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US500 trade ideas

SPX: tariffs, againPrevious week was relatively calm when macro data were in question, however, the peace was interrupted with a new narrative regarding trade tariffs. The US Administration plans to set trade tariffs with the European Union at 50%. The US President recently noted that these tariffs are currently not negotiable. Such a narrative imposed a drop in the value of the US equity markets. The S&P 500 was traded with a negative sentiment during the week, dropping from 5.962 down to 5.802 at Friday's trading session. Another news hit Apple shares, when the US President commented that this company has to pay 25% on all IPhones which are not produced in the US. After this post, shares of Apple dropped by 3% on Friday. Analysts involved in a matter are commenting that the transfer of IPhones production from China to the US would increase the price of IPhones by 25%. On the other hand, the company United States Steel surged by 21% after the US President's announcement of a deal and “partnership” with Japanese Nippon Steel. At this moment analysts are in agreement that the market is set for a sell-off in case of any news related to trade tariffs. The positive sentiment is extremely fragile and this might continue for some time in the future.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Stocks Have Been in a Bear Market for 25 Years, By This MeasureThe S&P 500 hit a new all-time high in February. However, by one measure it’s been in a bear market all century. Today’s monthly chart shows SP:SPX as a ratio against gold. Using this comparison, equities have underperformed since Bill Clinton was still President in August 2000. It illustrates how stocks languished in the 1970s, before starting an 18-year run against the “barbarous relic” (to borrow from John Maynard Keynes). Then the great equity bubble broke and investors began their first migration back into gold. They subsequently diversified into emerging markets, triggering a secular bear market in U.S. stocks that ended with the subprime crisis. The S&P 500 continued lower against bullion until 2011, when the People's Bank of China turned hawkish. A year or two later, stocks entered a new bull market by breaking above their previous high from 2007. That uptrend continued until late 2021, when post-pandemic inflation lifted interest rates. Gold interestingly held its ground as the Federal Reserve tightened policy, an early sign of emerging strength. The next interesting moment was early 2024, when stocks and the yellow metal both broke out to new highs. However, the S&P 500 still made a lower high when expressed as a ratio against gold. Given worries about the U.S. fiscal deficit, inflation and de-dollarization, some investors may wonder whether the trend that began 25 years ago may remain in effect. Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
6
SPY update - still bullish!In today’s session, we saw an increase in volume without significant price movement. This could indicate underlying uncertainty or a potential shift in momentum. At the moment, price is still respecting a key trend line and several support levels. Until these are broken, it's too early to confirm whether the broader market is turning bearish. 🧠 I also want to point out that the price is forming an ascending channel, often a reversal pattern, especially when occurring at market highs. While we’re seeing some bearish signs, it’s crucial to remain patient and let the market show its hand. 📊 As always, the key is to observe, not assume, and be ready to adapt as the price action develops. Thanks for watching the update, I hope it brought some insight and value to your trading journey!
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by GonzooTrading
S&P 500 MAJOR REVERSAL INCOMING? | SPX500 SELL ZONE HIT SPX500 just tapped into a critical supply zone near 5985 and has started pulling back. Is this the beginning of a deeper correction? Here’s what I’m watching 👇 --- 📊 Key Technical Zones: 🔵 Supply Zone: 5985 – 6000 (Strong historical rejection zone) ⚠️ First Support: 5436.1 – potential bounce area, but already tested 🧱 Major Demand Zone: 4990 – heavy volume base, ideal buy zone for bulls --- 🚨 Bearish Clues on the Chart: Price got rejected at the top of the supply range with a strong wick. Bearish divergence on recent highs (not shown here but evident on RSI/MACD). Clean downside structure could target 5436, then 4990 if broken. 📉 Downside Projections: First TP: 5436 Final TP: 4990 (big institutional interest) --- 🔁 Possible Scenarios: 1. 🔻 Bearish Continuation: If we break below recent support near 5880, expect speed towards 5436. 2. 🟢 Bullish Fakeout: Only a strong breakout above 5985 invalidates this setup. --- 🎯 Trade Idea (Educational): Entry: Break and retest below 5880 SL: Above 5985 zone TP1: 5436 TP2: 4990 --- 📅 June Will Be Volatile – Stay prepared. 💬 Do you think this is the start of a correction or just a dip before ATH? 🔔 Follow @FrankFx14 for clean and professional chart updates! 👍 Like, 🔁 share, and 💭 comment your thoughts below!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by FrankFx14
