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US 500 - Rolling Future (Per 1.0)US 500 - Rolling Future (Per 1.0)US 500 - Rolling Future (Per 1.0)

US 500 - Rolling Future (Per 1.0)

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US500FU trade ideas

S&P 500 Intra-day Analysis 25-Apr 2025The markets currently are showing some relief after China's decision to exempt certain U.S. goods from tariffs. Potential scenarios for intra-day moves: • Price recently touched the lower end of the range around $5,520 and then moved up. If this upward move continues, it could test the top of the range near $5,550. If that level is passed, the next area to keep an eye on might be around $5,660. • If the price drops below $5,500, it could mean sellers are gaining strength, and the next level to watch could be around $5,360. • If the price also goes below $5,320, then the $5,200 level might become the next important zone to monitor. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:SPIUSD
by easyMarkets
SPXGiven the escalating tariff pressures, it's clear that this scenario is unsustainable for any economy in the long term. I anticipate a resolution to the US-China trade issue within the next few weeks to months. The current market correction is likely a reflection of the accumulated negative impacts from Trump's second term, and from a technical analysis perspective, further downside levels are indicated on the charts. However, looking at the broader, four-year horizon of Trump's presidency, there are several potentially bullish factors, including tax cuts, financial deregulation, continued Fed dovishness, and the possibility of renewed quantitative easing.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Lazy-Lizard
Detailed Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Index – 4-Hour TimefrWhat triggered the recent movements? As per analyst analysis, since February 20, 2025, the S&P 500 Index began a gradual decline, forming a clear downtrend that resulted in a total drop of approximately 21.14%. This sharp retreat was primarily driven by mounting investor concerns over President Donald Trump's foreign trade policies, particularly the increased tariffs on several countries, which led to widespread fear and uncertainty in financial markets, concerns about a potential global recession, slowing international trade, weakened economic growth and resurgence of inflationary pressure. After reaching the key support level at 4798.58, its lowest point since January 2024, the index saw a brief consolidation phase, before a major market-moving development occurred: the announcement of a 90-day suspension of tariffs on selected countries by the U.S. President. As per analyst interpretation, this event acted as a turning point, triggering a sharp rally of nearly 10% in a single session, which effectively broke the downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe and led to the formation of a new high (2), surpassing the last corrective peak (1). This confirmed a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart. What’s next on the 4-hour chart? Although the index has shifted into an upward trajectory, a short-term pullback appears more likely at this stage, especially following the failure of trough (3) to break above the previous peak (2) at 5487 – a sign of weak bullish momentum. If the price breaks below the 5107.40 level, a further decline toward the 4948.10 support level is expected. This level could serve as a potential rebound zone, where bullish traders might regain control and resume the uptrend, possibly retargeting the 5487 peak. When is the bullish scenario invalidated? According to analysts, the current bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price breaks below 4798.58 and confirms a 4-hour candle close beneath it. This would strongly indicate a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish, prompting a reassessment of the medium-term trend. Important Note: This analysis strictly reflects price action and technical patterns on the 4-hour timeframe only.
CFI:US500
by CFI
US500 - Will the stock market go up?!The index is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for the next Nasdaq buying positions with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. The channel breakdown and the index entering the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position. The chief economist at Citigroup has stated that the imposition of tariffs in the United States constitutes a stagflationary shock to the economy. According to his estimates, there is a 40% to 45% chance of a recession. It is expected that GDP will increase in the second quarter, as consumers rush to make purchases ahead of the new tariffs. However, the most significant negative impact on U.S. economic growth is projected to unfold in the second half of the year. You may have noticed that recent economic statistics are no longer moving markets. The reason is simple: markets are forward-looking and trade on expectations rather than past data. Economic figures reflect what has already occurred, while market pricing focuses on what lies ahead. At this stage, current data has yet to fully reflect the impact of tariffs and trade tensions. Even if weaker numbers emerge, markets may have already priced in the potential resolution of the trade war and an eventual recovery. Experienced traders understand that today’s developments are already factored into prices. What matters now is the outlook for the coming months—the real driver of market direction. Ryan Petersen of Flexport noted yesterday that, three weeks after the U.S.imposed heavy tariffs on Chinese imports, bookings for ocean freight containers have dropped more than 60% industry-wide. He explained that the U.S. imports around $600 billion worth of goods annually from China, with those items valued at approximately $2 trillion at the retail level. He stated that the first ships carrying goods fully subject to the new tariffs arrived on Monday, and shipping volumes are expected to decline in the coming weeks. However, due to high inventory levels, the impact on the retail sector may be delayed. Petersen also expressed concern that a potential rollback of tariffs could introduce a new set of challenges. With ships currently being repositioned globally, a sudden wave of new orders could disrupt logistics networks—especially if markets perceive the suspension of tariffs as only temporary. In my view, no one really knows how this situation will evolve, as a large portion of imports consists of intermediate goods and components used in final products. My guess is that this could lead to a surge in transshipment and even smuggling, though it could just as easily echo the unexpected consequences seen during the COVID era. We are truly venturing into uncharted territory. Petersen concludes: “This is a strange era for global logistics, as we must simultaneously prepare for the unimaginable—like full U.S. self-sufficiency—while also planning for a return to something closer to normal trade relations.”
