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USA500 trade ideas

A little more upside for SPX500USDHi traders, And again my previous outlook of SPX500USD played out as I've said. After a small correction we saw the continuation of the upmove to the Daily FVG. Next week we could see price come into the Daily FVG and reject from there for a correction down. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade short term longs into the Daily FVG. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
Tracking a pattern that could signal the Top is In I am tracking a micro pattern with the new local high made in the ES last night and today's price action as a micro 5-down....we should get a slight retrace into the 5960 ish area. Maybe tomorrow...maybe in the overnight session tonight. If price can then breach todays micro low of 5884 in the ES futures...we need to then follow through with a breach of 5857 to give us our first indication, we may have struck a top. From there I am following 2 counts...Purple, or my primary count which is a minor C of Intermediate (A). Best to all, Chris
CBOE:SPXShort
by maikisch
3
S&P INTRADAY corrective pullback - pivotal zoneMacro & FX Outlook Morgan Stanley forecasts a 9% decline in the US dollar by mid-2026, driven by a slowing US economy and expected Fed rate cuts. Trading implication: Long positions in EUR, GBP, and other G10 currencies may benefit as USD weakens. Watch for renewed momentum in carry trades and emerging market FX. Geopolitics Ukraine-Russia conflict escalates with Ukrainian drone strikes hitting deep into Russia (including Siberia) and Moscow launching one of its most sustained aerial attacks. Peace talks are expected in Turkey today. Trading implication: Elevated geopolitical risk could support safe havens (gold, CHF, USD short-term) and oil prices, depending on energy infrastructure vulnerability. UK Defense Spending The UK will allocate £15 billion to expand its nuclear warhead program, new attack submarines, and build munitions factories. Trading implication: Likely to support defense sector stocks and raise questions around fiscal policy ahead of elections; may contribute to upward pressure on gilts if deficits widen. Poland Political Shift Nationalist Karol Nawrocki wins presidential election, a setback for Poland’s pro-EU coalition government. Trading implication: Potential increase in EU policy friction. May weigh on Polish assets and zloty (PLN) in the short term. US Debt Ceiling & Diplomacy Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent assured markets the US will not default but gave no timeline on cash exhaustion. Also noted a Trump–Xi call is imminent, aiming to ease US-China tensions. Trading implication: Uncertainty over Treasury liquidity may raise short-term bill yields. Any improvement in US-China relations could lift global risk sentiment and Chinese equities. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6010 Resistance Level 2: 6070 Resistance Level 3: 6160 Support Level 1: 5780 Support Level 2: 5740 Support Level 3: 5700 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P500 awaits Trade Balance and Jobless Claims figuresTrump Tightens Immigration: Bans people from 12 countries, limits entry from 7 more, and blocks foreign students from attending Harvard. Russia-Ukraine Tensions: Putin plans to strike back after a Ukrainian drone attack. Trump says Russia’s allies won’t profit from rebuilding Ukraine. UK Housing Boom: Home sales rose 6% in May, the strongest in 3+ years, despite the end of a buyer tax break. Germany & U.S.: German politician Friedrich Merz meets Trump today. At home, Germany faces rising public concern about tough economic times. ECB Rate Cut Likely: The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates by 0.25% to 2%, but may slow further cuts soon. Key Support and Resistance Levels Key trading leel is at: 6000 Resistance Level 1: 6090 Resistance Level 2: 6140 Resistance Level 3: 6200 Support Level 1: 5900 Support Level 2: 5845 Support Level 3: 5800 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPX500 – Fibonacci Breakdown Hints Deeper Correction AheadThis 1H SPX500 setup highlights a potential bearish continuation pattern following a clear rejection from the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone. Here's a breakdown of the trade thesis: 🔍 Analysis Summary: Fibonacci Cluster Rejection: Price failed to reclaim 5,921.31 (key resistance) and sharply rejected from the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone. Bearish Market Structure: Lower highs formed near the .618 Fib, followed by a strong impulsive sell-off. Liquidity Zone Below: The price is targeting the previous demand block near 5,796.99, a major structural liquidity zone. Measured Targets (Fibonacci Extensions): TP1: 1.236 @ 5,844.09 TP2: 1.618 @ 5,796.99 TP3: 2.0 @ 5,749.35 📌 Trade Setup: Short Entry Zone: 5,915 – 5,921 (retest of resistance) Stop Loss: Above swing high at 5,932 Take Profits: TP1: 5,844 (partial close) TP2: 5,796.99 (main target) TP3: 5,749 (optional extension) 🧠 Macro Consideration: With Fed rate uncertainty and bond market fragility, equities may be vulnerable to deeper retracement as institutions de-risk. Volatility remains elevated heading into month-end—be flexible and risk-aware. 