us 30 government bond#Us30 goverment bond might be looking bullish in the next coming weeks
price broken up 2 patterns on the charts
if u entere the market without any reason you will be slapped like crazy..so to go long find a correction that will signal us for a bullish move
im not giving any signal or so on this is an overview of what j see..good luck
US30Y trade ideas
Rising rates: Why is the 30 year yield so low? The 30 year treasury yield has traded under 3.25% for almost 4 years now.
The Fed continues to hike rates on a quarterly basis and Trump is unhappy about rising rates.
Every day we hear how the economy is 'in great shape', and jobs data is 'as good as it gets'.
More significantly what is pushing up rates are increased treasury issuance and the Fed's accelerating Quantitative Tightening.
So all in all why isn't the 30 year yield closer to 4% like it was only four years ago?
For several years the market has priced in low expectations for the long term.
The yield curve continues to flatten towards the lowest spreads since leading up to the great recession.
(28 basis points on the 30-5 spread and 30 points on the 10-2 spread).
At this rate the curve could flatten or invert in 6 to 12 months.
An inverted yield curve historically is followed by economic recession.
What's your thoughts?
US Treasury 5s30s and 10s30s Curve - Flat Curve Predictions?The current trajectory of the flattening in the US Treasury 5s30s curve (30y yield minus 5y yield) and the 10s30s curve (30y yield minus 10y yield) illustrates a potential for the following:
1) A flat curve by July 2018 if the flattening trajectory continues (green lines);
2)A flat curve by Nov 2018 if we plot the trajectory from the recent steepening of the curve (red lines).
Flat Yield Curve Equals...Are we headed for a flat Yield Curve? The Yield Curve highlights the spread between short term and long term bonds and is an important indicator of economic growth. We are currently in an uptrend, with short interest rates lower than longer maturities. A flat yield curve can signal an adjustment in the economy and a shift in growth. It precedes an inverted yield/recession. Is this a warning sign? Trading Forex / CFDs is High Risk.
FOMC Minutes Reveal Inflation Still a ConcernThe FOMC minutes are being released as I write this, but weak inflation seems to one of their key concerns. Expect the yield curve to continue to flatten as this gets priced into the long end. The spread between the US 30 year and Us 2 year has been careening off a cliff lately and given this news, it is safe to expect this trend to continue. The Kovach Chande indicator is solidly bearish, confirming this, and the lower bound of the Kovach Reversals indicator is continuously being pushed.
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