USA500 trade ideas
SPX500 Eyes Further Upside After Breaking to New HighSPX500 | Technical Overview
The price continued its bullish momentum after stabilizing above the 6283 support level, as anticipated. It has since posted a new all-time high (ATH) and is currently aiming for the next key resistance at 6341. A confirmed breakout above this level may open the path toward 6393.
On the downside, a break and sustained close below 6283 would shift the structure bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 6223.
Pivot line: 6283
Resistance: 6341 – 6393
Support: 6247 – 6223
previous idea:
US 500 – A New Record Peak or Reversal in the Week AheadSo far in July, the US 500 has recorded multiple all-time highs on its way to an eventual peak of 6294 on Thursday (July 10th), from which it finally succumbed to some profit taking into the weekend, leading to a small Friday sell off to close at 6255 (-0.4%).
Along the way traders have ignored mixed US economic data, and more importantly they have, for the most part, shrugged off President Trump’s increasingly aggressive approach to tariffs, choosing instead to focus on economic resilience, renewed AI optimism and an improving outlook for the Q2 corporate earnings season that kicks fully into gear in the coming days.
In terms of tariffs, the fact that there is now a new August 1st deadline to concentrate on may be taking away some of the immediate urgency for the announcement of trade deals, although these issues still remain important and on-going, highlighted by President Trump's weekend social media announcement of 30% tariffs on the EU and Mexico, if a better deal cant be reached in the next 3 weeks.
With regard to corporate earnings, the major US banks like JP Morgan (Tuesday before the open) and Bank of America (Wednesday before the open) report this week. Both company’s share prices have seen strong gains since the April lows, so traders will be eagerly awaiting their actual numbers. They will also be keen to hear the thoughts of the bank CEOs on future earnings, bad debt provisions and the potential impact of Trump’s tariffs on the US economy moving forward. Only last week, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan, warned market complacency towards potential tariff risks.
In terms of scheduled economic data. Tuesday’s US CPI (1330 BST) and Wednesday’s PPI release (1330 BST) stand out. Traders are sensitive to US inflation updates and have been watching over the last several months for signs that tariffs are pushing up prices. So far this hasn’t been the case but these new releases may tell a different story.
All of these issues could impact risk sentiment and the direction of the US 500 index in the next 5 trading days. Certainly, the early open has been impacted by President Trump's weekend tariff announcement, with the US 500 currently down 0.46% at 6227 (0800 BST).
The technical outlook could also be an important factor in determining price moves.
Technical Update: Assessing the Move to A New Record High
Last week appears to have seen a slowing in the speed of the recent price strength, but a new all-time high was still posted at 6294 on Thursday. It could be argued that this activity maintains what is still a more constructive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows that have materialised since the April 7th downside extreme of 4799.
However, there is no guarantee this price activity will continue to see new all-time highs posted, so we need to be aware of potential support and resistance levels that may influence price activity.
Possible Support Levels:
If last week’s possible slowing in upside price momentum develops into a new phase of price weakness, a support level that traders might now be watching could be 6148.
This 6148 level is equal to both the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 23rd to July 10th strength and the current level of the rising Bollinger mid-average. Closes below 6148 might suggest a more extended phase of weakness back to 6058, the lower 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, possibly further if this in turn gives way.
Possible Resistance Levels:
Having been capped by the 6294 all-time high last week, sellers may continue to be found at this level, so this might prove to be the first potential resistance if fresh attempts at price strength over the coming week develop.
Closing defence of 6294 may need to be watched if challenged, as successful breaks above this level might suggest an extension of the uptrend pattern currently evident in price activity. Such closing breaks higher may well suggest price strength towards 6418, the 200% Fibonacci extension level of the recent price decline.
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SPX: Long-Term Strength and Opportunity
SPX: Long-Term Strength and Opportunity
The S&P 500 (SPX) on this monthly timeframe clearly illustrates a powerful long-term uptrend, where each significant pullback has consistently presented a valuable buying opportunity. Most recently, the market effectively retested and bounced off the established long-term trendline, even amidst geopolitical concerns such as the April low experienced when tariffs were announced, underscoring the underlying bullish resilience. This sustained trajectory suggests continued upward momentum, reaffirming the 'buy the dip' strategy within this robust market environment.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading week, the S&P 500 Index has demonstrated a predominantly upward trajectory. It has successfully retested the Mean Support level at 6200 and established a new Key Resistance level at 6314. Currently, the index displays a bullish sentiment, with the objective for the Outer Index Rally set at 6420.
