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UKRAINIAN HRYVNIA / U.S. DOLLAR

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UAHUSD trade ideas

USDUAH Analysis USDUAH Analysis with Geopolitical Context: This chart represents the USD to UAH (Ukrainian Hryvnia) exchange rate, showing a significant trend of USD strengthening against the UAH. The chart provides a clear visual on future potential movements, marked by key dates that align with potential geopolitical events. Key Dates and Events: September 2025 (09/01/25) - Conflict "Freeze" and Temporary Peace: Scenario: As we discussed, the conflict between Ukraine and Russia could enter a phase of "freezing" around this time. This period might not bring complete peace but rather a significant reduction in active military engagements. Impact on Currency: The temporary halt in hostilities could stabilize the UAH slightly, preventing further devaluation. However, the economic scars of the war might keep the exchange rate volatile. May 2029 (05/10/29) - Resumption of Conflict or New Escalations: Scenario: After a few years of relative calm, a renewed phase of conflict or escalation between Ukraine and Russia could begin. This may be driven by unresolved territorial disputes or political changes in either country or their allies. Impact on Currency: This would likely lead to another sharp depreciation of the UAH, as markets react to the increased uncertainty and economic strain of renewed military action. May 2032 (05/03/32) - Potential Full-Scale Conflict: Scenario: The situation could deteriorate into a more severe conflict or widespread regional instability. This period might mark the beginning of a more protracted and intense phase of war. Impact on Currency: A full-scale conflict would severely weaken the UAH, potentially pushing it to historical lows. The Ukrainian economy would face enormous pressure, leading to further devaluation. April 2037 (04/10/37) - Stabilization and Possible Recovery: Scenario: By this time, the conflict might have resolved, or at least the region could have entered a period of prolonged stability. This could be due to international interventions, peace treaties, or significant changes in political leadership. Impact on Currency: The UAH might begin a slow recovery if stability is restored and economic rebuilding starts. However, this recovery would be gradual and dependent on the extent of damage done to the Ukrainian economy. Conclusion: UAH will likely experience significant volatility over the next decade, heavily influenced by the geopolitical situation in Eastern Europe. Each of the marked dates corresponds to potential shifts in the conflict with Russia, with major implications for the UAH. Investors and policymakers should closely monitor these dates and prepare for various scenarios, ranging from temporary stability to severe economic downturns. These forecasts underscore the importance of strategic planning in uncertain times. The potential "freeze" in conflict might offer temporary relief, but the possibility of renewed or intensified conflict in later years looms large, making the future of the UAH highly uncertain.
Short
by trushkovskiy
UAH/USD🔍 UAH/USD Analysis: Critical Downtrend Expected 📉 The UAH/USD chart indicates a significant downtrend following the key date of August 12, 2024 (marked by the white dashed line). This downtrend is projected to continue towards the $0.0200 level, as shown by the red arrow. This sharp decline highlights the need for caution in trading this pair, with the possibility of a prolonged bearish market extending into the coming years. Traders and investors should be prepared for potential volatility and consider this a critical moment for risk management. #ForexTrading #UAHUSD #MarketAnalysis #CurrencyTrading #Forex
Short
by trushkovskiy
Interesting graph of USD/UAHOf course, I have not traded the currency market much and I have no experience as such, but I can predict something purely based on the structures and how it happened, my analysis cannot be taken into account! 1) I can see a 5 wave structure and now the last wave of growth 2) There is so much negativity that the chart begins to slow down, a sign of trend weakness 3) As strange as this US election is, it looks like something is about to happen In my opinion, there are 2 scenarios. First, we really form the 5th final wave and go through a correction to 20-25, which will give a positive result for 4-10 years, after which the upward movement will begin again. Second, the negative will become more and more and the rate will start to break above 50-54, which in my opinion is very critical and will stretch the uncertainty for years. In my opinion, the probability is as follows, the first - 70-75%, the second - 30-25%
Short
by MyTechNAz
USD/UAN Ritual devaluation of the Ukrainian UAN. Situation nowRitual figures on the chart that were ahead of the events in Ukraine. The timeframe on the chart is 1 week. 57 weeks (12) Time 399 days 21 (management changes) Potential maximum channel height + 303% 57 weeks. 399 days. It all depends on how the price fixes in these important areas. Fixing the price above a certain zone will mean further growth of the dollar and the depreciation of the hryvnia. Target 1 zone + 47% 2 zone + 173% 3 zone + 303% A well-run crowd works like one foolish person. This graph shows the 1 day depreciation of the hryvnia in 2014 on the timeframe. At that time, there were well-known sad events in Ukraine. Maidan. Coup d'etat. The war in the Donbass. Detachment of the Crimea. All numbers in key areas are readable in meaning and not random. The schedule and non-random numbers in key areas were far ahead of events in the country. And not all the way around as the crowd thinks. On the chart, the timeframe is 1 day. The former ritual devaluation of the hryvnia. Growth 288 bar. (18) -666 402d (42) Destruction change. Maidan. The war in Ukraine in the Donbass in 2014. Detachment of the Crimean peninsula from Ukraine. + 310% (13 mirrored). The birth of a new government. In order to always manage the herd, it is sometimes necessary to fulfill the insignificant desires of the sheep, so that faith in the herd is maintained that the wolf is not a wolf, but just a sheep in sheep's clothing. In a herd, a person plays the role that the herd has formed and given to him. He is experiencing this role, he is comfortable in this role. Without this role, there will be the realization that he is a jerk, bio trash, one of many. Background player in a game. But when he is in the role, he is an important person, primarily for himself. _____________________________________________ Coup d'etat. "Maidan" and ritual figures. Coup d'etat. "Maidan" - Independence Square in Ukraine November 21, 2013 - February 22, 2014. Everything is clear according to plan with pedantic observance of all ritual terms for the owners. It is very important. As we see the numbers are not random. 