XBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Falls After Trump’s DecisionXBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Falls After Trump’s Decision
As shown on the XBR/USD chart, the price of Brent crude oil has pulled back from yesterday’s 4.5-month high following a statement from the White House that President Donald Trump will make a decision within the next two weeks on whether the United States will take part in the Israel-Iran conflict.
According to Reuters, the US President is facing backlash from some members of his team over the prospect of launching a strike against Iran, which could drag the US into yet another prolonged war.
Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart
From a technical standpoint, Brent crude oil price is developing within an upward channel (marked in blue), though several bearish signals are appearing on the chart:
→ a bearish gap that formed overnight;
→ a false bullish breakout (indicated by an arrow) above the $76.50 level, drawn from the 13 June high;
→ bearish divergence on the RSI indicator;
→ a break of the recent local ascending trendline (marked in orange).
Given the steep angle of the rising blue channel, it is reasonable to assume that bears may attempt to break through its lower boundary, which is currently acting as support. Whether this scenario materialises in the oil market will largely depend on developments in the Middle East.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
UKOUSD trade ideas
XBRUSD is moving within the 66.10 - 69.10 range👀 Possible scenario:
Crude oil fell to $68.00 on July 3 as markets braced for the possible return of higher U.S. tariffs after July 9 and a likely OPEC+ output hike of 411,000 bpd this weekend. Brent rebounded to $68.70.
Weak Chinese service data and a surprise 3.9M-barrel U.S. crude stock build added pressure. Gasoline inventories rose by 4.2M barrels, while distillates fell by 1.7M. Analysts expect short-term rallies to fade as bearish fundamentals—rising supply, weaker demand, and the loss of OPEC’s price support—begin to outweigh geopolitical risk. With the July 4 holiday ahead, traders are avoiding large positions.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 66.10.
Resistance levels are now located at 69.10 and 77.50 .
XBRUSD is testing the Support Level 66.10 👀 Possible scenario:
Oil prices were steady on July 1 as investors awaited the expected OPEC+ decision to raise output by 411,000 bpd in August. If confirmed at the July 6 meeting, it would bring this year’s total increase to 1.78 million bpd—over 1.5% of global demand.
The move, led by Saudi Arabia, aims to curb overproduction and regain market share. Meanwhile, easing geopolitical tensions and weak Chinese manufacturing data added downward pressure. Trade talks also remain in focus ahead of Trump’s July 9 tariff deadline, which could raise global trade uncertainty. Morgan Stanley sees Brent falling to $60 by early 2026 on oversupply and waning risks.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 66.10.
Resistance levels are now located at 77.50 .
Brent Oil Breakout Heist – Bullish Robbery in Progress!🕶️ Brent Oil Job in Motion – Market Robbery Blueprint by The Chart Bandits 💼💸
What’s up, gang? 👋 Hola, Ola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 🌍
Calling all market robbers, trend thieves, and slick profit snatchers! 🤑💰💥
We’ve got eyes on the UK Oil Spot / Brent Energy Market – and this time, it’s a clean breakout job. According to our Thief Trading Code (yeah, that’s the street manual we use), the setup’s lit and the vault’s wide open. Here’s the drill:
📈 Entry Plan – The Break-In Point:
The score begins above MA level 65.400. When that line cracks, it’s time to move.
You can either:
🔹 Set buy stop orders just above the breakout zone
🔹 Or wait for a pullback to a 15m or 30m swing low/high and enter with style
🚨 Pro tip: Set your alerts. Real thieves don’t sleep on breakouts.
🛑 Stop Loss – Safety First, Bandits:
Let the breakout breathe. Don’t slam the SL too early.
Once it confirms, tuck your SL near the 4H swing low – around 64.000.
Lot size, risk appetite, number of positions – all play into where you hide your exit door.
