spx/ETH ShortLong ETH is the new buzz word in wall street right now, SEC is pro crypto now, there is no reason why ETH will not have those applications denied.
US500.F trade ideas
Bulls and Bears zone for 04-16-2025Earlier this week S&P 500 has formed a Death Cross which could be significant or not only time will tell.
Any test of yesterday's Close could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch: 5354 --- 5356
Reports to watch:
U.S. Housing Market Index at 10:00AM EST
U.S. Jerome Powell Speaks at 1:30PM EST
China is about to decided whether retailiate or not. Donald Trump and hes administration went to far and to many direction.
EU and China at the same time is just too much but tretening the whole world is just an enormous startegic error.
He made woke up not1 but 170 bear at the same time while the bears were sleeping and dreaming. And the dream ended. The USA not enymore realiable, trustworty, and therefore friendly country. The bears are dissapointed and angrys.
They dont wanna have does fals dreams at the next time, and its seems that Trump is in a deadend roed.
Honestly this story can be continued for pages but lets just speak about the an abnormal situation.
BONDS UP 10Y 5Y - trough agressive selling of US debt which is really will tied up the FED hands if the inflation does not happen due to the lack of the tarrifs. 10Y is at the 4,3
The questions can china put the USA in a situation then interest rate cat wount help on the longrun since China and may some of their contries under their influence reaching high detach in a US10Y 5Y and interest rate relation and sending US in to debt cicle.
The slow one is that that will slowly sell as much debt of US that they are cancelling the fed rate cuts.
The fast one is sending aup rates by at least 6% and making the big boys on the stock market to capitulate.
I will update and elaborate this idea better , but I hope if someone reads gets some hints.
Into the CloseSome signs of bearishness at the close here. Especially the VIX holding the important support and SPY not being able to make a high over this morning's high
SPY: Breakout Brewing?📍SPX500 | Triangle Compression Before Breakout?
SPX500 is currently coiling into a symmetrical triangle on the 5-min chart, suggesting a volatility expansion is imminent.
🔍 Fibonacci Levels in Play:
Key Support: 5,419 – 5,428 (0.5 to 0.618 retracement)
Breakout Target: 5,482.83 (Fib 1.382)
Higher Projections: 5,499.94 (1.618), 5,516.82 (1.854)
📈 Probabilities:
Bullish Breakout → 5,455 / 5,483 = 65%
Sideways Chop in 5,420–5,440 range = 20%
Bearish Fade < 5,419 = 15%
🚨 Watching for confirmation above 5,434 with volume for long entry.
This setup aligns with our high-probability DSS framework for intraday signals. Mark your levels. Monitor the breakout.
🧠 Discipline is your alpha.
📊 Chart by: Wavervanir International LLC
#SPX500 #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #TrianglePattern #BreakoutStrategy #SmartMoney #QuantEdge #Wavervanir #MarketUpdate #DayTrading #DSS #SP500
Daily Price Action: S&p500 SPX Tuesday 4/15/2025 In this video, we are looking into the potential daily price action of SPX.
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway.
I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain:
Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted)
Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action
selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist)
I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
S&P500 INTRADAY sideways consolidationThe Trump administration is moving ahead with tariff plans on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, launching Commerce Department probes. In response, China has ordered its airlines to halt new Boeing jet deliveries, escalating trade tensions.
Despite the trade war, markets are getting a lift after Trump suggested a possible pause on auto tariffs and suspended some consumer electronics tariffs.
Japan will meet with the U.S. this week to discuss trade. The talks will test whether close allies like Japan get more favourable treatment.
Earnings in Focus:
Citigroup and Bank of America report today, following a strong quarter for equity trading across the sector.
Johnson & Johnson and United Airlines are also set to report.
Oil Market:
The International Energy Agency has cut its 2024 oil demand forecast due to trade-related slowdowns and sees a potential supply surplus through 2026.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5509
Resistance Level 2: 5660
Resistance Level 3: 5787
Support Level 1: 5110
Support Level 2: 4947
Support Level 3: 4816
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
1pm updatemy guess is the little spike was a C or=f 1 we should continue to drop rest of today. Any further rally invalidates the idea.
S&P 500 off earlier highsThe major US indices have come noticeably off their earlier highs, following the positive start on the back of the weekend news of temporary tariff relief on technology sector.
The fact the indices could break out to test waters above last week's highs, suggests traders have not been convinced that they have had the all-clear just yet. Perhaps volatility will ease a little this week, but with earnings from tech giants to come in the next couple of weeks, on top of all the trade war saga, anything is possible. Traders must remain nimble.
It is all about the 5380 level now on the S&P 500. This is where it found resistance on Friday and now this level could turn into support. But if we break decisively below it again, then this could trigger a big of selling towards the next support at 5272.
However, the near-term trend has turned bullish following the big recovery last week. So, dip-buyers will be lurking. Let's see where we go from here.