21 = our century + 18-666 + 3 (the birth of a new one). 22 - change of what is. Pay attention to which digits of the pulses of the maxima. 13,111 33,711 The years for the implementation of this local project are also not random. 2013 (13 new management) 2014 (14 destruction of the old government). Not understanding people that they do not decide anything in their life, but are just fuel in someone else's game, just makes them that fuel _________________________________________________________________ Ukrainian bonds OBGZ and an hourly nuclear bomb for this country. The issue of OBGZ exceeded UAH 100 billion ($ 4.06 billion)! This is a nuclear bomb with a clockwork for the Ukrainian economy, which would work without the global financial crisis. The hryvnia will be in a very sad position. What do you think is the secret to strengthening the hryvnia against the dollar in the fall of 2019? The trick is issuing bonds of the internal state loan (OVDP) of Ukraine. For the first time in history, the issue of OBGZ exceeded UAH 100 billion ($ 4.06 billion) !!! The vast majority of bonds owned by foreigners are issued in hryvnia (an average of UAH 98.17 billion, or $ 3.61 billion). The rest are issued in dollars and euros. The Ministry of Finance on September 24 raised 13.2 billion hryvnias from the sale of government bonds. Most of which came from 5-year bonds. Reports the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. The total volume of 5-year government bonds reached 33.9 billion hryvnia. Weighted average rates of return were: for 6-month government bonds - 15.89% for 1-year government bonds - 15.09% Who does not understand all the salt that the state is forced to pay anyway! Even if there is a collapse of the economy! And he will be! Only default announcements give the state the right not to pay interest to investors, but then there is a risk of lowering the country's credit rating. And this is tantamount to default. As in this case, Ukraine will be equal in carelessness for investment with African countries. If directly without water, then the whole of Ukraine was completely sold for a temporary benefit before the financial crisis. All national enterprises and lands will be transferred to "investors" who will force Ukraine to pay debts on their investments. A default announcement will not save how the IMF will declare a loan to repay the same debt on bonds at a certain percentage. Ukraine owes huge amounts to the Navy. And every newly made temporary "king" is not averse to taking a loan from the IMF to appease the people during his reign. And what will happen then does not interest him. Do you think local actors in the government did not understand this? No, everyone understood and I am sure all these billions are already where they are needed. In the future, no one was planning to pay a percentage of income to investors in Ukrainian bonds, as it is physically impossible even without a financial crisis. Just local authorities took the opportunity. And it is clear that this was an order from above. _______________________________________________________________ EUR / RUB I also did the EUR / RUB trading idea several days before the price increase at the lowest entry point when confirming support and the zone, I think this is also relevant, as it is the same trash currency. Symmetric triangle. Trends Reversal zones. The situation is now. 2 target achieved + 32%
Long
by SpartaBTC
21
USDUAH D1At the request of my clients, I have developed a trading signal for the dollar hryvnia currency pair !!! The Ukrainian hryvnia fell very much during the outbreak of the pandemic. The fall in the stock markets and the oil market strengthened the US dollar. At the moment, the American stock market and oil quotes have the highest prices, which keeps the US dollar at the lower levels. But we must remember that military operations are underway in Ukraine and there is no political stability !!! In such a situation, the national currency cannot be strong. Events associated with the new wave of Coronovirus and the expected fall in stock markets will not be able to give stability to the national currency of Ukraine !!! And the next rate we will see in Rien is 28.5 hryvnia for one dollar !!!
Long
by TradingForProfitPro
USDUAH New trading range and trend correction !As I have posted last week, Turkish Lira has started its correction against USD. But not 7.8000 is my support level, which will be I have announced T1 as the most important support level for UAH against USD and this week prices has touched T1 trendline, we need to realize that this is long term trendline and little crossing of this trendline can not give as strong information about trend correction, but anyway UAH is stable for this and next several weeks. I expect 27.900-28.200 trading range. Terms and short forms! T - Trendlines (T1,T2... etc.) S - Supprt levels (S1,S2... etc.) R - Resistance levels (R1,R2... etc.) TP - Take Profit SL - Stop Loss F - Fibo Levels (F23,F61... etc.) Check out my next stream "What is divergence, why it is important for trading?" www.tradingview.com
Long
by AmiranAzaladze
USDUAH The most important support level !Pay more attention to T1 trendline New trading range for UAH, 28.200-907. This range can be kept during next 2-3 months. But I expect another race to 29.500 after Christmass holidays Target 2 still can be reached in November Terms and short forms! T - Trendlines (T1,T2... etc.) S - Supprt levels (S1,S2... etc.) R - Resistance levels (R1,R2... etc.) TP - Take Profit SL - Stop Loss F - Fibo Levels (F23,F61... etc.) Check out my next stream "Group from Moving averages based on Fibonacci numbers" www.tradingview.com
by AmiranAzaladze