upper boundary (2 standard deviations) over 50 days, thus a minor retracement wouldn't be unexpected.
Fundamentally, the commitment from the US Federal Reserve could keep yields elevated over the medium term.
Update on US10Y-US02Y cross and Bitcoin behaviorUpdate on US10Y-US02Y...
compare RVGI indicator cross and Bitcoin
Not a cross yet in the extreme area of this indicator that would mark a quite good Entry for BTC - see linked idea
But the next cross for a possible Entry point is ahead dear Crypto Nation 💥🚀😎
Comment & FOLLOW appreciated 🤗
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
US10 - Treasury bondKey Takeaways. USD/JPY represents the currency exchange rate for the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen. The USD/JPY currency pair has traditionally had a close correlation with U.S. Treasuries. When interest rates head higher, Treasury bond prices go down, which lifts the U.S. dollar, strengthening USD/JPY prices.
US10Y. P-Modeling Pt 1. Yields of Cajun Welcome Hyperspace Travelers.
Proposition development is rendered.
SPX is going to fresh multigenerational lows.
The cybernetic era of advancement is upon us.
The 4th industrial revolution is imminent.
Things will get better.
But first they must get very bad.
Massive co-variate weight distribution imminent.
Wealth distribution will be forced from top 1% into lower 90%.
Technical Complexity is defined by linear and cyclic domains.
Each domain combined created this gorgeous technical formation.
Complex Technical Formation on 1 Week Macro Analysis of US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield.
Harmonic Handle string sequencing.
Defined Cajun Cup.
Defined C-A harmonic equalization.
Defined Linear Root.
Defined Cyclic Root.
____________________________
Start: 1980.
End: 2025.
Tap: Mean Reversion at minimum.
Thanks for Pondering the Unknown with Me,
Glitch420
Risk Off Mode Begins. $dxy short #crash $usd Warning!This count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.
Marching towards 4.5 and 5%US equities indice might drop another 10 to 20% if this uptrend continue. KLCI might drop 8 to 18% commensurately
US10Y - Is The Unthinkable About To Happen 🧐😨US10Y looks like it could break above 200 month MA to end a 40 year bonds bull market.
It did look like it may have topped; printing a star, but Aug monthly candle is a big one and doesn't look too corrective on lower time frame.
This engulfed star is also mirrored in DXY and USD pairs.
If it breaks out then the cat really will be out and there will be plenty of fear in the markets.
Not advice.
Hawkish FED Keeps USD In UptrendUnfortunately, stock markets are where they are, and we cannot force them to move in a particular direction. We see a neutral status at the end of the summer, but this volatility may come back in September. We may see some interesting price action already this week when US will release its important jobs data. Fed watches this data closely, but what’s important is that they were very clear lately and said that they will stay hawkish even if FED’s actions will cause some harm to the US economy . So for now, the USD remains in uptrend because of US yields.
From an Elliott wave perspective, we see US yields trying to break higher into a fifth wave now, so this can cause even more weakness XXX/USD pairs.
But when the fifth wave will hit a new high on yields, that’s when we should be aware of a new change in cycle, ideally later this year.
But any major reversals in cylce will not happen that easily, especially now with current FEDs actions and potential bad data. Bad or good data; it doesn’t really matter; the stock market will have a hard time turning back to the highs. Yes, stocks can stabilize if we see bad data, but if we will start seeing bad data week after week then this means a big economic slowdown and a potential recession.
Expensive capital, inflation, and economic downturn is a bearish case for stocks. There is simply no "free" cash available to be invested in the stock market.
Ascending triangle on 10 year yieldEarlier today the 10YY retested the lower trend line of an ascending braodening wedge and it reacted quite strongly higher so now we have a bullish continuation pattern of an ascending triangle. This could potentially mean a big move lower in the long bond market if this yield breaks to the upside.
Ten year yield retesting wedgeThe ascending broadening wedge lower trend line is now being retested. That is a bearish pattern. Also potentially yesterday we saw a double top as the yield failed to breach the short term previous highs. This could be bullish for the long bond.
$US10Y 10 Year Bonds Key Levels, Analysis and Targets $US10Y Key Levels, Analysis and Targets
Oh my goodness… 10 year bonds are breaking out on the monthly for the first time in 30 years… This is epic…. Equities are so screwed… I never thought that I would be saying that the bond market looks interesting... LOL... 🤷🏻♀️
Ten year yield - big move upEarlier I had shown a bearish head and shoulders on the 10 year yield. this has now been completely invalidated by todays big move higher. The 10 year also has broken above some recent swing highs. This may indicate market expectations of higher interest rates or it could be simply that institutions are selling bonds to raise cash.
Waterfall is in frontgo short and enjoy it..
we can see how the chart tell us,,
its very simple on short
10 year yield head and shouldersOn this hourly chart of the 10 year bond yield there is a head and shoulders pattern at the top of an ascending broadening wedge bearish pattern.