📊 Evidence Supporting the Hypothesis Resistance at 0.618 Fibonacci Level: The SPX has approached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, a critical resistance point. A failure to break above this level could indicate a potential reversal or continuation of the downtrend. Historical Significance of 0.618 Level: Breaking below the 0.618 Fibonacci support level often signals a continuation of the downtrend, as it is a significant retracement level in technical analysis. Stalling at Key Fibonacci Target: The S&P 500's recent rally has stalled near a critical Fibonacci retracement level, raising questions about whether the market is entering a new uptrend or merely experiencing a bear-market bounce. 📉 Implications for Traders Bearish Continuation: The inability of the SPX to surpass the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone suggests that the recent rally might be a temporary correction within a broader downtrend. Potential Targets: If the bearish trend resumes, traders might look for support levels at the 1.236, 1.618, and 2.0 Fibonacci extension levels, aligning with the previously mentioned targets of 5,844.09, 5,796.99, and 5,749.35, respectively. Risk Management: Given the current market volatility and the significance of these Fibonacci levels, traders should employ strict risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders above recent swing highs and monitoring for confirmation signals before entering positions. In summary, the SPX's struggle to break through the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, combined with historical patterns and recent technical analyses, supports the hypothesis of a potential bearish continuation. Traders should remain cautious and consider these technical indicators when making trading decisions. 📊 Wavervanir International LLC | Discretionary + Quant Hybrid Risk Management
FX:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
5
SPX500 Macro + Technical + Probabilistic AnalysisPublished: June 3, 2025 🔍 Chart Breakdown (Daily | LuxAlgo + EW + SMC) Structure Summary: 🔶 Wave Count: Completing Wave (5), with price nearing exhaustion 🔴 Weak High Zone: ~6,100–6,200 = liquidity magnet 🟥 Premium Zone: Between current price and 6,426 🟦 Equilibrium Zone: ~4,950–5,150 🟩 Discount Zone: ~4,150 = long re-entry or cycle bottom if correction occurs 📅 Key Timing Line: June 17, 2025 = potential reversal date (time-based confluence) Volume Analysis: 🔊 Volume spikes at Wave 2 and Wave 4 suggest reactive participation 📉 Lower volume into recent highs suggests distribution, not accumulation 🔁 Multi-Timeframe Outlook Timeframe Direction Probability Rationale Intraday (15M) Bearish 60% Weak high rejection, premium zone swept, liquidity-based reversal Swing (2–3 weeks) Bullish → Bearish 70% to 6,420 → then reversal Wave 5 completion into supply zone, followed by corrective ABC Macro (Q3–Q4 2025) Bearish 80% Likely mean reversion toward equilibrium (5,000) or discount (4,200) 📊 Key Price Zones to Watch Level Label Strategy 6,426 🎯 Wave 5 Target Look for exhaustion, divergence, or liquidity sweep 6,150–6,200 🟥 Weak High / Premium Possible fake-out zone or reversal trigger 5,900 🔵 Short-term support Likely retest zone on first rejection 5,150–4,950 ⚖️ Equilibrium Mid-cycle mean reversion target 4,150 🟩 Discount/Strong Low Long reload zone if correction deepens ⚠️ Risk Considerations Macro Data Watchlist: June 12 CPI + June 17 FOMC = macro catalysts for Wave 5 peak Invalidation: If price holds above 6,450 after June 17, EW count must be adjusted Alternative Count: Parabolic Wave 5 extensions can overshoot — be cautious shorting early
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
S&P500: Gearing up for a push to 6,100S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 64.611, MACD = 85.830, ADX = 19.630) as it has been trading inside a Channel Up for over a month. Right now it is halfway through the new bullish wave. We expect it to rise by at least +4.40%, same as the previous one. Stay bullish as long as the 4H MA50 holds, TP = 6,100. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
Are we trading the market or trading our own opinion?It was said that 99% of the traders out there failed to make profits. I pondered hard over this statement and realised that whatever tools I am using, it is equally available to the millions of traders out there. The same for the financial information which I read on CNBC, SCMP, etc. Nothing that I have is one level above others. Then, when I look at the charts, for a long time, I have also convinced myself of buying at support and selling at resistance and gaps get filled up. From this chart, we can see that 3x the support failed with the last one breaking past the support line before staging a rebound. Just because it has worked in the past, it does not mean it will again. 19 Feb to 7 Apr 2025, this must be the shortest bear market in history. Could we witness more of such rise and fall in the coming future? Most would hesitate to go LONG now for one of these reasons : 1) it is reaching the resistance level soon and likely profit taking so price may retrace. Let's wait. 2) Donald Trump and team is getting sued on the tariff matters , volatility is expected in the market so price may move sideways for a while 3) The US market is overvalued per many analysts out there, PE over 28 or 30 and the fall is going to be great like 40-50% downfall. Wait some more or taking partial profits 4) My friends are making good money from cryptocurrency and the profits are huge, I should ditch SPX and followed him The list could goes on......... I am still LONG on the SPX and is now awaiting for opportunities to accumulate. What is stopping me is the gap and resistance which I am afraid of. In my mind, I am thinking it is better to get it cheaper , right ? Guess I am looking for a catalyst or better reasons to convince me to go LONG............. Like to hear some others views
SP:SPXLong
by dchua1969
Falling towards pullback support?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,780.17 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,689.40 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 5,973.58 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has demonstrated an upward trajectory during this week's trading session, surpassing the established Outer Index Rally level of 5955 and the Key Resistance level of 5965. Currently, the index is exhibiting a bullish trend, with a focus on the Outer Index Dip target, set at 6073. Furthermore, additional critical levels have been identified, including Key Resistance at 6150 and the Next Outer Index Rally at 6235. Conversely, there is a potential decline in index prices from the current level or upon completion of the Outer Index Dip 6073, which may lead to a retest of the Mean Support at 5940, with the possibility of extending the pullback to the Mean Support at 5888.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Learn An Important Challenge in Trading That Often Goes UnstatedThis week, I discovered a promising trading opportunity on USDCHF forex pair. I shared it across my channels and in my premium signals group. Despite the price moving as predicted, the group's results were split: half didn't profit, while the other half made significant gains. This discrepancy was due to a frustrating aspect of trading that I particularly dislike. This the set up 👆 Here is the trading position that I spotted. The trade setup was a classic trading range pattern, with entry on a retest of the broken support, targeting the nearest strong support, and stop loss placed above the pattern's resistance. And that's how the signal locked. Day Trade ↪️ #USDCHF Sell, limit order 0.8221 🔹Tp1 0.7194(Close half lots) 🔹Tp2 0.8166(Full close & exist) ❌SL 0.8251 Initially, the market plummeted, but it reversed course before hitting the target. As the bullish rally regained momentum, I advised my students to close the trade at Tp1, and I did the same. I felt disappointed about missing out on profits from that trade. However, I was pleasantly surprised to receive numerous thank-you messages from my members in the following day, saying they had profited nicely from the signal. How did that happen? I decided to quietly ask some VIP signals group members; how did they close the trade. More than half of the members that I asked replied that the trade reached take profit. Is it possible? My take profit wasn't hit, and it was still significantly above the lowest point. BROKER! Now, review the USDCHF trading setup using charts from various well-known forex brokers. On these 4 charts, you can see USDCHF pair on OANDA, CAPITALCOM, PEPPERSTONE, AND FXCM, brokers. In half the cases, the take profit wasn't hit, while in the other half, it was reached and the price subsequently dropped further. What caused this? In Forex trading, there are occasional instances where the price movements from one broker can significantly differ from another due to variations in liquidity providers, spreads, and order execution methods. This highlights the importance of choosing a reliable broker. SOLUTION When using TradingView for analysis, consistency is key - stick to one broker's instruments. When trading, compare price action across brokers to ensure your strategy works as expected. If you notice frequent discrepancies, such as missed take profits, it might be time to switch brokers. Understanding this nuance can greatly impact your trading success.
SP:SPXEducation
by linofx1
SPX500 (S&P 500 Index) – Smart Money + Fibonacci Liquidity Sweep📅 Chart Timestamp: May 31, 2025 – 4H Timeframe 📈 Current Price: 5,902.26 📊 Volume (Recent Candle): 64.95K 🧠 Technical Breakdown 🔺 Premium Zone Rejection Price has sharply rejected the 5,995–6,050 area — a key premium supply zone aligned with the Fibonacci 1.0–1.236 extension. This rejection occurred after a weak internal high was formed, showing signs of exhaustion and liquidity grab behavior. 📉 Market Structure Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) confirm a short-term bearish market structure. Price has begun forming lower highs and is now in a distribution phase. 📏 Key Fibonacci & Smart Money Levels 0.786 Fib Retracement (5,804) → Recently tested; acted as a short-term support but broken. Equilibrium Zone (5,443.75) → Critical price magnet. Price is projected to gravitate toward this zone as part of a liquidity sweep and reaccumulation. Discount Zone (below 5,300) → Stronger support if equilibrium fails. Could serve as a long-term buying opportunity. 🌀 Expected Price Path (Yellow Projection) Short-term downside continuation into 5,560–5,440. Likely to form a double-bottom or mitigation structure at equilibrium. Reversal potential targeting 6,200–6,300 (1.236–1.382 extension) before next macro correction. 📈 Probability Framework Scenario Description Probability Rationale 📉 Pullback to Equilibrium Price revisits 5,443.75 75% Confluence of Smart Money FVGs + Fib levels + BOS indicates liquidity resting below 🔁 Reaccumulation at EQ Reversal from 5,440–5,500 65% Price often reacts to equilibrium in a bullish uptrend continuation 📈 Rally to 6,200+ Price takes out weak highs and extends 50% Depends on macro sentiment improving + liquidity expansion 🧨 Break below EQ into Discount Price collapses toward 5,300 30% Only if macro deterioration accelerates (Fed surprise, global contagion) 🧠 Macro Risk & Fundamental Context (as of May 31, 2025) 🏦 Federal Reserve Market is pricing in no rate cut in June, but increased odds (65–70%) of a cut in July. Sticky inflation + slowing job growth creates an uncertain macro narrative. 💵 Liquidity & Risk Sentiment Bond market volatility (MOVE Index) remains elevated → signaling stress in interest rate pricing. VIX is stable near 12–14 range → complacency risk if volatility spikes. Global liquidity has tightened in EMs due to dollar strength, though US equities remain buoyed by AI & tech. 📉 Earnings + Breadth Earnings season was mixed; top-heavy performance (few stocks driving index). Weak market breadth suggests a correction is healthy or overdue. ⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor Surprise Fed policy pivot (hawkish). Geopolitical escalations (Middle East, Taiwan). Sudden rise in VIX or credit spreads. Bearish divergence between index and market breadth indicators.
FX:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
1
[05/27] Weekly GEX Outlook for SPX⚠️ Unbalanced GEX & Institutional Hedging – A Closer Look I haven’t seen such an asymmetric GEX setup in quite a while — and it’s definitely not a pretty one 😬. The current profile suggests a highly skewed positioning in the market: 📍 Massive upside expectation: It feels like the market is almost exclusively preparing for a move toward 6000. 🛑 Limited downside protection: Below the current level, there's very little hedging in place — especially unusual with Friday’s expiry approaching. 🔻 Current Key Zone: 5925-5930 The largest put open interest is sitting right around 5925, which is also close to spot. Below that? Things get murky. The GEX profile becomes fragmented and mixed, with no clear put support until much lower. Interestingly, most of the current downside hedging is clustered around the 5900–5925 range, which includes ITM puts — not OTM, as you’d typically expect from retail. 🧠 Institutional Footprint vs. Retail This hedging pattern — closer to ATM rather than deep OTM — suggests institutional players are managing downside risk with precision. In contrast, retail traders don’t seem to be actively hedging the downside with OTM puts, which is a notable shift from typical behavior in high-IV weeks like this. 🔼 What to Watch: The 5930 Breakout If SPX can break and hold above 5930, it enters a clear, call-dominated zone. From there, the path to 6000 looks much cleaner, with lighter resistance and the potential for a gamma-driven push 📈. The details show the same picture when examining more details: SPX conclusion 😬 In short: we’re at a tipping point. Below 5900, hedging is tactical and institutional. Above 5900, the path is open to 6000 — but only if bulls can take control at 5930!
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
SPX500 H1 | Heading into an overlap resistanceSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 5,967.36 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 6,012.00 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 5,909.96 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SPX500Short
by Tradu
Come on SPX! Let's cross back over 6,000Stop playing with me SPX. So far this week, we've seen a slowwww drift up. Ok, Monday and Tuesday did put in some solid bars, but now here we are, babying this 6,000 psychological area. Below is my write up from Sunday. While I always state different scenarios, I've been leaning bullish...though some of my individual stock plays have retested my stop levels this week. (They have been a bit more sideways) SPX (written Sunday 06/01/25) Still above key weekly MAs, trend remains intact The weekly chart still shows an uptrend. We're above the 10EMA, 20EMA, and 50SMA, and those moving averages are turning up. So while the pace of the uptrend has slowed, the broader structure hasn't broken down. This past week was a digestion of the recent April and early May run, and so far, not an unraveling of it. Friday's dip was likely just a shakeout. Friday gave us a candle that flushed below the daily 20EMA then quickly reversed. That kind of action often traps early shorts and clears out weaker long hands…a classic shakeout. If this theory holds, we should see strength early next week. But if we break below the 5750-5725 area, that thesis gets invalidated. At that point, I'd treat the move as something more structurally weak, not just a pullback. Confluence zone still holding for now We're sitting right on a layered area of support above all moving averages, and a horizontal support and resistance level from earlier this year. So far, it has held. If it continues to hold, it gives the index a platform to try the upside again. Trendlines matter, but not more than the overall structure I was asked about trendlines this week, and it was a good reminder to step back and recognize how I was sharing my use of them. Trendlines are helpful, but they’re just one part of the picture. Same goes for moving averages, volume, and other tools. They only hold weight relative to the context. In a choppy, indecisive market, over-focusing on any single signal can do more harm than good. I'm aiming to keep my analysis well-rounded, zoomed out, and centered on structure. What would confirm the upside? A clean move back above 6,000 and a push through the February all-time high would help strengthen the case for continued upside. Not just because it’s a technical level, but because it’s psychological too. If we’re breaking out into new highs, especially after the chop and hesitation of the last few weeks, that’s when retail traders tend to feel like we’re “in the clear.” That can bring in more participation, more confidence, and more momentum. Ideally, we’d see a higher low hold on any dips, and then a strong push through 6,000 with follow-through, not just a quick tag and pullback. That kind of behavior would tell me buyers are stepping in with conviction again. What would shift the bias more bearish? A breakdown and hold below 5725 (not just a quick flush) would suggest deeper downside potential. From there, 5600 (around the daily 50SMA) becomes the next level I’d watch for support. But so far, I’m not leaning toward this as the main scenario. What do you all see? Will we break 6,000 and get an increase in momentum?
SP:SPXLong
by emanuelaelias