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US500 trade ideas

S&P 500 & Indexes Breakdown + Trade SetupsIn this video, I dive into the S&P 500 and other major indexes to share my current market outlook. Right now, price action is stalling and volume continues to dry up — a signal that we could be due for a deeper pullback before any continuation to the upside. 📌 With global fundamentals such as: US–China trade tensions Russia–Ukraine war Broader geopolitical risks …it’s hard to ignore the pressure building. That’s why I lean bearish in the short term, expecting potential downside before any breakout to new highs. ⚠️ Of course, trying to short in this slow grind can feel like catching a falling knife — but I’ve prepped a few setups, all broken down in the video based on solid technical confluences. Watch the full breakdown and let me know your thoughts. Thanks for tuning in! 🙏 👇 Drop a comment, like, and subscribe for more market breakdowns. #SP500 #IndexBreakdown #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeSetups #BearishBias #VolumeAnalysis #GeoPolitics #SwingTrading #TradingCommunity #TradingView
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by GonzooTrading
SPX500 weekly overviewThis 6,136.54 calculated by 4821.59 and 3506.64 and worked really well as top of the SPX500! Expect the zone around that line! All zones could be chosen to long the instrument. 4821.59 * 2 - 3506.64 = 6,136.54 The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
FX:SPX500Long
by AliSignals
S&P500 INTRADAY uptrend continuation supported at 5960Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6120 Resistance Level 2: 6170 Resistance Level 3: 6220 Support Level 1: 5960 Support Level 2: 5900 Support Level 3: 5800 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPX500 Holds Steady as Markets Eye US-China Trade Developments SPX500 Overview U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday as investors awaited key developments from the U.S.-China trade talks underway in London. Technical Outlook (4H Chart): The index is experiencing cautious movement amid ongoing tariff tensions and geopolitical uncertainties. Bullish Scenario: A sustained 4H close above 6030 could confirm bullish momentum, with upside targets at 6066 and 6098, potentially extending toward a new all-time high (ATH). Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 6010, bearish momentum may persist, targeting the support levels at 5966, followed by 5938 and 5902. Support: 5966 • 5938 • 5902 Resistance: 6066 • 6098
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 update from last week📉 Lesson Learned – The Way of a Trader 📈 Well… this time I jumped the gun. Thought the market would break lower from a compression point, but I was wrong. Price pushed higher, broke the ascending channel upwards — and I paid the price 💸 Not much volume behind the move, but still... up is up. I acted on a gut feeling, and that didn’t work out. The mistake? ⛔ Tried to predict the top ⛔ Didn't wait for a confirmed break with volume Now it’s time to: ✅ Review ✅ Re-evaluate ✅ Learn ✅ Come back stronger We’re not always going to be right — and that’s part of the game. Discipline beats ego. Welcome to the life of a trader. Let’s keep improving 🔁
ICMARKETS:US500
by GonzooTrading
S&P 500 Index (SPX) Weekly TF – 2025 Chart Context: Tools Used: 3 Fibonacci Tools: 1. One **Fibonacci retracement** (from ATH to bottom) 2. Two **Trend-Based Fibonacci Extensions** * Key Levels and Zones: * **Support Zone** (Fib Confluence): \~4,820–5,100 * **Support Area (shallow pullback)**: \~5,500–5,600 * **Resistance & TP Zones:** * TP1: **6,450** (Fib confluence & -61.8%) * TP2: **6,840** (-27%) * TP3: **7,450–7,760** (Major Confluence) Technical Observations: * SPX is approaching a **critical resistance** near previous ATH (\~6,128) with projected upward trajectory. * The **green dashed path** suggests a rally continuation from current \~6,000 levels to TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840), and eventually TP3 (\~7,450–7,760), IF no major macro shock hits. * The **purple dotted path** suggests a potential retracement first to \~5,600 (shallow correction) or deeper into \~5,120 or even 4,820 zone before continuing the bullish rally. * The major support zone around **4,820–5,120** includes key Fib retracement levels (38.2% and 61.8%) from both extensions and historical breakout levels. Fundamental Context: * US economy shows **resilience** amid soft-landing narrative, though inflation remains sticky. * The **Federal Reserve** is expected to cut rates in **Q3–Q4 2025**, boosting equity valuations. * Liquidity expansion and dovish outlook support risk assets, including **equities and crypto**. * However, **AI-driven tech rally** may be overstretched; a correction could follow earnings disappointments or macro surprises (e.g., jobs or CPI shocks). Narrative Bias & Scenarios: **Scenario 1 – Correction Before Rally (Purple Path)** * If SPX faces macro pushback (e.g., high CPI, hawkish Fed), expect retracement to: * 5,600 = Fib -23.6% zone * 5,120–4,820 = Major Fib Confluence Zone * These would act as **accumulation zones**, setting up next leg up toward TP1 and beyond. * **Effect on Gold**: May rise temporarily due to risk-off move. * **Effect on Crypto**: Could stall or correct, especially altcoins. **Scenario 2 – Straight Rally (Green Path)** * If Fed confirms cuts and macro remains soft: * SPX breaks ATH (\~6,128) * Hits TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840) * Eventually reaches confluence at **TP3 (7,450–7,760)** * **Effect