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Ali_PSND
S&P500 INTRADAY resistance at 5510Stocks are pulling back after Wednesday’s rally, pressured by renewed trade tensions. China stated that no deal talks are underway, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed scepticism over resolving the trade dispute. US futures slipped, the dollar weakened, and gold rose as investors sought safety. Jefferies strategist Christopher Wood warned that US equities, Treasuries, and the dollar may face further downside, noting the market has likely peaked. Deutsche Bank also trimmed its S&P 500 target, citing the negative impact of ongoing tariffs on US companies. It’s a packed earnings day: PepsiCo, Procter & Gamble, and American Airlines report before the open, while Alphabet and Intel are set to release results after the close. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5510 Resistance Level 2: 5660 Resistance Level 3: 5790 Support Level 1: 5110 Support Level 2: 4950 Support Level 3: 4815 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500 | SPX500USD: Bulls Find Support — But Is It Enough?SPX500USD 12H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🔍 OVERALL TREND 📈 UPTREND (Tentative) — Market structure appears to be attempting a reversal from a recent pivot low. However, the macro trend remains under pressure unless price clears the key resistance range above 5,950. 📉RESISTANCE 🔴 6,152.5000 — PIVOT HIGH | Dynamic Resistance Level 🔴 6,086.2943 — SELL ORDER II 🔴 5,952.1652 — SELL ORDER I 📊ENTRIES & TARGETS 🎯 5,884.4400 — EXIT BUY | TP 4 🎯 5,640.5683 — BUY ORDER | TP 3 🎯 5,482.3500 — BUY ORDER | TP 2 | Mid-Pivot 🎯 5,254.5432 — BUY ORDER | TP 1 📈SUPPORT 🟢 5,021.6218 — BUY ORDER 🟢 4,879.2150 — BUY ORDER II 🟢 4,812.2000 — PIVOT LOW | Dynamic Support Level 📊OSCILLATOR SUMMARY 🧭 RSI (14): 51.98 — Neutral 📉 MACD Level: -41.34 — Buy Bias Forming 🚀 Momentum (10): -36.21 — Positive Divergence Developing 📊 ADX (14): 21.08 — Early Trend Formation 📉 Awesome Oscillator: -87.21 — Bearish but Flattening 🧮MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY ✅ 10/20/30 EMA & SMA — All Showing Buy Signals ❌ 50/100/200 EMA & SMA — Still Bearish, Suggesting Long-Term Pressure 📊 VWMA (20): 5,289.90 — Bullish Price Reaction Above VWMA 📏 Ichimoku Base Line: 5,158.19 — Neutral, Needs Further Validation 🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES Current price is battling between 5,300–5,400 resistance range — a break and close above 5,482 could trigger further upside Significant bullish reversal candle formed near the last pivot low at 4,812 Volume profile suggests re-accumulation; price attempting to reclaim 5,300 structure Momentum indicators show signs of shifting bullish, but not yet in strong confirmation territory TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📈 Bullish bias above 5,254 with targets at 5,482 / 5,640 / 5,884 📉 Bearish pressure reactivates if price rejects 5,482 and closes below 5,021 👀 Monitor ADX for trend confirmation — under 25 = caution; above 25 = trend validation 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Reversal Play): — Entry: 5,254.54 — Targets: 5,482.35 / 5,640.56 / 5,884.44 — SL: Below 5,021.62 HIGH-RISK SCALP (Resistance Fade): — Sell Order near 5,952.16 or 6,086.29 — Targets: 5,640 / 5,482 — SL: Above 6,152.50 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by ProfessorCEWard
Option Insights – Trading the Greeks (Part 1 of 4): Delta Target# Option Insights – Trading the Greeks (Part 1 of 4) ## Delta Targeting Options are often utilized by traders as a leveraged tool, akin to generating lottery tickets. By selecting the appropriate expiration time and strike price, it's possible to achieve significant leverage on an underlying asset, potentially yielding high profits in percentage terms, albeit with a low probability of occurrence. However, trading options offers more than just directional bets on the underlying asset. Due to their dependence on various factors with distinct characteristics, option strategies enable flexible exposure management and innovative risk profiles. To fully exploit the potential of options, risk factors are quantified using the **Greeks** – Greek letters (not all of them) that assess the sensitivity of option prices to changes in different risk factors ("primary Greeks") or second-order effects ("secondary Greeks"). ### Primary Greeks: - **Delta** – sensitivity to changes in the underlying price - **Theta** – sensitivity to changes in time - **Vega** – sensitivity to changes in implied volatility - **Rho** – sensitivity to changes in interest rates ### Secondary Greeks: - **Gamma** – rate of change of Delta with respect to the underlying - **Vanna** – rate of change of Delta with respect to implied volatility - **Charm** – rate of change of Delta with respect to time - **Volga** – rate of change of Vega with respect to implied volatility For trading purposes, **Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega** are the most critical Greeks.