In any case, more bullish price action is needed to completely nullify the bearish control. Specifically, the key resistance zone between 5490 to 5550 must give way before the bulls can be confident that we have see a major low last week.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Price Action: S&P500 SPX Monday 4/14/2025In this video, we are looking at the S&P500 Index and its potential movement on the Daily Chart for Monday 4/14/2025.
S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce backMarkets Overview – Monday US Open
Trump Tariffs: Trump says tariffs on phones, computers, and other consumer tech are still on the table, calling the weekend exemption just a "procedural step."
Tech Rally: Despite that, tech stocks are up Apple and Nvidia leading on hopes the delay gives room for a better long-term trade deal.
Futures & Gold: US equity futures are pointing higher. Gold hit a new record as investors seek safe-haven assets.
FX Moves: The dollar is down for a fifth straight day, with the euro is surging, it is thefastest rally vs USD in 15 yearsas, traders eye a move toward $1.20.
Earnings Outlook:
Q1 earnings season kicks into gear this week.
Citigroup and Morgan Stanley lowered their S&P 500 earnings forecasts, citing tariff concerns and broader economic headwinds.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5509
Resistance Level 2: 5660
Resistance Level 3: 5787
Support Level 1: 5110
Support Level 2: 4947
Support Level 3: 4816
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPX sharp moves begin arround monthly option expiryWatch out for the this weeks options expiry on Thursday (Friday being holiday)
During volatile time option expiry does produce sharp moves. They are not that significant during normal markets. Also key levels approaching. Monday after Easter, I am expecting the new move to happen. Breakdown or breakout.
I am sure the big boys are aware from the social media that everyone is expecting a reversal and they will set up a trap. They will make us thing we are wrong create a FOMO to the upside and then sell
A volume drop could indicate a big move
$SPX: Rising WedgeSPX looking a bit tight, possibly a rising wedge?
Tariff news has been such a wash up. Tariffs on/Tariffs off. A lot of moving pieces and indecision. If the news is false regarding electronics not included, then markets can possibly take a downturn.
Green ray is my entry, I’m looking for a short. But tbh, any one word “positive” said can move things up and fill the gap above.
I’m going to bias short. Let’s see what the week brings.
SP:SPX AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA
$SPX - Nothing good happens below 200 day moving averageI want to stick to the classics. I want more clarity before I enter any trade here. My bias is bearish as of now
SPX 500 >>> Trade Idea FOR CALL FRAME 75
If price reaches $5,300 after a clear rejection from the current level, consider a long position with a stop loss at $5,250 (below the identified order block). Take Profit at $5,500 (previous high level). This setup aims to capture a mean reversion move following the liquidity sweep.
Long Term TrendlineA long term trend line on the SPX
Great place to buy if you are speculative of the current price movement
Price from this line will most likely move up
If not up from this trend line, very bearish.
Great time within a bear market to buy oversold stock regardless. Just have to HODL.
If bearish HODL .
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the Index has recorded lower opening prices, thereby completing our key Outer Index Dip levels at 5026 and 4893, as previously highlighted in last week's Daily Chart analysis. This development establishes a foundation for a continuous upward trend, targeting the Outer Index Rally at 5550, with an interim resistance identified at 5455. Should this upward momentum persist, further extension may reach the subsequent resistance levels of 5672 and 5778, respectively. However, it is essential to note that a downward momentum may occur at the very significant completion target level of the Outer Index Rally at 5550, with the primary objective being a Mean Sup 5140 and retest of the completed Outer Index Dip at 4890.
S&P 500 Index Analysis For Week Of April 14th, 2025A clear downtrend has started on the daily, with a key level that has yet to be reached. We could see another bullish week before ultimately getting another massive and aggressive move downwards.
Yes i predicted the stock market crashnot many people can say they predicted the stock market crash, no one believed me but you can see in my previous ideas i saw it over 6 months in advance, though i wished it crashed a whole lot more, i do believe it has bottomed out and is a great long term buying opportunity.
S&P500 Still a Short: Be mindful of Alternate CountI discuss how the additional wave up could have a larger implication on the entire outlook of S&P500 and could cause a re-labelling of the entire wave structure. What we want to see in order to keep our primary count, is a breakdown below the low of where I plotted wave 1 of C. That is, below 5119.8.
But no matter the primary count or the alternate count, it is still a short opportunity. But there is an implication on the Take Profit target.
A rising wedge breaks how?So today was a day of building a rising wedge. Hard to say which way it breaks until Futures open. I'm bearish but I do mention the bullish alternatives if we gap up.
TP 3300 Long term projectionsS&P we have seen the blow off TOP this early beginning of bearish trend , sell will continue almost 15 months set your target 🎯 3300 get this trend profit taking
as mentioned below
TP1. 5100
TP2. 46500
TP3. 3900
TP4. 3300
Long term projections those who invest sell side for longer term
