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US500.F trade ideas

US500 evening updateBearish count for US500. Pitchfork drawn from March 2020 low, January 2022 high, October 2022 low. October 2022 low saw price bounce off .5 fib drawn from January 2022 high to March 2020 low. Price has been targeting the median line (red line) of the pitchfork since October 2022, but it has never tagged it. Price teased above the 0.5 line twice (in teal), once in July 2024 and once in October 2024 (green ellipses). Price attempted to get above .5 line again today and was promptly rejected. Price has formed an impulse off 5 August low, with 1>3>5. I would say this is a short opportunity; if price is to stay below resistance of 5884.7 and below .5 line of pitchfork. If median line cannot be tagged, then price will find its way (quickly) back to October 2022 low. Key support is 5088.9.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by discobiscuit
1
S&P500 Buy this pull back.S&P500 / US500 got rejected today on the Falling Resistance of the previous High. This is the very same pattern we had between Sep 26th - Oct 6th. After the pull back was completed near the previous Low, the price rebounded above the Falling Resistance to a +2.17% rise. Even the first rebound on the Rising Support, rose by +2.19%. Buy the current pull back and target 5900 (+2.17%). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
2
S&P500 Long: Melt upI have been calling for shorts recently almost like a permabear. However the recent move up made me realize that odds have changed. The truth is, when I'm wrong, it's usually super profitable to flip side. Meaning, this is potentially a melt up coming. What this means is that the move from 5th Aug low to 17th Oct high is just a wave 1 and the recent shallow move down is a wave 2. And now we may be going into a wave 3. Stay cautious. A new all time high will confirm this.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by yuchaosng
6
SPX500USD Is Bullish! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,836.4. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 5,891.1 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SignalProvider
1
SPX: Liquidity Zone Breakout or Support Breakdown AheadTechnical Analysis: The price is testing the support line after pulling back from the liquidity zone around 5,863. If the price holds above the pivot line and breaks the liquidity zone, it could rally toward 5,939. A failure to hold the support line could lead to a bearish move, with potential targets at 5,781 and 5,732. Watch for confirmation at the liquidity zone for a bullish breakout or breakdown from the support line for further downside movement. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5832 Resistance Levels: 5863, 5891, 5939 Support Levels: 5803, 5781, 5732 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5832 Bullish above 5832
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
The bulls need to reclaim 5815! Structurally, the SPX has printed a higher low compared to the previous day, with the weekly low at 5863 and the higher low at 5785. A break below 5800 opens the door to 5785; a break below 5785, implies an outside day with major support at 5765/5760. If bulls cannot reclaim the 5815/5825 zone, this would be interpreted as a backtest of the breakdown zone from Wednesday. Dealer Gamma remains more neutral than imbalanced, but flows are destabilizing. There is potential for significant directional or flash moves as dealers chase deltas, selling weakness and buying strength. Since VIX remains elevated, 19 and the Volatility Risk Premium (VRP) is at a premium, implied volatility could be an exacerbating factor in both directions. The upside is heavily dependent on a vol down environment. A reclaim of the 5815 Flip (dealer transition) often attracts volatility sellers, which could trigger a sharp upside squeeze. Vol crush Friday?