\ They are depicted in the introductory graphs for Call Options, showing their behavior as a function of the underlying price across various levels of implied volatility. *(Graphs not shown here — you can add screenshots as image uploads if needed.)* --- ## Trading the Greeks: Delta The art of trading options is fundamentally the art of managing an option portfolio by **trading the Greeks**. For short-term options (from same-day expiration, or 0DTE, up to about three months), **Delta** is the dominant risk factor. The influence of other Greeks is limited to a narrow range around the strike price — this range becomes even narrower as expiration approaches. When managing an options position, **controlling Delta is the first and most critical step**. - Delta values range from 0% to 100% for long calls and short puts - From -100% to 0% for long puts and short calls - Delta represents the participation rate of an option in the underlying asset’s price movement Example:\ If an option has a Delta of 40% and the underlying asset moves by 10 points, the option’s price will typically move by approximately 4 points in the same direction. Delta can also be loosely interpreted as the **implied probability** that the option will expire in the money — though this is only an approximation. --- ## Delta-Neutral Strategy The most common Delta-targeting strategy is the **Delta-neutral strategy**. It aims to hedge the Delta of an options position by taking an **offsetting position in a Delta-1 instrument**. These instruments replicate the price movements of the underlying asset (e.g., the underlying itself, ETFs, futures, or CFDs). ### Example: - If an options position has a Delta of 40% and a notional exposure of 100 units - → Take a short position in 40 units of the underlying (or equivalent Delta-1 instrument) But:\ Delta is **not constant** — it evolves over time (**Charm**), with price changes (**Gamma**), and with changes in implied volatility (**Vanna**).\ This means the hedge must be **adjusted regularly** to maintain Delta neutrality. Adjustments are typically: - Made at discrete intervals (e.g., daily) - Or when Delta changes by a set amount (e.g., more than 5%) --- ## Delta Target Strategy (More General) The Delta-neutral strategy is a **specific case** of a broader **Delta target strategy**, where the Delta target is explicitly set to zero. ### Who uses Delta target strategies? - Option **market makers** to hedge inventory - Traders aiming to **isolate other risk factors** (e.g., volatility premium strategies like short strangles) These traders seek to: > **Capture the volatility premium** — the difference between implied volatility at entry and realized volatility after Delta target strategies with **non-zero targets** are used for managing portfolio-level risk when options are used alongside other instruments. --- ## Why Adjust Delta Target Strategies? The main reasons for adjusting: - **Gamma (convexity)**: Delta changes as the underlying moves - **Time decay**: - For OTM options: Delta decreases (calls), increases (puts) - For ITM options: Opposite behavior - **Changes in implied volatility or skew**: also affect Delta --- ## Coming Up Next: 📘 *Part 2: The Concept of Convexity and the Role of Gamma in Managing Delta Target Strategies* ---
TVC:SPXEducation
by parsifaltrading
Post-Easter Drift: Markets Hit the Snooze ButtonMonday will be the first proper day back in the saddle after a long Easter weekend. The chocolate coma has almost worn off. Markets will be waking up. Kind of. These post-holiday opens are notoriously sluggish. Volume’s light. Direction takes a while to reveal itself. And everyone’s pretending to care about macro while waiting for real price action to show up. But we’ve already got our map. And the Wolfe Wave that paid us last week? Still unfolding. I’m sitting tight with a fresh cup of caffeine, watching the 5400 level as our bull/bear toggle… and waiting to see if Trump rage-tweets another black swan into existence before the bell rings. We’re not here to chase headlines. We follow the system that pays. -- SPX analysis 22 April 2025 The Wolfe Wave setup we traded last week hasn’t invalidated and still has room to run. The projected