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US500.F trade ideas

US500 - Bullish Reversal Setup Overview: The US500 (S&P 500) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after a significant pullback. We have reached a key support level where buyers are stepping in, suggesting a possible move higher. Technical Analysis: Support Zone: Price has tested a strong demand zone and is rejecting lower levels. Bullish Structure: A higher low formation is developing, which is a sign of trend reversal. Moving Average Confluence: Price is looking to reclaim the 50-day moving average, adding further confirmation for a bullish push. Risk-Reward Setup: A favorable risk-to-reward ratio is in play with a stop below the recent lows and a target back towards recent resistance levels. Trade Plan: 🔹 Entry: On confirmation of bullish momentum near the current zone. 🔹 Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low. 🔹 Take Profit: Targeting the previous high near resistance. 💬 Let me know your thoughts! Will US500 bounce from here? 🚀 #RSTRADING #SPX500 #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
FPMARKETS:US500Long
by RSTrad1ng
Bearish drop?S&P500 (US500) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 5,705.61 1st Support: 5,507.00 1st Resistance: 5,814.09 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by ICmarkets
S&P 500 Below 200-Day Average: Double Top Targets 5400I wrote before about the S&P 500 when it was at its peak, showing that "head and shoulders" pattern, and it hit its target. Now, the index has been tradin’ below the 200-day moving average for 10 sessions and is strugglin’ to get back above it. There’s also a "double top" pattern formin’, targetin’ around the 5400 level. Next week’s gonna be big—needs to climb back above that 200-day average, or the odds of more downside are gonna go up. And that 5400 level might not be the final stop, ‘cause there are other patterns that ain’t done yet. Once it hits that level, they’ll complete and signal even lower targets.
SP:SPXShort
by ALRASHYD_
SPX Forecast - Further Consolidation with Slightly Bullish TrendVix fell slightly as SPX closed the week relatively flat. FMOC made it clear the Fed expects economic harm from current plans despite unwillingness to update guidance on rate cuts. Forthcoming April 2nd tariff war milestone will likely cause the market to simmer further in anticipation of the execution. Major tech earnings have concluded and the market enjoyed it's first week of relative stability since the historic 14 consecutive days of sell-off. All these indicate there may be little buyer interest at new levels prior to resolving looming uncertainty and could lead to further consolidation within prior ranges while maintaining the slightly bullish local structure. Break below 5,615 would invalidate the structure and confirm continuation to the downside.
SP:SPXLong
by franklyfresh
S&P short recovery before 52-5400 S&P short recovery before 52-5400 , If the trend from 2015-2016 repeats, we are due for a short recovery towards 5900 or 10MA and then follow for a larger correction by summer. If things look good at Macro level that would be great opportunity to resume bull cycle otherwise short recovery towards 5400 and following for a 2021 ATH 4800 area to complete bear market and settle down in 2026 to see new ATH inly in 2027. In that case 2025 Christmas would be good opportunity to buy. This is not a an advice including myself
SP:SPX
by PJCharts4FUN
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 17.3-21.3 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 10th week of the base cycle (average 20 weeks), which began with the pivot forecast on January 13, now in the second phase. The bear is completing the overdue 50-week and 4-year cycles. Target levels are outlined here. The expected range for the base cycle low is mid-May to mid-June. At this point, I anticipate a reversal between the extreme forecasts of June 16 and June 23, marking the start of a new 4-year cycle. The beginning of any cycle, even a bearish one, is always bullish, and the start of a 4-year cycle can be very strong. 👉 Meanwhile, retrograde Venus and Mercury are predictably working against each other. As I mentioned in early March and in previous posts, retrograde Venus played out with a one-week lag upward. Retrograde Mercury on March 17 did not support the phase start as I expected last week; instead, it delayed the bullish move but lacked the energy to reverse it. Venus remains the stronger influence. The situation resembles the beginning of the second phase of the base cycle. Note the weak start of this phase. ⚠️ Technically, we are in a bearish base cycle. Therefore, the second phase is also expected to be bearish, with a short rally followed by a steep drop below the opening. A strong resistance level is at the familiar 5850 mark. The next extreme forecast is March 24 – the midpoint of retrograde Mercury. There is also a pivot forecast on March 27, but that is more relevant to crude.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
SPX at a Critical JunctureThe SPX is approaching a make-or-break moment. Over the next two weeks, we should gain clarity on whether the broader market is gearing up for new all-time highs, or if it's time to consider the possibility of a top forming — potentially signaling the onset of a more serious downside move (i.e., a bear market). Key resistance levels are in focus. Any strong rejection from these areas will be interpreted as a sign of weakness and could serve as an early signal for a lower low in the making. The red line on the chart represents a critical threshold — price should not close below it on a daily basis (and ideally, not on a weekly basis either). Also worth noting: the 5400 level holds significant liquidity, making it a key area to watch. For now, the approach is to remain cautiously long, as long as these levels continue to hold.
