Get started
SP 500 Cash IndexSP 500 Cash IndexSP 500 Cash Index

SP 500 Cash Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

USA500 trade ideas

It That was Just Wave C - Big Puke ComingI had a fair crack at being bullish and it was profitable for a while but last attempt ran my entry levels. We're back to retesting them now but I've ditched all my longs other than super lotto calls. If might turn out that big W move was just an ABC. That 6% down day was wave 1. The failed new high was wave 2. If those things are true, I think you're going to see limit down days. I don't throw that term about loosely. If we're heading into wave 3, at some point limit down days are likely.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by holeyprofit
Bullish bounce off pullback support?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,326.10 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,211.08 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 5,517.82 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
S&P500 Still a Short: Be mindful of Alternate CountI discuss how the additional wave up could have a larger implication on the entire outlook of S&P500 and could cause a re-labelling of the entire wave structure. What we want to see in order to keep our primary count, is a breakdown below the low of where I plotted wave 1 of C. That is, below 5119.8. But no matter the primary count or the alternate count, it is still a short opportunity. But there is an implication on the Take Profit target.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by yuchaosng
SPXGiven the escalating tariff pressures, it's clear that this scenario is unsustainable for any economy in the long term. I anticipate a resolution to the US-China trade issue within the next few weeks to months. The current market correction is likely a reflection of the accumulated negative impacts from Trump's second term, and from a technical analysis perspective, further downside levels are indicated on the charts. However, looking at the broader, four-year horizon of Trump's presidency, there are several potentially bullish factors, including tax cuts, financial deregulation, continued Fed dovishness, and the possibility of renewed quantitative easing.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Lazy-Lizard
A Wolfe Wave? Maybe. Another Win? Definitely. | SPX Analysis 16 What do you call it when you wake up, sip your tea, and realise the market is exactly where you thought it would be? Answer: another day following the damn plan. Yesterday’s price action? Snooze city. But tucked away inside that inside day was a lovely little income win, all thanks to those glorious GEX levels we’ve had our eyes glued to for weeks. 5400/5425 was once again the no-go zone. SPX tiptoed up, chickened out, and reversed politely on cue. While retail traders yawned or second-guessed, we quietly hit our numbers. Again. And while the surface was calm, beneath the charts... something’s stirring. --- 🎯 "Same Setup. Same Result." Some traders chase action. We wait for systematic decision-making framework. While the masses complained about a boring market day, we snagged another payday. The setup was textbook: resistance at 5400/5425, backed by GEX, ADD extremes, and the ol’ "...oh and..." wedge-in-the-making. Throw in a mechanical bear Tag 'n Turn and we were go for launch. The overnight futures have started to crack the two-day range. One of the perks of short-dated expirations? You don't need massive moves - just a push in your direction, and the premium does the work for you. And here's a wildcard for your "...oh and..." notebook: 👀 Possible Wolfe Wave forming. If valid, we could be looking at a gravity slide down to 5000. Is it the holy grail? Nah. But if it lines up with pulse bars and structure, I’ll be ready. --- GEX Analysis Update 5425 again 🎓 Expert Insight – "Pattern First, Prediction Later" Common Trading Mistake: Jumping on a trade just because the news made your pulse spike. Fix It: Let your levels do the talking. GEX, ADD, Tag 'n Turns… the market leaves breadcrumbs. Follow those, not the headlines. Don’t predict. React with structure. Trade setups, not emotions. Repeat winners are born from repeatable processes. --- 🤓 Fun Market Fact The Wolfe Wave pattern is named after Bill Wolfe and is often misunderstood as some esoteric mystery. But really? It’s just a glorified channel break with attitude. It projects a reversal target based on converging trendlines, often in five-wave structures. The magic? The final wave usually slams to a specific line, called the EPA/ETA - and can happen quickly if volatility kicks in. Most people don’t spot it until it’s too late. But if you know what to look for, it becomes a spicy tool in the AntiVestor arsenal. 🐺📉 Happy trading, Phil Less Brain, More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
S&P500 Tariff comeback may be starting a whole new Bull Cycle!The S&P500 index (SPX) is making a remarkable comeback following the non-stop sell-off since mid-February as, following the tariff 90-day pause, it is staging a massive rebound just before touching the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Since that was almost at the bottom of its bullish channel while the 2W RSI hit its own Higher Lows trend-line, this can technically initiate a 2-year Bull Cycle similar to those that started on the October 2022 and March 2020 bottoms (green circles). The fact that the current correction has been almost as quick as the March 2020 COVID crash, may indicate that the recovery could be just as strong. In any event, it appears that a 7200 Target on a 2-year horizon is quite plausible, being close to he top of the bullish channel, while also under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which got hit during both previous Bullish Legs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
4
VIX Hits 27-Year Extreme. Is the Market About to CRASH or SOAR?The Volatility Index (VIX displayed by the blue trend-line) has entered a level that has visited only another 5 times in the last 27 years (since August 1998)! That is what we've called the 'VIX Max Panic Resistance Zone'. As the name suggests that indicates ultimate panic for the stock markets, which was fueled by massive sell-offs, leading to extreme volatility and uncertainty. So the obvious question arises: 'Is this Good or Bad for the market??' The answer is pretty clear if you look at the chart objectively and with a clear perspective. In 4 out of those 5 times, the S&P500 (SPX) bottomed exactly on the month of the VIX Max Panic signal. It was only during the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis that VIX hit the Max Panic Zone in October 2008 but bottomed 5 months late in March 2009. As a result, this is historically a very strong opportunity for a multi-year buy position. If anything, today's VIX situation looks more similar to September 2011 or even the bottom of the previous U.S. - China Trade war in March 2020. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
U.S. Bulls Take Charge: S&P 500 Set to Break OutHello, 📊 S&P 500 Market Outlook – Pro-Bullish Perspective 🔥 Market Recap: The S&P 500 recently saw a significant dip, marking a 1-year low at 4805.92, largely attributed to the shockwaves caused by President Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement on April 2. This move sent markets into a tailspin, creating heightened volatility levels not seen since the early pandemic days. However, savvy traders recognized opportunity amidst the panic and entered strategic buy zones around those lows. Since then, the index has managed to stabilize above key technical levels, signaling potential bullish momentum building from the ground up. 🧭 Current Key Technical Levels to Watch: 1W Pivot Point (PP): ✅ Holding above 5224.13 1D Pivot Point (PP): ⚠️ Testing resistance at 5297.05 1M Strong Support/Resistance: ⛔ Acting as resistance at 5329.31 🚀 Bullish Confirmation Pathway: To fully confirm a bottom-up bullish reversal, we’re looking for: ✅ Sustained close above the 1D PP @ 5297.05 ✅ Break and hold above the 1M Resistance @ 5329.31 ✅ Momentum toward the 1Y PP @ 5550.97 If these levels are conquered with conviction, it opens the door for an extended upside move toward 5878.58, aligning with a broader bullish sentiment. 🛑 Cautionary Downside Scenario: Although currently less likely, a failure to maintain support above the 1W PP @ 5224.13 could reopen downside risk in the short term. We remain watchful of that level as a bull-bear pivot. 🌐 Macro Overview – Tariff Shock & Earnings Spotlight: Trump’s abrupt tariff move has reshuffled the global economic deck, and investors are still processing its implications. The S&P 500 is currently down ~14% from its February highs, but showing resilience. Earnings season is now center stage, with major players like Tesla, Alphabet, IBM, and Boeing under the microscope. ⚠️ Volatility Index (VIX) is down from post-tariff highs (~60) to ~30, still elevated from the long-term median of 17.6, signaling cautious optimism. 💬 CEO Sentiment Matters: As JJ Kinahan from IG North America noted: “The view of CEOs going forward has never been more important.” With traditional guidance uncertain, investors are leaning on transparent, scenario-based outlooks like United Airlines’ “dual roadmap” approach. 🔋 Magnificent Seven on Watch: Alphabet: -20% YTD Tesla: -40% YTD These leaders are key sentiment barometers. If they bounce, the broader market is likely to follow. 🏛️ Fed & Trump Tensions: Trump recently stated that Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s termination “cannot come fast enough,” pushing for rate cuts. Powell, however, remains cautious, citing the need for more economic data before acting. ✍️ Final Note – A Cooling Tariff War? 💬 According to Trump’s latest statement, the tone around tariffs is beginning to cool, hinting at possible de-escalation. This development adds further bullish tailwinds to the broader market outlook. ✅ Summary: We are leaning bullish here with the base-building process in motion. Key levels are aligning, volatility is easing, and clarity from corporate earnings could be the catalyst to propel markets upward. Watch for a clean breakout above 5329 — that’s where the real confirmation begins. Eyes on the prize: 5878.58 👀📈 The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
1
S&P 500 Index Goes 'Death Crossed' Again, Due To Unruly EconomyThe "Death Cross" is a technical chart pattern signaling potential bearish momentum in the US stock market, occurring when a short-term moving average (typically the 50-day) crosses below a long-term moving average (usually the 200-day). Despite its foreboding name, historical data shows its implications are often less dire than perceived, serving as a coincident indicator of market weakness rather than a definitive predictor of collapse. Historical Examples and Market Impact The death cross gained notoriety for preceding major market downturns: 2000 Dot-Com Bubble: The Nasdaq Composite’s death cross in June 2000 coincided with the burst of the tech bubble, leading to a prolonged bear market. 2008 Financial Crisis: The S&P 500’s death cross in December 2007 foreshadowed the 2008 crash, with the index losing over 50% of its value by early 2009. 2020 COVID-19 Crash: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2020 amid pandemic-driven panic, though markets rebounded sharply within months. 2022 Ukraine's War Crisis: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2022 due to proinflationary surge on Ukraine's war and Arab-Israel conflict, leading to a prolonged bear market within next twelve months, up to March quarter in the year 2023. These examples highlight the pattern’s association with extreme volatility, but its predictive power is inconsistent. For instance, the 2022 death cross in the S&P 500—its first in two years—occurred amid Fed rate hikes and geopolitical tensions, yet the market stabilized within weeks rather than entering a prolonged downturn. Perspectives on Reliability and Use Cases While the death cross reflects deteriorating short-term momentum, its utility depends on context: Lagging Nature: As a lagging indicator, it confirms existing trends rather than forecasting new ones. The 50-day average crossing below the 200-day often occurs after prices have already declined. False Signals: Post-2020 data shows the S&P 500 gained an average of 6.3% one year after a death cross, with Nasdaq Composite returns doubling typical averages six months post-cross. Combined Analysis: Traders pair it with metrics like trading volume or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to validate signals. Higher selling volume during a death cross strengthens its bearish case. Strategic Implications for Investors For market participants, the death cross serves as a cautionary tool rather than a standalone sell signal: Short-Term Traders: May use it to hedge long positions or initiate short bets, particularly if corroborated by weakening fundamentals. Long-Term Investors: Often treat it as a reminder to reassess portfolio diversification, especially during elevated valuations or macroeconomic uncertainty. Contrarian Opportunities: Historical rebounds post-death cross—such as the 7.2% Nasdaq gain three months after the signal—suggest potential buying opportunities for risk-tolerant investors. Fundamental Challenge Stocks Extend Drop as Powell Sees Economy ‘Moving Away’ From Fed Goals Powell sees economy ‘moving away’ from job, price goals due to Trump's tariff chainsaw. Fed well positioned to wait for policy clarity. Strong jobs market depends on price stability, he adds. Stocks extend declines, bonds rally as Fed chair speaks. Conclusion The "Death Cross" remains a contentious yet widely monitored pattern. Its dramatic name and association with past crises amplify its psychological impact, but empirical evidence underscores its role as one of many tools in technical analysis. Investors who contextualize it with broader market data—such as earnings trends, interest rates, and macroeconomic indicators—are better positioned to navigate its signals. While it may foreshadow turbulence, its historical track record emphasizes resilience, with markets often recovering losses within months of the pattern’s appearance. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎 // Think Big. Risk Less
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
DEATH CROSS on the SP500?We just witnessed the 50-day SMA crossing below the 200-day SMA — a technical signal known as the Death Cross. Historically, this pattern has been associated with: Trend reversals from bullish to bearish Extended downside pressure A loss of investor confidence in the short-to-medium term 🧠 While not always followed by major crashes, the last time this pattern showed up in a similar setup was followed by an accelerated drop — and that’s exactly what we’ve seen again. The real question now is: 👉 Was this a false signal or is more downside ahead? 🔍 Keep an eye on price action around the 5,400–5,500 zone. If it fails to recover, this death cross might just be the start of a deeper correction...
VANTAGE:SP500FTShort
by SmartSignalss
$SPX - APRIL 16 2025 contract Today’s Trading Range has Downward pressure from the top - you can see it in the way the moving averages come down and their angle. The implied move is 5320-5475 today (1.35%) 5295-5500 tomorrow (1.88%) And 30 day average volatility 5205-5590. (3.53%) That spreads am I looking to today? 5320/5296 Bull put spreads feel too close for me… But I’m still keeping them on my radar. That is 25 dollars wide. If we Trade up 5475/5500 That’s a real possibility because of the 1hr 200MA coming down like that. (That is also a 25$ wide spread today.) But more likely - and especially because we have Jerome powell today at 1:30 ET, I will be looking 5230/5205 bull put spreads & 5565/5590 above. Big Bear gap at the top as well. Let’s see how it goes today.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Detailed Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Index – 4-Hour TimefrWhat triggered the recent movements? As per analyst analysis, since February 20, 2025, the S&P 500 Index began a gradual decline, forming a clear downtrend that resulted in a total drop of approximately 21.14%. This sharp retreat was primarily driven by mounting investor concerns over President Donald Trump's foreign trade policies, particularly the increased tariffs on several countries, which led to widespread fear and uncertainty in financial markets, concerns about a potential global recession, slowing international trade, weakened economic growth and resurgence of inflationary pressure. After reaching the key support level at 4798.58, its lowest point since January 2024, the index saw a brief consolidation phase, before a major market-moving development occurred: the announcement of a 90-day suspension of tariffs on selected countries by the U.S. President. As per analyst interpretation, this event acted as a turning point, triggering a sharp rally of nearly 10% in a single session, which effectively broke the downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe and led to the formation of a new high (2), surpassing the last corrective peak (1). This confirmed a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart. What’s next on the 4-hour chart? Although the index has shifted into an upward trajectory, a short-term pullback appears more likely at this stage, especially following the failure of trough (3) to break above the previous peak (2) at 5487 – a sign of weak bullish momentum. If the price breaks below the 5107.40 level, a further decline toward the 4948.10 support level is expected. This level could serve as a potential rebound zone, where bullish traders might regain control and resume the uptrend, possibly retargeting the 5487 peak. When is the bullish scenario invalidated? According to analysts, the current bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price breaks below 4798.58 and confirms a 4-hour candle close beneath it. This would strongly indicate a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish, prompting a reassessment of the medium-term trend. Important Note: This analysis strictly reflects price action and technical patterns on the 4-hour timeframe only.
CFI:US500
by CFI