US500 – Buy the Dip Near Trend & EMA SupportTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 5,870
Target: 6,020
Stop Loss: 5,820
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3:1
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 28/05/2025 12:00
Technical Overview
Price action continues to respect the primary bullish trend with recent buying off the 78.6% Fibonacci pullback level at 5,868.
A bullish engulfing candle on the 4H chart reinforces a short-term momentum shift to the upside.
The 20-period 4H EMA (5,864) is rising and should provide dynamic support near the entry level.
The setup favors buying dips, aiming for a move to 6,020, while keeping stops tight below key support at 5,820.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US500.F trade ideas
S&P 500 (SPX500USD) – Liquidity Sweep or Continuation? | Probabi🕒 1H Chart | Smart Money Concepts | Volume | ORB Framework
We are currently trading around 5,888, after a recovery from the equilibrium zone near 5,760–5,770, which served as a strong reaction point. Here's how we at WaverVanir International LLC are assessing probability-based outcomes using our DSS and institutional concepts:
🔍 Key Levels & Observations:
🟥 Premium Supply Zone:
5,925–5,945 shows signs of multiple CHoCHs (Change of Character), BOS (Break of Structure), and prior liquidity grabs.
This zone is now a potential trap for late buyers.
Prob. of rejection: ~70% based on historical confluence.
🟦 Discount Demand Zone:
5,742–5,770 is our equilibrium/discount reaccumulation zone with a high-probability reaction area.
Swept liquidity clean on May 24–27 with volume spike confirmation.
Prob. of support: ~75% short-term if price retraces with exhaustion.
📈 Trade Ideas (Probability-Weighted):
Short Setup (Reactive)
Entry: 5,928–5,940 (inside premium)
Stop Loss: Above 5,950 (above weak high)
Target 1: 5,860
Target 2: 5,785–5,765 (equilibrium zone)
Confidence: 65–70%
Long Setup (Reversion Play)
Entry: 5,765–5,745 (bottom of imbalance)
Stop Loss: Below 5,729
Target 1: 5,859
Target 2: 5,910–5,920
Confidence: 70% if sweep occurs with declining vol.
🔄 ORB Confluence:
Opening Range Breakout (0930–0945) shows recent buy-side aggression, but this move is suspect unless volume continues climbing. A fade below 5,859 without impulsive volume confirms seller re-entry.
Monday Bounce from 4H Demand ZoneAfter taking a controlled loss on Friday, I came into Monday focused and clear-minded. Price tapped into a clean 4H demand zone and printed a strong bullish engulfing candle — a textbook rejection from imbalance. I waited for the 4H candle close before entering long.
Risk was tight below the demand zone, with a clear target above — offering a high RR setup. This trade wasn’t about the day of the week; it was about respecting structure, imbalance, and confirmation.
Pair: US500
Timeframe: 4H
Setup: Bullish engulfing off 4H demand zone + imbalance fill
Entry: After 4H candle close
Stop Loss: Below demand wick
Take Profit: Major clean high above imbalance
Risk-to-Reward: Over 3R
This is why I trade the 4H. One clean move. No stress. No noise. Just structure + patience.
– THE 4H TRADER
S&P 500 Weekly PotentialVolatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all.
This week with SP:SPX bi-weekly trends have risen to just below our monthly values and are currently expansive over the markets IV prediction. Right now as I see it, HV10 is going resonate alongside our monthly values showing continued strength over IV. We could full regression to quarterly means as we move our of corrective territory then see consolidation to cool the markets down.
BOOST the post, drop a follow and comment, BUT don't circle back at the end of the week to revisit and observe how our trending markets preformed!
GAP to Fill in RectangleThe S&P 500 (SPX) is poised to fill its recent gap, having re-entered the prior consolidation range and now challenging the 200-day moving average. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting near overbought territory, the market may need a brief cooldown before resuming its trend. At the same time, rising bond yields are casting a shadow on equities, as investors weigh the impact of higher borrowing costs on corporate profits. Until yields stabilize, we’re likely to see heightened volatility around key technical levels.