Just don’t blame the crew if you jump in blind. ⚠️
🎯 Take Profit – The Escape Route:
Target set at 70.000 – hit it, grab the bags, and disappear before the bears sniff us out. 🏃♂️💨
📊 Why This Heist Works:
The market’s lookin’ bullish – real heat from fundamentals like:
Macro setups
COT positioning
Intermarket analysis
Sentiment vibes
Storage & inventory updates
🔍 Want the full blueprint? Fundamentals, charts, deep dives – check my profille for the linkss 🔗👀
⚠️ Heads-Up – News Drops Can Wreck the Getaway:
Don’t enter during high-impact news
Protect profits with a trailing SL
Always expect the unexpected, robbers 🚧📉
💥 Smash the Boost Button if you’re part of the Thief Crew!
We’re not just trading – we’re executing blueprints and stealing clean gains.
Stay tuned for the next setup. You know what time it is...
🕶️ Trade smart, loot fast, vanish smooth. 🐱👤💸🚀
XBRUSD is testing the Support Level 66.10 👀 Possible scenario:
Oil prices steadied on June 26 after erasing earlier gains as investors remained cautious about the Iran-Israel ceasefire and refocused on market fundamentals. Brent crude is trading around $66.80 per barrel.
U.S. crude oil and fuel inventories fell sharply in the week ending June 20, with crude stocks dropping 5.8 million barrels—well above the expected 797,000-barrel decline, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported. Crude production rose slightly by 9,000 barrels per day to 13.43 million b/d. Meanwhile, crude imports decreased by 102,000 b/d to 6 million b/d, and exports fell by 8,000 b/d to 3.96 million b/d. OPEC+ may accelerate output hikes by about a year, according to Rosneft’s CEO. Analysts noted oil prices tracked equities lower amid these mixed signals.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 66.10.
Resistance levels are now located at 77.50 .
Bren Crude Oil important support at 6720Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 7060
Resistance Level 2: 7170
Resistance Level 3: 7280
Support Level 1: 6720
Support Level 2: 6610
Support Level 3: 6520
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Brent Crude Oil's Defining Moments: Analyzing the Top 5 MovesThe oil market has experienced unprecedented volatility over the past two years, with five pivotal moments generating the most significant price movements in Brent crude.
The Top 5 Market Movers:
1. June 13, 2025 (+7.02%): Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and oil facilities triggered the largest single-day surge to $74.23/barrel, demonstrating how geopolitical events can instantly drive supply disruption fears.
2. April 8, 2025 (-15.67% over 5 days): Trump's tariff escalation and US-China trade war intensification caused the most severe multi-day decline, ending at $62.82/barrel as traders priced in global economic slowdown.
3. October 7, 2024 (+12.76% over 5 days): Escalating Israel-Iran tensions drove a significant rally to $80.93/barrel as markets built in geopolitical risk premiums ahead of expected retaliatory strikes.
4. September 3, 2024 (-6.41%): Libya's oil dispute resolution combined with weak global demand outlook caused a sharp drop to $73.75/barrel, showing how supply resolutions can trigger selloffs.
5. October 6, 2023 (-11% weekly crash): The end of driving season combined with demand concerns and interest rate fears triggered the biggest weekly decline since March 2023, with Brent falling to $84.07/barrel as gasoline demand hit yearly lows.
Current Fundamental Landscape and Path Forward
The EIA forecasts Brent averaging $66/barrel in 2025 and $59/barrel in 2026, below recent levels due to trade uncertainties and slower growth. Three key factors will drive future prices: US-China trade resolution, Middle East geopolitical risks, and OPEC+'s production strategy. Recent volatility shows that while fundamental supply-demand dynamics remain important, geopolitical events, trade policies, and seasonal demand patterns can generate dramatic price swings that overwhelm traditional market forces.
Brent Crude Oil Bullish above 73.50Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 77.50
Resistance Level 2: 78.90
Resistance Level 3: 80.50
Support Level 1: 73.50
Support Level 2: 72.30
Support Level 3: 71.00
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Brent and WTI: Is $100 oil just Around the corner?#Brent and #WTI prices are steadily climbing, now reaching $73.30 and $71.15 per barrel. The market is showing strong signs of an upward trend, similar to what we saw in 2021–2022. With global demand picking up and increased interest from major market participants, analysts believe prices could soon push past the $100 mark — especially amid ongoing global tensions and rising consumption.