Nevertheless, it is essential to recognize that the current price action may result in a decline, potentially leading to a retest of the Mean Support at 6244 and extending to the Mean Support at 6201. Following this potential downward movement, it is anticipated that the index will resume its upward trend, driving the price action towards the Key Resistance level at 6314 and ultimately achieving the Outer Index Rally target of 6420.
US500 Bulls Assemble | Breakout Heist Strategy📈🚨 MASTER HEIST PLAN: “SPX500 ROBBERY – THIEF TRADING STYLE 🔥💸” 🚨📈
(The Ultimate Long Strategy Blueprint for Smart Day/Swing Traders)
🌍 Greetings to All Market Bandits, Bullish Burglars, and Chart Snipers!
Hola! Bonjour! Ola! Hallo! Marhaba! 🙌
🦹♂️This is your friendly chart thief checking in with the latest SPX500/US500 masterplan!
This isn’t just a trade—it’s a heist 🎯. We’re not here to participate, we’re here to dominate! Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, where we map, trap, and snatch those pips with ruthless precision. 🧠🔍💰
🚀 THIEF TRADE SETUP - SPX500/US500
A mix of technical sniper entries + fundamental black ops analysis = 💸 Maximum Extraction. 💸
🎯 ENTRY PLAN: THE BREAKOUT HEIST
📍Buy Entry Zone: Wait for the clean breakout + candle close above 6270.00.
"The vault opens once we clear that wall. Let the bullish getaway begin!" 💥🚪📈
🛠️Thief Tips for Entry:
Use Buy Stop Orders above resistance levels.
OR layer in Buy Limit Orders near recent pullbacks (15/30m swing zones) using DCA Style (Dollar Cost Average layering like a pro).
Want stealth mode? Set that alert (alarm), and strike when the breakout sings. 🔔🎯
🛑 STOP LOSS – PROTECT THE LOOT
🧨Set your SL smart—beneath the nearest swing low using the 2H timeframe for stronger structure.
💬 “Look, don’t gamble. A thief knows when to run. Set that stop where I showed ya, or risk losin’ the bag.” 💼💣
❗Your SL should reflect your risk per trade, lot size, and number of entries. It’s your getaway plan—don’t mess it up.
💥 TARGETS – WHERE WE CASH OUT
🏴☠️Primary Take Profit (TP1): 6310.00
🏴☠️Secondary Take Profit (TP2): 6370.00
💹 Scalp Traders: Stick to the Long Side Only. Ride the momentum, but use trailing SL to lock it in.
🔍 THIEF FUNDAMENTAL INTEL: WHY THIS IS OUR MOMENT
Current SPX500 bullishness driven by:
✅ Positive macro & geopolitical tailwinds
✅ Institutional positioning (COT reports)
✅ Intermarket analysis showing strong correlations
✅ Momentum building with sentiment and volume
📌 Stay sharp—check all your fundamental reports, news catalysts, and sentiment tools before executing your move. Smart thieves plan every detail. 🎓📊
⚠️ NEWS RELEASE REMINDER
📢 News = Chaos. Don’t get caught in the spray:
🔒Avoid entering trades just before big announcements.
🚀 Use Trailing SL to secure profit if you're already in.
Stay agile. Stay smart. Stay rich. 💼🚁
❤️ SUPPORT THE HEIST – HIT THAT BOOST BUTTON!
👊 Liked the plan? Hit the Boost to join the elite robbery crew.
Every boost fuels the mission. Every like sharpens the strategy. Let's build a team of smart, profitable traders. 🚀💸🔥
🧠 Remember: This is general analysis – not financial advice. Manage your risk like a true thief. Stay updated. Adapt fast. Don't get caught. 🕵️♂️
🎉See you in the next Heist Plan! Keep your tools sharp, your charts cleaner, and your profit bags fatter. 🤑🔥
S&P 500 consolidating at all-time highsOf late, we have seen price action on the S&P 500 consolidate around all-time highs of 6,290 and is on track to form a small ascending triangle. The nearest support to note resides at the 1W level of 6,121, closely shadowed by a 1M support from 6,040.
Based on the current technical picture, this clearly remains a buyers’ market.
- FP Markets Research Team
5 Proven Tricks to Trade Without FOMO After Missing Your TriggerYo traders! In this video, I’m breaking down what to do if you miss a trading trigger , so you can stay calm , avoid FOMO , and still catch the next move. We’re diving into five solid strategies to re-enter the market without losing your cool:
Buy on the pullback zone.