target near 5000 remains in play, and we’re well within the structure for a continued grind lower. The swing income trade is live. And because this is options – not directional heroism – we don’t need the full drop to get paid. But a fast tag of 5000 will certainly do us a favour on timing. On the GEX front, things remain bearish: 5400 = resistance + gamma flip level 5250 = highest negative gamma magnet this week No bullish flips yet, and no major hedging pressure being relieved That leaves our plan unchanged: Bear bias holds under 5400 Swings remain on Be ready to reassess if we bounce or overshoot key levels Business as usual. Let price confirm. Let the system trigger. Patience to profits. --- Expert Insights: (Trading Mindset for Today) The strategy is simple: Wait for the setup. Place the trade. Walk away. The temptation today will be to force something just because it’s the first day back. Don’t. You’re not paid to predict. You’re paid to follow the rules. A calm trader with a plan outperforms a hyper trader with opinions. Common Trading Mistake & How to Avoid It ❌ Confusing movement with opportunity Just because the market opens doesn’t mean it’s ready to trade. ✅ Let the setup come to you Rule-based trading means you wait for confirmation – not caffeine. Fun Market Fact – When Gamma Gets Negative… Did you know that negative gamma magnifies market moves? Here’s how it works: Dealers hedge in the same direction as price That creates more volatility, not less Which means… wild swings are more likely when GEX is negative This is why we’re watching 5250 this week – it’s where gamma says “this way, please” (and dealers cry quietly behind the screens). --- Rumour Has It… Trump’s latest tweet simply read: “ SP:SPX = Sad. Bears win.” Futures dipped 0.3% before recovering. 5400 is now being described as “psychological resistance” – which means nobody has a clue but it sounds clever. GEX models reportedly enrolled in therapy after being ignored all weekend. (This section is entirely made-up satire. Probably.)
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
SPX500 H1 | Approaching a multi-swing-low supportSPX500 is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,206.22 which is a multi-swing-low support. Stop loss is at 5,045.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 5,490.31 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SPX500Long
by Tradu
$SPX Urgent! My <3 & My Soul: Slow Bleed Crash to 3k by Q4 26' Do be warned. Very important post here. I put my heart and soul into this. I made a video earlier and then it got deleted by accident, so I made a less happy one right after. I've got news for all the bulls and investors out there that feel they will be able to continue buying every single dip out there. Get ready for the dip that keeps dipping. Big names already cracking heavy. NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:NVDA to name a few. Big tech is getting cleaned out and layoffs are on the rise. Tariffs create huge amounts of uncertainty. I don't feel like this is rocket science. Buffet is all cash. 89% of Hedge Fund managers believe the US market is the most expensive its ever been and Tutes have been selling at the highest rate ever before. I think it's time the US finally gets a shake down. Bullish conditioning has been running rampant, and I've seen Social Media Accounts discourage charting and only paying attention to price action? Price action involves the entire collective, not just one Timeframe. Anyways, here's an overlay from 01' ... the only one I could find that matches. Says short 560 around May 7th and then take profits around 500 again. Let's make this a nice one. Calls till 560 into May then flip to Puts into June. From then short 530 every time you can. $450 is My first target after we break previous lows. I will update as we go. Have a good one yall.
SP:SPXShort
by TazmanianTrader
S&P500 Index End of Day Trend AnalysisS&P 500 Index Outlook: The index may experience bearish momentum starting around April 25th or 28th, with key support at 5160. If this level holds and bearish confirmation does not emerge, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward the target of 6109. Traders should wait for a confirmed short signal before considering bearish positions. Otherwise, the ongoing bullish momentum is likely to persist. The MastersCycle indicator has signaled a buy, with a suggested stop-loss at 5100. Disclaimer: This is a personal market view. Traders are encouraged to rely on their own technical analysis and always trade with an appropriate stop-loss.
SP:SPXLong
by Mastersinnifty