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US500.F trade ideas

SPX - do you really want to buy here ? 2022 all over again ?Looking at this SPX chart of 25 years and the MACD lines getting closer and closer I just can't see why to buy here except for short trades from one week to the next. The MACD is ticking down and it could lead to another or even worse 2022. We could get a blow-off top to 6300-6500, but looking at charts of big tech, Bitcoin, Gold and considering the uncertainty created by the new US administration, I am not seeing the sentiment for more bullishness. Might change over the next few days, who knows.
TVC:SPX
by flightleader78
$SPX500 Technical Analysis: Divergence Signals and Key LevelsOANDA:SPX500USD The SPX500 is currently displaying notable divergence on the daily timeframe chart, highlighting resistance near $6121 while the critical daily fractal support teeters at $5920. Key Levels to Watch: Support and Resistance Dynamics: The index faces significant resistance at $6121. Meanwhile, maintaining support above $5920 is crucial to sustain current bullish sentiment. Confirmation of Support Breakdown: A decisive drop below $5920 would signal a potential retest of the weekly fractal support at $5776. This level's breach would confirm a false breakout above resistance, potentially leading to further downside for the index. Potential Downside Targets: If the SPX500 extends its decline below $5776, attention should shift to the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, projecting a deeper correction towards $5557. This scenario sets the stage for a potential bullish shark pattern formation near the golden Fibonacci extension level. Technical Patterns: Previously identified patterns include a bearish deep crab around $6042, suggesting possible downside targets around $5737, near the .382% Fibonacci retracement level. A subsequent bullish shark pattern aligns with the .50% Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing a critical zone for potential reversals. Happy Trading, André Cardoso
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Andre_Cardoso
S&P500 4H Bullish Cross signals rally to 6200.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been consolidating within a Rectangle pattern, which is coming out a MA100/200 Bullish Cross on the 4H time-frame. The identical consoliation phase of July - August 2024 bottomed right after such Bullish Cross and then rebounded towards the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level before pulling back to the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) again. With the 1D MACD about to confirm the bottom with a Bearish Cross similar to September 04 2024, we expect a strong rally to start by the end of the week and target 6200 (just below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
1
SPX500 Will Move Higher! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,976.37. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 6,081.10. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by SignalProvider
1
Rate Cuts Coming Up?Simply put, yes , the Fed has appeared to switch its position on the FRED:FEDFUNDS remaining flat and are expecting further rate cuts. So what can we hypothesize the market's reaction will be? Well, you guessed it, the market will probably like the news and cash will flow into "risk-on" assets including crypto assets and, of course, stocks. Furthermore, we can infer that the market is not currently pricing in any rate cuts and we have yet to see a TRUE correction specifically in the TVC:DJI , TVC:NDQ , and the $SP:SPX. The image above shows an example of the 200 EMA significance and how it can be used to buy the dip at the right timing. PLEASE do not try to buy each top and bottom as it's virtually impossible to perfectly time the market. However, it should be suggested that you buy the day after the underlying bounces off the EMA. This is the most effective way to avoid a "fake out" in the trend. When this EMA it touched and rebounded, it could imply that a correction has taken place and that momentary downtrend is about to reverse to continue its previous bull trend. This could look as shown below. Just because it is shown on the chart doesn't make it so. Please keep in mind an equal and opposite possibility, where the EMA is broken through and a Bear market begins. Even though the odds for this are less than likely, the market simply not getting a rate cut could lead to this situation becoming a reality. In this market, nothing is impossible so be ready for everything. In conclusion, prepare for rate cut from not only the Fed, but ECB, and Bank of England as well. With this, we can expect rising markets as cash moves its way into risk assets. However, no one is a visionary, so if the markets don't get what they want (and we all know that it wants rate cuts more than anything), expect a lowering market and prepare to exit positions until a rebound appears reasonable.
SP:SPX
by addatheriver0808
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.4.2025🔮 📅 Tue, Feb 4 🌎 Market-Moving News: 📢 Tariffs in Focus: 🇺🇸🔁🇨🇦 U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico, 10% on China, while Canada retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods. 🏦 Central Banks: 📉🇪🇺 ECB cuts rates to support growth, while 📈🇯🇵 BOJ hikes rates, signaling diverging global monetary policies. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📉 JOLTS Job Openings (10 AM ET): Forecast 8.68M (Prev. 8.75M) 🏭 Factory Orders (10 AM ET): Forecast +0.2% (Prev. -0.7%) 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Initial push higher before rejecting below 6044, leading to consolidation. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Rebound attempt, but potential rejection back into the Equity Equilibrium Zone, causing choppy action. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Early dip, potential bounce, but structure favors continued weakness before stabilization. #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao 🚀
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
S&P500 1 month rally ahead. Target 6300.The S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a Channel Up since mid July 2024. Today's downside gap opening tested the 1day MA100 for the 2nd time in 2 weeks and buying pressure immediately kicked in. The 1day MACD pattern is identical to the September 06 2024 1day MA100 rebound. This ended up with a rally to the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. Buy and for the next 30 days at least target 6300 (1.786 Fib). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
Two Daily Gaps attract market for pullbackAlthough S&P500 is within uptrend, recent days has left two clearly visible gaps behind. That means that it is highly possible that SPX will come back to cover those gaps in the near future, before it continue uptrend (if it will). Same picture at NDX chart with two 4H gaps. I take this idea to apply to all markets including crypto. While chances to resume higher timeframe uptrend are valid for Bitcoin, Stock Indices will most probably influence it's short term price action.