on Gold**: May struggle; investor preference for equities. * **Effect on Crypto**: Strong risk-on appetite, altseason continuation. Indicators Used: * 3 Fibonacci levels (retracement + 2 extensions) * Trendlines (macro and local) * Confluence mapping Philosophical/Narrative Layer: This phase of the market resembles a test of collective confidence. Equity markets nearing ATHs while monetary easing begins reflect a fragile optimism. The Fibonacci levels act as narrative checkpoints — psychological as much as mathematical. Will we rally on faith or fall for rebalancing? Bias & Strategy Implication: Bias: Bullish with caution * Strategy: * Await **confirmation breakout >6,128** for fresh long entries * Accumulate on dips in the **5,100–5,500** zone if correction unfolds * Use **TP1, TP2, TP3** as staged exits Related Reference Charts: * BTC.D Analysis – Bearish Bias: * TOTAL:Bullish Bias *TOTAL3 – Bullish Bias: * US10Y Yield – Falling Bias Impact:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/US10Y/45w6qkWl-US10Y-10-Year-Treasury-Yield-Weekly-TF-2025/
TVC:SPXLong
by BitonGroup
up or down...Hello friends🙌 🔊As you can see, the US500 index has been identified with several resistance encounters and the good support that the price has been able to break the resistance and turn it into support. Now, according to today's news, it seems that the price is targeting higher targets that we have identified for you. In case of correction, it has strong support ahead of it, which we have identified with a white line, but don't forget that buyers have entered...📈 🔥Join us for more signals🔥 Trade safely with us.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TheHunters_Company
Smart Money Levels Spotted on SPX500USD – Massive Sell Zone Major Supply Zone (Resistance): 🔵 6,000 – 6,050 Price is currently sitting right inside a well-defined supply zone, where smart money previously sold off heavily back in December. Intermediate Support: 🔵 5,436 A clear structural level where price previously broke down from and retested in April. Major Demand Zone (Support): 🟠 4,900 – 5,000 Price reacted aggressively from this zone during the massive April sell-off, suggesting strong institutional interest. --- 🧭 Current Price Action: SPX500USD is currently trading at 6,004, right at the supply zone marked by the blue shaded area. Price has aggressively rallied from the 4,900 demand zone in April and is now testing this critical resistance level for the first time since the major drop. 📌 Notice the tight consolidation and rejection wicks from this area in the past. This could signal a potential reversal or a breakout trap! --- ⚠️ Bearish Signals to Consider: 🔻 Risk of Rejection: With price inside a supply zone and momentum slowing, there’s a high probability of a rejection. 🔻 Double Top Structure: Previous highs around 6,050 could form a double top, making this a textbook reversal opportunity. 🔻 Downside Targets: 📍 First target: 5,436 (previous support & breakout level) 📍 Second target: 4,900–4,950 (major demand zone & value area) --- 🧠 Smart Money Perspective: This setup aligns perfectly with institutional trading logic: Sell high in supply zones Buy low in demand zones Volume Profile and LuxAlgo’s visible range confirm these key levels where institutions are most likely to act. --- 🧨 Trading Plan: 🚫 No buying in the supply zone 📉 Short entries if rejection confirms (look for bearish engulfing / lower high on lower timeframes) 🎯 Target 1: 5,436 🎯 Target 2: 4,900–4,950 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above 6,050 (fake breakout zone) --- 📊 Bonus Tip: Watch how price behaves around FOMC and CPI news – liquidity grabs often happen right before key macro data, especially near supply zones. Be patient! --- 💬 Let’s Discuss: Do you see a breakout or a rejection from here? Comment below if you're bullish or bearish on SPX500USD! 👇 Don't forget to like & follow if you find this breakdown helpful 💡 #SP500 #SPX500USD #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #TradingSetup #SwingTrade #BearishReversal
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by FrankFx14
US 500 Index – All Time Highs Back in SightFresh optimism regarding trade negotiations between the US and China, coupled with confirmation on Friday that the US labour market is cooling down slowly and not indicating an imminent US recession, has seen the US 500 index open this morning at 4 month highs, bumping up against the psychological 6000 again, with its all time peak of 6144 (February 19th) back in sight. Looking forward, this could be a pivotal week for the US 500, with a variety of risk events for traders to consider, all of which may have the potential to impact the direction of risk sentiment into the Friday close. First up, later today, traders will be eagerly awaiting updates from the second round of trade talks between US and Chinese trade teams, who are tasked with defusing tensions regarding the supply of rare earth minerals and advanced technology. Then, on Wednesday (CPI 1330 BST) and Thursday (PPI 1330 BST) the next round of US inflation updates for May are released. These could be relevant to traders who have become more sensitive to potential price rises due to the impact of President Trump's trade tariffs. Any surprise deviations from expectations in either of these releases could see an increase in US 500 index volatility. Putting this all together with any fresh reports outlining progress on trade deals between the US and Japan or the EU, and it could be a volatile week in store. With this in mind, it can be