Standard Chartered forecasts Brent reaching $95 by December 2025, while some outlooks go even higher. What’s fueling this potential rally? Top 5 reasons oil may surge in the coming months:
Global instability : Tensions in the Middle East and unrest in key producers like Venezuela and Nigeria raise concerns about supply disruptions. Any flare-ups could push prices to $90, $95 — or beyond.
Economic recovery : Asia and developing economies are bouncing back fast. With industrial activity rising, so does energy demand — including for oil.
OPEC+ tight supply policy : OPEC+ is likely to maintain production cuts to support prices and keep the market balanced.
Low reserves, limited expansion : Stockpiles remain tight, and exploration has lagged in recent years. If demand spikes, producers may struggle to scale output quickly.
Aviation and petrochemicals rebound : Global air traffic and plastic manufacturing are growing, increasing demand for jet fuel and oil-based feedstocks.
Together, these factors create a strong setup for upward momentum in Brent and WTI prices. According to FreshForex analysts , the current levels could mark the beginning of a new growth cycle.
Time for a Rise in Oil Prices $$$When analyzing the recent movements in oil prices through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory, it appears that the current structure is completing an ABC corrective formation.
Initially, the A wave has developed as a strong upward 1-5 impulse structure.
The B wave evolved through a classic ABC correction, pushing prices down to the support area marked as (B).
Following this correction, early signals indicate the initiation of the C wave.
In this context, the technical structure suggests a potential new upward momentum in oil prices with the activation of the C wave. The target zone for the C wave should be monitored in consideration of the existing trendlines and historical resistance levels.
Nevertheless, under the current market conditions characterized by high volatility, it is critical to monitor volume and momentum indicators to confirm the C wave and ensure key support levels are maintained.
XRPUSD is moving within the 2.1215 - 2.3370 range👀 Possible scenario:
XRP is consolidating between $2.05 and $2.40, forming a bullish pennant on the weekly chart — similar to the 2017 setup before a 1300% rally. Analyst Mikybull Crypto predicts a 530% surge to $14 if resistance breaks. For continued upside, XRP must break above the 200-day SMA ($2.37) and hold above $2.65. RSI has climbed from 29 to 52, signaling recovery. A breakout above $2.65 could lead to $3.00 or even the 7-year high of $3.31. Failure to break $2.37 may send price back to $2.05.
Network activity is surging: XRPL is averaging 295K daily active addresses — 7x the 3-month average. Whale wallets (holding 1M+ XRP) hit a record 2,708, signaling growing institutional interest. Trident Digital plans a $500M XRP treasury, Circle launched USDC on XRPL, and Guggenheim is issuing digital commercial paper on the network. A spot XRP ETF approval could drive price to $25. Trading volume jumped 245%, open interest rose to $4.02B, and derivatives volume hit $9.8B. Price hovers around $2.22 as the market reacts to on-chain momentum.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Support level is now located at 2.1215
Now, the resistance level is located at 2.3370.
XBR/USD.30M CHART PATTERN.(XBRUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe, here’s the technical outlook:
Chart Pattern Observed:
You have a symmetrical triangle breakout setup:
The price is currently breaking above the triangle resistance.
There’s a bullish bias post-breakout with two targets marked.
Targets Identified on Your Chart:
1. First Target: ~$79.00
2. Second Target: ~$81.50
These are based on the typical triangle breakout projection, where:
The height of the triangle is measured and added to the breakout point.
The first target often aligns with a conservative measure.
The second target aims for the full projection of the pattern height.
Current Price: ~$75.32 (as shown)
Confirmation:
To validate this breakout:
Watch for a candle close above the triangle resistance.
Confirm with volume increase or continued momentum.
Stop-loss is ideally below the triangle support, near ~$73.00.
Let me know if you want risk/reward calculations or a similar setup on a different asset.