S&P INTRADAY corrective pullback - pivotal zoneMacro & FX Outlook Morgan Stanley forecasts a 9% decline in the US dollar by mid-2026, driven by a slowing US economy and expected Fed rate cuts. Trading implication: Long positions in EUR, GBP, and other G10 currencies may benefit as USD weakens. Watch for renewed momentum in carry trades and emerging market FX. Geopolitics Ukraine-Russia conflict escalates with Ukrainian drone strikes hitting deep into Russia (including Siberia) and Moscow launching one of its most sustained aerial attacks. Peace talks are expected in Turkey today. Trading implication: Elevated geopolitical risk could support safe havens (gold, CHF, USD short-term) and oil prices, depending on energy infrastructure vulnerability. UK Defense Spending The UK will allocate £15 billion to expand its nuclear warhead program, new attack submarines, and build munitions factories. Trading implication: Likely to support defense sector stocks and raise questions around fiscal policy ahead of elections; may contribute to upward pressure on gilts if deficits widen. Poland Political Shift Nationalist Karol Nawrocki wins presidential election, a setback for Poland’s pro-EU coalition government. Trading implication: Potential increase in EU policy friction. May weigh on Polish assets and zloty (PLN) in the short term. US Debt Ceiling & Diplomacy Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent assured markets the US will not default but gave no timeline on cash exhaustion. Also noted a Trump–Xi call is imminent, aiming to ease US-China tensions. Trading implication: Uncertainty over Treasury liquidity may raise short-term bill yields. Any improvement in US-China relations could lift global risk sentiment and Chinese equities. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6010 Resistance Level 2: 6070 Resistance Level 3: 6160 Support Level 1: 5780 Support Level 2: 5740 Support Level 3: 5700 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPX AND WHAT WE STAND TO GAIN OR LOSE!⚡ Hey hey, hope all is well. Don't have too much time right now so just want to get a quick idea out, we'll keep this short and concise, thank you. ⚡ First thing's first, we're gonna take a quick Big picture look at our SP:SPX chart for today and we can take a look back on our ascending channel which helped propel us for most of 2024 into 2025 before we finally exited that channel in February and lost our 200 EMA. ⚡ The 200 EMA was our main tool for the last year or so, keeping above that gave traders and investors the confidence to keep things pushing and essentially kept the market on this wave which is simply rode up, everyone was making money and that money was going back into more investments further propelling things before we saw our SP:SPX hit an all time high in February at $6,200. ⚡ So we had the 200 EMA below us, we had much of the market making money, and with trump entering office, much of the market was understandably optimistic and things we're continuing pretty strong January through into February. We then had trump make his remarks on a possible recession and we started getting talks on tariffs which understandably prompted much of the market and market makers to take profits and we sort of got this reversal which I spoke more on in a previous idea which I'll link below for reference: ⚡ Before I continue and as a disclosure, none of this is meant to be taken in a political stance or with any bias, like I said, we're simply looking at the facts and the technical, that's all that matters. ⚡ To continue on, as the referenced idea represents, once that news hit the market sentiment shifted and we can see the descending channel that ensued with that which also prompted us to lose our 200 EMA, something we haven't seen happen since 2023 on the daily chart which puts us in a precarious position. ⚡ The market's basically lost two advantages. The last year or so that 200 EMA kept below the chart never converging which helped bulls alongside our ascending channel which was a significant component in this push for the all-time-high (ATH). So we 've basically lost both of those advantages which is what helped bulls climb so much ground the last year or so. ⚡ We already know the 200 EMA crossover is important but now it'll likely create a broader impact now that we have no channel to look. Instead, we'll likely see a number of traders more than likely looking out for those Bullish and Bearish crossover's for making plays which is already happening. ⚡ If we look at the beginning of April for example where we had that first 200 EMA crossover we can see just how dramatic the sell-off was, investors just weren't sure how far things we're going to go and once we got another crossover and regained that 200 EMA the buy-in action, volume was also dramatic signifying a market that's being led by sentiment rather than technical which again was the main driver for us the last year or so. ⚡ That being said technical of course is still playing a role, but we're seeing sentiment drive price action and being taken into account a lot more the last few weeks, especially with everything going on with Trump and the tariff war we had which put much of the market and investors on edge trying to figure out whether or not things we're looking optimistic