SPX Aiming Lower LowsHi there,
The S&P 500 has pushed below the significant resistance level of 5821.54, with an immediate target at 5370.17 before reaching major support around the 5218 region. We could potentially see a further drop to 4500, with 4719.87 on the way.
It will require monitoring, and the bias is at 4026.79.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
US500.F trade ideas
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5445.2.Explaining what is happening in terms of wave theory is quite difficult, but always possible. Of course, geopolitics has been affecting the price a lot lately, but even in this chaos there are regularities.
Let's take a look at the wave markup. I believe that there is a big correction going on at the moment. Most likely it is not finished yet and has just started to form wave “B”, which means that wave “C” is coming, but I still want to see an upward movement to the resistance area at 5445.2. The price has been in a downtrend for too long and I think a correction is very likely. Well, let's see.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Potential Short Move to 5000This idea is in accordance with the Price slipping out of the cloud but closes below it and with strong downwards trends over a few months, price has retraced to the golden ratio zone so it may be a good opportunity to sell right now after confirmation of a downwards trend due to this price being a key level. Hence it could be a potential short position, I'm not in the trade but this is a likely outcome from the technicals and fundamentals
SPX....An interestng observation!10/4/25
spx....an interesting observation..
index has been travelling between the blue median which is a very strong support and the red median which is a very strong resistance.............this travel started s0me time in 2009....and is still ongoing!
only during 2008/2009 lehman collapse and 2020 covid did the index go below the blue median....
will it slip the blue median again or move north again to retest the red median? only time will tell..
but we have the contours to monitor!
Logarithmic channelsThe price has reached a support area at the bottom of the long-term logarithmic channel. If this area will not hold the price I see a possible spike to 5330 level which is 1.618 retracement of March 13 bottom - March 25 top. The price did the same retracement in October 2023. Pay attention that we have 1d positive divergence forming on RSI. We are bottoming, a crash is unlikely right now. The reversal will most likely happen this week.
Black Monday is Coming – Time to Short This Beast!Alright, listen up, traders! The storm is brewing, the signs are clear, and if you haven't noticed yet—wake up! Black Monday is knocking, and the market is looking ripe for a proper dump.
Now, I'm not saying sell your grandma’s jewelry and go all-in, but if you're looking for a juicy short entry, this might just be it. Ideally, you want to get in around that sweet spot in the yellow zone (check the chart) or even from the current levels if you're feeling extra spicy.
Risk? What Risk? (Just Kidding, Manage It!)
Stop-loss? Yeah, slap that bad boy above $6,150 on the 4-hour close. If price secures above that level, it's a no-go—cut it and move on.
Take profits? Scale out as price nosedives. No need to be greedy; let the market pay you in chunks.
The Big Picture
This ain't financial advice—just a battle plan from someone who's seen enough bloodbaths in the markets to smell the fear. High risk? Absolutely. But hey, no risk, no champagne.
Remember, risk management is king. Play it smart, lock in profits, and let the market do the heavy lifting-because when the dust settles, only disciplined traders will be left standing.
SP500 may have already hit the low In the video I have shown an interesting relationship between past crashes on SP500 which shows we might have already hit the low are very close to it before we start next major rally.
Note: Even though the relationship I have shown holds true so far doesn't Guarantee it will in future as well as all patterns no matter how convincing get invalidated at some point.
SPX - Have we bottomed ?History often repeats itself. SPX just bounced off a key level the 2022 high and the long-term channel support which has historically triggered strong reversals (red circles), and we’re seeing the same setup again. MACD is deep in bearish territory but showing signs of flattening. Volume is elevated — likely signaling a washout or institutional accumulation.
If bulls defend this level, a bounce toward the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibs (5,493 – 5,649) is on the cards. Break below 5,114 and it’s lights out again — signalling that this bounce perhaps may just have been a gap and bull trap ? I’m neutral and acting as per technical hints, waiting for signs of confirmation. Although Risk/reward is solid here if momentum shifts.
Would love to hear any thoughts or different opinions. All the best as always !
