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US100 – Elliott Wave Count & Expanding Flat ScenarioThis chart reflects my interpretation of the Elliott Wave principle, focusing on the rule of alternation. I've mapped a running flat in wave (II) and an expanding flat in wave (IV), which feels valid in this structure. Currently, I'm tracking the final stages of wave 5 in the weekly count – potentially setting up for a daily leg higher into wave (V). Key levels to watch: Weekly vector body: 5,928 Daily vector body: 6,110 Final target zone: around 6,200+ Human behavior doesn’t change — the cycle will always repeat. The carry trade could unwind at point X or at the end of daily wave 5. Let’s see how it plays out. This is not financial advice – purely my perspective for learning and discussion. I Salute You -The Market Architect-
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by The_Market_Architect
What Do the S&P 500 and Nasdaq’s Charts Say?Let's take a look at charts for the S&P 500 SP:SPX S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite Index NASDAQ:IXIC to see where the market might be heading. The S&P 500’s Technical Picture Take a look at the S&P 500’s chart going back to early January: Check out the market action from last Friday (March 14) -- a day when New York Stock Exchange winners beat losers by roughly 16 to 3. Advancing volume took a commanding 90.1% share of composite NYSE-listed trade, and an almost as impressive 80.8% share of composite Nasdaq-listed activity. However, aggregate trade nonetheless dropped 3.1% on a day-over-day basis across NYSE-domiciled names and 0.8% for Nasdaq-listed ones. In other words, there was less conviction in last Friday's rally than was visible in any of the recent down days that led to that session. As a matter of fact, that Friday was the quietest trading day for S&P 500 stocks since Feb. 20 -- more than three weeks earlier. Hence, we could probably not call Friday’s rally a change in trend. Then came the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary-policy statement and press conference this past Wednesday (March 19). The Fed left rates unchanged, but its “dot plot” reiterated that the central bank still expects to cut rates by 50 basis points this year – news that helped send the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up more than 1% each. Would technical analysis have told us to expect this? Well, readers will note that the chart above shows a so-called “double top” pattern of bearish reversal from early January through late February (marked “Top 1” and “Top 2” in the red boxes above. Next, the S&P saw what we call "Day One" of the bearish change in trend on Feb. 21, marked with an orange box in the chart above. A “Day One” isn’t necessarily the first day of a trend change. Instead, it’s merely the first day of a trend change that occurs broadly and on sharply increased trading volume. The S&P 500’s “Day One” above was followed by a so-called "Confirmation Day" on Feb. 27. A “Confirmation Day” is a session that confirms a trend change. It can come anywhere from two days to several days after the Day One. However, a Confirmation Day must represent a broad move and come on increased trading volume -- and there’s also a catch. There must be a pause in between the Day One and the Confirmation Day. This suggests that portfolio managers took some time, thought about what they were doing and then continued to either increase or decrease exposure depending on the Confirmation Day’s pattern (up or down). Without this pause, what we would have is one long move that doesn’t confirm anything technically. In the above chart, all of what we saw was a spot-on sign of a double-top pattern. But next came a so-called "Outside Day" on March 3 -- a one-day pattern that hinted at increased volatility to come. An Outside Day occurs when the trading range of a given day completely envelopes the day prior and the open and close of said day also encompass the open and close of the day prior. This one-day pattern often signals a coming period of increased volatility. Next, the S&P 500 saw a so-called "faux Day One” last Friday, March 14. That could have kicked off a bullish change in trend, but the S&P 500 rose on light trading volume. Additionally, the SPX never made a serious run at retaking its 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red upwardly sloping line above). Technical analysis won’t tell us much about the S&P 500 (or the Nasdaq Composite, for that matter) as long as those indexes trade below their 200-day SMAs. That often keeps portfolio managers on the sidelines. In fact, much of the swing crowd tones down their activity as well as long as the major indices don’t even make a run at their respective 21-day Exponential Moving Averages (or “EMAs,” denoted by the green line above). Also note that even on the down day of March 18, the S&P 500’s trading volume (marked with gray bars in the chart above) continued to tail off a bit, indicating increasing uncertainty. That said, readers will see a slight uptick in trading volume for this past Wednesday (Fed Day). The S&P 500 was up nicely that day, and got off to a good start on Thursday (March 20) as well. Alone, that’s not enough to christen a new "Day One" of a bullish trend reversal, partly because the Nasdaq Composite was not as active (as readers will see below). Typically, Wall Street would like to see both major indexes up on sharply increased trading volume to declare a “Day One” bullish reversal. The SPX and Nasdaq have come very close to allowing us to do that, but don’t appear to be there yet. Technical Analysis for the Nasdaq Composite Index Next, let’s look at the Nasdaq Composite’s chart going back to early December: The Nasdaq appears more challenged than the S&P 500 at this time, but both are close to giving us the first step of what the bulls need to see. As with the SPX, the Nasdaq Composite saw a “double-top” bearish pattern in December and January (marked “Top 1” and “Top 2” above). The index then saw a “Day One” and a “Confirmation Day” in late February, followed by an “Outside Day” on March 3. It then saw an “Up Day” on March 19, although on lower trading volume. And as with the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Composite has yet to retake its 200-day SMA (the upwardly sloping red line in the chart above). The Bottom Line Add it all up and the major US equity indices look like they remain in a downtrend. We still need to see a "Day One” move to the upside, then a pause and then a "Confirmation Day." That could take up to a week, but to rush into things without confirmation is closer to gambling than it is to trading. Again, the 200-day SMA is perhaps the most important item to watch on these charts. That's where large flows of capital will come from … if portfolio managers decide to increase their overall long-side exposure. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in the securities mentioned at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
SP:SPX
by moomoo
1
"US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day or Swing)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5700) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (5600) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 5850 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
Update about my previous warning about a crash of the SPX500📉 SPX500 Major Correction: Scenario 1 or 2? In my previous analysis, I explained a scenario that could mimic the 2022 crash (Scenario 1): 🔗 However, the price action dropped much faster than in 2022, accelerating the correction. Now, on the daily timeframe, we already have a bullish MACD crossover, signaling a potential bullish trend for several days: 🔗 Could This Invalidate the Bearish Trend? ✅ Yes, absolutely. In June 2023 (Scenario 2), a similar situation occurred: A bearish MACD reset was interrupted mid-course by a violent dump This triggered a strong rebound, breaking through resistance levels There are now strong signs that Scenario 2 might play out again. What Does This Mean for Crypto & TradFi? 📈 If this bullish reversal holds, it could sync Crypto & TradFi, with both gaining bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe, peaking around May 2025. Two Possible Outcomes: 1️⃣ Scenario 1 – The reversal collapses, and the correction continues 📉 2️⃣ Scenario 2 – The reversal holds, leading to a rally 📈 Let’s monitor this closely to see which scenario unfolds. 🔍 DYOR! #SPX500 #StockMarket #Crypto #Trading #BullishReversal #BearishTrend #MACD #MarketAnalysis #Investing
BLACKBULL:US500.F
by CryptoNikkoid
1
"US500/SPX500" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500/SPX500" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5780) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30m timeframe (5700) Day trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 5860 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. "US500/SPX500" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FPMARKETS:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
Trading a Pause in the Price Action Some candlestick patterns shout their intentions, while others quietly mark a pause before the next move. The Doji falls into the latter category—it doesn’t tell you which way the market is going next, but it does highlight a moment of indecision that often precedes a meaningful move. While traders sometimes mistake it for a reversal signal, the real significance of a Doji comes when price decisively breaks beyond its range. Let’s explore what a Doji represents, why its range is key and how traders can use it in different market conditions. What Is a Doji? A standard Doji forms when a market opens and closes at or very near the same price. This creates a candle with a thin or non-existent body and wicks on either side, showing that price moved up and down during the session but failed to establish a clear direction by the close. The key takeaway? A Doji does not indicate a directional bias—it simply reflects the natural market cycle between indecision and decisive direction. It tells us that neither buyers nor sellers had the upper hand during that period. Standard Doji Pattern Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Doji’s Range: Why It’s Important Rather than trading the Doji itself, the focus should be on its high and low. When price breaks and closes beyond the Doji’s range, that’s when a potential trade setup forms: • A close above the Doji’s high suggests buyers have taken control, increasing the likelihood of further upside. • A close below the Doji’s low signals sellers are in charge, making downside continuation more probable. This makes the Doji a pattern that doesn’t rely on lagging indicators. It provides a forward-looking view, allowing traders to anticipate where momentum might emerge. A single Doji can be significant, but clusters of Doji candles—where price hesitates over multiple sessions—can create even stronger setups, particularly when they resolve with a decisive breakout. Doji’s Range Becomes Significant Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Doji Breakout Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results How to Use the Doji in Trading The Doji pattern works across all timeframes, from intraday charts to daily and even weekly price action. Looking at USD/JPY on the daily timeframe (see chart below), four Doji formations highlight how the pattern plays out in real-world trading: USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Pattern 1 (Monday, 25th November 2024): A Doji formed, followed by a strong break below its range, leading to a clear move lower. Patterns 2 & 3 (Early December 