US500AUD trade ideas
S&P 500 & Indexes Breakdown + Trade SetupsIn this video, I dive into the S&P 500 and other major indexes to share my current market outlook. Right now, price action is stalling and volume continues to dry up — a signal that we could be due for a deeper pullback before any continuation to the upside.
📌 With global fundamentals such as:
US–China trade tensions
Russia–Ukraine war
Broader geopolitical risks
…it’s hard to ignore the pressure building. That’s why I lean bearish in the short term, expecting potential downside before any breakout to new highs.
⚠️ Of course, trying to short in this slow grind can feel like catching a falling knife — but I’ve prepped a few setups, all broken down in the video based on solid technical confluences.
Watch the full breakdown and let me know your thoughts.
Thanks for tuning in! 🙏
👇 Drop a comment, like, and subscribe for more market breakdowns.
#SP500 #IndexBreakdown #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeSetups #BearishBias #VolumeAnalysis #GeoPolitics #SwingTrading #TradingCommunity #TradingView
SPX500 weekly overviewThis 6,136.54 calculated by 4821.59 and 3506.64 and worked really well as top of the SPX500!
Expect the zone around that line! All zones could be chosen to long the instrument.
4821.59 * 2 - 3506.64 = 6,136.54
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Morning market ideasSPX could be finished overnight but the cash session may try to equal the overnight high. Gold is coming up to heavy resistance. Oil Looks to be heading towards 66 and maybe more. BTC looks like it may drop again but right now it's at support. Natural Gas is likely going to drop.
S&P500 INTRADAY uptrend continuation supported at 5960Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6120
Resistance Level 2: 6170
Resistance Level 3: 6220
Support Level 1: 5960
Support Level 2: 5900
Support Level 3: 5800
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S&P 500 update from last week📉 Lesson Learned – The Way of a Trader 📈
Well… this time I jumped the gun. Thought the market would break lower from a compression point, but I was wrong. Price pushed higher, broke the ascending channel upwards — and I paid the price 💸
Not much volume behind the move, but still... up is up.
I acted on a gut feeling, and that didn’t work out.
The mistake?
⛔ Tried to predict the top
⛔ Didn't wait for a confirmed break with volume
Now it’s time to:
✅ Review
✅ Re-evaluate
✅ Learn
✅ Come back stronger
We’re not always going to be right — and that’s part of the game.
Discipline beats ego.
Welcome to the life of a trader.
Let’s keep improving 🔁
US 500 Index – All Time Highs Back in SightFresh optimism regarding trade negotiations between the US and China, coupled with confirmation on Friday that the US labour market is cooling down slowly and not indicating an imminent US recession, has seen the US 500 index open this morning at 4 month highs, bumping up against the psychological 6000 again, with its all time peak of 6144 (February 19th) back in sight.
Looking forward, this could be a pivotal week for the US 500, with a variety of risk events for traders to consider, all of which may have the potential to impact the direction of risk sentiment into the Friday close.
First up, later today, traders will be eagerly awaiting updates from the second round of trade talks between US and Chinese trade teams, who are tasked with defusing tensions regarding the supply of rare earth minerals and advanced technology.
Then, on Wednesday (CPI 1330 BST) and Thursday (PPI 1330 BST) the next round of US inflation updates for May are released. These could be relevant to traders who have become more sensitive to potential price rises due to the impact of President Trump's trade tariffs. Any surprise deviations from expectations in either of these releases could see an increase in US 500 index volatility.
Putting this all together with any fresh reports outlining progress on trade deals between the US and Japan or the EU, and it could be a volatile week in store. With this in mind, it can be helpful to consider the technical indicators and trends.
Technical Update: Focus on the Bollinger Mid Average
While some may have argued for a slowing in upside momentum of the recent US 500 index advance, price weakness has continued to be limited in both time and extent.
Importantly, as the chart above shows, when short term setbacks in price have recently materialised, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average that has marked a support focus.