Buy with an engulfing candle after a pullback.
Buy after breaking the resistance formed by the pullback.
Buy after the second wave with an indecision candle.
Buy after breaking a major resistance post-second wave, confirmed by RSI or momentum oscillators.
These tips are all about keeping your trades smart and your head in the game. For more on indecision candles, check out this lesson . Wanna master breakout trading? Here’s the breakout trading guide . Drop your thoughts in the comments, boost if you vibe with it, and let’s grow together! 😎
SPX500 Bearish Below 6246 – Eyes 6223 and 6195SPX500 Analysis
SPX500 stays under bearish pressure below 6246, targeting 6223 and possibly 6195 if the decline continues.
Recent tariff escalation by President Trump is adding weight to downside momentum across indices.
Pivot: 6246
Support: 6223, 6195, 6143
Resistance: 6268, 6291
SPX500 Update: Monster Trigger Ready to Launch!Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 😎 With news of the unemployment rate rising, stock and crypto markets have been surging hard, and right now, we’ve got a killer trigger on SPX500 you don’t want to miss. Its breakout could spark the next major bullish leg. Let’s dive into the Daily and 4-hour timeframes to unpack this setup. here’s the play:
✔️ Daily Timeframe:
After a strong rally, SPX500 hit an all-time high (ATH) at 5,249.14 before entering a deep correction. Here’s what many traders miss: support/resistance levels aren’t static—they shift over time. The resistance that was at 6,146.89 has now climbed to 6,290. Breaking 6,290 signals the start of a major bullish trend after 146 days of correction. This is our primary long trigger.
📊 4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers):
Long Trigger: After a solid uptrend with strong momentum, we entered a time-based correction within a box pattern. Breaking the box ceiling at 6,290 is the long trigger, aligning with the Daily breakout.
Short Trigger: Breaking the box floor would trigger a short, but this goes against the trend, so stop-loss risk is higher, and your win rate could take a hit—stay cautious.
📉 Key Insight: The 6,290 breakout is the big move to watch, fueled by market momentum from the unemployment news. Shorts are riskier due to the bullish trend, so prioritize longs with volume confirmation.
🔔 Confirmation: For longs, confirm the 6,290 break with RSI entering overbought.Risk management is critical—cap risk at 1%–2% per trade to survive the market’s swings.
🔼 I’ll update if the structure shifts! Thanks for vibing with this analysis! <3
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which SPX500 trigger are you locked on? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to support area of 6033.Colleagues, I assume that wave “1” completes the upward movement and somewhere around here a major correction ‘2’ should begin, which will consist of waves “ABC” and may continue to the level of 5700. But for now, I think we need to focus on the nearest targets.
I see the support area of 6033 as the first target.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Major LowI'm buying puts expiring on October 31st, All Hallow's Eve.
I'll give price room to keep melting up to 666 at the farthest, that is my stop level. If we breach that price, then just know that tech is unstoppable and Artificial Intelligence is the Mark of the Beast.
If the market doesn't drop here, then the sky is the limit.
S&P 500 H4 | Making a run towards a new ATH?The S&P 500 (SPX500) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 6,299.72 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 6,195.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 6,369.28 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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SP500 Bullish Momentum Amid Trade DevelopmentsThe US stock index continues to trade higher as overall market sentiment remains bullish, driven by optimism despite Donald Trump's aggressive tariff stance and ongoing global trade negotiations.
Currently, the index is consolidating within a narrow range around 6260. A confirmed breakout from this zone is essential to determine the next directional move. then Upside Target will be :6,250 and 6,300
If you like this idea if you Have on Opinion about this analysis share in comments.
20% in 60 daysSince the 90's we have seen many times where the broader market (SPX) has seen a pretty significant pull back, more than 10% and then a rally. Almost every time the market rose more than 20% in 60 days or less has been a good place to take profits. Clearly everything is super bullish right now, and I am not saying this will be the top, I am simply saying, we could experience a correction driven by profit taking. In an uptrend, you want to be a buyer on pull backs, so a pull back could give us another longer term opportunity
S&P500 (CASH500) (SPX500) SHORT - Head and shoulders 30minRisk/reward = 3.3
Entry price = 6314.8
Stop loss price = 6318.4
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 6301.3
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 6297.5
Waiting on validation from a few other variables.
For example, waiting for the current 30min candle to close in range.
Letssss goooooo