S&P 500 - Analysis and Rebound levels! 4/7/2025S&P 500 just pulled off a slick rebound at 4835.04 - Let's hope it's legit. A close above the 50-week SMA keeps momentum alive. If not, eyes on the next landing zones at 4754.17 and 4699.43. No panic! Don’t let the noise rattle your game plan! 😎
#SP500 AMEX:SPY SP:SPX
The Stock Market (SPX) Will Also RecoverGreat news my dear friends, reader and followers, truly great news.
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is now reversing after challenging a strong support level. This level is the 0.618 Fib. retracement for the bullish wave that started after the October 2023 market low. A strong bounce is visible as soon as this level was hit.
The correction is a classic ABC and the C wave is very steep. When a move is really strong, great force, it can't last that long. So the drop happened all at once, fast, and this means a fast end as well as a strong reversal, but the reversal will not be the same.
We are more likely than not to experience a long drawn out recovery, higher highs and higher lows long-term. Higher prices next.
This is the main support level, 0.618 around 4885. If this level breaks, the next strong support sits at 4540. We are going up.
It is not only Bitcoin and the Altcoins, the stock market will also grow.
The correction is over.
Total drop amounts to a little more than 21%.
This is huge and more than enough.
The bears are satisfied. The bears are done. A bearish wave is followed by a bullish wave.
Short bearish action, long bullish action.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Buckle Up for the Next Part of the Huffy CycleAs everyone knows, indices move on a predictable 4 month cycle - known as the "Huffy cycle", and this is programmatically built into markets are Donald Trump switches from being "Huffy" (Down moves) to "Less Huffy" (Parabolic organic growth moves). Donald has been huffy lately ... so we ALL KNOW what comes next ...!
Are you mentally prepared for the next glorious breakout of the Huffy cycle?
I'm sure everyone has noticed the 4 month huffy cycle which can be extensively studied, understood and used to forecast the future flawlessly because if we look at markets over 12 months we can see it looks a little bit kinda like a pattern - so long as you just ignore or remove the parts that are not a pattern. Which is how market cycles work.
If you see something a few times, you can be sure it will happen again forever. And if it doesn't you can be sure at worst it can only go down 70% and then it's probably a buy from there.
So the huffy cycle is basically risk free, if you look at it in the right way.
"But what about all the the things happening" I hear you ask.
Lol.
NGMI!
If you're too stupid to understand the huffy cycle, that's your problem. Not mine! HFSP.
Now, of course we all know SPX is not where near gambley for us to generate our birth right generational wealth from the markets. It could take literally YEARS to make money in SPX. Who has time for that? Of course, we want to be looking at the most stupid and speculative things we can - because those are the ones the savvy investors are buying.
That's right folks .... "Squeeze season" is upon us.
It's been 4 years since we seen anything make any truly irrational hyper parabolic moves in stocks. As we all know, this is too long. Stonks are not allowed to go this long without there being a squeeze cycle. Some doomers out there are even saying squeeze season has been cancelled (lmao ok boomer) - but we know the truth.
Squeeze season has just BEEN DELAYED and it being delayed actually means it will just be BIGGER THAN EVER!
I don't really have any logic or ideas to back up why it was delayed and why this means it will be an even bigger move, but if I say the word "Whales" I think that covers everything.
There are some idiots who are sceptical of the huffy cycle, but I am only writing my post for the future billionaires who are not too bothered about checking the details.
And we all know what comes next!!!
WGMI, fam.
SPXA few days early but not wrong.
SPX looking good having bounced from confluent support at 2008 to present channel mid AND 2021 highs...
Yesterday's "largest intraday reversal ever" filled gap at Monday's close; better to have filled that instead of leaving it unfilled -- now all relevant gaps below filled.
And today is largest SPX daily gain ever.
I believe you would agree, bottom is in. New highs by DJT's birthday. Never fade a time traveler.
S&P500: Trump's 90-day tariff pause just saved the day??S&P500 is having so far a +9.50% rise from today's low as even though Trump announced a 125% raise to China tariffs, he lowered and paused tariffs for 90 days to all countries that contacted the U.S. for negotiation. The 1D technical outlook is about to get neutral (RSI = 42.537, MACD = -181.510, ADX = 39.036) as the rebound is taking place at the HL bottom of the Bullish Megaphone, while the 1W MA200 stayed intact.