SP:SPXLong
by CampmanTrades
S&P 500: Bull Run Reversal Underway S&P 500 increased by just 0.08% to close Friday's trade at 5,667 after a four-week decline. It is now down over 7% from February's peak of 6,147. The index has broken its bullish daily structure, signalling the start of a major correction. Critical support at 5,542 must hold to avoid further downside. If support holds, a temporary rebound could reach targets of 5,662, 5,737, 5,858, and 5,932. Failure to maintain 5,542 would lead to the second stage, targeting 5,151. Given current economic pressures, a four-stage correction resembling past corrections is plausible, potentially reaching as low as 4,564.
SP:SPXShort
by Rotuma
US100 – Elliott Wave Count & Expanding Flat ScenarioThis chart reflects my interpretation of the Elliott Wave principle, focusing on the rule of alternation. I've mapped a running flat in wave (II) and an expanding flat in wave (IV), which feels valid in this structure. Currently, I'm tracking the final stages of wave 5 in the weekly count – potentially setting up for a daily leg higher into wave (V). Key levels to watch: Weekly vector body: 5,928 Daily vector body: 6,110 Final target zone: around 6,200+ Human behavior doesn’t change — the cycle will always repeat. The carry trade could unwind at point X or at the end of daily wave 5. Let’s see how it plays out. This is not financial advice – purely my perspective for learning and discussion.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by The_Market_Architect
US100 – Elliott Wave Count & Expanding Flat ScenarioThis chart reflects my interpretation of the Elliott Wave principle, focusing on the rule of alternation. I've mapped a running flat in wave (II) and an expanding flat in wave (IV), which feels valid in this structure. Currently, I'm tracking the final stages of wave 5 in the weekly count – potentially setting up for a daily leg higher into wave (V). Key levels to watch: Weekly vector body: 5,928 Daily vector body: 6,110 Final target zone: around 6,200+ Human behavior doesn’t change — the cycle will always repeat. The carry trade could unwind at point X or at the end of daily wave 5. Let’s see how it plays out. This is not financial advice – purely my perspective for learning and discussion. I Salute You -The Market Architect-
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by The_Market_Architect
Trendline Broken – Is the Bull Run in Trouble?The S&P 500 index is currently exhibiting a critical technical structure. After forming a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) within a well-respected rising trendline, the price recently made an All-Time High (ATH) but has since shown signs of weakness. The trendline, which has acted as a dynamic resistance multiple times, has now been broken. At present, the price is retesting the key horizontal support zone and the 200 EMA after the breakdown. This retest is crucial—a rejection here could confirm a bearish shift, potentially leading to lower levels near the next key support zone. Additionally, the RSI is displaying a bearish divergence, signaling weakening momentum despite recent highs. Key Takeaway: Watch for confirmation at the retest zone. A rejection may signal a deeper correction, while a reclaim of the trendline and 200 EMA could reestablish the bullish structure. Risk management is key at these pivotal levels.
SP:SPXShort
by unichartz
2
Still more upside for SPX500USDHi traders, SPX500USD did exactly what I've predicted. Last week I said we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what we will be the move after that. But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair. This scenario is still in progress for next week. So let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
Rolling Crisis': How one solution tends to feed the next problemThe Cycle of Crisis: How Fed Interventions and Post-Crisis Policies Set the Stage for Future Turbulence Research suggests that solutions to financial crises—ranging from the Federal Reserve’s early market interventions in 1922 to post-2008 policies—often create conditions that later lead to new crises. Historical evidence indicates that measures such as deposit insurance, deregulation, and quantitative easing can inadvertently encourage risk-taking, creating a cyclical pattern of stabilization followed by vulnerability. ================================ Historical Context and Analysis ================================ The Fed's Role Since 1922 In 1922, the Federal Reserve pioneered the use of open market operations to manage the money supply. By purchasing government securities, the Fed aimed to stabilize credit conditions and influence interest rates. This early intervention set the stage for modern monetary policy and demonstrated how central bank actions can have far-reaching effects on market behavior. Post-Great Depression Reforms and Moral Hazard Following the Great Depression, a series of reforms restored public confidence: Glass-Steagall Act (1933): Separated commercial and investment banking to limit excessive risk-taking. Creation of the FDIC: Insured bank deposits, boosting consumer trust. Fed as Lender of Last Resort: Provided emergency liquidity to prevent bank failures. These measures, while stabilizing, also introduced moral hazard. Banks, knowing they were protected, gradually assumed more risk—a trend that contributed to later financial instability. Deregulation and the 2008 Crisis In the 1990s and early 2000s, financial deregulation intensified: Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (1999): Repealed parts of Glass-Steagall, allowing banks to merge commercial and investment functions. Commodity Futures Modernization Act (2000): Deregulated derivatives markets, increasing the complexity of financial instruments. Intended to modernize the financial sector, these changes inadvertently enabled risk buildup. The mixing of high-risk investment activities with traditional banking practices contributed to vulnerabilities that eventually led to the 2008 financial meltdown. Post-2008 Policies and Unintended Consequences In response to the 2008 crisis, policymakers adopted aggressive measures: Quantitative Easing (QE): The Fed injected liquidity by purchasing large quantities of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities. Low Interest Rates: Keeping rates near zero spurred borrowing and spending. While these policies stabilized markets and averted deeper recession, they also contributed to unintended outcomes such as asset price bubbles and rising inflation, which may sow the seeds for future economic challenges. ================================ Cyclical Nature of Crisis Responses ================================ A review of historical episodes reveals a recurring pattern where each crisis response, while effective in the short term, can alter market incentives and build vulnerabilities that later trigger new crises. Comparative Analysis 1922–1929: Open market operations stabilized credit but contributed to speculative booms. Post-1930s: Safety nets restored confidence but led to increased risk-taking (moral hazard). 1990s–2000s: Deregulation modernized finance yet enabled risk buildup that precipitated the 2008 crisis. Post-2008: QE and low rates stabilized recovery but fueled asset bubbles and inflation. Lessons for Policymakers Tailored Responses: Each crisis is unique; policies must account for long-term impacts. Guard Against Moral Hazard: Safety nets should be paired with measures to discourage reckless behavior. Balanced Regulation: Financial innovation requires robust oversight to prevent systemic risks. Conclusion From the Fed’s pioneering steps in 1922 to today’s complex economic environment, history shows that every crisis solution has its price. Emergency measures—though vital for short-term stability—can reshape market incentives and create vulnerabilities that may lead to future crises.
SP:SPX
by holeyprofit
Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) seasonal strategists and swing tradersThrift Savings Plan (TSP) swing traders and seasonal swingers update AMEX:RSP SP:SPX AMEX:SPY AMEX:VOO : it is very tempting to call this the local bottom, but I caution against making that assumption just yet. We aren't trying to catch falling knives. Instead, we're riding the momentum. Let's look at previous examples, in which the assumption was that we bottomed, highlighted in boxes. What would I like to see before jumping back into C-Fund? S&P 500 stocks above the 200-day moving average, staying above 50%. Next, I'd look for the equal weighted S&P 500 ETF AMEX:RSP to make a higher low, which should also show up on the weighted S&P 500.
TVC:SPX
by Davy_Dave_Charts
S&P500 The Week Ahead 24th March '25S&P500 bearish & oversold, the key trading level is at 5766 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the course of this week's trading session, the S&P 500 achieved the designated target for the Inner Index Rally at 5576, which occurred midweek. This target was accompanied by considerable volatility, ultimately hindering upward movement. On the week's final trading day, the index experienced a notable decline, resulting in a significant drop that reached our critical target, Mean Support, at 5603. Consequently, the index is now poised to target a retest of the Inner Index Rally level 5712, with a subsequent potential target identified at the Mean Resistance level 5840. It is essential to consider that upon reaching the Inner Index Rally target of 5712, a decrease in the current price level is anticipated, which may lead to a retest of the Mean Support at 5601. Furthermore, an extended decline is possible to revisit the completed Outer Index Dip at 5520 before the resumption of an upward rally.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter