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US500 trade ideas

SPX500 to find a top?US500 - 24h expiry Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs. Previous resistance located at 6102. A 5 wave bullish count has been completed at 6107. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade. We look to Sell at 6102 (stop at 6147) Our profit targets will be 6003 and 5955 Resistance: 6102 / 6107 / 6179 Support: 6003 / 5955 / 5886 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OShort
by OANDA
Global Liquidity Index Overlaid on S&P 500 Tracking the Global Liquidity Index with the S&P 500 helps understand liquidity's impact on market performance and predict future moves. The GLI offers a unified view of central bank balance sheets, converted to USD, excluding currency-pegged banks, with reliable data since 2007. Rising liquidity often leads to market growth, while declining liquidity could signal pullbacks or increased volatility. Liquidity Spikes: Sudden rises in the GLI may boost the S&P 500. Liquidity Dips: Falling liquidity may signal market decline due to higher volatility and trading difficulties. Divergence between the GLI & S&P 500: If stocks rise while liquidity falls, a correction might be coming. If liquidity rises while stocks fall, the market might catch up to the liquidity increase. The GLI indicates that risk appetite is starting to decline. High liquidity encourages risk-taking; low liquidity leads to safer investments, increasing volatility and potential market declines. Thanks for Liking and Sharing! 🥕🐇
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by GreyRabbitFinance
S&P 500: Bullish Breakout or False Move?Chart Analysis: The S&P 500 is at a critical juncture, trading just below a significant horizontal resistance level near 6,114. 1️⃣ Key Resistance Level: The horizontal level at 6,114 represents a pivotal resistance, as prior attempts to breach this zone were met with selling pressure. A successful breakout above this level could signal further upside potential and a continuation of the bullish trend. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Rising around 5,980, providing dynamic support and reflecting sustained upward momentum. 200-day SMA (red): Trending upward near 5,628, confirming the long-term bullish trend. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Hovering near 65, indicating strong bullish momentum but approaching overbought conditions. MACD: Bullish momentum remains intact, with the MACD line rising and staying above the zero line. What to Watch: Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakout above 6,114 on increased volume to validate further upside potential. Failure to break above this resistance could lead to a retracement toward the 50-day SMA or previous support levels. Keep an eye on RSI for any bearish divergence or signs of momentum weakening. The S&P 500 is at a make-or-break level, and its reaction at 6,114 will determine the next directional move. -MW
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by FOREXcom
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & TargetsThe expected move for today is between 6185 and 6150 and that is a .50% move today and the only level we have in our trading range today is that 35 EMA you could see it’s been a pretty support all week and then we have that up gap from This Wednesday, which could give some added support at the bottom of the trading range. Monday’s contract at the bottom takes us in the middle of that gap and with how extremely overbought we are that 50 day moving average could be a really great target for next week.
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by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P 500 hits all-time highsUS stock index futures were a touch lower this morning, pulling back following gains for all four majors on Thursday. Yesterday the S&P 500 finally broke above 6,100 to hit a fresh all-time high, while also posting a record close. The Dow and NASDAQ 100 were both around 1% below their respective all-time highs, while the mid-cap, domestically-focused Russell 2000 is now 6% adrift. Bear in mind how the Russell outperformed the other indices in the aftermath of Trump’s decisive electoral victory in November. Could this suggest that there are problems in the broader US stock market, away from the giant multinationals? The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is unchanged from yesterday at around 4.63%. The pullback in yields since last week’s benign inflation data is giving equities some support. The US dollar has fallen from the 26-month highs hit just under a fortnight ago. The Dollar Index has lost around 2.5% since then which is a significant move. Prior to Trump’s inauguration, the dollar had rallied, partly on the expectation that he would impose immediate swingeing tariffs from ‘Day 1’ as he threatened while on the campaign trail. The dollar retreated as tariffs weren’t forthcoming, and it fell further overnight following Trump’s call for an immediate cut in interest rates. His call comes just ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting. Although the probability of another cut from the Fed is realistically zero. The fourth quarter earnings season has had a positive start, and this is helping to support equities. Today brings results from a range of corporates across different sectors including American Express, Verizon Communications, NextEra Energy, HCA Healthcare and some regional banks. There are also updates on US Manufacturing and Services PMIs.
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by TradeNation
Situational Awareness – Morning of January 18th, 2025Market Overview: Asia: China has been strong this morning, continuing its base breakout. Japan: Up for six consecutive days, showing steady upward momentum. South Korea (Kospi): Range-bound since January 8th. Europe: EU50: Up approximately 8-9% YTD. Germany: Up nearly 8% YTD, with eight consecutive positive days. France: Continues to show strength this year. Bitcoin and Ethereum: Bitcoin: Trading in a tight range for the last 5-6 days, consolidating. Ethereum: Also consolidating, showing potential for a breakout. Key Indicators and Sectors: VIX: At 15.07, remaining low. Gold: Showing strong momentum over the last 30+ days. Copper: Taking a breather, currently at $4.30. RSP (Equal-Weighted S&P 500): Stable for three days, continuing its strength since January 13th. QQE (Equal-Weighted Nasdaq): Fairly stable for the past two days, holding gains from January 13th. Russell 2000: Seven consecutive days of gains, showing resilience. FANG Stocks: Breaking out of a rectangular box pattern, indicating potential for special moves. XLE (Energy ETF): Strong since December 20th, now facing three down days. XLV (Healthcare ETF): Trending upward since January 17th; could be a sector to watch in the coming days. XLU (Utilities ETF): Took a breather after a strong week. Weekly momentum remains upward. XLF (Financials ETF): Flat this week after a strong previous week. XLI (Industrials ETF): Continues upward momentum since January 13th. Semiconductors: Eight consecutive positive days, but approaching resistance levels where previous reversals occurred. DAPP (Digital Transformation ETF): Hovering near its baseline with false breakouts so far; a breakout would be noteworthy. Plan of Action: Focus on potential range expansions in individual tickers that show strength. Consider two reversal bullish plays during the latter part of the trading day if setups present themselves. Overall, the market looks stable with no significant red flags at the moment.