This maintains the potential of a more constructive picture and positive price trend, where buyers have been happy to pay a higher price each time that weakness is seen, and have been able to push the index above previous peaks in price, to new recovery highs.
Of course, there is no guarantee this pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price will extend further, but traders may well be focusing on this type of pattern as having the potential to lead to a more sustained phase of price strength.
What are the potential support and resistance levels that traders may be watching this week for clues to the direction of the next possible price move?
Potential Resistance Levels:
Further evidence that a positive trend in price could still be in place came on Friday, as a new recovery price high at 6017 was posted.
Traders may now be watching how a previous price high at 6049, which was posted on February 24th is defended, as closing breaks may see further attempts to push to higher levels. Such moves could then lead to further price strength towards 6144, the February 19th all-time high.
Potential Support Levels:
Having held and turned price activity higher over previous tests, it may well still be the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 5916 that represents a possible support focus this week.
Closes below this level while not confirmation of a more extended phase of price weakness, may see a deeper decline to test 5842, the May 30th session low, even on to the 5742 level, which is equal to the low posted on May 23rd.
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S&P500 Short: Ending DiagonalHi all, over here, I presented a cleaned-up chart of the EW counts for S&P500 and gave 2 entry points for shorting. The most important points are here:
1. 5th wave completion (or completing)
2. Ending Diagonal: will follow a sharp move down.
Alternatively, you can wait for a breakdown of the lower trendline to short.
Good luck!
RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07🚀 RKLB Weekly Options Trade Plan – 2025-06-07
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Holding Period: 3–5 trading days
Catalyst: Trump–Musk headline cycle + strong short-term momentum
Timeframe: Expiry June 13, 2025
🔍 Multi-Model Consensus Summary
Model Direction Strike Entry Stop Target(s) Confidence
Grok No Trade – – – – 0%
Claude Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.50 75%
Llama Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.57 $1.14 70%
Gemini Long Call $31 $0.49 $0.24 $0.74–$0.98 65%
DeepSeek Long Call $30 $0.76 $0.38 $1.52 70%
✅ Consensus: Buy $30 call expiring 2025-06-13
💬 4 of 5 models bullish; 3 aligned on same strike and premium
⚠️ Max pain at $26 and overbought daily RSI are top risks
📈 Technical Snapshot
Price Trend: Bullish short-term (price > EMAs on 5-min & daily)
RSI: Nearing overbought (RSI ~69)
MACD: Bullish short-term, weakening daily
Resistance: $29.00–$29.50
Support: $28.70–$28.75
✅ Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument RKLB
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike $30
Entry Price $0.76
Profit Target $1.14 (≈50% gain)
Stop Loss $0.38 (≈50% loss)
Size 1 contract
Expiry 2025-06-13 (Weekly)
Confidence 70%
Entry Timing At market open
⚠️ Key Risks
Max Pain Gravity: $26 could act as price magnet by end of week
Overbought Setup: Daily RSI + Bollinger breach may cap further upside
Exhaustion Signs: Bearish MACD divergence could lead to snap pullback
Momentum Trade: Must act quickly; trail stops if resistance nears
A little more upside for SPX500USDHi traders,
And again my previous outlook of SPX500USD played out as I've said. After a small correction we saw the continuation of the upmove to the Daily FVG.
Next week we could see price come into the Daily FVG and reject from there for a correction down.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade short term longs into the Daily FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
**** Market Trading Strategy Idea SP500 ***Key Chart & Economic Insights:
- Current Market Position
- The S&P 500 is around $6000, showing positive momentum (+1.03%).
- Upward trend visible, indicating strong buying interest.
- Economic tailwinds support continued growth.
- Projected Price Movements
- 6800 USD: Key resistance level where selling pressure could emerge.
- Market pullback: A correction after 6800 may create a buyback opportunity.
- Recovery phase: Expected rebound toward 7000-7500 USD, another selling position.
- Economic Context: U.S. Manufacturing Boom & GDP Growth
- The United States is ramping up domestic production, boosting industrial output and reshoring manufacturing.