A similar Megaphone was last seen during the previous 2018 Trade War and was completed with the COVID crash that started an abnormal rally to new ATH to correct the equally abnormal crash. Needless to say, it was based on quick rate cuts but the situation isn't all that different today. Trump's stance towards negotiating, coupled with highly anticipated rate cuts, can deliver an equally abnormal rally now.
The previous HH of the Bullish Megaphone hit the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. This time if the rally extends to the end of the year, targeting the 1.5 - 1.618 Fibonacci Zone would be considered fair (TP = 6,900).
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The Bearish Cycle of SPX has begun.TL Overshort, rejected, recent price action(PA) has been bearish, the market seems to be overvalued.
The AI rush will subside due to the lack of data storage, and questions about how to sustain energy consumption, among other concerns about the sustainability of the tech rush, remain.
I think the tech industry will be the leading factor in the bearish cycle as the market continues finding lower levels from higher highs (HH). The forecast predicts a movement towards 4,400 points on the S&P 500 (SPX).
S&P 500 April 2nd week Analysis Looks like US markets have substantially digested the Trump tariffs. From now on, I don't see further big downside without any fresh bad news .Levels to watch S&P 500 for downside would be 5022 and 4934, and only after breaking 4934 decisively can we expect sharp downside movement towards 4757. On the upside, upon crossing 5138, we can expect strong short cover upto levels of 5363-5403.
ALL LEVELS ARE MARKED IN THE CHART POSTED!!!
S&P 500 Index Under Pressure – Another -10% Drop Incoming?Today, I want to analyze the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) for you. This index is one of the most important indices in the US stock market , which has been determining the direction of parallel financial markets such as crypto and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) for the past few days, so an analysis of this index can be important for us.
The S&P 500 Index started to fall after Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on countries around the world, which was like a coronavirus .
The question is whether this fall is temporary or will continue . To answer this question, we need to consider many parameters, but if we look at the sds chart from a technical analysis chart , we can expect a further decline .
The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,095) and is completing a pullback . It also lost its important Uptrend lines last week, which is not good news for the S&P 500 Index and US stocks .
From an Elliott wave theory , the S&P 500 IndexS&P looks like it has completed the main wave 4 , and we should expect the next decline(-10%) .
I expect the S&P 500 Index to attack the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) at least once more. The area where we can expect the S&P 500 Index to pull back is the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
What do you think? Will the S&P 500 Index continue its downward trend, or was this decline temporary?
Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,408, we can expect further Pumps.
Note: There is a possibility of a Bear Trap near the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) and PRZ.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),4-hour time frame.
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Do not panic. Let's look for opportunity.Don't panic. Let's try to find the opportunity here. Let this be a place free of fear p0rn.
Yes, we bounced, but as you can see - we bounced at a perfectly logical place.
IF we go lower, where MIGHT the bottom be? Where might we get a major bounce? Let's assume this is something "historic". What I have indicated in the chart would be a crash worse than COVID, but not AS BAD as the Global Financial Crisis.
Take the long-term support (going back to GFC) and extend it out. Take the PRE-COVID high and extend it out. This may be an important coordinate, and even if we touch either of the lines, I would expect some bounce.
Let's see how it plays out.
STICK TO YOUR STRATEGY. Don't panic!
S&P500: Rebound or Correction before another fallFRED:SP500 moving below 200 Days EMA on Daily Chart and taking a support on same EMA on Weekly Chart. Due to current situation in the market, high volatility due to Tariffs and announcements, Traders should be cautious as current rebound might be a correction before another fall with support at 4587
S&P 500 Index vs PresidentIn this layout you can see how the S&P has been performed on each presidency.
Presidency terms,
Obama 1st term: after the financial recession, the index was trying to recover and we saw falls from 16 to 21%, market went up 83%.
Obama 2nd term: the index saw falls from 10 to 15%, Market went up 50%.
Trump 1st Term: the index saw falls 3 big times 11, 21 and 34% Market went up 68%.
Biden 1st Term: the index saw falls 27% and 10%, Market went up 55%.
Trump 2nd Term: we are in the 1st fall 21% not sure if it will continue going down.
The price wants to get closer to the 200MA every time
Fibonacci levels, we are on 0.5, we still have 2 more levels down so these 3 levels could be a good entry point 😊