or not for the market before China and the US we're able to ultimately come to an agreement helping put many minds at ease. ⚡ Next few weeks I'll be watching that 200 EMA to see if we get a bearish crossover or if we can avoid that and regain ground to which I'll be looking to my Fib. chart for as referenced below: ⚡ Next is a descending channel I've added to the daily chart which hopefully doesn't come into play again. ⚡ Can already see how that descending channel impacted us the second tiem around in April so main thing is that we avoid losing that 200 EMA again, and we keep away from that descending channel else we'll more than likely get dragged down further if we we're to reenter that channel much like we saw happen with the sell-off in April. ⚡ Have to run but just wanted to give quick technical look at our big picture idea here for the $SP:SPX. Current goal is to see a retest of $5,900 and avoid another convergence with that 200 EMA on the daily else we risk losing our footing and reversing. ⚡ As always, thanks so much for all the support, appreciate you all and wishing all the best till next. Don't just make it a good day, make it a great one. Best regards, ~ Rock'
SP:SPX
by Rocksorgate
1
Bullish bounce off overlap support?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,784.04 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,689.40 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 5,973.58 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
US500 at a Crossroads: Diamond Pattern in PlayUS500 at a Crossroads: Diamond Pattern in Play US500 is forming a small diamond pattern, but the risk is high since the pattern is still developing and could evolve further. The price shows signs of a decline, but a strong breakout is needed to confirm the movement. Diamond patterns are typically trend continuation setups, but the final direction depends on where the breakout happens. Both scenarios are well explained on the chart PS: The best approach is to wait for the breakout before taking action. THIS SETUP IS VALID ONLY FOR TODAY You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US500
by KlejdiCuni
8
SPX500 watch 5900 then 6103: Double Golden zone Was/Will be TOP?SPX500 with a ferocious recovery after tariff relief. About to test a most important zone of its lifetime. Double Golden zone of a Genesis plus a Covid pair. Such a tight confluence of two major Goldens is rare. It warned us of a top BEFORE Trump even won (click). The retest could form a "Wave B" or "Bull Trap" lower high. It is PROBABLE that we "Orbit" these high gravity objects for a while. It is PLAUSIBLE that we "Blast" by them but have to retest soon after. It is POSSIBLE that "wave B" ends here and we drop deep for "wave C". I am personally a bull, but we should be PREPARED for a BULL TRAP. ================== Previous Plots below ================== 5901 TOP warning: 5668 Tariff warning: 5100 Tariff Relief Entry: =============================================== .
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by EuroMotif
Bullish continuation?S&P500 has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,784.04 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,689.40 Why we lik eit: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 6,003.35 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
US500/SPX500 Heist Plan: Grab the Index CFD Loot!Greetings, Profit Pirates! 🌟 Money chasers and market rogues, 🤑💸 let’s execute a daring heist on the US500/SPX500 Index CFD market using our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, powered by sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Stick to the charted long-entry strategy, aiming to cash out near the high-risk Pink zone. Stay alert for overbought conditions, consolidation, or a trend reversal trap where bearish bandits dominate. 🏴‍☠️💪 Lock in your profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🎉 Entry 📈 The vault’s cracked open! 🏦 Snatch the bullish loot at the current price—the heist is on! For precision, place Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe for pullback entries, targeting a retest of the nearest high or low. Stop Loss 🛑 📍 Set your Thief SL at the recent swing low (5640) on a 4H timeframe for day trades.📍 Adjust SL based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders. Target 🎯 Aim for 6160 or slip out early to secure your gains! 💰 Scalpers, Eyes Sharp! 👀 Focus on long-side scalps. Big capital? Dive in now! Smaller funds? Team up with swing traders for the robbery. Use a trailing SL to protect your loot. 🧲💵 US500/SPX500 Market Intel 📊 The Index CFD is riding a bullish surge, 🐂 fueled by key drivers. Dive into fundamentals, macroeconomics, COT reports, geopolitical news, sentiment, intermarket analysis, index-specific insights, positioning, and future trend targets for the full picture. 🔗check ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Safety 📰 News can jolt the market! To safeguard your haul: Avoid new trades during news releases. Use trailing stops to lock in profits and limit losses. 🚫 Join the Heist! 💥 Back our robbery plan—hit the Boost Button! 🚀 Let’s stack cash effortlessly with the Thief Trading Style. 💪🤝 Stay ready for the next heist, bandits! 🤑🐱‍👤🎉