Oil’s Surge Stalls at Descending TrendlineLast week’s surge in crude oil following the escalating conflict in the Middle East sparked a wave of momentum buying as traders responded to the rising risk premium. But with prices now testing a key technical barrier, let’s take a look at whether this rally has legs or if it’s already starting to fade.
Escalation Risk Remains, but Has the Market Overreacted?
The threat of a wider conflict in the Middle East has brought renewed focus on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. Roughly 20% of the world’s oil flows through that narrow waterway, and fears it could be disrupted are never far from traders’ minds. While there’s no shortage of tension, and risks remain elevated, actual supply has not yet been affected in any material way. Tankers continue to move through the region, albeit more cautiously, and there are signs of behind-the-scenes pressure to prevent further escalation.
In that context, the initial spike may have been more about emotion than fundamentals. Markets are forward-looking, but they can also overreact. Unless there is a clear supply shock or direct disruption to infrastructure, the recent jump could start to lose steam as attention shifts back to broader economic factors. For now, it feels like much of the premium is already priced in.
Technicals: Rally Meets Resistance
The breakout last week saw crude oil push beyond a prolonged consolidation phase, catching the attention of short-term traders. However, strong trends take time to reverse, and the rally has now run into the descending trendline that maps the swing highs from April and January. That trendline held firm on the first test, and momentum has started to waver.
Yesterday’s session opened with a gap higher but couldn’t push above Friday’s high. Instead, prices pressed briefly into the trendline before reversing and closing lower on the day — a sign of short-term exhaustion. On the hourly chart, we’ve now got the early shape of a double-top pattern forming, which often suggests a loss of bullish conviction at resistance.
Given the elevated macro risk, volatility is likely to remain high. Traders looking to participate here should consider using the Average True Range to size their stops more effectively. With the rally showing signs of fading and resistance still intact, near-term price action looks vulnerable to further cooling unless the trendline is taken out decisively.
Brent Crude (UKOIL) Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Brent Crude (UKOIL) Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Brent Crude Hits Key Supply Zone After BreakoutPrice has aggressively broken out from the descending wedge and reached a strong 4H & 1D resistance zone between 74.50–76.00.
• 1D Chart: Sharp breakout from long-term descending trendline. Approaching resistance from Feb-April supply area.
• 4H Chart: Bullish structure confirmed by higher lows and breakout of ascending channel.
• 1H & 23m Chart: Consolidating beneath resistance, forming a triangle structure.
Key Zones:
• Support: 71.50–72.00
• Resistance: 74.50–76.00
Bias: Neutral short-term (range). Bullish if 76 is broken and held.
BRENT CL Technical & Economic Outlook: Geopolitical Tensions
Brent Crude Oil has surged 9% in just one day due to escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, underscoring the volatility in global energy markets. Here’s a breakdown of the key levels and the economic impact:
Resistance at 76.236:
This remains a strong resistance zone. A breakout could indicate more upside, with oil prices potentially reaching higher levels as geopolitical risk mounts.
Equilibrium at 73.535:
The market is stabilizing here, reflecting a balance between buying interest and caution. Consolidation may lead to further volatility as traders digest the geopolitical fallout.
Discount Zone at 71.952:
If the market retraces, this level offers a potential buying opportunity, as demand remains strong in this zone.
RSI at 57.96:
The RSI suggests neutral momentum, but the market could soon enter overbought conditions, making it crucial to watch for potential price exhaustion.
Economic Drivers:
Inflation: A surge in oil prices could worsen inflation globally, increasing costs across industries.
Geopolitical Risks: The ongoing conflict is likely to disrupt global supply chains, especially oil production.
What’s Next?
Bullish: Watch for a breakout above 76.236 to confirm a continuation of the rally.
Bearish: A failure to hold equilibrium could suggest a pullback to the discount zone, offering a buying opportunity.
Stay alert to the evolving geopolitical situation and its impact on oil price volatility.
Follow @GoldenZoneFX for more content and valuable insights.