SPX Intraday LevelsIf you missed SPX short opportunity in last 2 days, you can still have one today hopefully.
US500 trade ideas
S&P 500 Index→Simple Analysis SP:SPX The S&P500 index (SPX) has had an excellent run since the time (August 28, see chart below) we introduced the following piece of analysis on the similarities between the 2015 - 2017 fractal and today's 2022 - 2024:
If it continues to replicate the past pattern into the 2018 fractal as well, then we may experience the last correction of the Bull Cycle around March 2025 towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as it happened in February - March 2018 and then the final rally to a new All Time High (ATH) towards the end of the year (October - December 2025).
What this pattern shows, and what we've presented to you as a possible scenario on previous analyses, is for a new Bear Cycle to begin in 2026, four years after the Inflation Crisis of 2022, that will once more test the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the market's long-term Support.
As a side-note to investors, it is important to understand that corrections are cyclical and crises systemic. Long-term, multi-year patterns like this, help us understand with a certain degree of efficiency, when to enter and when to exit. Timing is at times (especially on such long-term horizons), more important than pricing.
SPX500 H4 | Falling to pullback supportSPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 6,020.01 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 5,950.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 6,102.21 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Spx: When Copper met SugarAn interesting thing when you see divergence of the copper and sugar futures and what happens to markets after they redirect. Could be nothing..but monthly topping tail seems to be useful on S&P to start roll over
S&P500 - The Most Important Channel Breakout!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is retesting a crucial breakout area:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
During 2024, the S&P500 rallied more than 25% after we already saw a very bullish year of 2023. However, momentum is always more likely to continue and since the S&P500 is currently retesting a major breakout level, this bullish momentum could lead to a final breakout.
Levels to watch: $6.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
S&P 500 SELL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERNHere on S&P 500 price form a rising wedge pattern and now try to go down so if line 5581.35 break price is likely to fall and trader should go for short with expect profit target of 5247.44 and 4833.06 . Use money management
$SPX MONTHLY COUNTMonthly count of SPX currently on wave 5 and forming ending diagonal?
for daily and weekly structure im seeing a correction for wave 4 (red)
let's see how the story fold.
S&P500 What will happen in 2025 and 2026 based on this pattern?The S&P500 index (SPX) has had an excellent run since the time (August 28, see chart below) we introduced the following piece of analysis on the similarities between the 2015 - 2017 fractal and today's 2022 - 2024:
As you see, the index rose by around +8.50% from 5625 to 6100 in only 3.5 months. We are still expecting a local top just below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, with our Target in tact at 6500.
If it continues to replicate the past pattern into the 2018 fractal as well, then we may experience the last correction of the Bull Cycle around March 2025 towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as it happened in February - March 2018 and then the final rally to a new All Time High (ATH) towards the end of the year (October - December 2025).
What this pattern shows, and what we've presented to you as a possible scenario on previous analyses, is for a new Bear Cycle to begin in 2026, four years after the Inflation Crisis of 2022, that will once more test the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the market's long-term Support.
As a side-note to investors, it is important to understand that corrections are cyclical and crises systemic. Long-term, multi-year patterns like this, help us understand with a certain degree of efficiency, when to enter and when to exit. Timing is at times (especially on such long-term horizons), more important than pricing.
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S&P 500: Technical Insights and Trend ForecastS&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price has dropped from its previous significant high and has already broken the key level at 6058. It is currently attempting to reclaim this level.
As long as trades below 6058 will touch 6022.
Bullish Scenario, A 4-hour candle close above 6058 will signal a potential reversal, targeting higher resistance levels.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 6058
Resistance Levels: 6073, 6099, 6145
Support Levels: 6022, 5971, 5932
Trend Outlook: The trend remains downward while the price is below 6058.
Previous idea:
Potential bullish bounce off pullback resistance?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 6,026.51
1st Support: 5,871.75
1st Resistance: 6,099.49
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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SPX500 H4 I Bearish Momentum?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we will wait for price to pullback to our sell entry at 6,072.05, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be set at 6,031.03, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 6,110.58, above the 127.2% Fibo extension
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
S&P500: Crossed under the 4H MA50. Bearish.S&P500 is headed towards a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.952, MACD = 52.430, ADX = 39.810) as today the price hit the 4H MA50 after more than 2 weeks. Every time the index crossed under the 4H MA50 since October 21st, it declined more to the 4H MA200. The long term pattern remains a Channel Up but short term the strenght behind the 4H RSI drop favors going short. Target a potential contact point with the 4H MA200 (TP = 5,960).
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12/09 Weekly SPX InsightsLast week’s assessment aligned well with the anticipated positive SPX range. The index moved sharply up toward the 6100 area, yet as Friday’s session progressed, the call resistance around 6100 capped further upward momentum.
Looking ahead, I have doubts that the previously unbridled optimism will persist. Currently, we find ourselves in a “chop zone,” suggesting that the short-term direction is less clear.
