DXY, EURUSD & SP500 Daily Trade SetupsIn this update we review the recent price action in the Dollar, Euro & SP500 and identify the next high-probability trading setups and price objectives to target. To review today's video analysis, click here!
US500FU trade ideas
Hourly SAR moved above priceThis is an earlier signal compared to the standard bearish Wolfewave entry - which is price entering back below the 1-3 line.
Here, I placed a 1:3 risk/reward ratio.
Keep in mind that there could be stop hunters just above the bear risk tolerance.
Next in line in the fractal order to mark a swing high will be the 4 hour SAR.
Standard bearish Wolfewave Target is the 1-4 line.
Alternative Targets are the Magic Lines.
Patterns can fail
Do your own due diligence.
52 W hi Capitalize on the around-the-clock liquidity of S&P 500 futures , and take advantage of one of the most efficient and cost-effective ways to gain market exposure to a broad-based, capitalization-weighted index that tracks 500 of the largest companies of the US economy
they'll losing they pants. we're selling gang
!!!!!!!!! Lol
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading week, the S&P 500 Index has predominantly demonstrated an upward trajectory, surpassing the Mean Resistance level of 6046, the Outer Index Rally target of 6073, and the critical Key Resistance threshold of 6150. Currently, the index is exhibiting a bullish trend, indicating potential movement towards the Outer Index Rally objective of 6235. However, it is essential to note that there is a substantial probability that prices may retract from their current levels to test the Mean Support at 6136 before experiencing a resurgence.
SPX/USD Has A Double Top Pattern On The 1Hr Hey Traders and following gang!
Hope all are raking in profits on all your trades.
I spotted this double top setup on the 1hr SPX/USD.
A break below 5980.6 triggers a short down to target-1 5926.3
A break below 5943.8 triggers a short down to target-2 5842.1
A little scuffle in the Mid East helps this market fall so, short the ticker .
Best of luck in all your trades my friends and stay profitable $$$
SPX tp 6440 then 3800In my view next month will be bullish for SPX, I expect a test of 6444 area (1.6 fibonacci extension from bullish trend started in 2020) then bearish market will start and push SPX to 3800 area.
S&P500 Channel Up buy opportunity.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up and is now on a count (5) pull-back, breaking below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) holds, we expect the index to resume the uptrend, similar to the previous Bullish Leg of the Channel Up.
That Leg almost reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and made a Higher High. Our Target is marginally below the new 1.5 Fib ext at 6130.
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US500.4h chart pattern.US500 (S&P 500), here's a breakdown of the potential bearish targets you're pointing to:
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📉 Market Overview:
Price has broken below the trendline and is currently hovering near the Ichimoku cloud support.
The bearish path is outlined on the chart with multiple target zones indicated by horizontal lines and a large blue arrow.
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🎯 Bearish Targets (as shown on your chart):
1. First Target Zone: Around 5,920 – 5,930
Minor support area just below current range.
2. Second Target Zone: Around 5,860 – 5,870
A more solid prior demand zone.
3. Final Target Zone: Around 5,780 – 5,790
Major support zone, aligns with previous consolidation area.
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🧭 Strategy Notes:
If price closes below 5,950 on the 4H or daily candle, it may confirm a stronger bearish continuation.
Keep an eye on volume and price reaction near 5,920, as this is likely the first bounce zone.
Would you like a marked-up version of this chart with exact price levels and arrows for clarity?
S&P 500 Index.4H CHART PATTERN.the S&P 500 Index (4H timeframe), it appears you're using a combination of Ichimoku Cloud, trend channels, and support/resistance zones to project downside targets. Here's the breakdown of your marked targets:
📉 Bearish Targets:
1. Target 1: Around 5,500
2. Target 2: Around 5,200
3. Target 3: Around 4,950–4,900
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🔍 Technical Observations:
Price has broken below the upward trend channel.
It's entering the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling potential consolidation or bearish pressure.
The large blue downward arrow indicates a bearish expectation, possibly tied to macro/fundamental concerns or technical reversal patterns.
The grey resistance block near 5,960–6,000 suggests failed breakout/retest.
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📌 Summary:
If current bearish momentum continues:
✅ Immediate Target: 5,500 (first major support)
⚠ Medium Target: 5,200
🔻 Final Target Zone: 4,900–4,950 (strong previous support and fib zone)
Let me know if you want stop-loss ideas, confluence indicators, or entry strategy breakdowns!
SPX500 Technical Outlook: Balancing Risk and RewardPost Content:
🔍 SPX500 Analysis - 4H Timeframe
Our latest technical analysis showcases a detailed approach to the S&P 500 Index using Smart Money Concepts, Fibonacci tools, and volume dynamics. Here's the breakdown:
1️⃣ Trend Structure
The price has formed a wedge within the premium zone, indicating potential exhaustion.
BOS and ChOCH markers highlight key pivots, emphasizing a weak high and strong low.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Insights
We're observing equilibrium near 5,668.57, a critical area where price may consolidate or pivot.
Higher Fibonacci extensions suggest an upside target near 6,580.38, should momentum hold.
3️⃣ Risk-Adjusted Strategy
Short Opportunity: Bearish retracement expected toward equilibrium; target around 5,668.57.
Long Opportunity: Look for confirmations to buy at the discount zone or post-retracement breakout above the weak high.
4️⃣ Volume Dynamics
Spikes at key pivot points signal institutional activity, strengthening the validity of liquidity zones.
📊 Trade Setup Overview
Entry: Short near premium zone OR Long near equilibrium/discount zone.
Stop-Loss: Place below the strong low for longs or above weak highs for shorts.
Target: Extensions at 6,580.38 align with the broader bullish sentiment.
🎯 Key Takeaway: This model emphasizes patience, precision, and risk management. Be sure to monitor upcoming macro events and confirm entry triggers before committing to any position.
🌟 Follow WaverVanir International LLC for more actionable insights, technical breakdowns, and AI-driven strategies!
📈 Trade Safe,
Team WaverVanir International LLC
SPX500 Market Outlook!We remain bullish on the SPX500.
🔍 Short-Term Expectation:
A potential bottom could form around 2 AM London time on the 4H chart.
📉 Key Support Levels:
• 5904.3
• 5865.1
• 5849.3
📅 Top Projection Dates:
• 25th June
• 4th July
Stay sharp. Structure still favours the bulls. 🐂📊
Bull market for growth stocks (vs yields) ending...The Stock Market vs Yields is below the 10 year moving average.
Gold, silver, uranium, copper, oil & friends thrived in similar past setups.
Where will the market goes from here ?Gap or hole to be filled up reminds me of looking at your own wallet. How many times did you realise that you were low on cash (yes in SG, we still use a lot of physical cash) and needs to go to the ATM machine to withdraw money to fill it up.
Logically, from the chart, it appears that option 2 is more likely to happen first before we think a rally picks up thereafter, right ? Nobody can tells you for certain where the market is going and that is why it is easier to REACT to the market moves and follows the trend rather than oppose it and predicts how it should moves.
At any time, there can be short sellers, institutional buyers, government agencies, algo traders, etc that are in the market with tons of cash to move the market. How can you possibly knows as a retail trader ? That is why it is wiser and financially prudent to follow the market trend and not go against it.
If it breaks up to 6126 resistance level, I will add more for the 2nd leg bullish run. However, if it falls to the support at 5741 level, I will buy slightly more as it has becomes cheaper.
Either way, I am long term bullish on the market
SPX vs VIX: Is this a sign of a bullish market?VIX has seen a strong decline in the past 2 months following the massive surge of Feb-March due to the Tariff War. In contrast, the S&P500 rose massively to almost its ATH, which is a natural response as the two assets are negatively correlated. This VIX pattern has been seen during every major market bottom in the past 15 years, the strongest of which was the 2020 COVID crash. This is a sign of a very bullish market, TP = 6,800 by the end of the year.
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S&P500: 1D Golden Cross incoming. 6,300 sighted.S&P500 is on an excellent bullish technical outlook on 1D (RSI = 60.006, MACD = 86.860, ADX = 23.325), extending a May 23rd rebound on its 1D MA200. Soon the market will form a 1D Golden Cross, drawing valid comparisons with the 2020 COVID recovery. That pattern, following its 1D MA200 rebound, extended the uptrend all the way to the 1.136 Fibonacci extension before pulling back to the 1D MA50 again. Buy, TP = 6,300.
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S&P 500: The Wedge, the Oil, and the Yen
The S&P 500 SP:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD CME_MINI:ES1! AMEX:SPY appears to have completed a rising ending diagonal — a classic reversal structure.
The 6050 zone stands out as strong resistance — notably, no monthly candle has ever closed above this level.
🧭 Minimum correction targets:
filling the weekly FVG
a retest of the 20-week moving average
retracement to the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone from the recent leg
📌 Fundamentals support the downside:
Iran–Israel tensions are pushing oil prices higher → which fuels inflation expectations
Rising CPI in Japan may accelerate the carry trade unwind and lead to a stronger yen OANDA:USDJPY
Seasonality also leans bearish during the summer months
⚠️ Bottom line: momentum is fading. A cooling phase is likely next — time to focus on risk management.
Geopolitics vs. Fed: SPX500 Trading Below Key Pivot at 5966SPX500 – Overview
Geopolitical Tensions & Rate Decisions Keep Markets on Edge
Investor focus has shifted from monetary policy to geopolitics, as speculation grows over a potential U.S. military strike on Iran.
According to Bloomberg, senior U.S. officials are reportedly preparing for possible action in the coming days. This comes as global markets remain cautious ahead of key central bank meetings that are expected to provide updated guidance on growth and inflation.
Technical Outlook:
SPX500 remains under bearish pressure as long as the price trades below 5966.