TVC:SPX
by WiseAnalyze
$SPX Trading Range for Jan 3 2025All right same thing over here as in SPY this trading range is based on the one standard standard deviation movement off of Friday’s close We gapped down underneath the downward facing one hour 200 moving average into the up gap from January 17 which was a previous support on January 27. Now we are underneath it. We’re making lower lows and we also gapped underneath the 30 minute two hundreds moving average and the 50 day moving average so look to those levels as resistance for now. Below us we have an island gap that needs to be filled and it’s really close. I wouldn’t be surprised if we head there next .
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Trump’s Trade War Risks Throwing Markets into Chaos. TARIFFic?Apparently, Trump has slapped Mexico, Canada and China with hefty tariffs. Now all these three are either already retaliating with their own levies on US goods or getting ready to do so. The complex interplay of back-and-forth tariffs risks turning friends into foes and driving up prices. All the while the end consumer is likely to cover the difference. President Donald Trump on Saturday actually went ahead and did what he wanted to do. He launched the game of tariffs. He hit Mexico, Canada and China with hefty import duties, threatening to throw the world’s trade into a spiral of ill intentions, retaliations and higher prices for your Stanley cups and iPhones. The looming destabilization is already coming from both ends — Canada swiftly imposed 25% levies on roughly $20 billion of US goods coming into the country on Tuesday. Another $85 billion worth of goods are getting the same treatment within the next three weeks. China, where nearly everything you get your hands on is made, said it will “take necessary countermeasures to defend its rights and interests.” Trump’s new order requires Canada and Mexico to pay 25% tariffs on imports to the US (with a partial carve out for Canada’s energy and oil exports — 10% levies apply there). The US President was gearing up for a 60% tariff rate on China while he was running for office but said he’s imposing a 10% tariff that will likely get higher in time. These three countries in 2023 collectively accounted for about 40% of all US imports. That year, the US imported about $3.85 trillion worth of goods. In November 2024, the US pulled in about $351 billion worth of stuff and then sold it to Americans. What are tariffs and who pays them? At the basic level, tariffs are a way for an economy to protect itself from foreign competition. Through tariffs, domestic businesses are somewhat shielded from outside interference and can snatch up a bigger portion of the local market. Tariffs are just taxes placed on products that are made overseas and then imported to the country. Here’s the kicker: the foreign companies that make these goods and then import them aren’t on the hook for paying the tariffs — American businesses are. Tech companies like Apple AAPL , which makes about 95% of its stuff in China, or Tesla TSLA , which makes half of its cars in China, will end up paying more for their products as they come into the US. Who’s collecting that import duty? The US government. What could happen when these tariffs get cracking? The US consumer will most likely cover the difference. Nearly every product will be affected — from cars to baby toys to the already expensive eggs (can egg prices get even higher?) Here’s an example: potash, the product that’s used by US farmers as fertilizer, just got 25% more expensive. That extra cost, paid by the farmers, is likely to trickle down to the end consumer so farmers could keep trucking and produce at the same rates. What could happen to the stock market? One thing is certain — the companies that don’t pass on the added cost to the consumer will see their corporate profits dwindle. But if they want to keep generating value for shareholders, they’ll need to pass it forward to the end user. With the first quarter now well under way, the next earnings season will be a sight to see. (Friendly reminder to keep an eye on the economic calendar for all corporate earnings and updates.) An analysis from Barclays estimates that all S&P 500 companies could see their profits shrink by 2.8% once the tariffs get in full flow. Perhaps a bigger, scarier fallout is possible. Inflation can perk up again. Inevitably, the higher costs across the border risk undoing what the Federal Reserve was doing to combat inflation. Goldman Sachs came out with the forecast that the looming tariffs could have an initial knock on effect on inflation to the tune of 0.7% to the upside. Gross domestic product could drop 0.4%. And most of all, there’s one thing investors fear the most. Rising inflation could bring back interest rate hikes. A revival in consumer prices might prompt the Federal Reserve to walk back its intentions of more interest rate cuts and lean against the economy by raising borrowing costs. There are early signs of this already. Fed chief Jay Powell last week said the central bank is in a wait-and-see phase as Trump’s policies unfurl. The scary tariffs already knocked the wind out of stocks and crypto. Monday morning saw one of its worst openings in years, especially for Ethereum ETHUSD . The second-largest coin fell as much as 27% from the get-go as the bullish sentiment was nowhere to be seen. Bitcoin BTCUSD also got a slap losing 6% in its first deals to settle near $91,000 before paring back some of the drop. And stock futures were looking at steep declines with Dow futures DJI shedding as much as 700 points ahead of the opening bell in New York. The only winner was the US dollar DXY , which stands to gain popularity in a high-tariff environment. Until now, the market has been overwhelmingly on Trump’s side. He stepped into the White House riding on the promises of a strong economy and booming business. But if he takes aim (even indirectly) at shareholders’ profits, he might end up losing the support of all those billionaire executives who worked hard to get him elected. What do you think? Is Trump acting in the best interest of America or is he driving markets into a ditch? Share your thoughts below!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