SP:SPX
by 0dteTraders
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PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by Thief_Trader
Are Stocks Topping for Now?The S&P 500 has had a dramatic run, with gains in the last six weeks and 10 of the last 11 months. But will the run continue? The first pattern on today’s chart is last week’s low around 5804. The index crossed under it and stayed there yesterday, producing a lower low on the weekly chart. Ending the week below that level could resemble moments like late-July or early April, when pullbacks followed. Second, the index got rejected at or near highs on October 15 and 17. Those solid candles (marked with white arrows) may reflect selling pressures. MACD also turned lower and prices closed below the 8-day exponential moving average, which could suggest momentum is slowing. Next, the Nasdaq-100 stalled below its July peak. Does that reflect exhaustion among the biggest stocks in the market? This lethargic price action in the big growth names contrasts with Treasury yields pushing higher. That may also be a risk to equities and risk assets in general. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
SPX to turnaround?US500 - 24h expiry Broken out of the wedge to the downside. The formation has a measured move target of 5773. An overnight positive theme in Equities has led to a higher open this morning. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. We look to Sell at 5847 (stop at 5865) Our profit targets will be 5802 and 5792 Resistance: 5845 / 5847 / 5857 Support: 5815 / 5800 / 5785 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by OANDA
Price Reversal at Key Support with Consolidation ExpectedTechnical Analysis: The price has reached the previously identified support zone and has once again reversed its course. At present, it is anticipated that the price will attempt to reach 5,863, provided it continues to trade above the 5,824 and 5,800 levels. However, the price is likely to remain in a consolidation phase between 5,863 and 5,824 until a decisive breakout occurs. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5837 Resistance Levels: 5863, 5891, 5939 Support Levels: 5824, 5812, 5781 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5824 Bullish above 5824
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
Why Buying High and Selling Low Hurts Your PortfolioStock trading can be a pathway to wealth, but it requires a disciplined approach and a deep understanding of market dynamics. One of the most common errors traders make is buying high and selling low. This mistake, driven by emotions like greed and fear, occurs when traders buy stocks at peak prices due to hype, only to sell them later at a loss when panic sets in. This fundamental error not only undermines trading performance but also runs counter to the basic principle of buying low and selling high. Understanding the Classic Mistake "Buying high and selling low" refers to purchasing stocks at elevated prices, often driven by market euphoria, and selling them at lower prices out of panic during a downturn. For example, consider a trader who buys tech stocks during a strong rally, expecting continued gains. When the market corrects and prices drop, the trader panics and sells at a loss, embodying the classic mistake. SPX Chart Daily with RSI Indicator Psychological and Emotional Triggers The root cause of buying high and selling low often lies in emotional and psychological triggers: --Greed: This can push traders to chase rising stocks, leading to buying at inflated prices. --Fear: Panic can set in during downturns, prompting traders to sell prematurely to avoid further losses. --Cognitive Biases: FOMO (fear of missing out) and loss aversion further exacerbate this behavior, clouding judgment and increasing the likelihood of impulsive trading decisions. Trading with divergences is a powerful tool for identifying potential reversals. Why It’s a Problem The impact of buying high and selling low can be devastating. Repeated losses from this mistake can erode capital, reduce recovery potential, and derail long-term financial goals. --Market Timing Issues: Poor timing, especially in volatile markets, often leads to buying during uptrends and selling during downtrends. --Profitability Impact: The repeated pattern of trading against the trend limits profitability, making it harder to grow wealth over time. Identifying the Mistake in Practice Recognizing this mistake early is crucial. Common scenarios include: --Bull Markets: FOMO can drive traders to buy during rallies, often at inflated prices. --Market Corrections: Panic selling during downturns leads to locking in losses, even if the stock rebounds soon after. Warning Signs include overbought/oversold conditions, excessive market hype, and impulsive decisions based on emotional reactions. Strategies to Avoid Buying High and Selling Low To avoid this mistake, traders must employ a disciplined approach: --Develop a Trading Plan: Set clear entry/exit criteria, define risk management rules, and commit to the plan even during volatility. --Use Technical Analysis: Tools like Moving Averages and RSI help identify overbought/oversold conditions, guiding better entry/exit decisions. RSI as Technical Tool on Nasdaq NQ1! --Set Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels: These predefined levels limit potential losses and lock in gains, preventing emotional decisions. Psychological and Behavioral Adjustments Improving trading performance involves managing emotions and making rational decisions: --Managing Emotions: Techniques like journaling and mindfulness can help traders remain calm and focused. --Improving Decision-Making: Objective analysis, regular review of trades, and checklists can ensure systematic, data-driven decision-making. Conclusion The mistake of buying high and selling low is a common pitfall in stock trading, driven by emotional biases and poor timing. By understanding this mistake, developing a solid trading plan, using technical tools, and setting Stop Loss/Take Profit levels, traders can significantly reduce losses and enhance profitability. Implementing disciplined practices and improving decision-making processes are key to overcoming this classic error and achieving long-term trading success.