A break and hold below 5966 targets 5938, with further downside toward 5902 and 5885
For a shift to bullish momentum, price must stabilize above 6010
• Support: 5938 / 5902 / 5885
• Resistance: 5989 / 6010 / 6041
SPY where are we going into OPEX and last week of June tradingYesterday was almost an indecision candle on daily. Markets cheered the jobs data earlier in day with a nice green candle, however the pump faded going into FOMC, where AMEX:SPY and SP:SPX were around 600/ 6000 at 2pm. FOMC event mostly turned out to be a "non-event". While the no rate cut and 2 for 2025 were largely expected, Powell spooked the markets commenting that he expects higher inflation in months ahead due to tariffs. Off course this set of a set of comments from Trump which was expected as well.
While markets are closed today (Juneteenth) futures are open, and in after hours and now we have drifted downwards... as of this writing SPX is around 5950. Bulls lost the 9 sma yesterday and now are trying to defend the 20 sma. Tomorrow is OPEX so expect some volatility and movement to where big money is positioned.
Certainly bulls can show up and reclaim 9 ma at 6003 or if we lose 5950, the next level down is below 5800. Meanwhile JPM collar is intact... Do we go down from here. Tomorrow will be key as we will know if we have lost 20 sma or regained 9 sma and how this week candle looks like.
Bulls can charge but is there enough gas in tank to make meaningful upside move? Maybe possible pump to open next week (around 6060 was recent high), but bears are now lurking to take us down towards that 5800 level next week.
As I said earlier tomorrow will be telling and I will update over the weekend.
The market still has ample room to grow!Society isn't crumbling yet.... We'll get there sure enough, but as for now, there is still plenty of spoils to be had.
Spy chart for 6/25/25This and patience, it can change based on how we open for New York session but we will see
What do we need to know before investing?If you are thinking about investing money for the potential returns it offers, you should know that it may go well, but that there are always risks. That’s why we are going to give you some basic tips to bear in mind before making any investment decision.
How much money are you going to invest?
First of all, you need to decide how much money you want to put towards your financial investments.
The markets are subject to change
The financial markets are constantly fluctuating. The term volatility is the most commonused term to describe and measure the uncertainty provided by changes to theprices of financial assets.
Additionally, there are times in the market when the prices are more pronounced and every now and then there are crisis periods and asset prices fall dramatically.
Investing in financial markets means that we have to assume that our investments will always be subject to these types of fluctuations. If you are going to invest in the financial markets the money that you invest must be money that you will not need during the investment term.
That’s why, investing in order to obtain short term gains is inevitably associated with high risk. Furthermore, the larger our intended gains, the larger the associated risk. Always bear in mind that the greater the expected returns, the greater the assumed risk. Once again, be sure that you do not need the money that you are going to invest, as it may have losses.
The opposite can be said of long term investments, where the capacity to wait and overcome falls in the market means that you can assume more risk with your investments. With a long term vision you will avoid having to experience any possible losses with your investment period due to any eventual liquidity needs.
How much risk are you willing to take on?
Before investing it is important to know the risk you can assume. Every investor has their own risk tolerance level that they need to be aware of. Risks and returns go hand in hand, because for more returns you also need to take on more risk, and vice versa.
It is also good to know that just as with normal market conditions, those assets with a higher risk tend to suffer more fluctuations with their prices than those assets with less risk.
Therefore, in general terms:
When the forecasts for the financial markets are favourable and the market goes up, those assets with higher expected returns generally perform excellently.
Whenever the financial markets are going through uncertain times, those assets with higher expected returns, and therefore more risk, tend to perform worse.
You must start from a strong financial position
To invest you need to be at a point where your accounts are well under control, including your debts. We do not mean to say that if you have any outstanding credit you cannot invest, but it is essential that everything is in order and that you are in a situation where you can fulfil your financial obligations.
On the other hand, to build long term wealth, it is important that you assign part of your income to your savings, meaning that you have to invest with the money left over after making your payments while also saving part of what you earn.
It is important to keep a composed outlook
Now we know that investing bears its own risks and that the market is subject to change, it is essential to be composed when investing. When investing it is important to think positively, as if you don’t really believe that things will work out, why invest?
It is one thing to be cautious, and to know how much money to invest and what level of risk tolerance to assume, and another to think negatively each time there is a drop in the market. In reality, investing is a combination of caution and composure.
Diversification is the key to success
Somebody with less investment experience may make the mistake of putting all of their investment budget into just one thing. However, it is much better to have diverse investments, as while some investments may not quite work out as you would have liked them to, some do even better.
Losses are normal, and so are returns
We previously said that when investing it is important to stay calm, and that is true. In this regard, you also have to bear in mind that it is normal for some investments in your portfolio to not perform as well as you had expected.
We cannot predict the behaviour of the financial markets or of certain assets. We can also unexpectedly find ourselves with some assets that don’t perform as well as we had hoped. That is why we recommend, in addition to not risking more than you can invest, to diversify your investments well.
We have already said that investment involves risk, which is why it is good to know that if you are willing to invest, you are also willing to take on risks. If you are prepared to take on this risk, you can be successful in your investments.
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by HollyMontt