helpful to consider the technical indicators and trends. Technical Update: Focus on the Bollinger Mid Average While some may have argued for a slowing in upside momentum of the recent US 500 index advance, price weakness has continued to be limited in both time and extent. Importantly, as the chart above shows, when short term setbacks in price have recently materialised, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average that has marked a support focus. This maintains the potential of a more constructive picture and positive price trend, where buyers have been happy to pay a higher price each time that weakness is seen, and have been able to push the index above previous peaks in price, to new recovery highs. Of course, there is no guarantee this pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price will extend further, but traders may well be focusing on this type of pattern as having the potential to lead to a more sustained phase of price strength. What are the potential support and resistance levels that traders may be watching this week for clues to the direction of the next possible price move? Potential Resistance Levels: Further evidence that a positive trend in price could still be in place came on Friday, as a new recovery price high at 6017 was posted. Traders may now be watching how a previous price high at 6049, which was posted on February 24th is defended, as closing breaks may see further attempts to push to higher levels. Such moves could then lead to further price strength towards 6144, the February 19th all-time high. Potential Support Levels: Having held and turned price activity higher over previous tests, it may well still be the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 5916 that represents a possible support focus this week. Closes below this level while not confirmation of a more extended phase of price weakness, may see a deeper decline to test 5842, the May 30th session low, even on to the 5742 level, which is equal to the low posted on May 23rd. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
SPX500 – Volatile Week Ahead as Trade Talks and CPI LoomSPX500 | Overview Fundamental Insight: S&P 500 futures edged lower early Monday as traders brace for a high-impact week. Key events include: - US-China trade talks in London (Monday) - U.S. inflation data (CPI) expected midweek (Wednesday) Markets are cautious, awaiting clarity from both geopolitical developments and macroeconomic indicators, which could trigger strong directional moves. Technical Outlook: The price appears to be entering a correction phase, with the potential to drop toward 5966. A confirmed break below 5966 may extend the bearish trend toward 5938 and 5902. However, a break above 6030 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation toward 6098 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH). Pivot Line: 6010 Support Levels: 5966, 5938, 5902 Resistance Levels: 6030, 6098
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
3
Remaining bullish on SPX and how I think through my chartsVideo Recap: The Zoomed Out View Weekly moving averages are reordering and turning up The weekly chart shows that the 10EMA and 20EMA have now crossed the 50SMA and are turning up. That reordering adds strength to the broader trend. This past week, the index reclaimed 6,000, which is a key psychological level. And we also saw price bounce off the uptrend line drawn from the April low, showing buyers are still defending key areas of support. Daily pullback found support The daily chart gave us a pullback the Friday before last, but it held right at a confluence of support (the 20EMA and 200SMA), along with a horizontal level drawn from the weekly timeframe. Digestion periods can shake you out if you’re too zoomed in The last few weeks have been a reminder that chop can test your patience and your plan. We didn’t break trend, we just pulled back to support. But if you’re too zoomed in, it can feel like everything is shifting. That’s when stops get hit early, trades get closed prematurely, and new positions get put on for the wrong reasons. In reality, this was just a normal digestion after a strong move. And when in doubt, zooming out brings the clarity back. Trendlines and levels are guides, not absolutes There were a few moments in my chart review this week where I caught myself trying to make lines matter more than they do. But these tools (trendlines, moving averages, support and resistance) only matter in the context of what price is doing around them. Structure tells the real story. One line getting hit or crossed doesn’t mean the whole thesis breaks down. What matters is whether buyers step in, whether trend resumes, and whether your trade idea still fits your system. So what now? Here’s what I’ll be watching this week: We’re holding above all major MAs. If we push through the February all-time high, that can shift sentiment, especially for retail traders who may see that as a signal that “we’re in the clear.” If we stall below the ATH, that wouldn’t be a problem by itself, but I’d watch how price behaves...ie are we pulling back constructively or losing key levels? I’m not leaning bearish and won't be unless we start closing below 5,800 (200SMA) and definitely if we can't hold the rising 50SMA. (My second scenario after my bullish one is sideways, so bearish for me is out for now.) When the market starts moving, the best thing you can do is trust your prep, lean into your plan, and zoom out when things get noisy. The bigger picture hasn’t changed.
SP:SPXLong
by emanuelaelias