2024): Two Doji candles appeared close together, forming a Doji cluster. This hesitation phase was followed by a steady directional move higher. Pattern 4 (Early February 2025): The initial break below the Doji’s range led to a short-lived move lower. However, price then pulled back, retested the Doji, and only after that retest did a more sustained downside move develop. These examples show that the Doji is not a trading signal in isolation—it needs a decisive break to confirm the next move. Trading the Doji Breakout If a trader is looking to enter based on a Doji setup, they should consider the following: • Wait for Confirmation – The most important factor is the breakout. A Doji on its own is just indecision; it’s the next candle that provides the real clue. • Identify the Key Level – The high and low of the Doji form a mini-range. A close outside this range is the real signal. • Manage Risk Properly – A common approach is to place a stop-loss just beyond the opposite side of the Doji’s range. Because Doji candles highlight hesitation, they often form at key support or resistance levels. When price is already in an established trend, a Doji can act as a temporary pause before continuation. Summary: The Doji is a pause in price action, not a guarantee of reversal or continuation. The real significance lies in how price reacts after the Doji forms—a decisive break and close beyond its range is the key trigger. While traders often focus on patterns that appear to provide clear direction, the Doji offers something different—it marks the moment before clarity emerges. Whether it leads to a breakout, a trend continuation, or a reversal depends entirely on the price action that follows. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
S&P 500 Struggling Ahead of Key Economic ReportsThe S&P 500 is showing signs of weakness as it approaches a critical juncture ahead of tomorrow’s economic reports. After a sharp V-shaped recovery, the index is now facing resistance and struggling to maintain upward momentum. If key support levels fail to hold, we could see further downside in the coming sessions. Key Levels to Watch: 5,700 - 5,720: A significant resistance zone where recent rallies have stalled. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum. 5,650 - 5,670: A minor support area that previously acted as a pivot. Losing this level could increase selling pressure. 5,520 - 5,504: A major support zone that must hold to prevent further downside. If broken, it could trigger a larger sell-off. 5,350 - 5,400: A potential next area of support if the index continues to slide. This level aligns with previous consolidation zones. 4,790 - 4,800: A worst-case scenario target if market sentiment deteriorates significantly. Technical Breakdown: The current price action suggests a potential reversal if support levels do not hold. The index has failed to reclaim key resistance and is now at risk of breaking down further. Volume has increased during recent selling, indicating stronger downside pressure. The next move will likely be dictated by tomorrow’s reports. If economic data comes in weaker than expected, it could fuel concerns of a slowdown, leading to further selling. Conversely, stronger-than-expected data may provide temporary relief, but resistance levels still need to be reclaimed for the uptrend to resume. Market Sentiment and Strategy: A break below 5,504 could trigger a wave of selling, making downside targets more likely. If support holds and we see a strong bounce, it could offer a short-term buying opportunity. Given increased volatility, traders should be cautious and monitor key levels closely. With economic data on the horizon, the S&P 500 is at a critical decision point. The next 24-48 hours will determine whether the recent recovery holds or if further downside is ahead.
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
US500 Is Bearish! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,754.53. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,665.70 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1
S&P INTRADAY ahead of US Consumer Confidence data The Consumer Confidence Index, set to be released today at 14:00 GMT by the Conference Board, measures consumer sentiment on spending, jobs, inflation, and the economy. Since consumer spending drives the U.S. economy, a strong reading can signal bullish momentum for equities, while a weak reading may indicate bearish sentiment. Traders watch this data closely for insights into market direction. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5780 Resistance Level 2: 5844 Resistance Level 3: 5920 Support Level 1: 5660 Support Level 2: 5604 Support Level 3: 5500 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
[W] SP500 - 24.3.2025This has been an unusually disturbing prediction that I have ever made, and yet so long expected. It's also probably for the first time, I do it on a weekly chart! The huge question mark here, is how FED will react to stagflation turning into a recession, and to recession with a looming threat to progress further. At some point, they might be tempted to act with low rate and EQ, which will further increase already high Gini index and might eventually cause defaults on loans and mortages. Thus, causing a crisis not seen since 2008. The current president Donald Trump might want to distract from the increasingly worsening domestic situation by seeking and external (and internal) enemy, further strengthening his grip on power. While the entire situation might provide a temporary boost to the defense sector alongside with utilities, foreign capital and trade will likely diminish. Unlike the 2008 crisis that was caused predominantly by internal factors, this case might be marked by geopolitical isolation which threatens to leave a much deeper scar.
SP:SPXShort
by KenzoYagai