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SPX500USD - Key Levels to Watch Ahead of Major US Data!The S&P 500 Index (SPX500USD) is currently trading near a significant supply zone around 5885–5925. Price has shown clear rejection here multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure from institutional players. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: 5885–5925 (Supply Zone) First Support: 5659.1 – former resistance, now turned key support Major Demand Zone: 5355.3 – 5400, marked by high-volume accumulation (Visible Range POC) Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break above the 5925 resistance, we may see a potential sell-off toward 5659 first, and possibly down to the 5355 demand zone, especially with upcoming US economic data later this week (as marked by the calendar icons). Watch For: Rejection candles or bearish engulfing around 5885–5925 Break and close below 5659 for further downside confirmation Strong bullish momentum only above 5930 to invalidate bearish bias Bias: Bearish unless 5930 is broken convincingly. Technical Tools Used: Supply & Demand Visible Range (LuxAlgo) Volume Profile Support Zones Price Action Structure (1H) What do you think? Will SPX500 hold the resistance or break to new highs? Let’s discuss! #SPX500 #SP500 #TradingView #Forex #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #SwingTrading
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by FrankFx14
S&P500 Steady Channel Up to 6100The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern from the moment (April 22) it broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). For that 1 month period, it has held the 4H MA50 and that maintains the bullish trend, generating Bullish Legs to High after High. The last two Bullish Legs have increased by +4.92%, so as long as the 4H MA50 holds, we expect the current Leg to be completed at 6100. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TLong
by TradingShot
US 500 Index – Upside Rally Facing A Ratings ChallengeThe US 500 index recorded a 2-month high of 5958 on Friday before settling back to close the week at 5922, an incredible 24% rally from the index's tariff induced lows at 4799 seen on April 7th. Impressive indeed. However, late on Friday evening the ratings agency Moody’s downgraded US government debt from its top credit rating of Aa1 to Aaa, citing a ballooning budget deficit and no clear plan to narrow this in the future. This Moody’s decision generated some weekend headlines in the financial press around the sustainability of President Trump’s plans for unfunded tax cuts as the US economy slows due to his recent trade tariff announcements. This even led to a comment on the downgrade from the much-respected US Treasury Scott Bessant, who played down concerns over the US government debt and attempted to reassure investors the Trump administration is determined to bring down spending and grow the economy. Early Monday Trading: Given the extent of the recent upside rally to just short of the physiological 6000 level, perhaps unsurprisingly, early Monday trading possibly suggests traders are reacting with caution to this news, with the US 500 trading down 0.6% at 5888, at time of writing. However, there is a long trading week ahead and it will be important to see how markets respond once US traders are back at their desks. Technical Update: Looking For Potential Support and Resistance Levels This Week As seen on the chart below, the move in the US 500 index from the April 7th low at 4799 into last Friday’s latest recovery high at 5958 completed a rally of 24%, as recent concerns over global trade eased. However, Friday’s downgrade of US debt may prompt some traders to question the sustainability of the current advance, even concluding it is something that could lead to the potential for fresh price weakness. With that in mind, let’s look at possible technical levels in the US 500 that can be monitored this week to gauge the next potential directional price risks Potential Support Levels: The first possible support level to focus on if a more extended phase of price weakness is seen, may be the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of May price strength which stands at 5813. While by no means a guarantee of continued declines, if closing breaks of 5813 are seen, a more extended price correction may then be on the cards, which could suggest tests of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, which stands at 5722, or even 5575, equal to the May 7th session low, are possible. Potential Resistance Levels: Previous price highs can be viewed by traders as possible resistance levels, as having previously marked a point where selling pressure has been found, it may be the case again. As such, with the latest price strength trading close to 5988/6007, which is an area where sellers were previously found between February 26th 2025 and March 3rd 2025, this may now be a resistance focus for some. However, closing breaks of this 5988/6007 price range may lead to attempts at further strength, with the next resistance perhaps then marked by 6144, which is the February 19th 2025 all-time high. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
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by Pepperstone
SP500 BEARISH TRADE IDEA Key Observations: Imbalance Zone Identified (Supply-Demand Gap): The pink zone is marked as an imbalance — an area where price moved too quickly upward, leaving little trading volume in between. These imbalances often act like magnets, drawing price back to "fill" them. Recent Price Action: Price recently formed a peak and has since started pulling back. The latest candlesticks show bearish momentum (a series of red Heikin Ashi candles with increasing size). Projected Price Movement: A blue arrow projects a further decline into the imbalance zone, suggesting price may retest this level for liquidity or to complete a retracement. Target Area: The imbalance zone lies approximately between 5,680 and 5,736, with a midpoint around 5,710. This is a logical target for a pullback before potentially resuming upward. 📉 Bearish Bias Justification: Market Structure: A new lower high is forming, possibly signaling a short-term reversal or correction. Heikin Ashi Candles: Smooth and elongated bearish candles indicate strength in the down move. Volume Imbalance Theory: Price may need to fill this inefficiency before finding new direction. ✅ Possible Trading Implications: Short Setup: Traders might look for short positions with targets inside the imbalance zone. Buy Opportunity: Once the imbalance is filled, if bullish price action confirms, it could become a strong buy zone. ⚠️ What to Watch: Look for confirmation (e.g., candlestick reversal or support forming) in the imbalance area before assuming reversal. News/events (such as the economic calendar icons below) might impact price direction sharply.
SShort
by theprofitpioneerzw
Pimp Your Indicators – A Smoothed Take on RSIYou don’t need to reinvent the wheel to find new and effective trading tools. Often, enhancing classic indicators with a few thoughtful modifications can yield surprisingly powerful results. Here’s a simple yet effective way to upgrade the RSI and turn it into a more actionable entry signal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used oscillator that ranges from 0 to 100, providing a measure of upside momentum within a given timeframe. For example, an RSI reading of 60 implies a 60% upside dominance based on recent price action. Traditionally, traders interpret levels above 70 as overbought and below 30 as oversold. However, RSI on its own isn’t reliable as a standalone entry trigger. An overbought reading doesn’t necessarily mean the market is losing strength—it simply indicates recent data reflects a strong upward move. Smoothed RSI Approaches To extract more useful signals, we can enhance the RSI in a couple of simple but effective ways: 1. RSI vs. RSIMA (RSI Moving Average): One approach is to smooth the RSI itself by calculating a moving average of the RSI (call it RSIMA), and then observe the difference between the RSI and its moving average. A positive difference suggests bullish momentum; a negative one, bearish. This approach reduces some noise but can still result in a choppy indicator, as seen in the subplot of the reference chart. 2. RSI on Smoothed Price (RSI5M): A more refined method involves smoothing the price before calculating RSI. Specifically, apply a 5-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to the price series, then compute the RSI on this smoothed series—let’s call it RSI5M. The key insight is to then analyze the difference between RSI5M and the standard RSI. This difference creates a smoother, more robust signal that better captures market bias. Why It Works In uptrends, the EMA(5) smooths out short-term fluctuations and highlights the prevailing trend more clearly than raw price data. As a result, RSI5M tends to rise faster and higher than the standard RSI. The difference between the two becomes positive in uptrends and negative in downtrends, making it a useful gauge of directional momentum. This effect is illustrated in the lower subplot of the reference chart, where the smoothed signal offers a clearer view of market regimes. Ready-to-Use Script If you're not into coding, you can explore the public script of the Parsifal.RSI.Trend indicator on TradingView. It implements a slightly refined version of this smoothed RSI differential and provides a clean visual cue for trend bias.
TEducation
by parsifaltrading
SPX500 Quick Market Outlook – May 23, 2025 | 15m ChartPosted by Wavervanir_International_LLC Today's session shows bearish continuation patterns despite a temporary bounce. We're currently trading just below the equilibrium level, with price rejecting from the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement zone. The bearish OB (Order Block) above continues to act as a ceiling. 🔍 Key Observations: Price action is forming lower highs under resistance. Volume profile and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) suggest distribution near the 5787–5794 zone. Break below 5766.41 (daily ORB low) could open the path to 5721.75 – 1.618 extension. Bullish invalidation only above 5793.80, where price would regain control above the mid-FVG and EMA cluster. ⚠️ Watch List: Key levels: 5787.44 (pivot), 5761.17 (support), 5721.75 (target) Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims 5795+ with volume Trigger: Confirmation via 15m candle close below 5766 and breakdown in volume structure Stay adaptive. The market structure is still forming, and liquidity sweeps can occur.
FShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Spx500usd up? 1min chart at 23h London time?As it is , all I hope is that spx 500usd starts here at that blue line, after all, if it starts at the blue line the stock as might be up again, I'm not into the fundamentals by this time, I'm just making some Elliot and indicators-some mine, others don't, and trend analysis Hope u guys all in profit After all we all looking for the same Keep Ur trades safe And Do Always Your Own Research DAYOR Keep it safe This my my graph at 1min candles, returned to 15min chart Keep it safe. And keep cool.
OLong
by Carlosdrcunha
Temporary euphoria fades, a sharp correction is likelyThe current index surge appears increasingly disconnected from core fundamentals. Markets have been brushing aside key economic data, rallying instead on short-term sentiment and speculative flows. ⚠️ Once this temporary momentum fades, I expect a pullback to 4800, with a possible extension toward 3900 if macro headwinds intensify. This setup reflects a growing divergence between price action and economic reality—something that rarely lasts.
IG:SPTRD.USD.250.IFDShort
by DonsTrading1M
Is Trump Triggering a Mini Market Crack to Drive Capital into Tr📉 Is Trump Triggering a Mini Market Crack to Drive Capital into Treasuries? Recent remarks by former President Donald Trump — including threats of 50% tariffs on EU goods and pressure on Apple to manufacture domestically — have sparked sharp red moves across the U.S. markets. Which leads to a serious question: 👉 Could this be a deliberate strategy to induce fear in the stock market and push both institutional and retail money toward U.S. Treasury bonds? In a context where the U.S. government needs to issue and absorb massive debt, and where yields are rising to attract buyers, a sell-off in equities might: 💰 Boost demand for Treasuries 🔥 Justify aggressive fiscal or monetary actions 🎯 Reposition political actors as “economic saviors” I’m not making claims — just thinking out loud... Are we witnessing a calculated move to reroute capital from equities into U.S. debt, using fear as the vehicle? What do you think — coincidence… or strategy?
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by perezliz37
SPY ready to continue its up-trend?!?Now that price has pulled back, we’ve seen a reaction from the daily 20 EMA, forming what resembles a hammer candlestick. This could signal that the uptrend may be ready to resume. That said, Monday will be key. If the market continues to show strength, it may confirm a continuation to the upside. But if price drops instead, we could be in for a deeper pullback. ⚠️ Remember: just because we’re in an uptrend doesn’t mean the market can’t reverse. The market is unpredictable, and that’s why reacting to price behavior at each point of interest (POI) is so important. Stay flexible, manage your risk, and trade what the market shows you, not what you expect.
ILong
by GonzooTrading
SPY pull back startAs we can see, it appears that today marked the beginning of a pullback, with the price breaking below the trendline and dropping by 1.20%. Interestingly, the price has now reached the 10 EMA, which often acts as dynamic support. From here, we need to remain patient — either waiting for a bullish reaction at this level or allowing the price to continue pulling back to a deeper point of interest (POI). Based on how the market reacts at each POI, we can then begin to take action on the trades from our watchlist.
I
by GonzooTrading
S&P 500 and the 200-Day Moving Average – A Simple Trend SignalLooking at the daily chart of the S&P 500 with the 200-day moving average (turquoise line), you could build a very basic—but often effective—trend-following system: ✅ Price above the 200-day MA = Bull trend ❌ Price below the 200-day MA = Bear trend 🔄 Price oscillating around it = Possible trend change ________________________________________ 📊 Current Setup: We’ve broken sharply below the 200-day MA and have seen only a minor bounce back above it—with little follow-through. This kind of price action typically suggests a weakening bull trend. ⚠️ If we break below the 200-day MA again (currently around 5773), I’d start viewing that as a bearish signal. Right now, I’m watching this level very closely, as the next move could offer a strong clue about the market’s direction. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
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by The_STA