SPX500 H1 | Multi-swing-low support at 38.2% Fib retracementSPX500 is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 5,822.41 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 5,770.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 5,932.39 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SPX Short Puts - An Idea to testI dont like paper trading because it doesnt seem real. Just like online poker thats not for real money, its hard to care enough. So I put this trade on this morning, SPX Sold 5735 Put and Bought 5700 Put for $5.95 credit 8 day expiration (May 30). An 8 day trade is of course exposed to overnight and over a long weekend risk but its traded around the support range of the gap fill. I built the spread at the strikes I wanted then moved it out in expiration until it had an amount of credit I felt good about it.
Theres been an upward drift on it so far today so its gone in my favor, I dont recall what the delta was at the time but its 18.51 now so it had to be in the 20's. Its up $115 right now so it could be closed as a winner and I can come back tomorrow for something else, but I'm going to leave it open. The thought here is I like the support level of 5720 if the gap fill occurs, it should have a decent bounce if it even gets there so my 5735 shouldnt get into that much more trouble anyway. The idea here is if it even gets to the range of it, I roll it because regardless of what happens, I dont think its going to stay below 5720 for too long. The other part of the idea is if the market drifts sideways or upward, I can roll it out daily to maintain about the same delta and collect some credit. I dont really want to go longer than 9 or 10 days though so I'd have to look for a different strike when it moves too high.
$SPXSP:SPX staying strong as the One Big Beautiful Bill pushes forward 🇺🇸📊
This bill could be the fuel the market needs:
✅ Economic momentum through tax relief & job creation
🔧 High-tech equipment demand rising
🏗️ U.S. doubling down on skilled labor to rebuild smarter, stronger infrastructure
This isn’t just policy it’s a blueprint for long-term bullish energy in the markets. Eyes on SP:SPX 📈🔥
SPY pull back startAs we can see, it appears that today marked the beginning of a pullback, with the price breaking below the trendline and dropping by 1.20%.
Interestingly, the price has now reached the 10 EMA, which often acts as dynamic support. From here, we need to remain patient — either waiting for a bullish reaction at this level or allowing the price to continue pulling back to a deeper point of interest (POI).
Based on how the market reacts at each POI, we can then begin to take action on the trades from our watchlist.
SPX500 | Macro-Fib Confluence Levels + Risk Roadmap🕰️ Daily Chart | May 21, 2025
🏢 Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
After a sharp retracement and subsequent rally, the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) is now facing overhead resistance near the 0.886 Fib retracement (~5,875-5,953) from the previous swing high.
🔍 Technical Overview:
Confluence Resistance: 5,875–5,953 zone (0.886 Fib)
Micro W-Pattern Setup: Pullback expected to 5,640–5,700 before a potential higher low sets up a breakout.
Bull Targets:
6,182 (1.236 Fib ext)
6,512 (1.618 Fib ext, potential exhaustion zone)
🧠 Macro + Volatility Context:
Monetary Policy: Fed remains data-dependent. July rate cut odds are increasing, but the market remains bifurcated between sticky services inflation and weakening real GDP prints.
Bond Market: Yield curve remains inverted. A breakout above 6,182 will likely need bond volatility (MOVE index) to stabilize under 100.
Global Flow Risks: Continued capital inflows into U.S. equities amid geopolitical hedging, but China liquidity injections and BOJ FX defense add noise.
🛡️ Risk Management Notes:
Pullback Zone: 5,640–5,700 = high-conviction buy zone (0.5–0.618 retracement of last impulse)
Invalidation: Daily close below 5,573 or breach of 5,475 = reassess long thesis.
Position Sizing: Favor partial scaling-in with tight trailing stop until breakout confirmation.
📌 Strategy Summary:
We are watching for a tactical pullback into the golden zone followed by a measured continuation toward 6,182+ if macro tailwinds align (i.e., dovish Fed tone + improving liquidity metrics). The setup mirrors late-cycle rallies and should be monitored alongside bond yields and dollar strength.
