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US 500 (per 1.0) (AUD)US 500 (per 1.0) (AUD)US 500 (per 1.0) (AUD)

US 500 (per 1.0) (AUD)

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US500AUD trade ideas

SPX Danger ZoneLog chart of SPX with a trendline connecting 1929 top to 2000 dot com top and up to 2024-25 top. We already touched this trendline multiple times at the end of 2024 and the beggining of 2025, after which we saw a 20ish percent pullback. If history rhymes, then we can expect a top at 6250-6350 area in the next few months and we might even stay around there for some time trapping retail investors and other foverever bulls. However, the crash ranging beteween 50 percent (2000 dot com bubble burst) and 86 percent (1929 Wall Street crash) might unravel over the next few years. With the amount of leverage in the market this house of cards can tumble down even quicker. Take care.
SP:SPXShort
by Hodlbozone
1
My favorite skitzo line in the S&P 500This is a test post, but it's also one of the single most potentially vindicating technical analysis ideas of all time: that the market really is an oracle that encodes the entirety of relevant information. This trendline uses a logorithmic scale that intuitively "counterbalances" monetary policy and every other value-traveling dynamic like financial technologies and increasing market efficiencies, et cetera. It's a textbook trendline--Murphy says a trendline is a line that connects two highs or lows--and these highs and lows are the country's most violent economic crises: "The Great Depression" and "The Recession".
SP:SPXShort
by prairieghost06
S&P 500 Index (SPX) Weekly TF – 2025 Chart Context: Tools Used: 3 Fibonacci Tools: 1. One **Fibonacci retracement** (from ATH to bottom) 2. Two **Trend-Based Fibonacci Extensions** * Key Levels and Zones: * **Support Zone** (Fib Confluence): \~4,820–5,100 * **Support Area (shallow pullback)**: \~5,500–5,600 * **Resistance & TP Zones:** * TP1: **6,450** (Fib confluence & -61.8%) * TP2: **6,840** (-27%) * TP3: **7,450–7,760** (Major Confluence) Technical Observations: * SPX is approaching a **critical resistance** near previous ATH (\~6,128) with projected upward trajectory. * The **green dashed path** suggests a rally continuation from current \~6,000 levels to TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840), and eventually TP3 (\~7,450–7,760), IF no major macro shock hits. * The **purple dotted path** suggests a potential retracement first to \~5,600 (shallow correction) or deeper into \~5,120 or even 4,820 zone before continuing the bullish rally. * The major support zone around **4,820–5,120** includes key Fib retracement levels (38.2% and 61.8%) from both extensions and historical breakout levels. Fundamental Context: * US economy shows **resilience** amid soft-landing narrative, though inflation remains sticky. * The **Federal Reserve** is expected to cut rates in **Q3–Q4 2025**, boosting equity valuations. * Liquidity expansion and dovish outlook support risk assets, including **equities and crypto**. * However, **AI-driven tech rally** may be overstretched; a correction could follow earnings disappointments or macro surprises (e.g., jobs or CPI shocks). Narrative Bias & Scenarios: **Scenario 1 – Correction Before Rally (Purple Path)** * If SPX faces macro pushback (e.g., high CPI, hawkish Fed), expect retracement to: * 5,600 = Fib -23.6% zone * 5,120–4,820 = Major Fib Confluence Zone * These would act as **accumulation zones**, setting up next leg up toward TP1 and beyond. * **Effect on Gold**: May rise temporarily due to risk-off move. * **Effect on Crypto**: Could stall or correct, especially altcoins. **Scenario 2 – Straight Rally (Green Path)** * If Fed confirms cuts and macro remains soft: * SPX breaks ATH (\~6,128) * Hits TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840) * Eventually reaches confluence at **TP3 (7,450–7,760)** * **Effect on Gold**: May struggle; investor preference for equities. * **Effect on Crypto**: Strong risk-on appetite, altseason continuation. Indicators Used: * 3 Fibonacci levels (retracement + 2 extensions) * Trendlines (macro and local) * Confluence mapping Philosophical/Narrative Layer: This phase of the market resembles a test of collective confidence. Equity markets nearing ATHs while monetary easing begins reflect a fragile optimism. The Fibonacci levels act as narrative checkpoints — psychological as much as mathematical. Will we rally on faith or fall for rebalancing? Bias & Strategy Implication: Bias: Bullish with caution * Strategy: * Await **confirmation breakout >6,128** for fresh long entries * Accumulate on dips in the **5,100–5,500** zone if correction unfolds * Use **TP1, TP2, TP3** as staged exits Related Reference Charts: * BTC.D Analysis – Bearish Bias: * TOTAL:Bullish Bias *TOTAL3 – Bullish Bias: * US10Y Yield – Falling Bias Impact:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/US10Y/45w6qkWl-US10Y-10-Year-Treasury-Yield-Weekly-TF-2025/