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
S&P INTRADAY uptrend consolidation supported at 5793US Equities poised for a post-holiday rebound, with futures up following Donald Trump's decision to delay EU tariff implementation until July 9. The temporary reprieve has improved short-term risk sentiment, with the EU seeking to fast-track trade talks focused on critical sectors—potentially bullish for industrials, autos, and tech exporters. Geopolitical Risk Elevated Western pressure on Russia is intensifying: Germany's decision to allow Ukraine long-range strikes into Russian territory marks a notable escalation. Trump signaled potential new sanctions against Russia and sharply criticized Putin, increasing global risk premiums. This could fuel defense sector strength and lift energy stocks if geopolitical tension drives oil prices higher. FX Pressure – USD Weakness Persists The U.S. dollar remains under pressure, despite a slight intraday bounce. It has fallen over 7% YTD, hitting its lowest level since 2023 last Friday. Speculative traders and hedge funds are building USD short positions. Drivers of weakness: Trump’s tariff rhetoric, and concerns over the expanding U.S. fiscal deficit. Trading Implications: Risk-on tone favors growth stocks, tech, and cyclicals. Multinationals may benefit from USD weakness, improving earnings translations. Defense stocks (e.g., RTX, LMT) could gain from the escalation in Ukraine. Watch for volatility as headlines shift around trade, tariffs, and Russia. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5970 Resistance Level 2: 6010 Resistance Level 3: 6085 Support Level 1: 5793 Support Level 2: 5730 Support Level 3: 5685 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
06/02 Weekly GEX Analysis - 6000 Looks EasyThe biggest event last week was undoubtedly the court ruling involving Trump. The market responded with optimism, and on Thursday premarket, SPX surged toward the 6000 level — only to get instantly rejected. That strong rejection suggests this is a firm resistance zone. From the GEX expiry matrix, it's clear that the market is hedging upward for this week, but downward for next week. To me, this indicates that while the near-term GEX sentiment remains slightly bullish, the market may be preparing for a pullback or retest in the medium term. This week, SPX has already entered a GEX zone surrounded by positive strikes — up to around the 6000 level. That makes 6000 an “easy target” for bulls, and we’ll likely see profit-taking here, just like we did last Thursday premarket. ⚠️ However, if we look more closely at the weekly net open interest: ...we can see a strong bullish net OI build-up starting to emerge around the 6100 level — a price zone that currently feels distant and even unreachable. But if the 6000 resistance breaks, we could see a fast gamma-driven squeeze up to 6050 and possibly 6100 before the next wave of profit-taking kicks in. As is often the case during bullish moves, the market seems blind to the bigger picture — no one’s looking down, only up. The mood is greedy, and momentum favors the bulls... for now. Never underestimate FOMO — but also never underestimate Trump. He’s unlikely to accept the court’s decision on tariffs quietly. Any new negative headline could shake the market, no matter where price is sitting…
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Are we trading the market or trading our own opinion?It was said that 99% of the traders out there failed to make profits. I pondered hard over this statement and realised that whatever tools I am using, it is equally available to the millions of traders out there. The same for the financial information which I read on CNBC, SCMP, etc. Nothing that I have is one level above others. Then, when I look at the charts, for a long time, I have also convinced myself of buying at support and selling at resistance and gaps get filled up. From this chart, we can see that 3x the support failed with the last one breaking past the support line before staging a rebound. Just because it has worked in the past, it does not mean it will again. 19 Feb to 7 Apr 2025, this must be the shortest bear market in history. Could we witness more of such rise and fall in the coming future? Most would hesitate to go LONG now for one of these reasons : 1) it is reaching the resistance level soon and likely profit taking so price may retrace. Let's wait. 2) Donald Trump and team is getting sued on the tariff matters , volatility is expected in the market so price may move sideways for a while 3) The US market is overvalued per many analysts out there, PE over 28 or 30 and the fall is going to be great like 40-50% downfall. Wait some more or taking partial profits 4) My friends are making good money from cryptocurrency and the profits are huge, I should ditch SPX and followed him The list could goes on......... I am still LONG on the SPX and is now awaiting for opportunities to accumulate. What is stopping me is the gap and resistance which I am afraid of. In my mind, I am thinking it is better to get it cheaper , right ? Guess I am looking for a catalyst or better reasons to convince me to go LONG............. Like to hear some others views
SP:SPXLong
by dchua1969