55
Markets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout BeginsMarkets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout Begins? | SPX Market Analysis 3 Feb 2025 Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… Markets are waking up in full meltdown mode, all thanks to weekend tariff mayhem and rising tensions throwing a wrench into global trade. SPX futures are deep in the red, but that’s not necessarily bad news if you’re positioned right! With bear swings already paying out big and bull swings needing some management, the real question is—do we get follow-through selling, or is this just another knee-jerk overreaction? Let's dig in! SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 🔥 Trade War Whiplash Hits Markets Hard The overnight futures carnage was triggered by new tariff disruptions, retaliatory measures, and escalating trade war tensions—all set to take effect on Tuesday. The global market reaction was swift and brutal. SPX Futures: Hit a low of -120 points before bouncing to -80 points (-1.3%). Similar Pattern to Last Monday: Another huge gap down breaking out of last week’s range. Bearish Follow-Through or Bullish Bounce? Watching for a continuation lower or a bounce. 💰 Trade Plan: Profits on Bear Swings, Managing the Bullish Side Friday’s range reversal gave us an edge before the market even opened: ✅ Bear swings from Friday = Near-maximum gains at the open. ✅ Rolling the bull swing may be required—assessing once we see price action. ✅ Large gap downs = Risky entries—patience required before placing fresh trades. ⏳ Key Levels to Watch 📌 Gap Fill Potential: Do we snap back into the prior range or confirm a deeper decline? 📌 Early Flush or Fakeout Rally? Let the first 30-60 minutes set the tone before making big moves. 📌 Fast Forward Group Call Strategy: Real-time assessment of market direction at the open. For now, the plan is patience and precision—we wait for confirmation before making the next move. Fun Fact: 📉 The Worst Market Drop from Tariff Wars? In 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act triggered a global trade collapse, slashing world exports by 66% and worsening the Great Depression. Lesson Learned? Tariffs are rarely good news for markets. Every major tariff war in history has caused volatility, market corrections, or outright crashes. Whether today’s chaos is temporary or the start of something bigger remains to be seen! Happy trading, Phil Less Brain More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
S&P500 : Big Tech Stocks Slide as Trump’s Tariffs Shake MarketsBig Tech Stocks Fall After Trump Imposes Sweeping Tariffs Shares of major Big Tech firms declined after U.S. President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped approximately 1.98% following Trump's tariff announcement. The price is expected to test 5,969, and if it manages to close a 4-hour or 1-hour candle above this level, it may push higher to test 5,996 and 6,020. However, if the price stabilizes below 5,969, it will likely continue its bearish trend toward 5,937. A break below this level would expose 5,893 and 5,863 as additional downside targets. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5969 Resistance Levels: 5996, 6020, 6051 Support Levels: 5937, 5893, 5863 Trend Outlook: Bullish if the price breaks above 5,969 Bearish while trading below 5,969
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX: spooky words “DeepSeek” and “tariffs”It was a shaky week on the US equity markets, which included a lot of news. The week started with shocking news that a Chinese, a $6 million start-up company overtook the AI market with its program DeepSeek. As per news, the program was superior to the ChatGPT and swiftly took the first place at the Apple store in terms of downloads. No need to say that it was quite painful for the price of Nvidia shares, which tumbled immediately, ending the week at 16% loss. The next important event during the week was the FOMC meeting and rate decision. The Fed decided to leave interest rates unchanged, as was expected by the market. And the minute investors thought that the rest of the week would be calm, the next news came from the new US Administration, that the US will impose trade tariffs for goods imported from Canada, Mexico and China. The tariffs will be applied from Saturday, while markets had a strong negative reaction on Friday's trading session. During the week the S&P 500 was traded in a mixed manner, considering a bunch of significant news. Although the index tried to reconcile during the week, from its starting point at 5.970, it is ending the week at the level of 6.040, after reaching the highest weekly level at 6.115. Certainly, there is the weekly gain, however, what is actual investor sentiment regarding the tariffs will be seen at the beginning of the week ahead. For the moment, investors are still optimistic with respect to tech equities. If we exclude the “out of nowhere” shock related to DeepSeek, investors are waiting with anticipation for the quarterly results of Nvidia. Apple posted relatively solid results during the previous week. Although the sale of IPhones is not doing quite well, still, Apple is able to cover the decrease in sales with an increase of income from services. Amazon and Google are also posting results in the week ahead. With nonfarm payrolls scheduled for a release, it is a promise of another challenging week on financial markets.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX