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USA500 trade ideas

SPX500USD Is Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 5,676.2. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 5,784.8 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SignalProvider
1
Understanding risk to reward and risk management Risk Management In trading, understanding how to manage risk is just as important as understanding how to identify profitable opportunities. Regardless of your skill level or strategy, no trader can predict the market with 100% certainty. Therefore, managing risk is essential to protect your capital and ensure long-term success. In this chapter, we will explore the fundamentals of risk management, including the importance of setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, and how to determine appropriate position sizing. Importance of Risk Management The first rule of trading is to protect your capital. Without proper risk management, even a string of profitable trades can be wiped out by a few bad decisions. Traders who neglect risk management often find themselves caught in emotional trading, leading to unnecessary losses. Here’s why risk management is critical: Minimizes Losses: Every trade carries a risk. By managing risk properly, you can limit the size of your losses and protect your capital from large drawdowns. Consistency: Effective risk management allows you to trade consistently over the long term, even if you encounter a few losing trades. Successful traders understand that losing trades are inevitable, but with sound risk management, they ensure that losses are small and manageable. Preserves Psychological Capital: Emotional decision-making often leads to overtrading, panic, and revenge trading. By following a risk management plan, you reduce the emotional impact of losing trades and maintain the discipline needed to follow your strategy. Setting Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels One of the most practical ways to manage risk is by setting stop-loss and take-profit levels for every trade. These levels help automate your exit strategy, ensuring that you stick to your plan and avoid emotional reactions to price fluctuations. Stop-Loss Levels A stop-loss order is an instruction to exit a trade if the price moves against you by a certain amount. This ensures that you do not hold onto a losing trade for too long, minimizing potential losses. How to Set a Stop-Loss: Based on Technical Levels: Identify support and resistance levels on the chart. For example, if you are buying a stock, place the stop-loss below a significant support level. If the price breaks this level, it signals that the market is likely to continue downward. Percentage-Based: Many traders set their stop-loss at a fixed percentage of the entry price (e.g., 1% or 2%). This method ensures that you risk only a small portion of your capital on each trade. Volatility-Based: Some traders adjust their stop-loss levels based on market volatility. In a more volatile market, you might set a wider stop-loss to avoid being prematurely stopped out by normal price swings. Example: You enter a long position in a stock at £50 per share and identify strong support at £48. You set a stop-loss at £47.50 to limit your downside risk. If the price drops to £47.50, the stop-loss order is triggered, and you exit the trade automatically. Take-Profit Levels A take-profit order is used to lock in gains by exiting the trade once the price reaches a predefined profit target. This helps you avoid the temptation to hold onto a winning trade for too long and risk losing the profits you've already made. How to Set a Take-Profit: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: A common approach is to set a take-profit level that provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. For instance, if you risk $1 per trade, you might aim to make £2 or £3 in profit (a 2:1 or 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio). This ensures that your winners are larger than your losers. Technical Targets: Take-profit levels can be based on technical factors such as resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, or trendline projections. For example, if a stock is trading within a channel, you might set your take-profit near the upper boundary of the channel. Example: You enter a trade with a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2, meaning you’re risking £100 to potentially make £200. If your stop-loss is set 2% below your entry price, you’ll place your take-profit order at a level where the price is 4% higher. Trailing Stop-Loss A trailing stop-loss is a dynamic stop that moves with the price as it moves in your favor, locking in profits while allowing the trade to continue if the trend is strong. If the price reverses by a specified amount, the trailing stop will close the trade. Example: You enter a long position in a stock at £100 with a trailing stop set at £5. As the price rises to £110, your stop-loss moves to £105, locking in at least £5 in profit. If the price drops to £105, the trailing stop closes the trade. Position Sizing Position sizing is the process of determining how much capital to allocate to each trade. Proper position sizing ensures that you do not overexpose your account to a single trade, helping to protect your portfolio from excessive losses. Calculating Position Size To calculate the appropriate position size, follow these steps: 1. Determine Your Risk per Trade: Decide how much of your total trading capital you are willing to risk on any single trade. A common rule is to risk no more than 1% to 2% of your total account balance on each trade. Example: If you have a $10,000 trading account and you are comfortable risking 1%, you should only risk $100 per trade. 2. Identify Your Stop-Loss Level: Determine where you will place your stop-loss, as this defines how much you could potentially lose on the trade. For instance, if your stop-loss is 2% below your entry price, you will risk 2% of the position’s value. Risk-to-Reward Ratio Every time you enter a trade, you should consider the risk-to-reward ratio, which compares the potential loss (risk) to the potential gain (reward). A favorable risk-to-reward ratio helps ensure that even if you lose more trades than you win, you can still be profitable. Ideal Ratios: Most traders aim for a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3. This means that for every $1 risked, you aim to gain $2 or $3. A higher ratio increases your chances of maintaining profitability even with some losing trades. Example: If you set a stop-loss that limits your potential loss to £50, and your take-profit level is set to gain £150, your risk-to-reward ratio is 1:3. Even if you only win one out of every three trades, you will still break even or potentially make a profit. Risk management is the foundation of successful trading. By setting proper stop-loss and take-profit levels, using appropriate position sizing, and maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, you can protect your capital while maximizing your chances for long-term profitability. Remember, successful trading is not about winning every trade—it’s about managing risk effectively so that your winners outweigh your losers.
SP:SPXEducation
by samstoobad
S&P500 Extremely well supported. This uptrend will continue.Just 6 days ago (September 10, see chart below) we gave the most optimal medium-term buy signal on S&P500 index (SPX) as the price tested and held the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level: The price rebounded strongly and is imitating the 0.5 Fib bounces of the previous 12 months that all started very strong rallies (+10.50% the weakest!). This week we would like to go back to our long-term perspective on the wider time-frames (1W on this chart) as ahead of the Fed Rate Decision on Wednesday, we expect very high volatility that might cloud investor thinking and confidence to a strong degree. There is no reason to diverge from our long-term bullish outlook (yet) as the index remains extremely well supported on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was approached on August's low and was last time tested (and held) a year ago (October 23 2023). A Higher Highs trend-line guides S&P to higher prices, similar to every such trend-line since 2016. The 1W RSI has started to form a Bearish Divergence, which was effective only in early 2022 and the start of the Inflation Crisis. As long as the 1W MA50 holds, the Sine Waves show that this uptrend is far from over. Technically we should now see a continuation to around 5800 - 6000 and then a new medium-term correction. Our long-term Target is 6500, which based on the progressive nature of cyclical rises within this pattern (+63.50% then 105.00%), seems a modest one. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
SP500 Can Break To All-Time Highs After A Triangle ConsolidationBack in August the SP500 turned down for a deeper correction back to 5k area, at the same time when drop on all major indexes and some big cap names were pretty aggressive. However, there was a huge spike in VIX (not shown on this chart), so it must have been a lot of fear involved, which after initial selling shows extreme pessimism and that's when the market tends to stabilize, when least expected. Well, what is most important is that we have seen some stabilization through most of the second part of August, but notice that the index did not reach new highs; it turned down at the start of the September, after moving up to 5655 area. So, we think that recent drop to 5400 area is actually subwave (C), ideally part of a complex correction, possibly a triangle in wave 4. Especially because of a recent turn up, that looks like a wave (D), so be aware of a slowdown in wave (E), which is still missing based on basic structure of a triangle pattern. Anyhow, we think that sooner or later index will break to a new highs, ideally after FED rate decision.
SP:SPXLong
by ew-forecast
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea (NASDAQ)👀 👉 Here's my take on the current NAS100 (NASDAQ) situation: The S&P 500 index is exhibiting clear signs of smart money influence. We're seeing a calculated manipulation of price action, with recent moves targeting a previous range high followed by an expansion to the downside. This pattern suggests institutional players are strategically positioning themselves for a potential bearish move. ## Interest Rate Speculation and Stop Hunting The market's reaction to rumors of lower interest rates has created a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario. This rally has likely triggered a cascade of stop losses, setting the stage for a potentially significant sell-off. Such price action often precedes larger market moves, as it clears out weak hands and creates liquidity for larger players. ## Seasonal Considerations Historically, mid-September has been a bearish period for the S&P 500. This seasonal tendency aligns with our current technical setup, adding weight to the bearish thesis. It's crucial to note that while seasonality isn't deterministic, it can provide an edge when combined with other technical factors. ## Technical Outlook The daily chart shows bearish divergence on key momentum indicators. The MACD is displaying a bearish crossover, while the RSI, currently at 67.35, suggests there's ample room for downside before reaching oversold conditions . The index is also approaching overbought territory on the Stochastic oscillator, further supporting a potential reversal . ## Trade Strategy Given this confluence of factors, my bias is decidedly bearish. I'm looking to initiate short positions targeting previous support levels. Key resistance to watch is around 5,624, which aligns with recent pivot points . For entry, I'll be watching for a break and retest of the current range lows, potentially around the 5,618 level . Remember, while this analysis provides a strong directional bias, always manage your risk carefully. The S&P 500 can be volatile, especially during periods of economic uncertainty. Position sizing and well-placed stops are crucial for long-term trading success. 📉✅
FX:SPX500Short
by tradingwithanthony
7
S&p 500 daily time frame Hello traders, I have observing a potential manipulation zone in the S&P 500. This suggests that the price might be artificially influenced, potentially leading to a rejection from this level. Waiting for the New York time zone for confirmation is a smart move. Here's why: * **Manipulation Zones:** These are areas where large players (institutions, hedge funds) might be trying to influence the price to their advantage. This can create false signals and make it difficult to predict the true direction. * **New York Time Zone:** The New York time zone is crucial because it's when US markets open, and many large institutional players are active. Watching the price action during this period can give you a better idea of how the market is reacting to the potential manipulation. **Remember:** Never rely on one signal alone. Always confirm your analysis with multiple indicators and the overall market context before making any trading decisions. Good luck with your trades!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by somayehbasiri
S&P 500 - break of Base AccumulationOn the intraday 1 hr chart , we can see the S&P 500 index is in a Rectangular Consolidation, with price constrained between 5616 - 5636. A false breakout occurred in the recent NY session ( Spring) , with high volume . This is a liquidity move and a bullish sign for this index. We then see an impulse to the upside on low volume ( ie. low conviction with buyers). Considering a price retracement now to the Fibonacci .618 - .705 level. From there, price to break the consolidation to the upside with a measured move. This should be with high volume on the VSA to be confident of a true breakout.
U
by Umlingo
S&P500 MAKE OR BREAK ZONE AS FED RATE CUTS APPROACH SIMPLE SCALES - COMPLEX FAILS - Upside: A daily consolidation that holds 5600 would look great as this was a previous consolidation area. Acceptance above 5650 would break the previous range highs opening room into 5675, 5700 & 5750. - Downside: Acceptance below 5600 can start to break a daily support which opens room back into 5550, 5516, 5488 & 5435. - Overall Thesis: ES daily pivot looks great, however there is still room for a weekly and daily lower high. If we lose 5600, this chart can actually get pretty ugly again. The 5600-5650 range is going to be an important area this week.
TVC:SPX
by make_money_trading
S&P 500 Faces Key Resistance Ahead of Fed Rate Cut DecisionI don't usually cover US stocks on this platform, but for those following the S&P 500, it had a strong rally over the past few days. However, it’s now facing resistance around $5,650, just shy of the all-time high set back on July 16, 2024. Despite the recent run-up, it couldn’t quite reach the resistance line, and everything now depends on how the market reacts to the Fed's rate cuts on Wednesday. If the Fed cuts rates by 0.5%, we might see a solid push upward. However, with a 0.25% cut, here are the support levels on the downside. Remember, the market can move either way this is just my take. If you have questions, leave them below, and don’t forget to hit that like button!
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
S&P500: This rally has just started.The S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.284, MACD = 37.100, ADX = 31.869) and is testing the 5,680 ATH R1 level. This is the 4H timeframe and as you see the current rebound was achieved on the 4H MA200. The 4H RSI is on the same levels as May 7th 2024 and November 3rd 2023, which were consolidations before a major Channel Up formation. Our Target is in tact (TP = 6,000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:SPXLong
by InvestingScope
3
SPx / US Investors Eye Fed as Larger Rate Cut LoomsUS Equity Investors Focus on Monetary Policy as Larger Rate Cut Becomes Likely Scenario This week, U.S. equity investors will closely monitor the Federal Reserve's commentary and interest rate forecasts, with a 50 basis-point cut now emerging as the most probable policy move. According to the FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 50 basis-point cut on September 18 has surged to 59% as of early Monday, up from 30% a week ago, following the inflation data released on September 11 and 12. The remaining 41% likelihood now points to a 25 basis-point cut, down from 70% the previous week. S&P 500 Technical Analysis: As long as the price trades under 5643 will drop to get 5584, Otherwise should break 5643 by closifn 4h candle above it to get 5675 and more, Key Levels: Pivot Line: 5616 Resistance Levels: 5643, 5675, 5709 Support Levels: 5600, 5584, 5525 Trend: - Consolidation 5643 - 5584 - Upward above 5643 - Downward below 5628
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Sell OpportunityTrading Signal: S&P 500 Index Action: Sell Entry Price: 5633.00 Take Profit: 5448.00 Stop Loss: 5720.00 Rationale: The S&P 500 index is currently positioned for a sell trade based on technical analysis indicating potential downside momentum. The entry point is set at 5633.00, with a take-profit target of 5448.00 and a stop-loss at 5720.00 to manage risk. Disclaimer: Trading signals are for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis and consider risk management strategies before executing trades.
SP:SPXShort
by GODOCM
#US500 1DAYTrade Recommendation: SELL Opportunity for US500 Index SELL Level:5650 Target Levels: 5500, 5600, 5200 Description: The US500 index, representing the top 500 large-cap U.S. companies, is currently trading around the 5650 level. This level presents a strategic opportunity to sell, as technical and market indicators suggest a potential downturn. Rationale: Technical Indicators: The index has recently approached resistance levels, showing signs of overbought conditions. Historical data suggests that similar resistance levels have often preceded corrective moves. Market Sentiment: Current economic data and market sentiment indicate potential headwinds, which could lead to a decline in the index. Risk-Reward Ratio: Selling at 5650 offers a favorable risk-reward profile, with potential downside targets at 5500, 5600, and a more extended target at 5200. Targets: 1.5500: Short-term target where initial profit-taking can be considered. 2. 5600: Intermediate level that could offer a partial exit or adjustment of positions. 3. 5200: Extended target for those with a longer-term bearish outlook, providing a substantial profit opportunity. Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Implement a stop-loss above the 5650 level to manage potential adverse price movements. Position Sizing: Ensure appropriate position sizing to mitigate risk and align with your trading strategy. Carefully monitor market conditions and adjust the strategy as needed to align with evolving trends and data.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
SPX500 H4 | Falling to overlap supportSPX500 is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,563.51 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 5,490.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 5,655.91 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM
SPX: on a verge of new ATHAfter the S&P 500 had the worst week in 2024, two weeks ago, the previous week brought the best week in 2024. This is how swift the investors sentiment has changed at the current moment. The index started the week at the level of 5.438 and reached its highest weekly level at Friday's trading session at 5.626. By gaining around 4% for the week, the index is currently only 1% lower from it's all-time highest levels. Aside from tech companies and semiconductor industry, this week utilities and industrials were also in the spotlight of the market. Published US inflation figures pushed the investors sentiment higher in expectation that the Fed now has a clear case for the first rate cut. The inflation is clearly on a down path, reaching the level of 2,5% y/y in August. Investors are perceiving that the environment of lower interest rates would help the industries in the US to increase earnings, and they are adjusting their positions accordingly. The FOMC meeting is scheduled for 19th September, where some increased volatility and market nervousness might be expected. Certainly, the Fed's decision will impact the course of equity markets during the third quarter. After the FOMC meeting its is going to be known if the S&P 500 is heading toward the fresh new ATH.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Bearish reversal?S&P500 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,673.69 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 5,738.69 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 5,548.54 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by VantageMarkets