SP:SPXEducation
by FOREXN1
3
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels and Targets for 10.24.24OK, so in SPX, here we also closed right at the bottom of the implied move for the week, which is 5800. If you've been watching the videos you know how we got that number. That's the number right in the middle of the trading range. Above us, we have the 30-minute moving average and the 35 EMA; they are both in today's trading range, and the way they interact is very important. If the 35 EMA crosses underneath the 30-minute moving average, we have gone bearish. We could also bounce here, which futures suggest, and if the 35 EMA bounces on the 30-minute moving average, then we will resume upwards or keep consolidating here. As long as the 35EMA is above the 30min 200MA we are bullish on this timeframe. The top of the implied move is 5840, and 5850 on Friday's contract. If we do trade up today, I would be looking at 5845-5855 bear spreads. And if we drop, the one-hour 200 is underneath us, ready to catch us. The bottom of the implied move is 5750 and 5740 on Friday's contract. Here again, if we drop, I'll probably be looking at 5745-5735 bull put spreads. Also, guys I didn't add this to the chart above but we do have a bear gap at the very top of the training range from yesterday. GL today, y'all
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P 500: Temporary correction due to rising bond yields?The U.S. stock market, especially the S&P 500, has experienced a recent correction due to rising 10-year Treasury yields, which have reached their highest level since July. While this increase has put pressure on stocks, some analysts believe the impact could be temporary. The S&P 500(Ticker AT:USA500), which has shown positive performance in 2024, continues to be driven by a strong economy and solid corporate results. Despite the recent downturn, there is optimism about the market's upside potential, especially in cyclical sectors such as financials and industrials. The expectation is that economic growth and corporate earnings will continue to support the index, despite concerns about higher bond yields. The rise in yields reflects the strength of the U.S. economy, which has raised concerns among some investors, but does not appear to be enough of an obstacle to slow the market's long-term rally. In recent years, the market has shown resilience in the face of high yields, suggesting that this correction may only be a temporary adjustment. Sectors with upside potential based on the context of recent market movements: 1. Technology: o Technology companies such as Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia remain key, especially with the growth of artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and demand for cloud software and services. 2. Energy: o With the rise of renewable energy and the global energy transition, companies like ExxonMobil (in the traditional sector) and NextEra Energy (in clean energy) may have upside potential in this environment. 3. Healthcare: o Biotech and pharmaceutical companies such as Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson maintain an attractive profile thanks to innovation in medical treatments and the stability of the sector. 4. Financials: o Banks and insurers tend to benefit from rising Treasury yields, with companies like JPMorgan Chase or Bank of America being in a good position to take advantage of a strong economic environment. 5. Industrials: o With global infrastructure improving and demand picking up, companies like Caterpillar and Honeywell have room for growth. 6. Real Estate: o Despite interest rate sensitivity, companies like Prologis (logistics real estate) are well positioned for an environment of expanding logistics needs, driven by e-commerce. Looking at the S&P500 chart, it is currently located in the upper zone of the channel at 5,827.90 points near the historical high of 5,886.35 points. The initial support zone of the current impulse is located at 5,151.97 points, with other support zones above that position the last support at 5,636.80 points. The price bell control point (POC) is located precisely in this zone. It would not be unusual to see the index looking for 6,000 points and executing a healthy price correction in the direction of the indicated control point. If this price were to be pierced to the downside, the next control zone would be located at 5,398.75 points. At the moment, it appears that bonds seem to be exerting more pressure than expected, the strong economy could keep the index in this bullish directionality. In summary, although the rise in Treasury yields has impacted the S&P 500, the uptrend is expected to continue, driven by a favorable economic environment and solid corporate earnings. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ULong
by ActivTrades
2
S&P500 This pull back is an excellent buy opportunity.S&P500 is pulling back intraday but remains over the MA50 (1d). The bullish trend is intact and is being guided by this long term Channel Up since the 2022 bottom. The price is right nowjust over the 0.382 Fib Channel level, which isn't overbought by any means. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 6000 (the 0.618 Fib level). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is about to touch its Rising Support, a pattern very similar to the March - June 2023 Rising Support. The two fractals look identical even on price terms. This also indicates a continuation of the bullish trend. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
4