TVC:SPXLong
by BitonGroup
SPX500 Holds Steady as Markets Eye US-China Trade Developments SPX500 Overview U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday as investors awaited key developments from the U.S.-China trade talks underway in London. Technical Outlook (4H Chart): The index is experiencing cautious movement amid ongoing tariff tensions and geopolitical uncertainties. Bullish Scenario: A sustained 4H close above 6030 could confirm bullish momentum, with upside targets at 6066 and 6098, potentially extending toward a new all-time high (ATH). Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 6010, bearish momentum may persist, targeting the support levels at 5966, followed by 5938 and 5902. Support: 5966 • 5938 • 5902 Resistance: 6066 • 6098
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX 500 to 17,000 in 7 years.This chart represents the S&P 500, showcasing its performance over time, including quarterly data. It captures everything. Every recession. Every war. Every president. Every variation of the monetary base as superpowers rise and fall. Whenever I hear a bear in the stock market declare that THE TOP has been reached, and we are about to CRASH -50% to -90% I find myself drawn to these comprehensive long term charts. If the bulls are genuinely in control and we have merely undergone an intermediate-term correction, then the long-term bull market that commenced at the 2009 low remains robust, with many more years ahead. The chart also illustrates that the three significant bull market phases typically last around 18-20 years following a major breakout. And they yield a comparable number of X's. It's all quite fascinating, if you ask me. See you in the future!
SP:SPX
by BallaJi
up or down...Hello friends🙌 🔊As you can see, the US500 index has been identified with several resistance encounters and the good support that the price has been able to break the resistance and turn it into support. Now, according to today's news, it seems that the price is targeting higher targets that we have identified for you. In case of correction, it has strong support ahead of it, which we have identified with a white line, but don't forget that buyers have entered...📈 🔥Join us for more signals🔥 Trade safely with us.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TheHunters_Company
Smart Money Levels Spotted on SPX500USD – Massive Sell Zone Major Supply Zone (Resistance): 🔵 6,000 – 6,050 Price is currently sitting right inside a well-defined supply zone, where smart money previously sold off heavily back in December. Intermediate Support: 🔵 5,436 A clear structural level where price previously broke down from and retested in April. Major Demand Zone (Support): 🟠 4,900 – 5,000 Price reacted aggressively from this zone during the massive April sell-off, suggesting strong institutional interest. --- 🧭 Current Price Action: SPX500USD is currently trading at 6,004, right at the supply zone marked by the blue shaded area. Price has aggressively rallied from the 4,900 demand zone in April and is now testing this critical resistance level for the first time since the major drop. 📌 Notice the tight consolidation and rejection wicks from this area in the past. This could signal a potential reversal or a breakout trap! --- ⚠️ Bearish Signals to Consider: 🔻 Risk of Rejection: With price inside a supply zone and momentum slowing, there’s a high probability of a rejection. 🔻 Double Top Structure: Previous highs around 6,050 could form a double top, making this a textbook reversal opportunity. 🔻 Downside Targets: 📍 First target: 5,436 (previous support & breakout level) 📍 Second target: 4,900–4,950 (major demand zone & value area) --- 🧠 Smart Money Perspective: This setup aligns perfectly with institutional trading logic: Sell high in supply zones Buy low in demand zones Volume Profile and LuxAlgo’s visible range confirm these key levels where institutions are most likely to act. --- 🧨 Trading Plan: 🚫 No buying in the supply zone 📉 Short entries if rejection confirms (look for bearish engulfing / lower high on lower timeframes) 🎯 Target 1: 5,436 🎯 Target 2: 4,900–4,950 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above 6,050 (fake breakout zone) --- 📊 Bonus Tip: Watch how price behaves around FOMC and CPI news – liquidity grabs often happen right before key macro data, especially near supply zones. Be patient! --- 💬 Let’s Discuss: Do you see a breakout or a rejection from here? Comment below if you're bullish or bearish on SPX500USD! 👇 Don't forget to like & follow if you find this breakdown helpful 💡 #SP500 #SPX500USD #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #TradingSetup #SwingTrade #BearishReversal
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by FrankFx14
SPX500 – Volatile Week Ahead as Trade Talks and CPI LoomSPX500 | Overview Fundamental Insight: S&P 500 futures edged lower early Monday as traders brace for a high-impact week. Key events include: - US-China trade talks in London (Monday) - U.S. inflation data (CPI) expected midweek (Wednesday) Markets are cautious, awaiting clarity from both geopolitical developments and macroeconomic indicators, which could trigger strong directional moves. Technical Outlook: The price appears to be entering a correction phase, with the potential to drop toward 5966. A confirmed break below 5966 may extend the bearish trend toward 5938 and 5902. However, a break above 6030 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation toward 6098 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH). Pivot Line: 6010 Support Levels: 5966, 5938, 5902 Resistance Levels: 6030, 6098
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
3
Remaining bullish on SPX and how I think through my chartsVideo Recap: The Zoomed Out View Weekly moving averages are reordering and turning up The weekly chart shows that the 10EMA and 20EMA have now crossed the 50SMA and are turning up. That reordering adds strength to the broader trend. This past week, the index reclaimed 6,000, which is a key psychological level. And we also saw price bounce off the uptrend line drawn from the April low, showing buyers are still defending key areas of support. Daily pullback found support The daily chart gave us a pullback the Friday before last, but it held right at a confluence of support (the 20EMA and 200SMA), along with a horizontal level drawn from the weekly timeframe. Digestion periods can shake you out if you’re too zoomed in The last few weeks have been a reminder that chop can test your patience and your plan. We didn’t break trend, we just pulled back to support. But if you’re too zoomed in, it can feel like everything is shifting. That’s when stops get hit early, trades get closed prematurely, and new positions get put on for the wrong reasons. In reality, this was just a normal digestion after a strong move. And when in doubt, zooming out brings the clarity back. Trendlines and levels are guides, not absolutes There were a few moments in my chart review this week where I caught myself trying to make lines matter more than they do. But these tools (trendlines, moving averages, support and resistance) only matter in the context of what price is doing around them. Structure tells the real story. One line getting hit or crossed doesn’t mean the whole thesis breaks down. What matters is whether buyers step in, whether trend resumes, and whether your trade idea still fits your system. So what now? Here’s what I’ll be watching this week: We’re holding above all major MAs. If we push through the February all-time high, that can shift sentiment, especially for retail traders who may see that as a signal that “we’re in the clear.” If we stall below the ATH, that wouldn’t be a problem by itself, but I’d watch how price behaves...ie are we pulling back constructively or losing key levels? I’m not leaning bearish and won't be unless we start closing below 5,800 (200SMA) and definitely if we can't hold the rising 50SMA. (My second scenario after my bullish one is sideways, so bearish for me is out for now.) When the market starts moving, the best thing you can do is trust your prep, lean into your plan, and zoom out when things get noisy. The bigger picture hasn’t changed.
SP:SPXLong
by emanuelaelias