In aggregating GEX (Gamma Exposure) levels and examining the landscape a week out, it appears that 6100 remains a strong call resistance level. Meanwhile, the HVL (High Volatility Level) has crept closer to around 6080, placing the market uncomfortably close to a higher-volatility environment. Below 6080, the market may experience increased turbulence, potentially retesting 6035 and then 6000.
On the other hand, if the index can break and hold above 6100, an upward gamma squeeze could emerge, pushing prices even higher. Currently, overall GEX sentiment is negative, but the approach toward the HVL zone suggests caution. From these conditions, I’m not expecting a strong, sustained rally in the immediate term.
In terms of intraday and short-term dynamics, 0DTE (same-day expiry) sessions and Fridays continue to hold relatively higher positive gamma exposure compared to other days.
Volatility indicators:
VIX: remains low
IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): also low
Put Pricing Skew: currently low, although it has begun to show a very slight uptick
Key Levels for This Week (for educational reference):
Above 6100: Omni-bullish environment
Between 6100–6065: Chop zone (directionally uncertain; not ideal for unhedged directional trades)
Below 6080: Bearish tilt, with targets around T1: 6035 and T2: 6000 (near the 16-delta OTM put level)
On Wednesday, inflation data is scheduled for release. Anticipation alone may drive volatility, so it’s something to keep on the radar for educational scenario planning.
SPX ShortThese were 2 scalp short entries on SPX with the help of 5 and 1M chart too.
price broke through POC and PD AVAAPs on volume after NY opened up so I went short.
1st entry was till Thursday's POC and S1. when price broke through that and held below the zone on volume, this is where I went in with max position for scalp.
S&P500 is still strong🟢 S&P500 is still strong
The USA index is showing strength amid geopolitical tensions.
Right now, the index is in a clear bull trend since 2023 and we are far from a clear corrective pattern.
Take care if the price approach the red trendline, breaking that trendline could be a first signal of a neutral or bear market unfolding.
For now is better to hold or even buy if the price arrives to previous highs. Previous highs are a good point to buy with low risk-to-return ratios.
🇺🇸 S&P500 // Just Another Video IdeaThe S&P500 is long an all timeframes, and even looking at the fact that we are deep in the long term target zone, the H4 impulse base is still strong, and there is a countertrend break opportunity on H1.
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Stay Patient, Stay Disciplined! 🏄🏼♂️
Your comments, questions, and support are greatly appreciated! 👊🏼
SPX at 5,400? How are bears? Before diving into macroeconomic complex indicators, let's briefly touch on price action.
First, let's assume that Trump's trade, as such, didn’t happen. It's just a regular market move with some added clarity.
Second, ahead of us is Christmas Eve, which should have already started, but instead, we have a "skeptical" rise, ready to explode at any moment right before our eyes.
I've spoken many times about why the price of the SP500 should remain around 6000 in the coming years (we're wrapping up the post-Covid rally with this).
Okay, from different angles and levels, we say that the U.S. economy is in good shape, which was recently confirmed by Powell, who is entering an interesting romance with Trump.
The best economy never lowers interest rates.
In addition, a correction is inevitable, and the historical high followed by another new historical high will inevitably lead to a correction, which, due to the January effect, could successfully bring the price to 5700, or in a more optimistic scenario, 5400.
So instead of waiting for Christmas Eve, it would be more accurate to expect a correction.
Big picture S&P 500!At this moment we're almost at an important trendline. A trendline connected from the 1929 high and the 2000 high.
Something to consider!!!
Will we cross that trendline? Are we Topping out?
Everybody is Bullish, Almost all the bears trew the towel into the ring.
Nothing can happen, everything is positive, only up up up.
I think it's almost time to think like a contrarian!
So vice versa;-).
Time will tell but this chart is pretty clear to me but provides no certainty.
Bear Day,But May Change.Potential Short Term Downside.
Some Liquidity left over. Looking for breaks either way.
NEW IDEA FOR S&P500Technically, the S&P500 is trading in an ascending channel on the four-hour time frame, and now, given the high of the bullish Super Komo, there is a possibility of an increase in the price. Overall, this scenario is strengthened that the S&P500, provided that it maintains and does not record any four-hour candlestick close below the important support range in the 6081-6075 range, can rise to the resistance of the middle level of the ascending channel at 6118.
SPX: another ATHThe positive track for S&P 500 continued for another week. The index reached a fresh new all time highest level during the previous week, at the level of 6.090. November jobs data were in the center of attention of investors, which witholded the positive sentiment during the first week of December. The US economy added 227K new jobs, which was modestly higher from the market estimate. Despite the relatively stable jobs market, the CME FedWatch Tool is showing the expectation of market participants that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 bps at their December meeting, with 85% odds.
Tech companies were again in the spotlight of investors. However, this week, same as previous, retailers were also in the focus. It comes after a summary of estimates of sales for holidays in the US, where Black Friday shopping was the first estimate. The traditional New Year holidays season is coming as of the end of December, from which retailers should additionally benefit.
At the dawn of a new year, HSBC provided their estimates for the year 2025. As per their analysts, the S&P 500 could continue to reach higher levels. HSBC estimate is the level of 6.700. They are supporting their view on the index, with the slow but resilient US economy, “and some margin expansions”.