- This shift is fueling GDP growth, strengthening economic fundamentals and potentially sustaining bullish market momentum.
- Strong consumer spending & investment could drive stocks higher, aligning with the planned trade strategy.
Risk Management & Optimization:
- Entry & Exit Precision: Define stop-loss and take-profit levels.
- Momentum Confirmation: Ensure price action validates expected moves.
- Economic Indicators: Watch manufacturing & GDP data for trend validation.
If you want to refine this analysis or explore other scenarios, I'm here to dive deeper into key points! 🚀 Subscribe! TSXGanG
I hold a CCVM and MNC (Certificate of Competence to become a securities broker anywhere in Canada) and have been working as a trader for five years.
It’s a pleasure for me to help people optimize their trading strategies and make informed financial market decisions.
SPX: chasing the 6KThe jobs data were in the spotlight of markets during the previous week. The Non-farm payrolls in May with 139K new jobs came as better than market anticipated, which supported the optimistic mood of investors. The S&P 500 managed to return to the levels modestly above the 6K level. Tech companies were again in the spotlight of investors. In this sense, the magnificent 7 drove the market to the higher grounds. In the Friday trading session, NVDA gained 1,2%, AMZN was up by 2,7%, while Tesla gained 3,7%. It should be noted that Tesla had quite a turbulent week. Its shares first dropped by 14% at the beginning of the week, after its CEO commented negatively on a current policy of the US President Trump. Certainly, this came as a surprise for markets, considering Musk's strong support for President Trump, both during the electoral campaign and his presidency.
Current optimism might be slowed down with forthcoming inflation data. Namely, a large number of economists are pointing to potential for the economic slowdown and higher inflation induced by implemented trade tariffs by the US Administration. In this sense, there is a probability that higher volatility of the index might continue in the coming period, as markets will try to understand what impact future growth and earnings will have on any new news on trade tariffs. It has been announced that further talks between China and US officials on trade tariffs will be held next week in London. This event will be closely monitored by investors.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has demonstrated an upward trajectory during this week's trading session, surpassing the established Outer Index Rally level of 5955 and the Key Resistance level of 5965. Currently, the index is exhibiting a bullish trend, with a focus on the Outer Index Dip target, set at 6073. Furthermore, additional critical levels have been identified, including Key Resistance at 6150 and the Next Outer Index Rally at 6235. Conversely, there is a potential decline in index prices from the current level or upon completion of the Outer Index Dip 6073, which may lead to a retest of the Mean Support at 5940, with the possibility of extending the pullback to the Mean Support at 5888.
Another leg of bull market comingBeing bearish in the stock market—especially after such a big correction and a V-shaped recovery—is definitely not a good idea. Probability and past history are against you. If Trump succeeds in bringing more jobs by tarrifs and reduce government expending as he promises, it could easily keep the uptrend going for the next two years and push past the 10,000 level, just like 2018 and 2020
S&P500 tests the upper border of the rangeThe S&P 500 index is concentrating in the massive triangle below the psychological level of $6000, and given the overall neutral to good market sentiment, it’s not expected to plummet from this area before testing the area of $6000-6200. Should the breakout of this zone happen, it’s not expected to be sustainable and may quickly revert back to the range, as traders are quite cautious right now and the market is prone to liquidations and quick profit taking.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump
This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend.
Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now.
🪙 Bitcoin Stalling
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market.
But let’s be clear:
🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over
The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact.
However, in TradFi, there are cracks:
🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag
💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade
📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk
🔮 What to Expect
Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target)
A possible rebound after healthy consolidation
A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks
I’ll publish a new update when conditions change.
📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR.
#CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG resistance area of 6176.6.Colleagues, it appears that price has not yet completed the upward movement in a five-wave move.
At the moment I expect the continuation of wave “3” and reaching the target in the resistance area of 6176.6.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
SPX500 H1 | Heading into an overlap resistanceSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 5,967.36 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 6,012.00 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 5,909.96 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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