⚠️ Patience > Chase. Let the W structure play out.
—
🔗 #SPX500 #Fibonacci #MacroTrading #Wavervanir #SMC #RiskManagement #TradingViewAnalysis
S&P 500 1W forecast until mid June 2025It's in reversal now. Uptrend has finished and downtrend is starting. A fall downto 5105 is on the table. It may last until the middle of June 2025.
This view is also supported by my VIX forecast.
Weekly updates of 1D chart are available through social media links in my profile.
05/20/25 Trade Journal, and Where is the Stock Market going tomoEOD accountability report: +293.75
Sleep: 4.5 hours , Overall health: Calm and tired. need to catch up on sleep.
What was my initial plan?
Market structure was bearish so, I started the day shorting, but once market flipped bullish, I switched to BTD mode.
Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System
— 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:20 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal
— 11:18 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 1:20 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal
— 3:13 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal 2x signal (C+ set up)
Next day plan--> Above 5900 = Bullish, if we lose 48min support at 5900--> 5800 next
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Should you listen to JP Morgan CEO, Jamie?Jamie could be right about Quarter 2 where we start to see the effects of the tariff hurting the US markets. Earnings down, that means PE will follow and share price comes down.
But should SELL all your US assets like what some influencers are telling you? I can't decide for you but I am holding to it and ride it through. Why? Simple - I am not smart enough to TIME the market knowing exactly when is the bottom and when is the peak.
That is what some gurus are positioning themselves to be, naturally with some courses involved and a membership into their group chat,etc. It is obvious only the profitable trades are displayed on social media for all to see so that FOMO effects kicks in. WHY didnt I join this club else I would be the one also making the profit?
What I love about WB is his wisdom. He said learnt to take the risk and the returns will come. In that, he means doing the necessary work , research on why in the first place are you buying a particular company and not midway, let it affects your decision to start dumping.
I also think some traders/investors have unrealistic expectations, thinking that every single trade they undertake must yield a profit. They believe in the method they are using so it is hard to accept when SL is hit. I have said umpteen times. Whoever can come up with a system that yields consistent profits, he would not be marketing it but first borrow so much money to bet on it himself and make a millionaire or multimillionaire out of it. That is the logic instead of touting it online and kept promoting how good it is.
So for me, I am hanging on tight to my good quality companies and not selling anything at this juncture but keeping an open mind to what's to come in the near future.
As usual, please DYODD
5/19/2025 sp500It was a great purchase, I bought it based on the balanced fvg on the larger graphic times and the liquidity that needed to be captured on the buying side, it would be better if I posted on lower timeframes to have a better idea of the liquidity regions but it is not possible to post below 15m, hope you guys enjoy
SPX500 H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportSPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 5,789.71 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 5,630.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 5,994.08 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SPX: in an optimistic moodIt was a good week for the S&P 500, which managed to gain each day during the previous week, surging by around 5% on a weekly basis. Positive market sentiment was supported by easing of trade tariffs tensions between the US and China. It should be also noted that the US Administration signed significant partnerships with countries in the Middle East, mostly in the field of technology and further support to AI development. These agreements will ensure that US companies, mostly in the AI and tech industry, will secure trillions of US Dollars in investments within the next couple of years. In this sense, the US tech companies gained during the week, with Nvidia as a leader in the chip industry, surging around 16% on a weekly basis. META was traded higher by some 8%, Apple surged by 6%, while Microsoft gained modest 3% on a weekly basis.
Analysts are noting that the markets are currently re-thinking the stagflation risks, which was previously priced during the peak of US-China trade tariffs tensions. This was the major catalyst for the positive sentiment during the previous week, and easily might support its continued optimism also in the weeks ahead. Still, it should be considered that the US equity market continues to be vulnerable to fundamentals, especially toward the news related to trade tariffs. Such fundamentals might bring some short term volatility, however, general positive sentiment is currently holding.