CLong
by GreenBkk
S&P 500 Index Sets Record HighS&P 500 Index Sets Record High As shown by the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the stock index: → has increased by approximately 3.5% since the start of the year; → surpassed its previous all-time highs set in December. Market participants’ optimism was driven by: → a strong start to earnings season and expectations of robust reports from major tech companies; → statements made by Donald Trump at the Davos forum, where the US president urged Saudi Arabia to lower oil prices and expressed the view that interest rates should be reduced. Overall, such measures are expected to foster economic growth. Reuters quoted Lindsay Bell, Chief Strategist at 248 Ventures: buyers "like the idea of interest rates coming down, of oil prices coming down. All in all, the market is optimistic the more they hear about Trump policies. We're just seeing a reflection of that optimism." Technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) reveals: → At the end of 2024, price fluctuations formed an ascending channel (marked by blue lines). → The December dip appears to be a correction within the prevailing uptrend. Bears managed to push the price below the lower blue line, but only for about a week. → After breaking the correction channel (shaded in orange), bulls faced brief resistance (indicated by the arrow) at the 6040 level. → The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone and signals divergence. This suggests a minor pullback could occur, potentially testing the aforementioned 6040 level. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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by FXOpen
2
SPX500 Long Trade Setup Entry BreakdownThis is the last setup that I posted, I wanted to show what it looks like zoomed in the 15m. Price approached the level of reaction during NY session, made a high and a low, if it breaks higher we buy, in this case we bought when buyers broke the range, that's the confirmation. Because we always buy when price breaks highs and sell when price breaks lows. Stoploss placed under the low and targeted the highs from the previous setup. ICC, we simply follow what price tells us it wants to do.
OLong
by FlyFlamingo2001
SPX500 ICC Long Trade SetupPrice dropped from 6070 creating the bottom (L). Before that bottom, price made that push upside (H). After (L) price broke above (H), giving us an indication. We knew that every time price broke back above (H) buyers were ready to buy. First entry was valid, it was on session and zooming in the 15m buyers were strong and price was creating higher lows. Although price didn't hit TP, stopped us and continued down to grab the liquidity sitting below the last low (L). Then again, higher supports, zoom into 15m around the level of reaction to find highs breaking highs. Back in session, price broke above the level so we re-entered buys, same trade as before, same SL and TP. Some we lose some we win, what's important is sticking to the plan and managing risk!
OLong
by FlyFlamingo2001
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.24.2024🔮 📅 Fri Jan 24 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.1% 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.8% ⏰ 9:45am 📊 Chicago PMI: 36.9 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then dropping back down into the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Trump mentioned he will try to lower the rates. Let’s see how the markets adjust to it, but definitely expecting a little more bullishness to the upside. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: A large recovery will allow the markets to tag the red lines before closing slightly lower below the weekly HPZ. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SLong
by TrendTao
Potential trade setup on S&P 500We are looking at a long trade on S&P 500 based on the stretch strategy. There is trend,stretch and direction alignment with this trade on both 1h and Daily TF. Early entry was taken on swing high breakout on 1h for a trend change. There is a high probability for range,previous daily high and range to be formed to the upside. We will exit the trade once range has been achieved. Trader Order Details: S&P 500(Long) E - 6083 SL - 6066 T - 6122 We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
CLong
by masterthemarkets2010
Market Snapshotwww.elliottwavetrader.net Another great write-up by Avi Gilburt and team on the current state of things at a Macro level Not affiliated with them and not pushing any of their services of course.. Do I agree with everything they say? Nope The below snippet from the article hints at the TRUE reason why things are going to get desperate in this economy over the next decade: "QE is merely a machination through which more debt is made available in the system, which is an indirect manner to increase the money supply. It is not actual printing of dollar bills, which would directly increase the money supply. Therefore, if more debt is made available, the only way you will get inflation is if there is public demand for that additional supply of debt. Without the matching demand for the additional debt supply, QE becomes a failure."
SShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
2
S&P500 - Preparing For The Final Bullrun!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is still heading higher: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Although the S&P500 has been creating new all time highs for the past couple of months, charts are clearly telling us that this bullrun is not over yet. We already saw two textbook cycles of +90% each and during 2025, we will see the completion of the third and final bullrun. Levels to watch: $7.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TLong
by basictradingtv
27
Trump vs. Fed: USD down, S&P upDuring his presidential campaign, Donald Trump suggested he should have influence over interest rate decisions.  Now, the US dollar has weakened, and the S&P 500 has reached record highs as Trump publicly demanded that the Federal Reserve lower interest rates.   Although Trump doesn't have the power to overrule the Federal Reserve, his unconventional politicking means he might be able to find a way to push through his agenda. These remarks come just days before the Fed’s upcoming two-day policy meeting, which will conclude on Wednesday with an interest rate decision. However, markets are pricing in almost no chance of a further cut to the benchmark borrowing rate.  Additionally, Trump stated he would ask Saudi Arabia to lower oil prices, which caused crude oil prices to decline. For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.        
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by BlackBull_Markets